界面新闻记者 | 杨诗涵

yijiaweiyubeijingchaoyangdeaodijingxiaoshangzaishanggeyuemaichepeile100duowanyuan。

zaijiagezhanchongjixia，zouliangchexingxiangyaoshouzhulinglirunxiaoshouyijingfeichangbuyi。yidianneizuishouhuanyingdechexingzhiyia4lweili，maiyiliangchabuduokuisun3wanzuoyou。youyudiliweizhiyouyueqiejubeigaoduanchexingshouquan，zheijiadianqunianhainengweichizhengtibukuisun，yishuyuquanbeijingaodipinpaizhongjingyingzhuangkuangjiaoweilixiangde。bufenzhinengxiaoshouguochanq5、a6hea4chexingdejingxiaoshang，kenengyijingdaoleshengcunkanyoudedibu。

touzirenxiwangmendiannenggoukuaisuhuifuzhikechixudecaiwuzhuangtai。weijieyuerenli、shuidianhefangzuchengben，gaidianzaigengzaoshihouyijingguanbishitang，tigongjikehudezizhiwucanbeigenghuanweiwaimai。shinianqianzhenggemendiandeyuexiaoliangqingsongtupo300liangyichengwangshi，zhuguanxuyaogengpinfandilalongwaibuziyuan、tigaowaizhanpinlv。jiaochezhouqiyecongdangtianjiaofuyanzhangzhisantian，yibianliuxiagengduogenjugongxuguanxidiaopeixianjinliudechuangkou。

peiqianmaichebushiaodijingxiaoshangduzimianlindewenti，laiziyingshoudechixuyalicujinhaohuapinpaizuochugengduogaibian，erzheiyicizhimianxiaofeizhebingyinfazhendong——nishizhangjia。

suizhebaomajinrikaishiwendingjiagetixi，benchiheaodiyejiangzhubushousuoyouhuilidu。juxiaoshourenyuanjieshao，aodia4lchexingyijingzhangjia2000yuan、a6zhangjia1wan、q5zhangjia2wan，yujidaoyuedisuoyouchexingdouhuizhangjiachaoguo2wan。jiemianxinwenzoufangdebaomamendiangechexingjiageyijingshangdiao1zhi2wan，benchimuqianzanshimeiyoudiaojiadongzuo，danyujizaiweilaiyizhouneizhangjiazhishao5000yuan。

duiyuzhangjiadexiaoxi，baomaguanfanghuiyingjiemianxinwencheng，jinqimeiyouduijianyilingshoujiazuorenhediaozheng。jingxiaoshangduishichangzhongduanlingshoujiayoujuecequan，zuizhongchengjiaojiashoushichangdiaojie，shuyuzhengchangbodong。

zhangjiahou，laimendiankanchederenfanerbianduole，zaiyigeputongdegongzuori，aodimendianneideshiyumingxiaoshoujunmangyujiedaikehu，xinjingukepingjunxuyaodengdai15zhi20fenzhongcaiyouzhuanrenjiedai，benchimendianneiyeshiruci。tamengaosuyixiangguke“maizhangbumaidie”，danzheinenggoushijizhuanhuaduoshaodingdanhaishiweizhishu。

yuzhitongbubianhuadeshixiaoliangmubiao。shangshuaodimendiandequniandeyueduxiaoliangmubiaodazhiwei150liang，danzaijinnianyijingxiadiaozhi100liang。erzaibaomamendian，xiaoshouderenwujianshaosichengzuoyou，gongzuorenyuanchengdiaozhengjiagehou，weilaijibianzhulichexingdepishouliangyehuijianban。

qichexingyegaoduyilaiguimoxiaoying，jianshaoxiaoshouliangshiyigexuyaoyongqidejueding。danmouzhongchengdushangjiang，zheiyijingchengweibufenhaohuaheziqichejingxiaoshangshukundebiyaoxuanze。zhongguoqicheliutongxiehuifabude2023nianquanguoqichejingxiaoshangshengcunzhuangkuangdiaochabaogaoxianshi，qunianjingxiaoshangdekuisunbiliwei43.5%，haohua/jinkoupinpaiyuesanfenzhiyidejingxiaoshangkuisun，hezipinpaiyinglijingxiaoshangzhanbijinwei29.9%。

惠誉评级亚太区企业评级董事杨菁告诉界面新闻，congquniansijidukaishi，zhengtihaochepinpaidelingshouzhekoulvyilushangxing，yanzhongjiyalejingxiaoshangdelirunkongjian。duiyuhaochepinpailaishuo，jingxiaoshangjiandeexingjingzheng、fuwuzhiliangxiahuaduiyupinpaijiazhidezhangqifumianyingxiangkenengjiaoduanqizaihuayinglisuojiangenglingrendanyou。

yinguzhaishuangshuangchengya，jijiangchufatuishitiaokuandeguoneizuidaqichejingxiaoshangguanghuiqiche，zhengshidangqianjingxiaoshangshengcunhuanjingdesuoying。

guanwangxianshi，qixiaoshoupinpaibaokuobenchi、aodi、woerwo、baomahekaidilakedeng。shoudaoshichangxiaofeijiangji，xingyejingzhengjiajuhejiagezhanyingxiang，gongsichengxinchexiaoshouguimohemaolilvjiaoquniantongqijunyousuoxiahua，yuji2024nianbannianduguishuyushangshigongsigudongdejinglirunkuisun5.83yiyuanzhi6.99yiyuan。

