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saoyisaoxiazaijiemianxinwenapp

到日本炒房,机会还是圈套?

zhongguoren,zaibaomairibenfangchan。

文|正解局

zuijin,zairimeidebaodaozhong,yiweisuishenxiedai100yiriyuandezhongguoren,yikouqimaixiadongjing20taofangchan。

qianggouribenfangchandezhongguoren,chengledichanxingyedeyishifumu。

leisiqingkuang,beiribenyiyuannadaohuiyishangfenxi,tashenzhitichu:fangjiashangzhangkongpashishoudaole“zhongguorenbaomai”deyingxiang。

ribenfangdichan,weishenmeduizhongguofuhaoyourucixiyinli?

01

zhongguofuhaoduiribendichan,zaojiuqingyanyoujia。

ribenshiyigeqianglifuchizizhufangdeguojia,bendirenkeyishenqinglingshoufumaifang,erdichankaifashangzaijiaofangzhiqiandoushinabudaoqiande。

bujinruci,maixinfangshi,maijiahaikeyipinqingribenguotujiaotongshengbeishude“zhuzhaizhenduanshi(yanfangshi)”yiqiquyanfang,zhiyoumaijiaquerenfangwumeiyouwenti,weikuancaihuifujikaifashang。

zheiyixiliecaozuo,baozhengleribenfangchandezhiliang。

haojinianqian,zhongguofuhaojiukaishimaibianledongjingjifujinsuoyoufangchan,jiulian50pingmizuoyoudexiaohuxingdoufeichangqiangshou。

youshihouyiweimaijiahaizaigenkanfangzhongjiejiangjia,fangzijiuyijingbeibierenmaizoule。

remendiqudewuye,gengshibeiqianggouyikong。

jinianli,zhongguohenduolvxingjigoudouzuzhiguozhuanmende“ribenkanfangtuan”,haiyourenyiziyouxingdefangshi,daoribenbianwanbianmai。

juyiweifangchanzhongjietoulu,zuikaishilairibenmaifangdeshizhongguotaiwandekehu,ercong2015nian10yuekaishi,zhongguodalukehushuliangjiuchaoguotaiwandiqule。

ribenmeitiyibianjiangzhongguorendefengqianggaikuowei“jibuzeshi”,yibianqiangdiaobenguofangdichandeqiangshifusu:“ribengongyujiage,yishangshengzhi1990niandaiyilaidezuigaoshuiping。”

banianzhizhong,ribenfangyuansuizhefangjiadebiaoshengbuduanjianshao。

xianzai,meidianbenshidemaijia,genbenqiangbudaohaofangzi。

zhongguomaishouyouqianghande“sanbanfu”:dongzuokuai、guimoda、quankuan。

qunianzairibendianshimeitideyizebaodaozhong,yiweiwufachuguodezhongguomaijia,jintongguoshipinkanfang,jiuxiadanleyitao“kaichuangjiunengkandaodongjingta”dexiaohuxing,jiazhi3.5yiriyuan。

xiangbizhixia,fuhaogengxihuanjiangribenfangchandangchengshengchanziliao,touzijinezuigaonengdadao5000wanmeiyuan。

tamendetouzizhuyaojizhongzaijiazhi3000wanmeijinzuoyoudejiudian、wuye,yijihexinquyuzhoubiandehuaxuechang、dujiaqu,jiaoyizongjinezhesuanchengrenminbizai1.4yidao2yiyuanzhijian,goumaihouzhijiejiaojiribendangdidegongsiguanli。

youmeitibaodao,ribenyijiayouhuayilaobankaibandezichanguanligongsi,jinnianlaifuzede6zongdaxingjiudianxiangmu,zhongguotouzirendoushiquankuanzhifu。

zaiquanshijiefanweinei,ribenfangchanyijingshafengle。

qunian,dongjingshoudouquandexinjiangongyu,junjiacong8101wanriyuan,zhangdao1.28yiriyuan,baozhangchao50%。

yichumingweipark homesdedaxingloupan,yinglaileribenxiaofuqiderepeng,qizhongyiduifufuduimeitishuo:“yaochennianqingmaifang,tamenhuizaiweilaixingchengzichan。”

