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严重亏损、停运甚至拆除,有轨电车前期可行性研究为何失效?

ruguoanzhaogexiangmukexingxingyanjiubaogaodekeliuyuce,muqiangediyouguidiancheyinggaishiyipianxinxinxiangrongdejingxiang。

2022年8月,成都,正在行驶中的有轨电车蓉2号线。拍摄:唐俊/界面新闻

界面新闻记者 | 唐俊

touzijin9yiyuan、2021nianjiuyijianchengdiaoshi,danzhidaoxianzaidouhaimeiyoutourushiyong,delinghashideyouguidianchexianlu,xiangshichengshijilibiaomiandeyidaoshanghen。

“weishenmezhangshijianbukaitongyunying?bukaitongyunyingdehua,bushilangfeilema?”dangdishiminzairenminwanglingdaoliuyanbanxiangdelinghashilingdaotiwen。

delinghashiguoziweizai2023nian12yuedihuifucheng,youyugaixiangmuweigaoyuandiqudiyitiaoyouguidiancheshifanxian,xiangmupingguguochengzhongfaxianbufensheshizaigaoyuandiquyunxingcunzaianquanyinhuan。muqian,xiangguanbumenzhengzaizuzhijishudanweihexiangmujianshedanweiduixiangguanwentijinxingzhenggai,daiwentizhenggaiwanchenghou,jiangzaicipinqingdisanfangzhuanyejigouduixiangmujinxinganquanpinggu,daipinggutongguobingbanlixiangguanyunyingshouxuhou,zhengshikaitongyunying。

5yue29ri,jiemianxinwenxiangdangdi12345shizhangrexianzixunyouguidianchejinqishifouhuikaitong,gongzuorenyuanbiaoshi,jingyuxiangguanbumenlejie,jinqizanwukaitongyouguidianchedejihua。

delinghashiqinghaishenghaiximengguzuzangzuzizhizhoudezhoufu,shiquhaiba3000mizuoyou,mianji2.77wanpingfanggongli,xiangdangyu4geshanghaidemianji,changzhurenkoujin9wanzuoyou,qizhongchengzhenrenkoubudao7wan。

zheiyangderenkoumiduxianranbucunzaijiaotongyongdudewenti。zaidelingha,youguidianchebeidangzuoyigelvyouxiangmulaikandai。dangdizhengfucheng,youguidianche“keyouxiaotishengchengshizhimingduhechengshipinzhi,chengweichengshideliudongguanjingpingtai”,“duitishengdelinghashilvyouchanyefazhanjuyouzhongdacujinzuoyong”。

不过,xiangbishenghuixining,delinghabingbushiyigeremenlvyoumudedi,ajilvyoujingdianzhiyouyigekelukehu(3a),julishiqu40duogongli。qieyouyuqihouyinsu,delinghayinianzhongzuijialvyoushijianshixiaji。rangdelinghaxiaoyoumingqideshidangdaishirenhaizideshi,neiju“jiejie,jinyewozaidelingha”,jizheigechengshidushangyicenglangmandesecai。

delinghayouguidianche2017nianzhengshikaigongjianshe,dangshishixibushoutiaoxiandaiyouguidiancheluxian。yiqixiangmubaohant1xian、t1zhixianhet2xian,zongzhangyue14.36gongli,zongtouzi8.99yiyuan。

值得注意的是, delingha2016niandedifangyibangonggongyusuanshourucai4.7yiyuan,youguidianchexiangmudetouzijihushidangdiquannianyibangonggongyusuanshourudeliangbei。

dao2019nian10yue,delinghayouguidianchexiangmuxianlujichangzhangongchengquanxianjiuyitongguoyanshou。2020nian5yue,youguidianchekaiqishiyunxing,danzhidaoxianzairengweizhengshiyunying。

大部分项目客流低、严重亏损

delinghashiminxiwangyouguidianchejinkuaikaitong,eryikaitongdeyouguidianchezepubianmianlinkeliushao、yunyingchengbengaodenanti,duoshunantaozhangqidafukuisundemingyun。

foshanshigaomingquyu2019niankaitongyouguidianche,guoqujiniankeliuxishao,youdangdijuminxichengwei“youguidianche”。《nanfangdoushibao》jizhecengzai2023nian3yuefenduocishice,manzaikeda285rendeyouguidianche,quanchengkeliuliangzongjizuiduojin16ming,zuishaoyitangchujizhewaijin2ren。

