文 | DoNews 曹双涛
编辑 | 杨博丞
zaiwangyiyoudao“ziyue”jiaoyudamoxingchuangxinchengguofabuhuishang,qichuletuichuguoneishougejiaoyudamoxing“ziyue”2.0banbenwai,tongshihaifabujiyudamoxingyanfadesandachuangxinyingyongjiyikuanzhinengyingjianxinpin——aijiatingjiaoshi“xiaoplaoshi”、youdaosudu、xunirenkouyusijiaohi echo 2.0、youdaoaixuexijix20。
juxi,xiaoplaoshijiangshoufadazaiyoudaoaixuexijix20shang。qiehechuantongxuexijibutongdeshi,x20jiangxuexiji、xuelianjihexueshengzhuanshudiannaoyuyiti,shouchuangle“sanheyi”moshi。
duiyuwangyiyoudaoqieruaixuexijisaidaoyebunenglijie,shuangjianzhengceluodihou,wangyiyoudaosuiyizhizhuanxingzhinengjiaoyuyingjianleichanpin,danqichanpinyizhiweiraozairucidianbi、diandubi、tinglibaodengyingyuleichanpinshang。erchanpinxiandexiangduidanyi,rangwangyiyoudaojinjinianyingshouchixuxiahua,shizhongwufazhaodaowendingdeyinglifangshi。yinci,wangyiyoudaopoqiexuyaoyikuanbaopin,laizhengjiudimideyeji。
图源:百度网易有道财报
shouzaikubunengkuhaizi,zaiqiongbunengqiongjiaoyuyijishuangjianzhengceyingxiang,jinliangnianxuexijishentoulvchixutisheng。jishizaileisiyuanhuishengjieshoushixiangzhenyijideshichangzhong,bufenyidongyingyetingzhongyenengkandaoxuexijideshenying。
《2022nianzhongguojiaoyuzhinengyingjianxingyebaogao》xianshi,xuexijipingjiezheshiyingzaijiaxuexichangjing、shentoulvgaodengtedianchengweijiaoyuzhinengyingjianzhongdejingzhengzhongdian,jiaoyuzhinengyingjiansaidaozengzhangqianlijuda,yujijinnianshichangguimojinqianyiyuan。
guangkuodeshichangqianjingxia,yerangsaidaoshangxiangguanqiyezhuandepenmanboman。yikedaxunfeiweili,muqiankedaxunfeishourulaizijiaoyulingyu、kaifangpingtaijixiaofeizheyewu、zhihuichengshi、yunyingshang、zhihuiqiche、zhihuiyiliao、zhihuijinrongdengqigefangxiang。
dankedaxunfei2023nianbannianbaoxianshi,jiaoyuchanpinhefuwu、kaifangpingtaishouruzaikedaxunfeizongyingshouzhonghejizhanbijiejin50%,zhinengjiaoyuyingjianzhujianzhichengqikedaxunfeideweilai。
图源:科大讯飞
suizhe2023niandamoxingdekuaisufazhan,yikedaxunfei、wangyiyoudao、baidu、aliweidaibiaodehulianwanggongsi,heyidushulang、zuoyebang、xueersiweidaibiaodek12xiangguangongsi,junzaijiasutuidongxuexijihedamoxingdechangjingronghe。
ruxueersixpad2 proxiliexuexiji,yixueersijiuzhangdamoxingzuowei“aixinpian”;baidutuichudexiaoduqinghexuexishouji,dazai“xiaodulingjidamoxing”,kedaxunfeituichudeaixuexijit20dazaixunfeixinghuodamoxing。
rujuchangshangzengduo,rangdangqiandamoxingxuexijiyinglaineijuanhua、gongnengtongzhihua。runianji+banben+xueke+jiezhuaipigaizuoye、chaloubuque、xitituijian+huyanmoshijihushidamoxingxuexijidebiaopei。
chumianduiyigegaoduneijuandeshichang,xiaoshouqudaobuzu、xianjinliuduanqi,yijihouxuxingyekenengchuxiandejiagezhan,zheirangx20chengqiquancundexiwang,bangzhuwangyiyoudaokaipixinweilai,mianlinbuxiaodetiaozhan。
一、大模型学习机,如何打动更多家长的心?
