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广东省登革热病例激增,专家称与往年本质并无区别

jinniandenggereyiqingguimoyuwangnian(chuyiqingsannianwai)xiangbimeiyoutaidaqubie。

图源:视觉中国

界面新闻记者 | 唐卓雅

界面新闻编辑 | 谢欣

yichangyouwenziyinfadedenggereyiqingzhengzaiguangdongmanyan

zijinnian9yueqi,guangdongshengjikongkaishianzhoutongbaodenggereyiqing,jiashang8yuetongbaode1220li,guangdongshengzi8yueqileijibaogaodenggereganranbingli8404li。juguangdongshengjikongtongbaodezuijinyizhouqingkuang,2024niandi41zhou(10yue7rizhi10yue13ri),quanshengxinzengbaogao2005lidenggerebingli。bingqieshoucixinzengzhongzhengbingli4li,wuxinzengsiwangbingli。

guangdongshengshangweigongbushangyizhoudexinzengbinglishu,danshigenjuguangzhoushibaogaodezuixinshuju,shangyizhou(2024nian10yue14rizhi10yue20ri),quanshibaogaoxinzeng497lidenggerebingli,jiaoqianyizhou(437li)zengjia60li,huanbizengjia13.73%。muqianlaikan,denggereganranqingkuanghaiweichuxianguaidian。

erqie,yuwangnianxiangbi,jinnianguangdongshengdenggeredebinglishumingxianzengzhang。ju《woguo2019—2023niandenggerebaogaobingliliuxingbingxuetezheng》yiwentongji,2019nianhe2023nian,guangdongshengdedenggereleijibinglishufenbiewei5574li、3969li。

denggereshijingyiwen(jihuabanwen)dingyaochuanbodeyizhongjixingchuanranbing,zhuyaotongguo“bingren→yiwen→qitaren”detujingchuanbo。ganranhouhuichuxianfare、pizhen、jiroujigutoutong,yanzhongzhehuichuxianchuxueshenzhisiwang。denggerejuyoujiaoqiangdejijiexing,liuxinggaofengriduojizhongyumeiniande9yuezhongxiaxunzhi10yuechu,liuxinggaofengqizhuyaojizhongyu8—11yue。

jiezhongyimiaoshiyufangchuanranbingzuijingjiyouxiaodecuoshi,danmuqianwoguoshangwudenggereyimiaoshangshi。jushijieweishengzuzhi(who)guanwang,muqianquanqiuyiyouliangkuandenggereyimiaohuodewhodeyurenzheng,fenbiesainuofeibasidegongsiyanfadecyd-tdvhewutianyanfadetak-003,danshangweibeidafanweijiezhongshiyong。qizhong,cyd-tdvzai2017nianbeibaodaohuizengjiajiwangweiganranzhefashengzhongzhengdenggeredefengxian,gaiyimiaodeanquanwentidedaolesainuofeidezhengshi。zaiquefatexiaoyaoheyimiaodeqingkuangxia,kongzhichuanbomeijiebaiwenyiwenchengweikongzhidenggereliuxingdeguanjian。

xianggangdaxueshengwuyixuexueyuanjiaoshou、bingduxuezhuanjiajindongyanduijiemianxinwenjizhebiaoshi,suiranjinnianguangdongshengtongbaodedenggerebinglishuyousuozengzhang,danshizhishanghewangnianguimomeiyoutaidabutong,zongtirengchuyukekongzhuangtai。tajieshicheng,liangsantianneizaimouyigequchuxianshangqianqibingliheyizhouhuoyiyueneizaiquanshengfanweineichuxianshangqianqibinglishibuyiyangdegainian,chuleyiqingzhiwai,guowangdenianfenliguangdongshengyeyouguoyigeyuechuxianguoqianqibinglideqingkuang,suoyizaiguimoshangmeiyoutaidaqubie。

jindongyanrenwei,muqiandenggeredeliuxingshuyuxiaoguimo、difangxingdeliuxing。tabiaoshi,muqiandexinzengbinglizhongyibentubingliweiduo。“yibanqingkuangxia,ruguofaxianyilidenggerehuanzhe,neimehaikenengyouqianzaidesangerenbeiganran,qiechuyuwuzhengzhuangzhuangtai。erqiedenggereyiqingzhengweiduo,zhengzhuangyuganmaoleisi,qingkuangbuyanzhongdeqingkuangxiabingfeimeigerendouhuiquyiyuanjiuzhen。”