ribendichanshichanghuore,xuduoguojiagaoqile“pifa”。

qunian1-9yue,xinjiapozairibenfangdichantouzilejin30yimeiyuan,quanqiudiyi;

meiguoyujianadafenbiewei25yimeiyuanhe10yimeiyuan。

lingyougaojingzhirenshitoulu,cengjingguoneifuhaoxihuanjujizaizhongguoxianggang,erxianzaitamenhuiquriben,zuizhuyaodeshejiaohuatishi“zenmezairibentouzi”,yeyourenzhishiweiledaganxibaodaogangmaidezhaidixiaozhu。

qizhongbufayanguangdudaozhe,yijingtongguoribendichandetiaoban,chenggongjijinxinjiapodefuhaopengyouquan。

02

duiyufuhaomenlaishuo,guowaifangchanjihushirenshoubibei。

birucengzairibenyongyouhaozhaidemayun,qunianyouyong3ge“xiaomubiao”zaixinjiaporushousandonglaozhai。

furensuirankeyigenzhemayuntouzimaifang,dannenggenmayunyiyangyou“maifangziyou”de,fengmaolinjiao。

zuizhijiedeyuanyinjiushijiage。

zuijinshijinianjian,fadaguojiadefangchanjifushushuifei,yijingguidelipule。

birumeiguo,2016niandezhoudeyitaofangzizhiyao20wanmeiyuan,dao2019nianshi45wanmeiyuan,erjinnianyijingdadao70wanmeiyuan。

zaizhangjiadetongshi,meiguojuminmeinianhaiyaoweifangzijiaonagaoedeshuifeihexiushanfei。

biruyitao90wanmeiyuandefangchan,jinnianyiniandeshuifeihexiushanfeijiugaoda9000meiyuan。

ruguoshidaikuanmaifang,meiguo7.25%degoufanglilv,jiejinguoneideliangbei。

tongli,jianadadegoufangdaikuanlilvshi5.64%,wuyefeifeichanggui,henduojinjinianrujuderendoudanxinyaokuiqian。

gengjindexinjiapo,6nianfangjialeijizhangle37.5%,zhangfukongjianyijingfeichangxiao。

xiangbizhixia,linguoribendefangdichanshichangjiuyinweizhangjiadejichudi、kongjianda,paoyinglefangchantouzidehoubanchang。

ribenfangjiaqibudi,zhuyaoshiyinwei1990nianpaomopoliehoudesicidaguimojiangjia,rangfangdichanzhongdejigezhongyaohuanjie,doushoudaoleqiangliedaji。

diyijieduan:dichanshangbaolei,xinfangdijiapaoshou;

dierjieduan:yinxinghuilongzijin,dijiashoumaiduangongdefapaifang;

disanjieduan:ribendeershoufangjiadatiaoshui;

disijieduan:zhengfuchutaifangchanshui,zhijierangfangwuchengweihenduorenxinzhongde“fuzichan”,yourenshenzhidaotieqianmaifangzi。

dao2003nian,ribenfangjiachudi,ribenguomindefangchantouzixintaichendaolegudi,fangdichanchixudimile12nian。

yizhidao2015nianqianhou,ribenfangjiacaiyouleweiweidezhangshi,zaizuijinjinianjinrukuaisufazhanqi。

shijidaole,fuhaomenziranshipaoburuchang。

qunian,ribendongjingdou、qianyexian、qiyuxian、shennaichuanxianzaineidedongjingshoudouquan,fangjiapingjunzhangfu26%,qizhongwaiguorendetouzijine,bi2022nianfanleyifan。

fangjiafeizhangdetongshi,ribenjingjiyezaifusu。

2023nian,ribenxiaofeizhishuchuxian2.9%dezhangfu,gdpweizhangle1%,93suidebafeitelaoyeziyeqinzilaidaoriben,zengchilewudashangshedegupiao。

chidaohaiwaitouzihonglideriben,bingbuxiangcuoguozheicifazhandejihui。

jinnian,ribenzhengfuzaidabandengdishelishiyanqu,waiguorenruguozaiquneitouzichao1.2yiriyuan(jiangjin600wanrenminbi),jiukeyishenqingyongjiujuzhuquan。

bieguanribenweilaifazhanruhe,zheifenhuanyingtouzidereqing,zhongguofurenyidingshijieshoudaole。