hechangshangbujudamoxingxuexijixiangduijijingouchengmaodundeshi,shimianshangdamoxingxuexijixiaoliangkanyou。wangyiyoudaofabuhuijieshude24xiaoshinei,qitianmaohejingdongguanfangqijiandianx20yudingrenshufenbiewei4renhe95ren,shuangpingtaidingdanliangjinzaibaitai。
xueersixpad2 proxiliexuexijizaitianmaohejingdongguanfangqijiandianzhongpinglunliangjunbuzubaitiao、pinglunjiaoshaodebeihou,cemianfanyingchuchanpinxiaoliangbujia。
dazaiwenxinyiyandamoxingdexiaoduzhinengxuexijip20 prohekedaxunfeit20xuexijijin14tianzaidouyinpingtai,rijunxiaoliangfenbiewei52taihe78tai。huanyanzhi,damoxingxuexijizaijiazhangduanrengchuzaidishentoujieduan。
dixiaoliangdebeihou,biaomianshangkanshidamoxingxuexijigaoangdeshoujiaquantuilejiazhang。youdaoaixuexijix20shoujia5999yuanqi,kedaxunfeit20xilie7299yuanqi,xueersixpad2 proxiliegaoda8599yuanqi。
danruoshidamoxingxuexijizhennengtigaozijiahaizichengji,jishijiazhangduidamoxingbulejieqiejiagegao,tamenyeyuanyiweiqimaidan,dandamoxingxuexijixiangzhenzhengtigaohaizichengji,kongpahaixuchixunuli。
laizianhuishengfuyangshimouxiaoxueyuwenlaoshizhumin(huaming)gaosudonews,dianzichanpinbaofaniandaichengzhangde10hou,muqianzizhilixiangduijiaocha。dushu、wanchengzuoyeguochengzhongruowurenjiandu,tamendezuoyekeyiyituozaituo,shenzhihanshujiaqianyitianwanshanggangongqijibenshichangtaihua。
suishuoshimianshangdamoxingxuexijiduidouyin、kuaishou、youxijinxingxianzhi,danjiazhangyiranhuijuededamoxingxuexijijiushidianzichanpin,ranghaiziyizhishiyongdianzichanpin,tamenbujinxingjiandudehua,haizixuexixiaolvyirandixia。jiruci,burubamaidamoxingxuexijidefeiyong,sixiajihaizibaoban,zheibijiqigengjiakaopu。
zhuminyetanyan,zijijingchangquanjiejiazhangranghaiziduoduzhizhishu,shaoyongdianzichanpin。bijingdushudeguochengzhong,keyibuduanqifaxiaoxueshengdexiangxiangli、chuangzaoli,zheiduixiaoxueshengxiezuojiqizhongyao。dandamoxingxuexijizhongdezuowenpigai,queeshalehaizidexiangxiangli。erqiezheiyiguochengzhibiaobuzhiben,ruohaizibuchixuwanchengshenhoudeyuedujilei,kaoshizhongdezuowenhennanhuodegaofen。
qier,yichatgptweidaibiaoderenleifankuiqianghuaxuexi(rlhf)suanfa,duiyuyixiezhongfuxingjigaodegongzuo,kejingguofanfudixunlianjidaoyonghuzuiyoujie。k12jiaoyuzhongdeyuwen、yingyudengwenzileixiangguanxuekedamoxinghuoxuhuiyouyouyibiaoxian。
zaixiaoshengchu、zhongkao,youqishiwenkeleigaokaozhong,yuwenhennanlakaichengji,shuxuequeshilakaichengjideguanjian。ranershuxuedeluojisiweituilinenglihejisuannengli,bingbushikaodamoxingjinxingshujuweiyangjikewanchengde。ruwomenrangxunfeixinghuojisuangaozhongshuxuechangjiandeyuanzhuitimu,nanduxiangduijiaoxiaoqieweisongfentidediyiwen,xunfeixinghuodaanzhijiebaocuo。
图源:讯飞星火官网
dierwenzhongxunfeixinghuosuijichuwanzhengdejiexiguocheng,danqijichudedianpshizhongzaix=-2yundonghezhengquedaandianpshizhongzaix=-1shangyundongxiangbi,zaicicuowu。lvlvchucuoxia,youhetanrangjiazhangweidamoxingxuexijimaidanni?