congquanguofanweilaikan,chuyiqingqijiansannian,woguodedenggerefabinglvchengzhujianshenggaotaishi,2024niandenggerebinglishujizengyeyinzhengzheiyiqushi。ju《zhongguoredaiyixue》zazhi《zhongguodenggerefabingqushiyushikongfenbutezheng》yiwenfenxi,2015~2023nianjianwoguodenggerefabinglvpingjunmeinianshenggao70.79%。qizhong,2015—2019nianquanguodenggerefabinglvzhunianshenggao,2020—2022nianjiao2015—2019nianxianzhuxiajiang,2023niankuaisuhuisheng,jiejin2019nianshuiping。zheikenengshi2020—2022nianshouxinxingguanzhuangbingdufangkongzhengceyingxiang,jingwaidenggereshurubinglijianshao,2023nianxinguanyiqingfangkongzhengcedediaozheng,renyuankuajingliudongzhujianhuifu,shuruxingbinglizengjia。

shijishang,jinniandenggeredeliuxingzaoyouyujing。jinnianshangbannian,guangdongshengweishengjiankangweiyuanhuicengbiaoshi,jinnian3yuedewenmeimidugaoyu2018niantongqijianceshuiping。guangdongshengjibingyufangkongzhizhongxinfuzhurenlinlifengjieshao,suizheqiwenshenggao、yushuizengduo,wenmeimidujiangzhujianshenggao。jinnian5yue,guangdongshengjikongfawentishi,2024nian5yueshangbanyue,guangdongshenggongjiancedao35gemeijieyiwengaomidujiancediansuozaizhenjie。ersuochudiqudemeijieyiwenmiduyuegao,fashengdenggereliuxingdefengxianyuegao。

buzhishiwoguo,jinnianyilaidenggerezaiquanqiuduodichengxiangaofataishi。jumeiguoyouxiandianshixinwenwang(cnn)6yue7ribaodao,zaijinnian6yue1riqian,yejiushiwangnianxinjiapodenggerefabinggaofengqikaishiqian,gaiguoyijingchuxianlechaoguo11000lidenggerebingli。yuzhixiangduide,shi2021nianquannianxinjiapodedenggerebinglizongshuwei5258li。genjushijieweishengzuzhigongbudeshuju,2024nian1zhi8yue,quanqiugongbaogaodenggerebingli1238wanli、7865lixiangguansiwangbingli。

denggeredegaofaheqihoubianhuayouguan。qianshulunwenzhichu,zaiwoguo,denggerezhuyaofenbuzainanfangdiqu,dansuiqihoubiannuanhejiaotongbianjie,denggereyouxiangxi、xiangbeikuozhandequshi。denggeredechuanbozhuyaohebaiwenyiwenyouguan,denggerefeifengxiandiqushuyuwoguochuantongdebaiwenyiwenfeishishengquhedishishengquruguoqihoubiannuanchixu,baiwenyiwenjiangxiangwoguogaoweidu、gaohaibadiqukuosan,dao2050nian,baiwenyiwendefengxianjiangkuodadaowoguojihusuoyourenkouchoumidiqu,fengxianjijiejiangkuodadao4—10yue。

wenmeijiancexianshi,2017—2018niangansushengshoucizaitianshuishifaxianlebaiwenyiwen,zheishiwoguonuanwendaibaiwenyiwenfenbudezuibeibian。zheixianshizi2010nianzaigansushenglongnanxianfaxianbaiwenyiwenyilai,baiwenyiwenfenbuquyijingxiangbeikuosan150km。

lingyilunwen《qihoubianhuaduizhongguomeijieshengwuchuanranbingdeyingxiangjiyingdui——zhongdayanjiufaxianjiweilaiyanjiujianyi》yezhichu,qihoubianhuaqudongwoguodenggeredengmeijieshengwuchuanranbingliuxingquxiangxixiangbeixianzhukuozhan、liuxingpinlvheqiangduxianzhuzengjia,qiesuizheqihoujixubiannuanweilailiuxingqiangduhefengxianrenqunjiangjiasuzengjia。

qihoubianhuashiyingxiangchuanranbingfashengdezhongyaoyinsu,qizhijiehuojianjiediyingxiangchuanranbingdebingyuanti、meijieshengwu、suzhuyijiyiganrenqun,jinergaibianchuanranbingliuxingdemoshi、pinlvheqiangdu。chuledenggerezhiwai,nveji、yinaodengdoushuyuwenmeichuanbojibing。

