文｜时代周报 梁争誉

编辑丨刘 婷

cengjingshichaofangkezuiweiqinglaide“fangjiagaodi”shamen，zhengzaimijiyouhuafangdichanzhengceyixiufushichang。

11yue15ri，shamenshicujinfangdichanshichangpingwenjiankangfazhanlingdaoxiaozubangongshifabu《guanyujinyibuyouhuafangdichanshichangxiangguanzhengcedetongzhi》（yixiajiancheng《tongzhi》）（yixiajiancheng“‘11·15xinzheng’”）。

《tongzhi》mingque，lizushamenfangdichanshichangshijiqingkuang，jiechuquanshixiangoucuoshi。zaisiming、huligoumaiyishou、ershoushangpinzhufang，buzaishenhegoufangrenzige，xianshoucuoshibaochibubian。《tongzhi》haiyouhualejiatingzhufangtaoshurendingbiaozhun，duozinvjiating（erhaijiyishang）goumaidediertaozhufangrendingweishoutao，goumaidedisantaozhufangrendingweiertao。

lianggeyueqianji9yue18ri，shamenshicujinfangdichanshichangpingwenjiankangfazhanlingdaoxiaozubangongshifabu《guanyujinyibucujinfangdichanshichangpingwenjiankangfazhandetongzhi》（yixiajiancheng“‘9·18xinzheng’”），quxiaodaowaixiangou、xianshoucuoshi，zaijimei、haicang、tongan、xiangansiqugoumaishangpinzhufang，buzaishenhegoufangrenzige，buzaixianzhishangshijiaoyishijian。

zhengcediezhengceshifanglemingquexinhao。yijuyanjiuyuanyanjiuzongjianyanyuejinrenwei，guoquyixiezhongdianchengshisuiranzaifangsongxiangou，danqishiyousuobaoliu，zhongxinchengquhuohexinqurengbaoliuxiangouzhengce。shamenzheicidaxiangdiyiqiang，shuomingxiangoufangmiandeyueshubuduanjianshao，jinrudaoquanmianfangsongxiangoudexinjieduan。

buguo，zhengruwankedongshihuizhuxiyuliangsuoshuo，bingdongsanchifeiyirizhihan，bunengzhiwangzhengceyizhaojiejuesuoyouwenti。

guangdongshengchengguiyuanzhufangzhengceyanjiuzhongxinshouxiyanjiuyuanliyujiaduishamen“11·15xinzheng”dexiaoguobaochijinshentaidu，“yidinghuiyoubufenrenquntebieshiyixiekanhaotequzhangqijiazhiderenqunjinrushichang，daoneideyouzhiwuyejiaoyilianghuichuxianzengzhang，danduiyuquanshifangdichanshichangbingbunengdailaihenmingxiandetizhen。”

△shamendaonei，shidaizhoubaojizheshe

全面宽松

shamenciciyouhuafangdichanzhengce，shejixiangou、xindai、gongjijintiqu、jiangdikaifaqiyechengbendengduofangmian。

zuishoushichangguanzhudeshi，daoneiquxiaoxiangoucuoshi。genju《tongzhi》，zaisimingqu、huliqugoumaiyishou、ershoushangpinzhufang，buzaishenhegoufangrenzige，xianshoucuoshibaochibubian。shangpinzhufangxiangmutudichuranghetongzhonglingyouyuedingdechuwai。

“shamendefangdichanshichangbijiaoteshu，daoneidaowaifangjiahegongyingliangdechajufeichangda，shangpinfangdepinzhi、juzhuhuanjing、gonggongfuwuchabieyefeichangda，daoneishangpinfangweiquantifujianren、quantiminnanrenshenzhiquanqiuminnanrensuoqinglai。”liyujiarenwei，mianduidaoneigongjidanxingxiao，gongyingliangyouxian，zaoyijinrucunliangshidaidexianzhuang，shamenyirantuichudaoneixiangou，shuomingdangqianfangdichanshichangqueshibijiaopiruo。

