文|半导体产业纵横
2023xiabannian,yidramhenand flashweidaibiaodecunchuqibaojiazhubuzhidiehuisheng。jinqi,nor flashyechengxianchumingxiandehuinuantaishi,gongyinglianrenshitoulu,2024nian1yue,yujinor flashjiagejiangshangzhang5%,bingbaochishangzhangtaishi,daodierjidu,zhangfujiangdadao10%。
guoqujinian,suizhezhenggebandaotishichangdebianhua,nor flashdegongxuhejiageyeshiqiqiluoluo。
2018 nian,nor flashshichangxuqiujiaoweipiruan,ergonghuoshangdechannengquezaichixutisheng,daozhidangniandejiagejinruxiaxingzhouqi。jingguoyiniandedimiqihou,nor flashjiagezai2019niandisanjidukaishihuisheng。congwanghong、huabanghezhaoyichuangxindeyingshouzengsuyenengkanchuzheiyiqushi,zheisanjiadeyingshouzengsujuncong2019niandierjidukaishihaozhuan,disanjidudeyingshouzengsurengzaitisheng,congneishiqi,nor flashshichangjinruleshangxingzhouqi。
dangshi,zhuyaozengzhangdonglishizhinengshoujiyongdeamoledhetddi,yijiwulianwangxiangguanyingyongdezengzhang。zaigongjiduan,meiguangdengdachangzhubudanchunor flash,kuochanyouxian,daozhigongxuquekouchixukuoda,shidenor flashjiagedafushangzhang。dangshi,cypress(yijingbeiyingfeilingshougou)hewanghongdengdachangdechannengbeidinggouyikong,jiaohuoqibeidafulazhang。
honghuodeshichangzai2020he2021nianjixubaochizhe,dandaole2022nian,tebieshixiabannian,quanqiudianzibandaotishichangjinruxiaxingzhouqi,dabufenxinpianyuanqijiandougongguoyuqiu,nor flashyeweinengxingmian,youyicijinruledimiqi。2022nian,gejiashancunchangshangdeyingshoudouchuxianlemingxianxiahua,yidongxingufenweili,gaigongsidangniannand flashchanpinyingshouwei7.08yiyuan,tongbizengzhang7.27%,ernor flashdeyingshouwei0.72yiyuan, tongbixiahua61.47%。
zheizhongdimideshichangzhuangkuangyizhidao2023xiabannian。
zheiyici,suizhequanqiushichangdefusu,nor flashyeyinglailexinyilunzengzhang,tebieshixinxingdeaibianyuanceshebeixuqiubuduanzengzhang,weinor flashkaipilexindezengzhangkongjian。
01、小而精的NOR Flash
nor flashshiyizhongjiyunormenjiegoudeshancun,norshiluojimendianluzhongde“huofei”men。nor flashjuyoubingxingfangwenjiegou,zheiyiweizhemeigecunchudanyuandouyouyigedizhi,keyizhijiefangwenrenhecunchudanyuan,zheishinor flashjuyoukuaisudesuijifangwennengli,shiyongyuzhixingdaimaheduquguanjianshuju。yunand flashxiangbi,nor flashjuyoujiaodidecunchumiduhejiaogaodechengben,danjuyouduqusudukuai、xinpianneizhixing(xip)dengyoudian,shiheyongzuozhixingdaimahecunchuxuyaodiyanchihegaokekaoxingdeguanjianshujuyingyong。nor flashdeyingyongfanweihenguang,baokuoshouji,pc,kechuandaidianzishebei,yijiqiche、anfang、gongkong、jizhan、wulianwangshebeideng。
changshangfangmian,wanghong、cypress、huabang、meiguanghezhaoyichuangxinshiquanqiuqianwudanor flashgongyingshang,zhanjuzhe92%yishangdeshichangfene。2017nian,suizhemeiguang、cypressxiangjituichudiduannor flashshichang,huabang、wanghong、zhaoyichuangxinzhujianzhanjunor flashdezhuyaoshichangfene。zaizhongguodaludiqu,zhuyaonor flashchangshangbaokuozhaoyichuangxin、purangufen、beijingjunzheng、dongxingufen、hengshuogufendeng。