03

maidiaobuzhangdefangzi,huanchenghainengzhangde,zheijiushiyouqianrenzuiposhidetouziluoji。

tongyang,daoribenqianggoufangchan,touzihuibaoyebingmeineimejingyan。

youjizhediaocha,yiweihuaming“baozi”dezhongguomaijiatoulu,tazai2017nianyi6780wanriyuanzaidongjingmaileyitaotalougongyu,dao2022nianchushoushi,yaojiacong9000wanriyuanzhujianjiangdao8380wanriyuan,qianhouhuafeilebannianshijian。

baozishuo:“tongyigeloupanhaiyouhaojijiazaimai,wodebaojiashizuidide,qitarenjiaoyishijianbiwogengzhang,douyaobannianyishang。”

fangzimaidiaohou,baozihaixiangmaiyikuaidipi,gaiyizuoxinfangliujihaizi。

danzaiyuzhongjiegongsizhangqidelachezhong,tafaxianribendezhongjieyijingshuanxinxichadeyinyangwanfa。

zhiyoushaobufenzhuanyededagongsihuichujufangzidexiangxixinxi,birufashengziranzaihaidegailvshiduoshao、lishishangcengjingfashengguoduoshaocidengdeng,erdabufenzhongjiegongsidouzaiyinzangfangwuxijie,shenzhiyiyuyanbutongzuoweijiekouhunongzhongguokehu。

dabufenribenzhongjie,yijingbazhongguomaijiadangchenglejiucai。

yijiafangchanzhongjiegongsi,weixiyinzhongguofuhaoquribenmaifang,zaijieshouriben《chanjingxinwen》caifangshishiyongkuazhangdecuoci:

“maidiaoshanghaideyitaogongyu,jiunengzaidabanmaixiayidonglou。”

xujiaxuanchuanyinfadejijinqingxu,rangzhongguorenqianfuhoujiganwangriben。

erjiulianribenbendidezhengguizhongjie,yeyonggezhongfangshitaoluzhongguomaijia。

yiweizhongjiezaijieshouzhongguomeiticaifangshitoulu,ribenhenduofangchanshigendipiyiqijiaoyi,suoyixianzaizhongguorennengmaidaodefangzidaduobushihaodikuai,haikenengshibendirenbuyuanyimaide“laopoxiao”,shenzhishibuliangzichan。

maidaoliezhifangchan,bujinweilaichushounan,jiulianchuzuyejihuzhuanbudaoshenmeqian。

biruribendabanfujinyitaojiazhi1000wanriyuandefangchan,zujindenianshouyilvzai4.8%zuoyou,xiangdangyuguoneiyitao50wandefangzi,meigeyuezujinjiuzhiyoudayue2000yuan,zheizhongjiagezaiguoneiduibiaodeshihaerbinzheiyangdeerxianchengshi。

zaimaifangdechaoliuzhong,zhongguomaijia、ribenzhongjie、ribenzhengfudoushishouyizhe。

danqizhongshouyizuidaderen,mianlindefengxianyeda。

2022nian7yue,yipizhongguorenzaiguoneizhimingjigoudejieshaoxia,jitidaoribenmaifang。

zairibenduijiedegongsi“ribenfengchenshangshizhushihuishe”chengnuo,zhongguomaijiazaishoufangqiankeyidedaoyidingshouyi,shoufanghougongsihainengzhijiedaiweiguanli,bangmangshouquzujin。

danzhongguomaijiazhifuleshuyifangkuanhou,zheijiafengchengongsiqueyinzijinlianduanlie,wufaweizhongguomaijiabanliguohu。

jingjifazhan,rangfangdichanshichangchengweiyixierenjiecengyueqiandejiejing。

kechaofangzheimeduonian,tamenyiranzhinengbeiqushituizhezou,fengxianconglaimeixiaoguo。

xianzaiqiangribenfangchan,weilaihaiyougengduodongxiyaoquqiang。

金钱永不眠。

yuwangzhixia,yongyuanyourenxuyao“xiayigeriben”。

参考资料:

1.环球时报《500余名中国人在日本“踩雷”》

2.腾讯潜望《跟着马云投资日本!中国富豪涌入日本,全款拿下上亿元酒店》

本文为转载内容,授权事宜请联系原著作权人。

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到日本炒房,机会还是圈套?