youhuajiatingzhufangtaoshurendingbiaozhunyishi“11·15xinzheng”deyidaliangdian。《tongzhi》tichu，zaishamenxiaqufanweinei，duozinvjiating（erhaijiyishang）goumaidediertaozhufangrendingweishoutao，goumaidedisantaozhufangrendingweiertao。duozinvjiatinggenjuzhengfuxiangguanbumenchujudezhufangtaoshurendingzhengming，xiangyinxingshenqingshangyexinggerenzhufangdaikuan。

shamenciciyouhuafangdichanzhengce，haijianqinglegoufangzhe、kaifaqiyedezijinyali。

《tongzhi》yaoqiu，duiyudaikuangoumaisiming、hulishangpinzhufangdejuminjiating，shoutaofangzuidishoufubiliwei25％，ertaofangwei35％，ciqianfenbiewei30%、40%。

lingwai，zhufanggongjijinjiaocunrenhuoqipeiougoumaizizhuzhufangbingyibanlizhufanganjiedaikuande，kemeinianshenqingtiquyicizhufanggongjijintiqianchanghaigoufangdaikuanbenjin。zhufanggongjijindaikuanjiekuanrenyinjiatingshourufashengbianhuayingxianghaikuannenglishi，ketongguobanlizhufanggongjijindaikuanzhanqiyanzhangdaikuanqixian，jiangdiyuehaikuane。

guanyujiangdikaifaqiyechengben，《tongzhi》tichuduoxiangcuoshi，baokuotongyijingmairenzaicanyutudijingmaizhong，keyong“jiansuojifu”deyinxingbaohanjiaonajingmaibaozhengjin；jiakuaibaozhengjintuihaijiezou，tupaihuodongjieshuhou，yuanzeshangzaiciri12shizhiqianbanliwanbaozhengjintuihaishouxu；xinchurangshangzhudikuaizaihetongyuedingdetudichurangjinzhifuqixiannei，mianyuzhifulixi。

“ciqianxiangoufangsongdejichushangjinyibufangsong，suoyiyuanxiandefangsongbujieke，xuyaojinyibuyouhuadiaozhengfangdichanzhengce。quanmianfangsongshifeichangzhongyaodexinhao，yetixianlezhengcefangsongzaifangsongdedaoxiang。”yanyuejinrenwei，zhiyudanxinshichangchaozuo，anzhaomuqiandegongqiuguanxi，bushishichangdezhuyaomaodun。

长期低迷

shamenpinfanyouhuafangdichanzhengce，huoxuzhixiangshichangdezhangqidiweipanzheng。

“9·18xinzheng”fabuqian，shamenshichangjinglilebingdianshike。

keerruitongjishujuxianshi，jinniandi36zhou（9yue4ri-9yue10ri），shamenxinjianshangpinfangchengjiao1.15wanpingfangmi，huanbixiadie39.9%，weijinnianyilaizhouduchengjiaocidiwei，jingaoyuchunjiedangzhou。

“gexiangmuchengjiaoliangjunweitupogeweishu，loushizhuirubingjiao，mai6taoxinfangnengduoguan。”keerruizhichu。

“9·18xinzheng”duishichangdecuxiaoxiaoguojiaoweiyouxian。

zaishamencongshiershoufangdailixiaoshoushiduonian、xianweideyouyimendiandianzhangdelaixinggugaosushidaizhoubaojizhe，“‘9·18xinzheng’chulai，daowailoushihuoledagaibangeyue，youhuifudaowangchangdezhuangtai。”juqiguancha，daowaixiangoujiechuhou，mendianzixunliang、chengjiaoliangyousuotisheng，danzhengcelihaodechixuxingbuqiang，“zhengceshiyouliangmianxingde，dequeshifangleyibufengangxingxuqiu，youxiekehufanerjuedeyueshifangkaiyuebuganmai。”

guanwangqingxunonghou，chengjiaonanyifandan。

jukeerruitongji，9yueshamenyi、ershoushangpinzhuzhaichengjiaoliangweinengzhizhuxiahuataishi，gongchengjiao1901tao，huanbixiadie8.6%。qizhong，yishouzhuzhaichengjiaomianjiyue7.57wanpingfangmi，huanbixiadie10.8%，chengjiaojunjia38684yuan/pingfangmi，huanbixiadie6.7%；ershouzhuzhaichengjiaomianji12.49wanpingfangmi，huanbixiadie13.9%。