战略收缩可能是应对危机最有效的办法之一。2008年金融危机爆发，meiguoqichexingyezaoshouzhongchuang，tongyong、kelaisile、futesandajutoumianlinpochanfengxian。zaizheichangweijizhong，tongyonghekelaisilebudebuyikaozhengfushuxue，danfuteqichequepingjiezijiuduguoweiji，hexinjucuobaokuoyangedeshangyejihuashencha、xuejianbuzhuanqiandepinpai、tuanjiejingxiaoshang，weihuhexinjiazhiyijizhidinggenghelidefazhanmubiao。

电动汽车行业顾问一苒xiangjiemianxinwenzhichu，jiangdixiaoliangmubiaoyiweizhejianqingjingxiaoshangdekucunfudan。“kucunxuyaodaliangzijin，erzheixiezijinwangwangshijingxiaoshangjielaide，huizaochenghendadelixihezhaiwuyali。”

cuxiaozhekoushouzhaiyehuizaiyidingchengdushanggaishanjingxiaoshangmaolilv，“biruaodia6benlaiyouhui10wan，diaozhenghouyouhui8wan，jiashedanchelirungaishande2wanyouaodichangjiahejingxiaoshangpingfen，yigejingxiaoshangmaolilvjiukeyigaishan3%zuoyou，nengjianshaokuisun。”

lingyifangmian，guodudezhekouhuitouzhipinpaijiazhi。aoweizixundongshihehuorenzhangjunyirenwei，ruguoqichemeiyoukeyuqidewendingcanzhi、shizhongzaibuduanjiangjia，xiaofeizheduiyugoumaijiuqingxiangyuyouyu；duiyupinpaizhongchengdugaodexiaofeizhelaishuo，lvezhangyidianfanerhuiandingrenxin。

tajinyibuzhichu，mouxiechexingzaitedingjieduandejiagedanxingshizhengde，biaoxianchuyidingjifenchanpintezheng，tongchangzheizhongzoushizaiyueguidechexingshangtixiandixiangduigengmingxian。danshi，zhenzhengdejifenchanpinshijiageshangzhangerxiaofeizheduiqixuqiuliangbujianfanzengdeshangpin，erqieshimeiyoulianjiatidaidebixupin。yincidanpinleidezhangjiahennanzhangqichixu，chufeizuodaowanquanchayihua。

短期而言，选择保价的豪华品牌销量可能呈现波动。在杨菁看来，haochepinpaixiangduizhanzaijiazhiliandezuidingduan，haiyouxiangdangyibufengaoduanxuqiubuhuiqingyizhuanxiangzhongguopinpaixinnengyuanche，tongguobaojialaiwenzhujiageyuqihepinpaijiazhi，fangqibufenzhongchanxiaofeishichang，nengbaochigaoduanchanpinxiandefuwushuipingdeyinglinengli。

benchi、baomaheaodidezuofashifouhuidaidonggengduohaohuapinpaixiaofangyoudaijinyibuguancha。jiemianxinwencongjiejinrenshichuhuoxi，muqianerxianhaohuapinpaizhongbeijingdewoerwojingxiaoshangzhengzaikaolvgenjin。

zhangjunyizhichu，rangzhengtishengcungengcongrongdeqiantizhiyishi，zhangjiashigejingxiaoshangdexietongxingwei，danruguoyouqiyecaiyongdijiacelve，yekongpahuipohuaizheiyijiagezhixu。gongpingjingzheng，tishengyonghutiyanshiyigeshichangzhangqifazhandegenbendixian。

一苒预测daduoshuguojipinpaihuixuanzegenjin，“zhongguobentupinpaixiangduigengzhuiqiuxiaoliang，guojipinpaigengzhuiqiulirun，zheishizongtiguilv”。xuyaotebiezhichudeshi，haohuaqichepinpainishizhangjiamianlindetiaozhanbujinshixiaoliangbodong，“gengguanjiandezaiyuyaoganyujianchan，yaoranggongchanghegongyinglianjianshaogonghuo，zheixuyaoneibuxiadinghendajuexin”。

但惠誉评级renwei，youyudaguimoxinnengyuanjingpindecunzaiyijimubiaokequndejiagemingandu，zhonggaoduanzhuliuhezipinpaijiaonanjitigensuileisicelve。duiyuguoquyiduanshijianfenechixuxiajiangdeerxianhaochepinpaieryan，kenengmianlinliangzhongxuanze：yishigensuisuoliangbaojia、tishengpinpaifuwu、wenguzhangqipinpaijiazhi；ershibaochigaozhekoulv，yuzhongguoxinnengyuanchezhengduotoubupinpairangchudebufenrumenhaohuashichang。

zhengtilaikan，haochepinpaixiangshangdiaozhengjiage，huojiasuqizaihuajingxiaoshangdezhenghe，youliyutoubujingxiaoshangjituanjinyibutishengshichangfene。xiaoxingjingxiaoshangyinweifuwushuipingbuzu，tongchangxiyindeshiduijiageminganxingjiaogaodekequn。zaishiquzhekoulvzheiyicuxiaoshouduanhou，xiaoxingjingxiaoshangchongliangnandushangsheng，jianggengnanhuodechangshangfanli，kenenghuidaozhixiaoliangjiyingliqianjingjinyibuandan，xuanzetuichushichang。

xiangbizhixia，daxingjingxiaoshangjituantongchangyougengduojiageyiwaideshouduanlaixiyingaojingzhirenqun。youqitoubujingxiaoshangduipinpaiyougenggaodeyijianengli，pinpaihuotongguodiaozhenggonghuojiegou、xiaoliangmubiaoyijitigongewaibutielaizhichiqixincheyinglishuiping。ruguozheiyilunjiagediaozhengqingtuiyixiexiaoxingjingxiaoshang，zheixiepinpaidejiagetixihepinpaijiazhijiangjingyouhaochepinpaiyuqitoubujingxiaoshanglaigongtongweihu。