zhongguoren,zaibaomairibenfangchan。

文|正解局

zuijin,zairimeidebaodaozhong,yiweisuishenxiedai100yiriyuandezhongguoren,yikouqimaixiadongjing20taofangchan。

qianggouribenfangchandezhongguoren,chengledichanxingyedeyishifumu。

leisiqingkuang,beiribenyiyuannadaohuiyishangfenxi,tashenzhitichu:fangjiashangzhangkongpashishoudaole“zhongguorenbaomai”deyingxiang。

ribenfangdichan,weishenmeduizhongguofuhaoyourucixiyinli?

01

zhongguofuhaoduiribendichan,zaojiuqingyanyoujia。

ribenshiyigeqianglifuchizizhufangdeguojia,bendirenkeyishenqinglingshoufumaifang,erdichankaifashangzaijiaofangzhiqiandoushinabudaoqiande。

bujinruci,maixinfangshi,maijiahaikeyipinqingribenguotujiaotongshengbeishude“zhuzhaizhenduanshi(yanfangshi)”yiqiquyanfang,zhiyoumaijiaquerenfangwumeiyouwenti,weikuancaihuifujikaifashang。

zheiyixiliecaozuo,baozhengleribenfangchandezhiliang。

haojinianqian,zhongguofuhaojiukaishimaibianledongjingjifujinsuoyoufangchan,jiulian50pingmizuoyoudexiaohuxingdoufeichangqiangshou。

youshihouyiweimaijiahaizaigenkanfangzhongjiejiangjia,fangzijiuyijingbeibierenmaizoule。

remendiqudewuye,gengshibeiqianggouyikong。

jinianli,zhongguohenduolvxingjigoudouzuzhiguozhuanmende“ribenkanfangtuan”,haiyourenyiziyouxingdefangshi,daoribenbianwanbianmai。

juyiweifangchanzhongjietoulu,zuikaishilairibenmaifangdeshizhongguotaiwandekehu,ercong2015nian10yuekaishi,zhongguodalukehushuliangjiuchaoguotaiwandiqule。

ribenmeitiyibianjiangzhongguorendefengqianggaikuowei“jibuzeshi”,yibianqiangdiaobenguofangdichandeqiangshifusu:“ribengongyujiage,yishangshengzhi1990niandaiyilaidezuigaoshuiping。”

banianzhizhong,ribenfangyuansuizhefangjiadebiaoshengbuduanjianshao。

xianzai,meidianbenshidemaijia,genbenqiangbudaohaofangzi。

zhongguomaishouyouqianghande“sanbanfu”:dongzuokuai、guimoda、quankuan。

qunianzairibendianshimeitideyizebaodaozhong,yiweiwufachuguodezhongguomaijia,jintongguoshipinkanfang,jiuxiadanleyitao“kaichuangjiunengkandaodongjingta”dexiaohuxing,jiazhi3.5yiriyuan。

xiangbizhixia,fuhaogengxihuanjiangribenfangchandangchengshengchanziliao,touzijinezuigaonengdadao5000wanmeiyuan。

tamendetouzizhuyaojizhongzaijiazhi3000wanmeijinzuoyoudejiudian、wuye,yijihexinquyuzhoubiandehuaxuechang、dujiaqu,jiaoyizongjinezhesuanchengrenminbizai1.4yidao2yiyuanzhijian,goumaihouzhijiejiaojiribendangdidegongsiguanli。

youmeitibaodao,ribenyijiayouhuayilaobankaibandezichanguanligongsi,jinnianlaifuzede6zongdaxingjiudianxiangmu,zhongguotouzirendoushiquankuanzhifu。

zaiquanshijiefanweinei,ribenfangchanyijingshafengle。

qunian,dongjingshoudouquandexinjiangongyu,junjiacong8101wanriyuan,zhangdao1.28yiriyuan,baozhangchao50%。

yichumingweipark homesdedaxingloupan,yinglaileribenxiaofuqiderepeng,qizhongyiduifufuduimeitishuo:“yaochennianqingmaifang,tamenhuizaiweilaixingchengzichan。”

ribendichanshichanghuore,xuduoguojiagaoqile“pifa”。

qunian1-9yue,xinjiapozairibenfangdichantouzilejin30yimeiyuan,quanqiudiyi;