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广东省登革热病例激增,专家称与往年本质并无区别

jinniandenggereyiqingguimoyuwangnian(chuyiqingsannianwai)xiangbimeiyoutaidaqubie。

图源:视觉中国

界面新闻记者 | 唐卓雅

界面新闻编辑 | 谢欣

yichangyouwenziyinfadedenggereyiqingzhengzaiguangdongmanyan

zijinnian9yueqi,guangdongshengjikongkaishianzhoutongbaodenggereyiqing,jiashang8yuetongbaode1220li,guangdongshengzi8yueqileijibaogaodenggereganranbingli8404li。juguangdongshengjikongtongbaodezuijinyizhouqingkuang,2024niandi41zhou(10yue7rizhi10yue13ri),quanshengxinzengbaogao2005lidenggerebingli。bingqieshoucixinzengzhongzhengbingli4li,wuxinzengsiwangbingli。

guangdongshengshangweigongbushangyizhoudexinzengbinglishu,danshigenjuguangzhoushibaogaodezuixinshuju,shangyizhou(2024nian10yue14rizhi10yue20ri),quanshibaogaoxinzeng497lidenggerebingli,jiaoqianyizhou(437li)zengjia60li,huanbizengjia13.73%。muqianlaikan,denggereganranqingkuanghaiweichuxianguaidian。

erqie,yuwangnianxiangbi,jinnianguangdongshengdenggeredebinglishumingxianzengzhang。ju《woguo2019—2023niandenggerebaogaobingliliuxingbingxuetezheng》yiwentongji,2019nianhe2023nian,guangdongshengdedenggereleijibinglishufenbiewei5574li、3969li。

denggereshijingyiwen(jihuabanwen)dingyaochuanbodeyizhongjixingchuanranbing,zhuyaotongguo“bingren→yiwen→qitaren”detujingchuanbo。ganranhouhuichuxianfare、pizhen、jiroujigutoutong,yanzhongzhehuichuxianchuxueshenzhisiwang。denggerejuyoujiaoqiangdejijiexing,liuxinggaofengriduojizhongyumeiniande9yuezhongxiaxunzhi10yuechu,liuxinggaofengqizhuyaojizhongyu8—11yue。

jiezhongyimiaoshiyufangchuanranbingzuijingjiyouxiaodecuoshi,danmuqianwoguoshangwudenggereyimiaoshangshi。jushijieweishengzuzhi(who)guanwang,muqianquanqiuyiyouliangkuandenggereyimiaohuodewhodeyurenzheng,fenbiesainuofeibasidegongsiyanfadecyd-tdvhewutianyanfadetak-003,danshangweibeidafanweijiezhongshiyong。qizhong,cyd-tdvzai2017nianbeibaodaohuizengjiajiwangweiganranzhefashengzhongzhengdenggeredefengxian,gaiyimiaodeanquanwentidedaolesainuofeidezhengshi。zaiquefatexiaoyaoheyimiaodeqingkuangxia,kongzhichuanbomeijiebaiwenyiwenchengweikongzhidenggereliuxingdeguanjian。

xianggangdaxueshengwuyixuexueyuanjiaoshou、bingduxuezhuanjiajindongyanduijiemianxinwenjizhebiaoshi,suiranjinnianguangdongshengtongbaodedenggerebinglishuyousuozengzhang,danshizhishanghewangnianguimomeiyoutaidabutong,zongtirengchuyukekongzhuangtai。tajieshicheng,liangsantianneizaimouyigequchuxianshangqianqibingliheyizhouhuoyiyueneizaiquanshengfanweineichuxianshangqianqibinglishibuyiyangdegainian,chuleyiqingzhiwai,guowangdenianfenliguangdongshengyeyouguoyigeyuechuxianguoqianqibinglideqingkuang,suoyizaiguimoshangmeiyoutaidaqubie。

jindongyanrenwei,muqiandenggeredeliuxingshuyuxiaoguimo、difangxingdeliuxing。tabiaoshi,muqiandexinzengbinglizhongyibentubingliweiduo。“yibanqingkuangxia,ruguofaxianyilidenggerehuanzhe,neimehaikenengyouqianzaidesangerenbeiganran,qiechuyuwuzhengzhuangzhuangtai。erqiedenggereyiqingzhengweiduo,zhengzhuangyuganmaoleisi,qingkuangbuyanzhongdeqingkuangxiabingfeimeigerendouhuiquyiyuanjiuzhen。”