02、存量应用市场
anzhaorongliangdaxiao,kejiangnor flashfenweisanlei:32mbyixiaweixiaorongliang,nenggoushixianjiandandedaimazhixinggongneng,zhuyaoyongyupczhuban、jidinghe、luyouqi、putonglanyaerji、amoled、tddi、kechuandaishebeiheanfangjiankongdengchanpin;32mb-128mbweizhongdengrongliang,nenggoushixianjiaoweifuzadechengxuzhixinggongneng,rutwserjizhongdejiangzaodenggaojigongneng;128mbyishangweidarongliang,shiyongyugongnengfuza、xuyaokuaisuqidong、kekaoxingyaoqiugaodechangjing,ru5gjizhan、gongkongheqichedianzi。
congjinxieniandefazhanqingkuanglaikan,xiaoronglianghezhongdengrongliangnor flashzhuyaoyongzaicunliangshichang,erdarongliangchanpinzhuyaoyongyuzengliangshichang。
congguoqujinian,tebieshi2015-2021niandeyingyongqingkuanglaikan,nor flashzaiamoled、twslanyaerjihetddiyingyongshichangshixianledafuzengzhang。zaizheijinianli,nor flashshichangguimobaochiwendingzengzhang,2021nianshichangguimodadao28.84yimeiyuan,tongbizengzhangle15.36%。
youyugongyiyuanyin,amoledcunzailiangdujunyunxinghecanxiangliangdananti,xuyaojinxingbuchang,buchangfangfafenweineibubuchanghewaibubuchang。neibubuchangdexiaoguobuhao,nanyijiejuecanxiangwenti;waibubuchangzejuyouxiangsujiegoujiandan,qudongsudukuaihebuchangfanweidadeyoudian,shishijiyingyongzhongdeshouxuan。waibubuchangshi,xuyaowaiguayikenor flash,yibimianamoledmianbandelanseguanghuisuishijianxiaotuidewenti。guoqujinian,amoledzaizhinengshoujizhongdeyingyongyuelaiyuepubian,zheijiudaidonglezhongduannor flashxuqiudezengzhang,qifuhezengsudadaole24%。
jucinno researchtongji,2021nian,zhongguoshichangzhinengshoujiamoledmianbanchuhuoyue6.68yipian,tongbizengzhang36.3%,duiyugaoduanshoujilaishuo,amoledyijingchengweibiaopeidexianshimianban,erqie,suizhechanpinjiagedebuduanxiajiang,amoledhaizaixiangdijiashoujilingyushentou。butongxiangsudeamoledmianban,suoxudenor flashrongliangbutong,full hdxuyao8mbchanpin,qhdzexushiyong16mb-32mbde,zheixienor flashdanjiazai0.2- 0.4meiyuanzhijian。
yuchuantongerjixiangbi,twslanyaerjigongnengjiaoduo,xuyaocunchugengduogujianhedaimachengxu,xuyaowaikuoyikechuanxingnor flash。yianzhuoshoujiyongtwserjiweili,yibancaiyong8mbhuo16mbdenor flash,suizhegongnengzengduo,xuyaoyongdao32mb、64mb、128mb,shenzhi256mbde。
jucounterpoint researchtongji,2021nian,quanqiutwserjixiaoliangwei3yige,tongbizengzhang24%,dailailechaoguo6yigenor flashxinpiandeshichangxuqiu,counterpoint researchyuce2020-2025niantwserjichuhuoliangdecagrda21%。yucitongshi,suoyongdenor flashrongliangbuduantisheng,liru,2019nianjiyugaotongpingtaidetwserjiyicaiyong32mb nor flashweizhu,er2021niandezuidashiyongrongliangyidadao128mb。bansuizherongliangdeshengji,xinpiandeaspyebaochizengzhang。