有轨电车是一种低运量的城市轨道交通, genjuguojiayaoqiu,diyunliangguijiaoxitongchuqikeliuqiangdubudiyu0.1wanrenci/gongli·ri。danshi,muqianjuedabufenxiangmudoubumanzuzheiyiyaoqiu。keliuqiangdushizhimeitianmeigonglixianluyouduoshaorenchengzuo,jiangxianluzhangduyinsunarukaolv,bidanchundekeliugengnengyouxiaofanyingyunyingqingkuang。

jiemianxinwencongjiaotongyunshubuhezhongguochengguixiehuichaxundaobufenchengshiyouguidianchedekeliuqingkuang,yigongbu2023niankeliushujudechengshizhong,70%meiyoudadaoshangshubiaozhun。jishishichengdou、wuhanzheiyangdechaodachengshi,keliuqiangduyediyu0.1wanrenci/gongli·ri。erzheihaizhishichuqidekeliuqiangduyaoqiu,bufenchengshiyouguidiancheyijingkaitongduonian,zaoyibushichuqijieduan。

珠海有轨电车在停运前,客流强度为0.04万人次/公里·日,日均客流仅为3378人次。黄石2023年客流强度也只有0.04万人次/公里·日。(相关阅读:《停运3年后,珠海有轨电车将正式拆除》

keliuzuidideshigansutianshui、yunnanwenshan、yunnanhonghezhousandi。2023nian,tianshuiyouguidiancherijunkeliujinyou2616renci,wenshanyouguidiancherijunkeliu1372renci,honghezhouyouguidiancherijunkeliucai797renci。

honghezhouyeshiquanguoyouguidianchekeliuqiangduzuididedifang,jinyou0.006wanrenci/gongli·ri。

genjuyunnanshengmengzishijiaotongyunshujuwangzhanpiludeyifenyouguidiancheyunyingchengbenjianshenbaogao,2022niangaixiangmukepiaoshouru107.5wanyuan,eryunyingchengben(wanquanchengben)8409wanyuan。zheitiaozongtouzi15.7yiyuandexianlu,yinianyaokuisun8000duowanyuan。

zhuhaiyouguidiancheyunyingqijian,zongjipiaokuanshouruzhiyou387wanyuan,yuanyuandiyusannianduojin3yiyuandeyunyingchengben,xiangdangyumeifuwuyigechengkexubutie66yuan。tianshuiyouguidiancheyiqigongchengzongtouziwei24.46yiyuan,bukaolvjianshechengben,yiniankuisunjiudadao3840wanyuan

jibianshisanyazheiyangyoukezhongduodezhiminglvyouchengshi,qiyouguidiancheyechuyudafukuisunzhong。genjusanyashijiaotongyunshujuzai2022nian11yuefabude《sanyashiyouguidiancheshifanxianpppxiangmudiyiyunyingqijixiaopingjiabaogao》,difangzhengfumeinianyaoxiangsanyayouguidianchebutie1.11yiyuan。

jiezhi2023nianmo,zhongguoneidiyou23gechengshikaitongleyouguidianche,zonglichengdadao578gongli,qizhongyeyoubufenxianluyunyingjiaohao。

例如淮安作为三线城市,其有轨电车客流曾是全国最高的。2023年,淮安有轨电车的客流强度为0.1万人次/公里·日,超过了成都、武汉、苏州、青岛等城市。相比不少城市将有轨电车修建在城市新区,淮安有轨电车线路途径区域人口密集、通行需求成熟,为其提供了客流基础。

beijingyouguidianchexijiaoxiantongwangxiangshan,bingyuditie10haoxianjiebo,chunyou、shanghongyedengshijiekeliubaopeng。guangzhouhaizhuyouguidianchexianluyanzhujiangerxing,bingqiejiuzaiguangzhoutabianshang,shiyitiaomingfuqishideguanguangxianlu,2023nian“wuyi”qijianrijunkeliudadao2.69wanrenci。

