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2024nianshangyedichanxingyedashiruhe?shujuzhongxin、yanglaodichanqianjingkeqi

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2024年商业地产行业大势如何?数据中心、养老地产前景可期

shuzidichanchengweifangdichanyezhuhetouzizhedeshouyaotouzimubiao。

图片来源:图虫创意

界面新闻记者 | 王婷婷

2023nianshangyedichanyinglaifusu,danyinxingyeluojishengbianqiejingjibuquedingxingzengjia,xindeyinianrengjiangmianlinduozhongtiaozhan。

duijingjizhuangkuangdedanyoujiangyujinnianhezhihoujixuchengweiyingxiangquanqiufangdichanlingdaozhejuecedezhuyaoyinsu。youyuyingshouyuqilianxudiernianxiajiang,bushaofangdichanlingyuqiyeshouxicaiwuguandui2024niandeyunyingjihuayechigengshenshentaidu。

1yue31ri,yifendeqinduiquanqiudaxingfangdichangongsihetouzigongsigongji750weishouxicaiwuguandediaoyanbaogaoxianshi,jingjifanghuanyinyoujinyibuyingxiangxingyeshouruhezhichu,youduodasichengshoufangzhebiaoshijiangzai2024nianjinyibuxuejiankaizhi。duibiliangnianqian,jinyou6%deshoufangzheyoucidasuan。

qizhong,yuangong(49%)hebangongkongjian(46%)kaizhisuojianshishouyaojucuo。

hongguanjingjiyinsuhewangluofengxianchengwei2024niandeshouyaoguanzhudian。diaoyanbaogaozhichu,quanqiushoufangzhedouduiwangluofengxianyuefadanyou,renweiqizuiyoukenengyingxiangcaiwubiaoxian。ersuizhejianzhuzhongyuelaiyueduocaiyongzhinengjishu,fangdichanxingyexianzaimianlinzichancengmiandecuiruoxing。

利率上升和资本成本增加是受访者最关心的问题。利率上升的关注度按年增幅最大,而债务成本则排在了第五位。亚太地区对于大量赎回/短期流动性问题,区域政治不稳定及气候相关监管行动比较关注。

2024nian,touzizheduixingyedeshichangyuqihetouzimubiaofashengjiegouxingbianhua。

deqinzuixindiaoyanbaogaoxianshi,yujixingyejibenmianjiangehuadeshoufangzhebilishangshengzhideqinzi2018niankaishidiaochayilaizuigao,yujizibenchengbenzhuangkuangehuadeshoufangzhebilicong2023niande38%shengzhijinniande50%,yujizibenkeyongxingehuadeshoufangzhebilizecong40%zengzhi49%。

lingwai,yeyou40%deshoufangzheyujishichangjiaoyihuodongjiangehua,40%deshoufangzheyuji2024niankongzhilvjixuehua。

xindeyinian,shuzidichanchengweifangdichanyezhuhetouzizhedeshouyaotouzimubiao。erjiaoquheshiquxieziloupaimingzi2023nianyilaidafuxiajiang,2024niandetouzimubiaopaimingxiajiangzhidiqihedishi,fanyingchuqiyechixunuliyingduihunhebangongqushi。

bushuyu“sidahexin”(jixiezilou、lingshoudichan、gongyedichanheduohuzhuzhai)detidaixingzichanjihuijianshouqinglai,qizhongyousanleixianyichengweishoufangzhedewudashouxuanmubiao。

duhuzulin(sfr)hejianzaozulin(btr)leizhuzhaishangshengwuwei,2024nianpaimingdier,jinsuiqihoudeshiyanglaodichan(disan)heshengmingkexuedichan(diwu)。

duiyuzheixietidaixingzichanyuqixianghao,deqinfenxi,riyizengzhangdeshuzifuwuxuqiutuidongshujuzhongxinxuqiu,duhuzhuzhaizulinyouzhuyumibufudannengliwenti,errenkoulaolinghuajiangtuidongyanglaodichanfazhan,weilaijuyouyidingtouzixiyinli。