10yue，shamenxinfang、ershoufangchengjiaoliangshuangshuangshangsheng，danrengbujiquniantongqidechengjiaoliangshuiping。genjuzhugeshujuyanjiuzhongxinjianceshujuxianshi，10yueshamenxinjianshangpinzhuzhaichengjiaomianjiwei11.31wanpingfangmi，huanbishangzhang70.8%，tongbixiajiang28.8%；10yueershouzhuzhaichengjiao1392tao，huanbishangsheng17.8%，tongbixiajiang2.9%。

shichangmiwuweisan，kaifashangheershoumaijiazhinengjiangjiachuhuo。

“zheilianggeyueshamendekaifashangzhuyaotongguoyijiahuanliangdefangshilaishixianchengjiaoliangdezengzhang。”diyitaipingdaiweisifujiandiquzongjingliwujunxiangshidaizhoubaojizhebiaoshi。

zaichuantongyingxiaowangji“jinjiuyinshi”，shamenduogexiangmujiadayingxiaolidu，tuichugongdifang、yikoujia、tejiafangdengfangyuan，fuyishouqi5%、shoufufenqi10wanyuanqidengcuxiaoshouduan。

“henduoxiaoshoujinruzhonghouqidecunliangpan，shoujiagenqunianxiangbizuidinenggoujidao8zhezuoyoudekongjian。”wujuntoulu，ruguoyijianengliheziyuandamaijia，hainengjiyugengdaderanglikongjian，baokuosongchewei、songwuyefeideng。

ershoufangyijiakongjiandakai。jiezhi10yuedi，shamenzaishouyouxiaoguapaifangyuanzongliangchao5.5wantao，qieershouzhuzhaiguapaishurengzaizengzhang，gongguoyuqiuyanzhong，bufenyalidadefangdongjishoushuaimaixianxiangzengduo。

“xianzaiyaoxiangmaidiaofangzi，jueduiyaoshizhenggexiaoquzuibianyideyitao，caiyoudaikanjihui，jineryoukenengchengjiao，kehunengjieshoudejiagecaishichengjiaojia。”laixinggushuo。

shidaizhoubaojizhefaxian，fangjiaxianglaijiantingdeshamendaoneixuequfang，ershoufangguapaijiayijingyousuosongdong。

daoneimouzhimingxiaoxueduikoudeyixuequfangxiaoquyimingfangdong，zaizuijinlianggeyueliangcixiadiaoguapaijia，leijijiangjia132wanyuan，zuixinguapaidanjiayue5.6wanyuan/pingfangmi。kegongduibideshi，gaixiaoquzuixinchengjiaodeyitaofangyuanchengjiaodanjiayue6.7wanyuan/pingfangmi。

△haijing、xuequshidaoneiershoufangdezhuyaomaidian，shidaizhoubaojizhesheyu2022nian9yue

xinfangchengjiaolianghuifubujiyuqidiejiaershoushichangchuxianpaoshouchao，shamenyu11yue15rizaichuzhao。

“julishangcidaowaituichuxiangoubudaolianggeyuedeshijian，zheiciquanjingtuichuxiangou，bingqieduixiandaizhengcejinxinglemingxiandediaozheng。chufadeyinsuzhiyixi10yueshichangxiaxingchaochuyuqi，daowaituichuxiangouherenfangburendaidexiaoguobingbumingxian。”liyujiafenxirenwei。

wujunyijianlveyoubutong。“congshujulaikan，‘9·18xinzheng’duidaowaishichangchengjiaodedaidonghaishiyouxiexiaoguode，bufenyishouloupanxiaoliangyoulexianzhuzengzhang。weishenmedaoneigenjinjiechuxiangou？yifangmianshixiangyanxudaowaideshitou，jinyibudaidongdaoneishichang；lingyifangmianyeshuomingdaowaiqishimeiyoudadaoliangjiatishengdeyuqixiaoguo，kenenghaishixiwangjiadalidu，tizhendaoneijiage，yinweidaoneidefangjiabenshenshishamendezhongtou。”