广州海珠有轨电车 图片来源:视觉中国

前期可行性研究形同虚设

anzhaogexiangmuciqiankexingxingbaogaodekeliuyuce,muqianquanguogedideyouguidiancheyinggaixinxinxiangrong,ranershijiqingkuangdaxiangjingting。

yijingchaichudezhuhaiyouguidianche,qishijikeliuzhiyouyucekeliude5%。sanyayouguidianchexiangmudeyucerijunkeliushi3.5wanrenciyishang,shijikeliuzhiyou2000duorenci。

qitaxiangmujibenyedoumeiyoudadaodangchudeyucekeliu,yinweiruguoyucekeliuguodi,xiangmubianmeiyouxiujiandebiyao,yejiuwufaguoshen。

delinghayouguidianchesuowei“gaoyuandiquyunxingcunzaianquanyinhuan”dewenti,yebenbuyinggaishiwenti。jishu、qihou、dilidengyinsu,liyingzaixiangmukaishizhiqiandekexingxingyanjiubaogaozhongjiujiejue,xiangmuqueshikexingcainengzhengshikaigong。

xifangjiangangguiwuyong、huaerbushidezhengfuxiangmuchengzuo“baixiang”gongcheng,baixiangbeishiweishenshengerbukeqinfandedongwu,siyangyitoubaixianghuafeijingren。zaijiaotongyufazhanzhengceyanjiusuo(itdp)dongyaqushouxidaibiaoliudaizongkanlai,zhongguodebufenyouguidianchejiushibaixiang。

tazhichu,youguidiancheshiyizhongxiaolvjiaodidejiaotonggongju,kuaisugongjiaoxitong(brt)suozhanyongdetudiheluquanyuyouguidiancheyiyang,danxiaolvgaochuhenduo、chengbendihenduo。“henduojuecezherongyirenwei,jialelianggeguidaojiubiandegenggaojile,shijibingfeiruci。”

“jiuqiyuanyin,yiqianjiansheyixiedaxinggonggongjichusheshibingbushixuqiudaoxiang、ershigongjidaoxiang。buguanyoumeiyouxuqiujiujian,shenzhibufenxiangmuzaijianhaozhihou,caiquxunzhaoyingyongchangjing。”liuzongdaiduijiemianxinwenshuo,zaonianjianhenduoxiangmuzailixiangshi,bingfeiyouzhuanyerenyuanjueding,ershizhengfuguanyuanpaiban,youciyedaozhibufenxiangmudekexingxingyanjiumeiyouzhenzhengfahuizuoyong。

zaiciguochengzhong,gebieyouguidianchexiangmushenzhichengleguanyuanfubaide“wenchuang”。ju《zhongguojijianjianchabao》debaodao,2016-2017nian,shirenqinghaidelinghashichangwufushizhangdezhangbiaofen7cixiangbeijingmougongsidelinghafengongsisuoyao1486wanyuan。gaigongsiyinchengjiandelinghayouguidianchexiangmubeizhangbiaodingshang,chengweitade“tikuanji”,gaigongsiyeshibeitasuohuishuezuiduodegongsi。

ciwai,youguidiancheyuditieheqingguixiangbi,shenpicengjigengdi,yedaozhiyixiebunengxiujianditiedechengshizhengxiangshangma。qingguiheditiexuyaoguojiafagaiweishenpi,bingqieyoujutidegdp、caizheng、renkoutiaojianyaoqiu,youguidianchezhixushengjibumenshenpi,duidifangcaizhengmeiyoumingqueyaoqiu。

juliudaizongjieshao,xianzaibushaojijianxiangmuzailixiangshi,yijingkaishiduiweilaidecaiwuqingkuangtichutiaojian,birumeinianyaochanghaiduoshaozhaiwu,ruguobunengwancheng,xuyaochengdanxiangyingdezeren。tarenwei,xiangmuzailixiangshi,yidingyaokaolvhouqideyunying,zheiyanggefangdeyalidouhuijianxiao,xiangmuyecainengchixu。