“yujiyiidcshujuzhongxinweidicengzichandegongmureitsdetuichujiangcujinshuzizichandeliangxingxunhuan。yicunliangzhuzhaigaijiantishengyanglaodichangongjiliang,bingzuizhongtongguojinrongchanpintuichu,gengfuhedangqianshichanggefangdexuqiu。”

jiuzhongguoeryan,gongyewuliu、zhangzugongyu、jiudian、lingshoudengzichanweilaiqianjingyiyouwangchixugaishan。

yigongyewuliuweili,2024nianzhongguoneidijingjijiakuaifusudaidongmaoyizengzhang,wuliuhecangchushichanghuijixufusu。bingqie,cangchuwuliuzichandezhinenghua、lvsehua、zhuanmenhuaduixiangguanzichanjiazhitishengdezhongyaoxingyezhengzaixianxian。

guoqu25nianxingchengdeyigaoganggan、gaozhouzhuanweibiaozhidechuantongzhuzhaikaifamoshiyijingyiqubufan,“zushoubingju”jiangzaiweilaijiaozhangyiduanshijianneichengweizhuzhaishichanggongjiduandezhuyaozhengce。shouciyingxiang,zulinzhufang(baokuobaozhangxingzulinzhufangheshichanghuazhangzugongyu)degongjiliang(baokuoxinjianhegaijian)jiangchipingshenzhichaoguoshangpinfang。

gengguanjiandeshi,gongmureitsjiqigoujiandechanpinshengtaiquanweibaozhangxingzulinzhufangtigongletouzidaotuichudebihuan,daidongzulinzhufangdejiaoyishichang。deqincheng,zaiweilaishidangshiji,gongmureitskeyituozhandaoshouyilvgenggaodeshichanghuazhangzugongyulingyu。

shangyelingshoudezengzhangfusuqushizaixindeyinianhuiyanxu。youqishishoupixiaofeileigongmureitsdeluxuchenggongfaxing,jiangyouzhuyujifalingshouwuyechiyourenjiyunyingshangtishengzichanguanlinenglidejijixing,yeweilingshouwuyemaodinggongkaideshichangjiazhi,tishenglingshouwuyedeliudongxing。

jiemianxinwenhuoxi,1yue31ri,shouzhongguoneixushichangdeqianlihetouzijiazhixiyin,hanguoshizhuanglingshouyilianjituanyuzhongdong、beifeidiqudeshishanghejiajuyongpinlingshoushangbrand for less(bfl)jituanzaishanghaiqianshuxieyichenglihezigongsi,jiangyizhongguoshichangweiqidian,tuozhanquanqiuchengshixingaotelaisi、yougoushangchengdengxiangmu。

jiudianshi2023nianzhongguoxinjinremenzichan,shichangjiaoyipoweihuoyue。deqinbaogaocheng,yiqinghoujingneiyoushouduozhongyinsuyingxiangxunmenghuifu,cujinjiudiandechuzulvjifangjiazaiduanqineihuisheng,yedaidongzhuyaochengshijiudiandejiaoyi。

“danjiudianpubianmianlindechengbengao、shouyilvdi、tuichulujingshaodezhangqiwentibingweijiejue。”

“2024nian,quanqiufangdichanxingyeyouwangtongguowengugenjizhonghuofazhandongli。”deqinzhongguofangdichanxingyeshenjiyujianzhengyewuzhuguanhehuorenniminbiaoshi,muqianshichangduiyufangdichanxingyejiankangzhuangkuanghefazhanqianjingkanfabuyi,fangdichanxingyelingdaozhexuyaoqianghuajichu,tongshizhongsufangdichansuoyouquanhetouzimoshi。

shouyaogongzuobaokuozhudongdiaozhengfangdichantouzizuhejiegouhecaiqufengxianhuanshicuoshi,tuijinlvsexingdonghetuotanjucuoyijijiezhushuishoujilichuangzaojiazhi,tuidongyingyunhejishuzhuanxing。