tddishichukongyuxianshiqudongjichengdesuoxie,tajiangyuanbenfenlideshoujichukongichexianshiiczhenghechenglesoc。youyutddichukonggongnengbianmasuoxurongliangjiaoda,xuyaowaiguayigenor flashjinxingcunchu,bingfuzhutddijinxingcanshudiaozheng。
03、增量应用市场
juvaluates reportstongji,2022nian,quanqiunor flashshichangguimoyuewei33yimeiyuan,weilai,yaoxiangbaochizengzhang,chulezaishangshudecunliangshichangbaochiwendingzengzhang,haixuyaozengliangshichangdejiasutuidong,tebieshi5gjizhan、qichedianzihezhinengkechuandaishebei。
xiamiankanyixiazheisandazengliangshichangdeqingkuang。
youyu5gjizhanyunxinghuanjingjiaoweiteshu(yunxingwendufanwei-40℃~105℃,zhishaobaozheng10nianyishangshouming),xiangyingdenor flashxuyaomanzugaorongliang+gaoxingneng+gaokekaoxingdegongyejibiaozhun。
zai5gjizhanzhong,xitongzaimeiciqidongshi,fpgahesocdouxuyaojinxingpeizhi。butongyunand flashhesdka,nor flashkeyizai5gshebeidechushixiangyingheqidongshitigonggenggaokekaoxinghegengdiyanshideqidongpeizhizhichi。nor flashfuzecunchufpgadepeizhiguochengkongzhi、chuanxingzhoubianjiekoutongxindengxinxi。yibanqingkuangxia,jizhanaau/bbuxuyaodazai6-10ge512mb-2gbdenor flash。
suizhequanqiu5gjianshebuduantuijin,duidarongliangnor flashdexuqiuyejiangchengxiankuaisuzengzhangtaishi。danshi,quanqiunengshengchan5gjizhanyongnor flashdechangshangbingbuduo,muqian,quanqiushengchan5gjizhandechangshang,dayueyoubachengxiangwanghongxiadingdan。zheizhongqingkuangxia,wulunshishichang,haishiduichangshanglaishuo,zheiyilingyudouyouhendadezengzhangkongjian。
qichedianzidekuaisuzengzhangjiangdaidongcheyongcunchuqixuqiudegenjin。qichezhongshiyongdecunchuqizhuyaobaokuodram、nand flashhenor flash,qizhong,nor flashzaiqicheyingyonglingyudezhanyoulvzaizhujiantigao,muqianyuewei15%。
youyunor flashkekaoxinggenghao,shidegaorongliangdenor flashzaiqichedianzizhongbeiguangfanyingyong,congzuichudecheyongguangboxuyao1mbdediduannor flash,fazhandaozhongkongxitongdazai128mb~256mbdechanpin。suizheyuelaiyueduodechuanganqihemcujichengdaoqichexitongzhong,gegongnengdanyuandeshuju、chengxucunchudouxuyaogenggaoxingnengdeshancun。qichexihuozhuchehouhuilijiguanbizhukongdianzixitong,ermeicifadongzexuyaokuaisuqidongadasxitongjiemian。chezaixitongdekuaisuqidongxuyaojubeikuaisuduqudaimadenengli,erzheizhengshinor flashsuoshanzhangde,jubeixiantianyoushi。
suizheqichezhinenghuashuipingdetisheng,adas、chezaiyibiaopan,yijiqitaqichedianzigongnengkuai,duinor flashdexuqiuliangyuelaiyueda。zaiadasxitongzhong,meigeshexiangtoudouxuyao1gehuoduogenor flashxinpian,pingjunmeigedecunchurongliangzai32-128mbzhijian,adasxitongzhongdexingchejilu、daohang、yingxiang、chedaopianyijingshidenggongneng,pubianxuyaocaiyong512mbdenor flash。gaoduanadasxitongxuyaopeizhi1gbde,shenzhigenggaorongliangdenor flash。