jiemianxinwenlejiedao,ciqianyigexibuchengshixiangguojiafagaiweishenqing100yiyuandexiangmuzijinyongyushengtaihuanjingdaoxiangdekaifa(eod)xiangmu,zaiguojiafagaiweitichuchangzhaitiaojianzhihou,gaichengshijiangshenqingzijineduxiadiaozhi30yiyuan。

lingju《zhongguojiaotongbao》baodao,2023nian12yue,guowuyuanxiafatongzhi,weifangfanhuajiedifangzhengfuzhaiwufengxian,yaoqiutianjin、neimenggu、liaoning、jilin、heilongjiang、guangxi、zhongqing、guizhou、yunnan、gansu、qinghai、ningxiadeng12gezhongdianshengfenjiaqiangzhengfutouzixiangmuguanli,jinqibudezaixinjianchengshiguidaojiaotongheshiyu(jiao)tieludengxiangmu。

亏损严重的项目,拆掉是止损

“有轨电车虽然名义上是公共交通工具,但最主要的作用并不是解决交通问题,而是为了提升城市形象,带动沿线房地产和产业开发。想要解决交通问题,完全有性价比更高的方式。”一位不愿具名的轨交行业人士对界面新闻说。

yunnanhongheyouguidianchegongsidongshizhangpuyufeizaijieshou《shijieguidaojiaotong》zazhicaifangshicengtidao,tongguoduiyouguidiancheyanxiantudidekaifa,daidongleyanxiantudideshengzhihefangdichanzengzhi。wenzhangzhichu,jintudihefangdichanzengzhiyijiqishangyefazhanzengjiadeshuishou,jiuyichaoguoleyouguidianchexiangmutouzidejibei,hongguanjingjixiaoyishifenxianzhu。

danshixianzaifangdichanshichangdimi、difangzhengfucaizhengchengya,yunyingbutieyaliyeyuelaiyueda,youguidiancheziranmeikuangyuxia。

zuijinjinianluxuyouchengshitingyunhuozhechaichuyouguidianche。2023nian6yue,tianjinkaifaqudaoguidianche1haoxianheshanghaizhangjiangyouguidianchexiangjitingyun。2023nian8yue,yunnanhonghezhouyouguidianchexiangmubeichuanjiangtingyun,suihoudangdichumianfouren。2021nian1yuetingyundezhuhaiyouguidianche,zaijinglisannianduodelunzhenghou,yu2024nian5yuezhengshichaichu。

duiyuneixierengzaiyunyingzhongdeyouguidianchexiangmu,liudaizongrenwei,keyichangshijiaoyoushichanghuagongsiyunying,youtamenyulvxingshe、jiudiandenghezuokaifaxindelvyouxiangmu,binganzhaoshichanghuadingjia。

suiranbufenyouguidianchexiangmuzichenglvyouxian,danrenganzhaochengshigonggongjiaotongguihuaxianlu,piaojiarengshipuhuixingpiaojia,meiyouchengweizhenzhengdelvyouxiangmu。“qigema、zuogelanche,douyaojishi、shangbaiyuan,piaojia2yuandeyouguidianchenengjiaolvyouxianma?” liudaizongshuo。

tarenwei,lvyouxiangmujutizenmezuo,shichangzihuiyougezhongxiangfa。ruguoxiangmunenggouzifuyingkui,jiujixuyunying;ruguorengrankuisunyanzhong,jiuchaidiaojishizhisun,buranyaowuzhijingditouqianjinqu。

“ruguoyouguidianchebunengfahuizaikezuoyong,meinianhaiyaodaliangdebutie,gaichaijiushiyaochai。xianzaishiduanbeiqiusheng,yeshidangchujuecededaijia。jiuxiangchaoguyiyang,gaipingcangdeshihoujiuyaopingcang,napashikuile。”liudaizongshuo。

未经正式授权严禁转载本文,侵权必究。

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严重亏损、停运甚至拆除,有轨电车前期可行性研究为何失效?

ruguoanzhaogexiangmukexingxingyanjiubaogaodekeliuyuce,muqiangediyouguidiancheyinggaishiyipianxinxinxiangrongdejingxiang。