未经正式授权严禁转载本文,侵权必究。

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2024年商业地产行业大势如何?数据中心、养老地产前景可期

shuzidichanchengweifangdichanyezhuhetouzizhedeshouyaotouzimubiao。

图片来源:图虫创意

界面新闻记者 | 王婷婷

2023nianshangyedichanyinglaifusu,danyinxingyeluojishengbianqiejingjibuquedingxingzengjia,xindeyinianrengjiangmianlinduozhongtiaozhan。

duijingjizhuangkuangdedanyoujiangyujinnianhezhihoujixuchengweiyingxiangquanqiufangdichanlingdaozhejuecedezhuyaoyinsu。youyuyingshouyuqilianxudiernianxiajiang,bushaofangdichanlingyuqiyeshouxicaiwuguandui2024niandeyunyingjihuayechigengshenshentaidu。

1yue31ri,yifendeqinduiquanqiudaxingfangdichangongsihetouzigongsigongji750weishouxicaiwuguandediaoyanbaogaoxianshi,jingjifanghuanyinyoujinyibuyingxiangxingyeshouruhezhichu,youduodasichengshoufangzhebiaoshijiangzai2024nianjinyibuxuejiankaizhi。duibiliangnianqian,jinyou6%deshoufangzheyoucidasuan。

qizhong,yuangong(49%)hebangongkongjian(46%)kaizhisuojianshishouyaojucuo。

hongguanjingjiyinsuhewangluofengxianchengwei2024niandeshouyaoguanzhudian。diaoyanbaogaozhichu,quanqiushoufangzhedouduiwangluofengxianyuefadanyou,renweiqizuiyoukenengyingxiangcaiwubiaoxian。ersuizhejianzhuzhongyuelaiyueduocaiyongzhinengjishu,fangdichanxingyexianzaimianlinzichancengmiandecuiruoxing。

利率上升和资本成本增加是受访者最关心的问题。利率上升的关注度按年增幅最大,而债务成本则排在了第五位。亚太地区对于大量赎回/短期流动性问题,区域政治不稳定及气候相关监管行动比较关注。

2024nian,touzizheduixingyedeshichangyuqihetouzimubiaofashengjiegouxingbianhua。

deqinzuixindiaoyanbaogaoxianshi,yujixingyejibenmianjiangehuadeshoufangzhebilishangshengzhideqinzi2018niankaishidiaochayilaizuigao,yujizibenchengbenzhuangkuangehuadeshoufangzhebilicong2023niande38%shengzhijinniande50%,yujizibenkeyongxingehuadeshoufangzhebilizecong40%zengzhi49%。

lingwai,yeyou40%deshoufangzheyujishichangjiaoyihuodongjiangehua,40%deshoufangzheyuji2024niankongzhilvjixuehua。

xindeyinian,shuzidichanchengweifangdichanyezhuhetouzizhedeshouyaotouzimubiao。erjiaoquheshiquxieziloupaimingzi2023nianyilaidafuxiajiang,2024niandetouzimubiaopaimingxiajiangzhidiqihedishi,fanyingchuqiyechixunuliyingduihunhebangongqushi。

bushuyu“sidahexin”(jixiezilou、lingshoudichan、gongyedichanheduohuzhuzhai)detidaixingzichanjihuijianshouqinglai,qizhongyousanleixianyichengweishoufangzhedewudashouxuanmubiao。

duhuzulin(sfr)hejianzaozulin(btr)leizhuzhaishangshengwuwei,2024nianpaimingdier,jinsuiqihoudeshiyanglaodichan(disan)heshengmingkexuedichan(diwu)。

duiyuzheixietidaixingzichanyuqixianghao,deqinfenxi,riyizengzhangdeshuzifuwuxuqiutuidongshujuzhongxinxuqiu,duhuzhuzhaizulinyouzhuyumibufudannengliwenti,errenkoulaolinghuajiangtuidongyanglaodichanfazhan,weilaijuyouyidingtouzixiyinli。