meiguoyujianadafenbiewei25yimeiyuanhe10yimeiyuan。

lingyougaojingzhirenshitoulu,cengjingguoneifuhaoxihuanjujizaizhongguoxianggang,erxianzaitamenhuiquriben,zuizhuyaodeshejiaohuatishi“zenmezairibentouzi”,yeyourenzhishiweiledaganxibaodaogangmaidezhaidixiaozhu。

qizhongbufayanguangdudaozhe,yijingtongguoribendichandetiaoban,chenggongjijinxinjiapodefuhaopengyouquan。

02

duiyufuhaomenlaishuo,guowaifangchanjihushirenshoubibei。

birucengzairibenyongyouhaozhaidemayun,qunianyouyong3ge“xiaomubiao”zaixinjiaporushousandonglaozhai。

furensuirankeyigenzhemayuntouzimaifang,dannenggenmayunyiyangyou“maifangziyou”de,fengmaolinjiao。

zuizhijiedeyuanyinjiushijiage。

zuijinshijinianjian,fadaguojiadefangchanjifushushuifei,yijingguidelipule。

birumeiguo,2016niandezhoudeyitaofangzizhiyao20wanmeiyuan,dao2019nianshi45wanmeiyuan,erjinnianyijingdadao70wanmeiyuan。

zaizhangjiadetongshi,meiguojuminmeinianhaiyaoweifangzijiaonagaoedeshuifeihexiushanfei。

biruyitao90wanmeiyuandefangchan,jinnianyiniandeshuifeihexiushanfeijiugaoda9000meiyuan。

ruguoshidaikuanmaifang,meiguo7.25%degoufanglilv,jiejinguoneideliangbei。

tongli,jianadadegoufangdaikuanlilvshi5.64%,wuyefeifeichanggui,henduojinjinianrujuderendoudanxinyaokuiqian。

gengjindexinjiapo,6nianfangjialeijizhangle37.5%,zhangfukongjianyijingfeichangxiao。

xiangbizhixia,linguoribendefangdichanshichangjiuyinweizhangjiadejichudi、kongjianda,paoyinglefangchantouzidehoubanchang。

ribenfangjiaqibudi,zhuyaoshiyinwei1990nianpaomopoliehoudesicidaguimojiangjia,rangfangdichanzhongdejigezhongyaohuanjie,doushoudaoleqiangliedaji。

diyijieduan:dichanshangbaolei,xinfangdijiapaoshou;

dierjieduan:yinxinghuilongzijin,dijiashoumaiduangongdefapaifang;

disanjieduan:ribendeershoufangjiadatiaoshui;

disijieduan:zhengfuchutaifangchanshui,zhijierangfangwuchengweihenduorenxinzhongde“fuzichan”,yourenshenzhidaotieqianmaifangzi。

dao2003nian,ribenfangjiachudi,ribenguomindefangchantouzixintaichendaolegudi,fangdichanchixudimile12nian。

yizhidao2015nianqianhou,ribenfangjiacaiyouleweiweidezhangshi,zaizuijinjinianjinrukuaisufazhanqi。

shijidaole,fuhaomenziranshipaoburuchang。

qunian,ribendongjingdou、qianyexian、qiyuxian、shennaichuanxianzaineidedongjingshoudouquan,fangjiapingjunzhangfu26%,qizhongwaiguorendetouzijine,bi2022nianfanleyifan。

fangjiafeizhangdetongshi,ribenjingjiyezaifusu。

2023nian,ribenxiaofeizhishuchuxian2.9%dezhangfu,gdpweizhangle1%,93suidebafeitelaoyeziyeqinzilaidaoriben,zengchilewudashangshedegupiao。

chidaohaiwaitouzihonglideriben,bingbuxiangcuoguozheicifazhandejihui。

jinnian,ribenzhengfuzaidabandengdishelishiyanqu,waiguorenruguozaiquneitouzichao1.2yiriyuan(jiangjin600wanrenminbi),jiukeyishenqingyongjiujuzhuquan。

bieguanribenweilaifazhanruhe,zheifenhuanyingtouzidereqing,zhongguofurenyidingshijieshoudaole。