2022年8月,成都,正在行驶中的有轨电车蓉2号线。拍摄:唐俊/界面新闻

界面新闻记者 | 唐俊

touzijin9yiyuan、2021nianjiuyijianchengdiaoshi,danzhidaoxianzaidouhaimeiyoutourushiyong,delinghashideyouguidianchexianlu,xiangshichengshijilibiaomiandeyidaoshanghen。

“weishenmezhangshijianbukaitongyunying?bukaitongyunyingdehua,bushilangfeilema?”dangdishiminzairenminwanglingdaoliuyanbanxiangdelinghashilingdaotiwen。

delinghashiguoziweizai2023nian12yuedihuifucheng,youyugaixiangmuweigaoyuandiqudiyitiaoyouguidiancheshifanxian,xiangmupingguguochengzhongfaxianbufensheshizaigaoyuandiquyunxingcunzaianquanyinhuan。muqian,xiangguanbumenzhengzaizuzhijishudanweihexiangmujianshedanweiduixiangguanwentijinxingzhenggai,daiwentizhenggaiwanchenghou,jiangzaicipinqingdisanfangzhuanyejigouduixiangmujinxinganquanpinggu,daipinggutongguobingbanlixiangguanyunyingshouxuhou,zhengshikaitongyunying。

5yue29ri,jiemianxinwenxiangdangdi12345shizhangrexianzixunyouguidianchejinqishifouhuikaitong,gongzuorenyuanbiaoshi,jingyuxiangguanbumenlejie,jinqizanwukaitongyouguidianchedejihua。

delinghashiqinghaishenghaiximengguzuzangzuzizhizhoudezhoufu,shiquhaiba3000mizuoyou,mianji2.77wanpingfanggongli,xiangdangyu4geshanghaidemianji,changzhurenkoujin9wanzuoyou,qizhongchengzhenrenkoubudao7wan。

zheiyangderenkoumiduxianranbucunzaijiaotongyongdudewenti。zaidelingha,youguidianchebeidangzuoyigelvyouxiangmulaikandai。dangdizhengfucheng,youguidianche“keyouxiaotishengchengshizhimingduhechengshipinzhi,chengweichengshideliudongguanjingpingtai”,“duitishengdelinghashilvyouchanyefazhanjuyouzhongdacujinzuoyong”。

不过,xiangbishenghuixining,delinghabingbushiyigeremenlvyoumudedi,ajilvyoujingdianzhiyouyigekelukehu(3a),julishiqu40duogongli。qieyouyuqihouyinsu,delinghayinianzhongzuijialvyoushijianshixiaji。rangdelinghaxiaoyoumingqideshidangdaishirenhaizideshi,neiju“jiejie,jinyewozaidelingha”,jizheigechengshidushangyicenglangmandesecai。

delinghayouguidianche2017nianzhengshikaigongjianshe,dangshishixibushoutiaoxiandaiyouguidiancheluxian。yiqixiangmubaohant1xian、t1zhixianhet2xian,zongzhangyue14.36gongli,zongtouzi8.99yiyuan。

值得注意的是, delingha2016niandedifangyibangonggongyusuanshourucai4.7yiyuan,youguidianchexiangmudetouzijihushidangdiquannianyibangonggongyusuanshourudeliangbei。

dao2019nian10yue,delinghayouguidianchexiangmuxianlujichangzhangongchengquanxianjiuyitongguoyanshou。2020nian5yue,youguidianchekaiqishiyunxing,danzhidaoxianzairengweizhengshiyunying。

大部分项目客流低、严重亏损

delinghashiminxiwangyouguidianchejinkuaikaitong,eryikaitongdeyouguidianchezepubianmianlinkeliushao、yunyingchengbengaodenanti,duoshunantaozhangqidafukuisundemingyun。

foshanshigaomingquyu2019niankaitongyouguidianche,guoqujiniankeliuxishao,youdangdijuminxichengwei“youguidianche”。《nanfangdoushibao》jizhecengzai2023nian3yuefenduocishice,manzaikeda285rendeyouguidianche,quanchengkeliuliangzongjizuiduojin16ming,zuishaoyitangchujizhewaijin2ren。