womenjiangtongyangdewentipaojixueersijiuzhangdamoxinghou,qidiyiwensuihuidazhengque,dandierwenyiranchuxiancuowu。shishishang,shuxueyuyan“qianzibaitai”qieshifenchouxiang。yinci,xiangrangdamoxingwanquanlijietiyi,lianxishangxiawengengshinanrudengtian。
图源:学而思九章大模型
tongshi,suizhexueduandezengjia,shitibujinyaojiyu“guiding”deshuxueyuanli,haiyaoshikeluoshidaokebiaoshang,erjiyushujuchanshengdedamoxingruguobuyushijujin,ziranwufajichuzhengquedaan。
erqiewangyiyoudaoxiangjiaoyuyoushang,yemianlinzhebuzu。yifangmian,wangyiyoudaozhenzhengyoushikemuweiyingyu,zheidiancongshangwensuoshudewangyiyoudaozhuanxinghoudeyingjianchanpinzhengtiyiyingyuleichanpinweizhucemianyenengkanchu。shuxuebenjiubuzhanyoushi,diejiadangqiandamoxingtuilinenglizhengtishangxutigao,wangyiyoudaoruhebaozhengxiaoplaoshizaifudaochugaozhongjuyounandudeshuxutishi,buhuichucuoni?
lingyifangmian,shuangjianzhengceshangweiluodiqian,gedapeixunjigouweizhengqiangshengyuan,xuanchuanyuzuixihuanshiyongmingxiaomingshi。zheizhongxuanchuandebeihou,yeshijiazhangpubianrenweimingxiaomingshiduizhongnandian、yikaodiandebakongshanggengjiayange,jiaoxuejingyangengjiafengfu。damoxingxuexijichangshangshenancili,zhijiejiangxianxiapeixunjigoudexuanchuanyongdaoxianshang。
xueersixpad2 prozaiqixuanchuanyemianzhongjiuqiangdiaoqineirongziyan、kechengyouxueersimingshiluzhi。erwangyiyoudaobuguanruhexuanchuanxiaoplaoshiduomelihai,xingxiangkeruhedingzhi。danxiaoplaoshizuoweiyigexunirenwu,meiyoumingxiaomingshibeishuxia,qizhendenenggoudadongjiazhangdexinma?
二、销售渠道不足,网易有道如何打动05后少年的心?