“yujiyiidcshujuzhongxinweidicengzichandegongmureitsdetuichujiangcujinshuzizichandeliangxingxunhuan。yicunliangzhuzhaigaijiantishengyanglaodichangongjiliang,bingzuizhongtongguojinrongchanpintuichu,gengfuhedangqianshichanggefangdexuqiu。”

jiuzhongguoeryan,gongyewuliu、zhangzugongyu、jiudian、lingshoudengzichanweilaiqianjingyiyouwangchixugaishan。

yigongyewuliuweili,2024nianzhongguoneidijingjijiakuaifusudaidongmaoyizengzhang,wuliuhecangchushichanghuijixufusu。bingqie,cangchuwuliuzichandezhinenghua、lvsehua、zhuanmenhuaduixiangguanzichanjiazhitishengdezhongyaoxingyezhengzaixianxian。

guoqu25nianxingchengdeyigaoganggan、gaozhouzhuanweibiaozhidechuantongzhuzhaikaifamoshiyijingyiqubufan,“zushoubingju”jiangzaiweilaijiaozhangyiduanshijianneichengweizhuzhaishichanggongjiduandezhuyaozhengce。shouciyingxiang,zulinzhufang(baokuobaozhangxingzulinzhufangheshichanghuazhangzugongyu)degongjiliang(baokuoxinjianhegaijian)jiangchipingshenzhichaoguoshangpinfang。

gengguanjiandeshi,gongmureitsjiqigoujiandechanpinshengtaiquanweibaozhangxingzulinzhufangtigongletouzidaotuichudebihuan,daidongzulinzhufangdejiaoyishichang。deqincheng,zaiweilaishidangshiji,gongmureitskeyituozhandaoshouyilvgenggaodeshichanghuazhangzugongyulingyu。

shangyelingshoudezengzhangfusuqushizaixindeyinianhuiyanxu。youqishishoupixiaofeileigongmureitsdeluxuchenggongfaxing,jiangyouzhuyujifalingshouwuyechiyourenjiyunyingshangtishengzichanguanlinenglidejijixing,yeweilingshouwuyemaodinggongkaideshichangjiazhi,tishenglingshouwuyedeliudongxing。

jiemianxinwenhuoxi,1yue31ri,shouzhongguoneixushichangdeqianlihetouzijiazhixiyin,hanguoshizhuanglingshouyilianjituanyuzhongdong、beifeidiqudeshishanghejiajuyongpinlingshoushangbrand for less(bfl)jituanzaishanghaiqianshuxieyichenglihezigongsi,jiangyizhongguoshichangweiqidian,tuozhanquanqiuchengshixingaotelaisi、yougoushangchengdengxiangmu。

jiudianshi2023nianzhongguoxinjinremenzichan,shichangjiaoyipoweihuoyue。deqinbaogaocheng,yiqinghoujingneiyoushouduozhongyinsuyingxiangxunmenghuifu,cujinjiudiandechuzulvjifangjiazaiduanqineihuisheng,yedaidongzhuyaochengshijiudiandejiaoyi。

“danjiudianpubianmianlindechengbengao、shouyilvdi、tuichulujingshaodezhangqiwentibingweijiejue。”

“2024nian,quanqiufangdichanxingyeyouwangtongguowengugenjizhonghuofazhandongli。”deqinzhongguofangdichanxingyeshenjiyujianzhengyewuzhuguanhehuorenniminbiaoshi,muqianshichangduiyufangdichanxingyejiankangzhuangkuanghefazhanqianjingkanfabuyi,fangdichanxingyelingdaozhexuyaoqianghuajichu,tongshizhongsufangdichansuoyouquanhetouzimoshi。

shouyaogongzuobaokuozhudongdiaozhengfangdichantouzizuhejiegouhecaiqufengxianhuanshicuoshi,tuijinlvsexingdonghetuotanjucuoyijijiezhushuishoujilichuangzaojiazhi,tuidongyingyunhejishuzhuanxing。

未经正式授权严禁转载本文,侵权必究。