界面新闻记者 | 刘婷

suiran2024nianmeiguozongtongdaxuanliangdahouxuanrendemindiaorengranjiaozhe，danshi10yueyilai，shichangqingxuzhuanxiangduigonghedanghouxuanrentangnade·telangpuyouli，tuidong“telangpujiaoyi”juantuzhonglai，meiyuan、telangpugainianxiangguangupiaoyijibitebijunchuxianyiboqiangshishangzhang。

“telangpujiaoyi”shizhishichangweiraotelangpushengxuanerchuxiandexingqing。touzizheyazhutelangpushangtaihou，huichutaifangsongjinrongguanzhi、jiangdishuishou、tigaoyiminmenjian、jiazhengjinkouchanpinguanshuidengcuoshi，congerlihaomeiyuan、tuigaotongzhang。biru，duijinkoushangpinjiazhengguanshuililunshangkeyijianshaojinkoushangpindeshuliang，wangwanghuidaozhichukouguohuilvbianzhi，congertishengmeiyuanhuilv。

8yueqian，shichangshangcengliuxingguoyibo“telangpujiaoyi”。buguo，kamala·halisijiebangyuesefu·baidengkangqiminzhudangzongtonghouxuanrendedaqihou，yigaiminzhudangciqiantuishi，mindiaozhichilvwenbuzougaobingfanchaotelangpu，shide“telangpujiaoyi”kuaisujiangwen。dan10yueyilai，qingkuangfashenglebianhua，zaitouzizheyanzhong，telangpuhuoshenggailvfanchaohalisi。zheiyifangmianshiyinweimeiguominzhonghehaliside“miyueqi”jieshu，ertazijide“jingjixuekuangjia”rengjiaomohu；lingyifangmian，10yue1ri，telangpudefushou、nianjin40suidezhanmusi·wansizaifuzongtongbianlunzhongbiaoxianyiwaichuse，yidingchengdushangdaxiaoleshichangduiqi“nianqing”、“jiyou”biaoqiandedanyou。

10yue4riyilai，polymarketdengzhuyaobocaiwangzhankaishizhuanxiangkanhaotelangpu。juzhimingzhengzhiwangzhanreal clear politicstigongdebocaishichangpingjunzhi，telangpuhuoshengdejilvyishengzhi7yuedideshuiping。jiezhibeijingshijianzhousanxiawu，telangpuzhichilvwei57.7%，wei7yue22riyilaidezuigaoshuiping，lingxianyuhaliside41.3%。

zaihuishifangmian，10yueqijin，meiyuanzhishudafushangzhang，zhangfujin3%，jihumoquleqianlianggeyuedediefu。chuleshichanggengkanhaotelangpuhuoshengwai，meiguojingjirenxingchaoyuqiyijimeilianchukenengfanghuanjiangxijiezoudengyinsuyezhichenglemeiyuan。

zaigushifangmian，benyueyilai，telangpuqixiashejiaomeititruth socialdemugongsitrump media & technology groupdegujiayibiaoshengjin90%。lingwai，telangpuchengnuo，ruguotazhongxindangxuanzongtong，jiangtuichuyibofangsongjinrongguanzhidezhengce。zaizheizhongyuqixia，yinxinggujinqizhangshibusu，spdrbiaozhunpuerquyuyinxingetfzi10yue4riyilaiyiludeyue10%dezhangfu。

ciwai，youyutelangpuzhanxianleduijiamihuobidereqing，10yuechuyilai，bitebijiageyishangzhang13%。zhousan，bitebijiageyidutupo68000meiyuan，panzhongdazhangchao3%，chuangxia7yuediyilaidexingao。

“telangpujiaoyi”shenzhibojidaoagu。“chuandazhisheng”youyumingziyutelangpulingyiyinyiming“chuanpu”yinsi，yizhibeirenweishiagushichangde“telangpugainiangu”。benyueqijin，gaiguyijingzhangchao13%。zhousichujizhangting，shoubao14.56yuan。

suirantouzizhejiadayazhutelangpuhuosheng，danqijinmindiaoxianshi，telangpuhehalisirengranshijunlidi，sheijiangzuizhongruzhubaigongrengnanyuliao。

zaibutongmindiaozhong，telangpuhehalisigeyouqianqiu。real clear politicsduiqigeguanjianyaobaizhoudeminyidiaochapingjunzhixianshi，telangpuzailiugezhoulvezhanyoushi。danshimeiguozhumingdemindiaoyucezhuanjianate silverdeyucepingjunzhixianshi，halisizaizheiqigezhouzhongdesigezhoulvezhanyoushi。