xueshengzuoweidamoxingxuexijidezuizhongshiyongzhe,riyichengzhangqilaide05hou,yuanbiwaijiexiangxiangdehaiyaochengshu。tamengouwushichugengqinglaiyuzijizuojuecewai,yegengzhuzhongxianxiatiyan。qieduiyuxuexijilaishuo,benshenjiuxujianlizaijiaohaodetiyanshang,cainengcuchengjiaoyi。jiyuci,changshangbixuyouwanzhengdexianxiaqudao,cainengyinghe05houxueshengdexuqiu。
danheyoushangxiangbi,xianxiaqudaoqueshiwangyiyoudaodeduanban。rububugaoguanwangxianshi,bubugaojiaoyudianzizaiquanguogeshangchang、chaoshi、shudianhetongxunzhuanyingdiansheyouchaoguo18000gezhongduanxiaoshouwangdian,zaigeshengquzhuyaochengshisheyouchaoguo400jia4sfuwutiyandian,fuwufugaizhongguodalugechengxiang。
“jiaoyuzhinengyingjiandiyigu”dushulangmiaozhunxiachenshichang,qizhaogushuxianshi,2019nianweiyusanxianjiyixiachengshidexiaoshoudianshumuzhanxiaoshouzongdianshude68.6%,2021niantishengzhi70.9%。
kedaxunfeixianxiaqudaosuibujibubugao、dushulangdengchuantongchangshang,danketongguozhiqiande2gjiaoyufuwu,nenggouhenkuaiqierudaoxuexiaodekehoufudaoguocheng。yihaoweilaiweidaibiaodek12peixunjigou,chuyouxianchengdechangdiwai,yeyoufengfudejiazhangziyuan。
danwangyiyoudaoruoxiangbuqixianxiaqudaoduanban,youhetanrongyi?duibiaozhinengshoujixingyelaikan,muqianchuovyigoujianwanzhengdesheng→di→xian→zhenzhujianfenfaqudao,qitashoujichangshangxiangzhenshichangjunshikongbaiquyu。danovwanzhengqudaodebeihou,shizeshidangnianbubugaodianzishidaidequyudailishang,shuangfangliyikunbangyijiu。
jishikaolvdaomuqianguoneizhongxibuxiangzhenyijideshichang,xueshengshengyuanxiangduijiaoshao,bukaolvzheiyiqudao。dansheng→di→xianzhujianfenfaqudaodegoujian,yexuwangyiyoudaotourugengduozijin、renyuanzhichi,zheiduiwangyiyoudaodexianjinliuyoutichugenggaoyaoqiu。
ruowangyiyoudaobuzijianqudao,hedushulangyiyangxuanzejiamengluxian。danxianxiaqudaoshangbenjiushizhuixunliyizuidahuadeshangren,wangyiyoudaodanyidechanpinxianduijiamengshangshifougouchengxiyinlini?
gengshencenglaikan,xianshangqudaozuodeshiliuliangshengyi,xianxiaqudaozuodequeshirenqingshigu,renxingshengyi。xiangjiaoyulingshizhekoudian、kafei、xinchayindengyetai,shengenghulianwangxingyeduoniandewangyiyoudao,xianxiashengyijuefeishizishensuoshanzhangde。
xianxiaqudaobuzu,yiweizhewangyiyoudaojiangdianshangpingtaihuodarenyouzhegenggaoyilai。danzaidangqiandianshangpingtaizaidijiahunzhanzhong,zheishifouhuirangwangyiyoudaozaihepingtaihuodarenhezuoguochengzhong,sangshidingjiaquan,jineryinfajiagetixidewenluanni?
huoxuwangyiyoudaoketuichuruzhibojianmianfeitiyan、xiantiyan、houfukuanfangshidengfangshi,jiejuexianxiaqudaodeduanban。danmuqiandamoxingxuexijidegaoshoujia,hedouyinzhibojianzhuiqiudijiawanquanshimaodunde,jinerdaozhidamoxingxuexijizaidouyinzhibojianzhuanhualvjidi。rukedaxunfeit20xilieduokuanlianjie,yijixiaodupingbanxuexijixiliedouyinzhibojianzhuanhualvbuzu3%。
kaolvdaodangqiandouyinzhibojiangaotouliu、gaotuikuanlv、gaoyunyingchengben,wangyiyoudaoruoxiangkaozhibojianchixudaidongx20xuexijixiaoliangtisheng,qibiranyaofuchugenggaodetuiguangchengben,yijijieshoudiroi,qigaocengyoushifouyuanyini?
gengshencenglaikan,xianshangqudaojuebukenengchengweipinpaidehuchenghe。buguanshidangnianyikaoxianshangbaohuodexinxiaofei,huoshirujindouyinzhibojianwanfayichengshuhua、tixihua、xiangduibiaozhunhua,junjuedingxianshangqudaodemoshijuyoujiqiangdefuzhixing。xiaoshouqudaobuzu,x20youyaoruhechengweizhenzhengdebaopinni?