03

maidiaobuzhangdefangzi,huanchenghainengzhangde,zheijiushiyouqianrenzuiposhidetouziluoji。

tongyang,daoribenqianggoufangchan,touzihuibaoyebingmeineimejingyan。

youjizhediaocha,yiweihuaming“baozi”dezhongguomaijiatoulu,tazai2017nianyi6780wanriyuanzaidongjingmaileyitaotalougongyu,dao2022nianchushoushi,yaojiacong9000wanriyuanzhujianjiangdao8380wanriyuan,qianhouhuafeilebannianshijian。

baozishuo:“tongyigeloupanhaiyouhaojijiazaimai,wodebaojiashizuidide,qitarenjiaoyishijianbiwogengzhang,douyaobannianyishang。”

fangzimaidiaohou,baozihaixiangmaiyikuaidipi,gaiyizuoxinfangliujihaizi。

danzaiyuzhongjiegongsizhangqidelachezhong,tafaxianribendezhongjieyijingshuanxinxichadeyinyangwanfa。

zhiyoushaobufenzhuanyededagongsihuichujufangzidexiangxixinxi,birufashengziranzaihaidegailvshiduoshao、lishishangcengjingfashengguoduoshaocidengdeng,erdabufenzhongjiegongsidouzaiyinzangfangwuxijie,shenzhiyiyuyanbutongzuoweijiekouhunongzhongguokehu。

dabufenribenzhongjie,yijingbazhongguomaijiadangchenglejiucai。

yijiafangchanzhongjiegongsi,weixiyinzhongguofuhaoquribenmaifang,zaijieshouriben《chanjingxinwen》caifangshishiyongkuazhangdecuoci:

“maidiaoshanghaideyitaogongyu,jiunengzaidabanmaixiayidonglou。”

xujiaxuanchuanyinfadejijinqingxu,rangzhongguorenqianfuhoujiganwangriben。

erjiulianribenbendidezhengguizhongjie,yeyonggezhongfangshitaoluzhongguomaijia。

yiweizhongjiezaijieshouzhongguomeiticaifangshitoulu,ribenhenduofangchanshigendipiyiqijiaoyi,suoyixianzaizhongguorennengmaidaodefangzidaduobushihaodikuai,haikenengshibendirenbuyuanyimaide“laopoxiao”,shenzhishibuliangzichan。

maidaoliezhifangchan,bujinweilaichushounan,jiulianchuzuyejihuzhuanbudaoshenmeqian。

biruribendabanfujinyitaojiazhi1000wanriyuandefangchan,zujindenianshouyilvzai4.8%zuoyou,xiangdangyuguoneiyitao50wandefangzi,meigeyuezujinjiuzhiyoudayue2000yuan,zheizhongjiagezaiguoneiduibiaodeshihaerbinzheiyangdeerxianchengshi。

zaimaifangdechaoliuzhong,zhongguomaijia、ribenzhongjie、ribenzhengfudoushishouyizhe。

danqizhongshouyizuidaderen,mianlindefengxianyeda。

2022nian7yue,yipizhongguorenzaiguoneizhimingjigoudejieshaoxia,jitidaoribenmaifang。

zairibenduijiedegongsi“ribenfengchenshangshizhushihuishe”chengnuo,zhongguomaijiazaishoufangqiankeyidedaoyidingshouyi,shoufanghougongsihainengzhijiedaiweiguanli,bangmangshouquzujin。

danzhongguomaijiazhifuleshuyifangkuanhou,zheijiafengchengongsiqueyinzijinlianduanlie,wufaweizhongguomaijiabanliguohu。

jingjifazhan,rangfangdichanshichangchengweiyixierenjiecengyueqiandejiejing。

kechaofangzheimeduonian,tamenyiranzhinengbeiqushituizhezou,fengxianconglaimeixiaoguo。

xianzaiqiangribenfangchan,weilaihaiyougengduodongxiyaoquqiang。

金钱永不眠。

yuwangzhixia,yongyuanyourenxuyao“xiayigeriben”。

参考资料:

1.环球时报《500余名中国人在日本“踩雷”》

2.腾讯潜望《跟着马云投资日本!中国富豪涌入日本,全款拿下上亿元酒店》

本文为转载内容,授权事宜请联系原著作权人。