cheguijixinpianduiqiwendingxinghekekaoxingdeyaoqiuhengao,nor flashtongyangruci。chezaiyingyongduinor flashdegongzuowenduqujianyaoqiuzhishaodadao-40℃-105℃,haiyaomanzuzhuruaec-q100decheguirenzheng。cheyongnor flashdekekaoxingbixudadao0dppm,yuangaoyuxiaofeileiyingyongde100-200dppm。yinci,yuelaiyueduodechangshangzaixianggaoduannor flashchanpinxianzhuanyi,henzhongyaodeyigeyuanyinjiushikandaoleweilaiqicheyingyongdejudashichang。
zhinengkechuandaishebeijiangzaiweilaibaochiqiangjingdezengzhangtaishi,yuji2025nianchuhuoliangjiangdadao8yi,fuhezengsuchaoguo10%。zhinengkechuandaishebeitongyanghuiduinor flashchanshengdaliangxuqiu。tongchangqingkuangxia,zheixieshebeixuyaoshoujiyonghudeduozhongshuju,liruweizhi、xinlvxinxideng。lingwai,haixuyaoxiangyonghuchuanshuwaibushuju,ruyinle、shipin、tonghuadeng,zheixiedoulibukainor flashdezhichi。
yizhinengshouhuanweili,tongchangqingkuangxia,gaoduanzhinengshoubiaodesocmianjibijiaoda,nenggouzhichinor flashgongnengneizhi。xiangduieryan,zhinengshouhuandezhukongxinpianxingnengjiaoruo,erqiesocmianjijiaoxiao,buzuyizhichinor flashgongnengneizhi,xuyaowaiguanor flash。
ar/vryeshiyidazengzhangdian。ar/vrduijisuanyaoqiuxiangdanggao,xiangdangyuyitaixiaoxingpcji,xingnengjiaogaodear/vrshebeitongchangxuyaopeizhiyigerongliangwei64mb-128mbdenor flash,yongyucunfangar/vrdeqidongxitongdaima。liru,vrshebeioculus rift cv1zaitouxianzhubanzhongjiupeiyouhuabangde64mb nor flash,arshebeimagic leap onezhujilightpackzhongzepeiyoucypressde128mbchanpin。
weilai,wulianwang(iot)jiqixiangguanshebeijiangwuchubuzai,iotshebeishuliangchixuzengzhangyouliyunor flashshichangbaochiwendingzengzhang。duoshuiotshebeidouxuyaojubeikuaisufanying、digonghaodetexing,qieduoshuyingyongchangjingdoubuxuyaodaliangcunchuneirong,zheizhengyunor flashdetexingpipei。weilai,nor flashyouwangtidaiiotshebeizhongdenand flash。
04、结语
jingguoqianjiniandekuaisuzengzhang,nor flashshichangzai2022nianjinruhandong,gedachangshangzi2022xiabanniankaishizhubujianchan,yizhidao2023xiabannian,kucuncaidafujiangdi,qianyiduanshijian,yejiekucunshuiweipingjunwei3~4zhou,jinqi,suizhegezhongzhongduanxuqiuhuisheng,shideoemhexitongchangshangdenor flashkucunjinyibuxiajiangdaoliangzhouzuoyou。zaizheizhongqingkuangxia,cong2024nian1yuekaishi,changshangshibizengjiakucun,zheihuituishengnor flashdebaojia。
jinru2024nianyihou,wulunshizaizhinengshouji、amoledmianban、twslanyaerjidengcunliangshichang,haishiqichedianzi、ar/vrdengzengliangshichang,xuqiudoukaishihuinuanhuofangliang。lingwai,daredeaixitongheyingyonghuizai2024nianjixuhuobao,tebieshibianyuancehezhongduanaishebei,duinor flashdexuqiulianghuizengjia,zheileiyingyonghuidaidongmeitaishebeidazaidenor flashyongliangshengji,rucongxianyoude64mb,zengjiadao256mb。
zaizhengtishichangxuqiuzengzhangdedaidongxia,nor flashshichangdejueduishuliangzengzhangdetongshi,qixiangduifeneyehuitisheng,tebieshizaicheyonglingyu,tayouwangfenshidramhenand flashdefene,zaiyuanyou15%dejichushangjinyibutisheng。
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