三、现金流短缺下,网易有道如何应对行业变化?
conghouxulaikan,buguanshiwangyiyoudaoduidamoxingdechixuxunlian,buduantigaoqishuchunengli,huoshibuqixianxiaqudaoduanban,zaihuoshixianshangpingtaichixutuiguang,bangdingdaiyanrentigaox20zhimingdu,junxuwangyiyoudaotourugengduoxianjinliu。
wangyiyoudao2023niansanjiducaibaoxianshi,gaijiduwangyiyoudaochiyoudexianjin、xianjindengjiawu、shouxianzhixianjin、dingqicunkuanheduanqitouziwei3.6yiyuan。youxiandexianjinliuxia,wangyiyoudaoyunyinglirunlvwei-3.7%,shangweishixianzifuyingkui。qiegaijiduhetongfuzhaiwei9.316yi,xianjinliuyalijuda。
suishuociqianwangyiyoudaohuodewangyiduoxiangcaiwuzhichi,rubaokuo8.78yiyuandeduanqidaikuan,jigenju3yimeiyuandexunhuandaikuananpaideyu2027nian3yue31ridaoqide8600wanmeiyuandezhangqidaikuan。dan2023nian12yueyouxixingyexinguiyijiangaofabuhou,wangyiganggugujiachixubaodie。
qiexiangjiaoyutengxuneryan,xinguiduiwangyiyouxiyewuyingxiangkenenggengda。muqianyouxishouruzaiwangyizongyingshouzhongzhanbi70%—80%,haiwaizhanbiyuezai10%。huanyanzhi,bentuyouxishouruzhanwangyizongshourude65%,tengxunzheiyishuzizhanbiwei22%。ruohouxuyouxixinguizhenzhengluodi,wangyizishenshourushoudaoyanzhongchongjixia,qijidaoyoudaodezhichiyeshishuyouxian。
gengxianshidewenti,x20houxuhuojiangmianlinxingyegengweicanliedejiagezhan。xianjieduanzhinengjiaoyuyingjianchanpinpubiancunzai“gaojiadipei”deqingkuang,jihuquanbuxuexijichanpindouzichengjuyouaixuexinengli,danshichangjiagequjiancong1000duoyuandaoshangwanyuanbudengdechanpin。suizhexiaomidengxingjiabiwanjiade“ruju”,yijichangshangweizhengqianggengduoshichangfene,shuifenjiangzhujianbeijichu,jiageyouwanghuiguilixingjieduan。
bujinruci,2023niangedachangshangzaidamoxingdexunlianshangjuntouruzhongjin。weijuntandamoxingyanfachengben,changshangzhiyouzaihuoqugengduoyonghudejichushang,cainengzhujiantansuochudamoxingdeyinglifangshi。jiyuci,bupaichuxianyoudamoxingxuexijichangshangjiangtuichugengduojuyouxingjiabidedamoxingxuexiji,yiwanchengyonghudejileihexunlianshuju。
dangjiagezhanlailinhou,x20ruobujiangjia,henrongyichuxiankucungaoqi,qieshouxianyuyonghushujubuzu,damoxingnengliwufatigao。ruogensuijiangjia,qibiranhuiduilirungouchengchongji。liangnanzhixia,wangyiyoudaoyouyaozuohejuezeni?
结语:
bukefourendeshi,suizhechangshangzaidamoxinghejiaoyushangdeshendutansuo,huoxuweilaiyenengjiangguoneijiaoyutuizhixindegaodu。danwangyiyoudaoxiangyaokaodamoxingxuexijizhengjiudimideyejihegujia,zheitiaoluxiangyaopaotong,yiranzhongrendaoyuan。
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