congquanguofanweilaikan,chuyiqingqijiansannian,woguodedenggerefabinglvchengzhujianshenggaotaishi,2024niandenggerebinglishujizengyeyinzhengzheiyiqushi。ju《zhongguoredaiyixue》zazhi《zhongguodenggerefabingqushiyushikongfenbutezheng》yiwenfenxi,2015~2023nianjianwoguodenggerefabinglvpingjunmeinianshenggao70.79%。qizhong,2015—2019nianquanguodenggerefabinglvzhunianshenggao,2020—2022nianjiao2015—2019nianxianzhuxiajiang,2023niankuaisuhuisheng,jiejin2019nianshuiping。zheikenengshi2020—2022nianshouxinxingguanzhuangbingdufangkongzhengceyingxiang,jingwaidenggereshurubinglijianshao,2023nianxinguanyiqingfangkongzhengcedediaozheng,renyuankuajingliudongzhujianhuifu,shuruxingbinglizengjia。

shijishang,jinniandenggeredeliuxingzaoyouyujing。jinnianshangbannian,guangdongshengweishengjiankangweiyuanhuicengbiaoshi,jinnian3yuedewenmeimidugaoyu2018niantongqijianceshuiping。guangdongshengjibingyufangkongzhizhongxinfuzhurenlinlifengjieshao,suizheqiwenshenggao、yushuizengduo,wenmeimidujiangzhujianshenggao。jinnian5yue,guangdongshengjikongfawentishi,2024nian5yueshangbanyue,guangdongshenggongjiancedao35gemeijieyiwengaomidujiancediansuozaizhenjie。ersuochudiqudemeijieyiwenmiduyuegao,fashengdenggereliuxingdefengxianyuegao。

buzhishiwoguo,jinnianyilaidenggerezaiquanqiuduodichengxiangaofataishi。jumeiguoyouxiandianshixinwenwang(cnn)6yue7ribaodao,zaijinnian6yue1riqian,yejiushiwangnianxinjiapodenggerefabinggaofengqikaishiqian,gaiguoyijingchuxianlechaoguo11000lidenggerebingli。yuzhixiangduide,shi2021nianquannianxinjiapodedenggerebinglizongshuwei5258li。genjushijieweishengzuzhigongbudeshuju,2024nian1zhi8yue,quanqiugongbaogaodenggerebingli1238wanli、7865lixiangguansiwangbingli。

denggeredegaofaheqihoubianhuayouguan。qianshulunwenzhichu,zaiwoguo,denggerezhuyaofenbuzainanfangdiqu,dansuiqihoubiannuanhejiaotongbianjie,denggereyouxiangxi、xiangbeikuozhandequshi。denggeredechuanbozhuyaohebaiwenyiwenyouguan,denggerefeifengxiandiqushuyuwoguochuantongdebaiwenyiwenfeishishengquhedishishengquruguoqihoubiannuanchixu,baiwenyiwenjiangxiangwoguogaoweidu、gaohaibadiqukuosan,dao2050nian,baiwenyiwendefengxianjiangkuodadaowoguojihusuoyourenkouchoumidiqu,fengxianjijiejiangkuodadao4—10yue。

wenmeijiancexianshi,2017—2018niangansushengshoucizaitianshuishifaxianlebaiwenyiwen,zheishiwoguonuanwendaibaiwenyiwenfenbudezuibeibian。zheixianshizi2010nianzaigansushenglongnanxianfaxianbaiwenyiwenyilai,baiwenyiwenfenbuquyijingxiangbeikuosan150km。

lingyilunwen《qihoubianhuaduizhongguomeijieshengwuchuanranbingdeyingxiangjiyingdui——zhongdayanjiufaxianjiweilaiyanjiujianyi》yezhichu,qihoubianhuaqudongwoguodenggeredengmeijieshengwuchuanranbingliuxingquxiangxixiangbeixianzhukuozhan、liuxingpinlvheqiangduxianzhuzengjia,qiesuizheqihoujixubiannuanweilailiuxingqiangduhefengxianrenqunjiangjiasuzengjia。

qihoubianhuashiyingxiangchuanranbingfashengdezhongyaoyinsu,qizhijiehuojianjiediyingxiangchuanranbingdebingyuanti、meijieshengwu、suzhuyijiyiganrenqun,jinergaibianchuanranbingliuxingdemoshi、pinlvheqiangdu。chuledenggerezhiwai,nveji、yinaodengdoushuyuwenmeichuanbojibing。

未经正式授权严禁转载本文,侵权必究。