有轨电车是一种低运量的城市轨道交通, genjuguojiayaoqiu,diyunliangguijiaoxitongchuqikeliuqiangdubudiyu0.1wanrenci/gongli·ri。danshi,muqianjuedabufenxiangmudoubumanzuzheiyiyaoqiu。keliuqiangdushizhimeitianmeigonglixianluyouduoshaorenchengzuo,jiangxianluzhangduyinsunarukaolv,bidanchundekeliugengnengyouxiaofanyingyunyingqingkuang。

jiemianxinwencongjiaotongyunshubuhezhongguochengguixiehuichaxundaobufenchengshiyouguidianchedekeliuqingkuang,yigongbu2023niankeliushujudechengshizhong,70%meiyoudadaoshangshubiaozhun。jishishichengdou、wuhanzheiyangdechaodachengshi,keliuqiangduyediyu0.1wanrenci/gongli·ri。erzheihaizhishichuqidekeliuqiangduyaoqiu,bufenchengshiyouguidiancheyijingkaitongduonian,zaoyibushichuqijieduan。

珠海有轨电车在停运前,客流强度为0.04万人次/公里·日,日均客流仅为3378人次。黄石2023年客流强度也只有0.04万人次/公里·日。(相关阅读:《停运3年后,珠海有轨电车将正式拆除》

keliuzuidideshigansutianshui、yunnanwenshan、yunnanhonghezhousandi。2023nian,tianshuiyouguidiancherijunkeliujinyou2616renci,wenshanyouguidiancherijunkeliu1372renci,honghezhouyouguidiancherijunkeliucai797renci。

honghezhouyeshiquanguoyouguidianchekeliuqiangduzuididedifang,jinyou0.006wanrenci/gongli·ri。

genjuyunnanshengmengzishijiaotongyunshujuwangzhanpiludeyifenyouguidiancheyunyingchengbenjianshenbaogao,2022niangaixiangmukepiaoshouru107.5wanyuan,eryunyingchengben(wanquanchengben)8409wanyuan。zheitiaozongtouzi15.7yiyuandexianlu,yinianyaokuisun8000duowanyuan。

zhuhaiyouguidiancheyunyingqijian,zongjipiaokuanshouruzhiyou387wanyuan,yuanyuandiyusannianduojin3yiyuandeyunyingchengben,xiangdangyumeifuwuyigechengkexubutie66yuan。tianshuiyouguidiancheyiqigongchengzongtouziwei24.46yiyuan,bukaolvjianshechengben,yiniankuisunjiudadao3840wanyuan

jibianshisanyazheiyangyoukezhongduodezhiminglvyouchengshi,qiyouguidiancheyechuyudafukuisunzhong。genjusanyashijiaotongyunshujuzai2022nian11yuefabude《sanyashiyouguidiancheshifanxianpppxiangmudiyiyunyingqijixiaopingjiabaogao》,difangzhengfumeinianyaoxiangsanyayouguidianchebutie1.11yiyuan。

jiezhi2023nianmo,zhongguoneidiyou23gechengshikaitongleyouguidianche,zonglichengdadao578gongli,qizhongyeyoubufenxianluyunyingjiaohao。

例如淮安作为三线城市,其有轨电车客流曾是全国最高的。2023年,淮安有轨电车的客流强度为0.1万人次/公里·日,超过了成都、武汉、苏州、青岛等城市。相比不少城市将有轨电车修建在城市新区,淮安有轨电车线路途径区域人口密集、通行需求成熟,为其提供了客流基础。

beijingyouguidianchexijiaoxiantongwangxiangshan,bingyuditie10haoxianjiebo,chunyou、shanghongyedengshijiekeliubaopeng。guangzhouhaizhuyouguidianchexianluyanzhujiangerxing,bingqiejiuzaiguangzhoutabianshang,shiyitiaomingfuqishideguanguangxianlu,2023nian“wuyi”qijianrijunkeliudadao2.69wanrenci。

广州海珠有轨电车 图片来源:视觉中国

前期可行性研究形同虚设

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亏损严重的项目,拆掉是止损

“有轨电车虽然名义上是公共交通工具,但最主要的作用并不是解决交通问题,而是为了提升城市形象,带动沿线房地产和产业开发。想要解决交通问题,完全有性价比更高的方式。”一位不愿具名的轨交行业人士对界面新闻说。

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