11yue16ri，guojiatongjijugongbu2023nian10yuefen70gedazhongchengshishangpinzhuzhaixiaoshoujiagebiandongqingkuang。shamenxinjianshangpinzhuzhaixiaoshoujiagezhishutongbixiahua2.1%，ershouzhuzhaixiaoshoujiagezhishutongbixiahua5.5%。

乐观谨慎

shamendaoneijiechuxiangou，youyigebunenghushidebeijing——daoneijijiangyinglaixinfanggongyingchao。

jinrusijidu，daoneiduogechunxinpanrushihuodairushi，zaishou、daishoucunliangjiaoda。jukeerruitongji，dangqiandaoneizhulizaishouloupan8ge，keshoufangyuanchao2000tao，jiashangzhaoshangwanhuzhenjing、baolitianyue、baoliguomaotianqinheshidigongyuantodpuruidengloupandaipiyushoufangyuan2000duotao，zhuliloupanshijikeshou、daishoufangyuanchao4000tao。

daishouloupanfangmian，simingchunxinpanhubinlihezhonghaifenghuilishuangshuangqidongyixiangdengji，jinrukaipandaojishi；jinnian7yuedichurangdexinxiangmuyunqidongfangyejinrukaipanqiangxuanqi，3geloupandaishoufangyuanchao1000tao。

“hejixialai，daoneikeshou、daishoufangyuanchao5000tao，daoneishichangqiangkejingzhengyalishengji，jixufangkaizhengcexianzhi，yindaoyouxiaokehuruchang。”keerruibiaoshi。

daoneijiexianhou，shichangnengfouyouxiaoxiaohuagongying？duomingyeneirenshichileguanjinshentaidu。

zhugeshujuyanjiuzhongxingaojifenxishiguanrongxuerenwei，daoneidezhengtifazhanyaoxiangduilingxianyudaowai，fangjiashuipingyexiangduijiaogao，yincizaibencixiangouzhengcedeyouhuahou，gaishanxuqiujianghuidandangqitizhenzhuli，huojiangduishichangqingxudegaishanqidaojiaoweimingxiandexiaoguo。

keerruishamenjigoufenxishirenwei，congcunliangshichanglaikan，daoneinengqidaojujishengwenxiaoguodeloupanyouxian，nanyichufa“guodixiaoying”。daoneifangchangoumaizijinyalijiaoda，duiyuertao、santaogoumaikehueryan，fangdaililvgao，goufangchengbenjiaoda，cijirushijijixingyouxian。

“muqiandezhengce、shouduan，doushiyixieduanqixingwei，zhishibayuanxianleijidexuqiushifangchulai。”wujunrenwei，congzhangyuanlaikan，fangdichanshichangyaozouxiangpingwenjiankangfazhan，yaojiejuelianggewenti——goumailihexuqiu。

“guoqu20niantuidongzhongguofangdichanshichangzengzhangde，qishishitouzixuqiuhegangxingxuqiu，zhuyaoshitouzixuqiu。jingguozheiyilundiaozheng，touziquntiyijingzhubulichang，ergangxuquntimaifanggengduoshixinggensuicelve，zhuizhangshadie，hennanzhudongyindaoshichang。zheijiushiweishenmexianzaifangjiamingxianxiadie，gangxukehaizaiguanwangdeyuanyin。”wujunshuo。

wujunrenwei，muqiandezhengcebagoufanglujingdakaile，xianshouzhengce、xindaizhengcedengrengyouyidingdefangsongkongjian，yincizhengcexiaoguorengyoudaiguancha。“ruguoshichangshitounengbaochi，duimingnianhuishiyigezhongzhangqidelihao。”