文｜时代周报

haoyuehua1200wanyuanmaidefangzi，xianzaitongxiaoqutonghuxingdeguapaijiashi1050wanyuan。

ta“shangche”deneiyinianshi2020nian，neishishenzhenloushizuiweihuoredeshiqi——dangnian，shenzhenmaile4.5wantaoxinfang，tongbizengzhang19.8%，chuangxia5nianxingao。

rucihuobaodechangjingzhuyaoguiyinyuxinfangheershoufangjiagededaogua。

neishi，shenzhendexianjiazhengceyijingzhixingsannian，xinfangjiageshoudaoyangeguanzhi，yuershoufangjiacunzaijiaodadaoguakongjian，“daxin”langchaoxijuanquancheng。zaidangshidegoufangzheyanzhong，shenzhenhenduofangzidouxiangdangyu“100wanyuandebaoma50wanyuanmai”。

zai“maidaojizhuandao”deqingxuguoxiexia，kaipan“riguang”chengweichangtai。shenzhenzhongyuanyanjiuzhongxintongjishujuxianshi，2020nianshenzhendezhuzhai、gongyu、shangbandenggeleixingloupankaipanchaoguo130ci，qizhong34cidangtianshouqing。

yankanzheshizhongxindeloupanjieerliansanbeiqiangguang，haoyuebantuibanjiurushoulelonghuayitaojianzhumianjiyue120pingfangmidexinfang，danjiayue10wanyuan/pingfangmi——zheishidangshizhenggepianquzuiguidejiage。tabingwutaiduodanyou，yinweiyigonglikaiwaiyijingyouershouloupanmaichu12wanyuan/pingfangmidejiage。jihusuoyourendourending，fangjiahaihuijixushangzhang。

danjiexialaijiniandeshichangzoushichaochulejuedaduoshurendeyiliao，jihusuoyoumaifangrendoumuduleyiciloushide“shendun”。dangxia，shichangjinglizhangqidiaozheng，xingshinizhuan，fangjiashenduhuidiao，zaijiashang9yue29rishenzhenxianshouzhengcequxiaohou，ershoushichanggongyingzengjia，“pofa”qudai“daogua”chenglegaopinci。

yinweixianshoujiejin，haoyuedefangziyouleliutongdejihui，danzheibingbushihaoxiaoxi。tazaibeiqiaozhaofangappkandao，xiaoquxianzaichushoudeershoufang，yibandeguapaijiadiyusinianqiandebeianjunjia，hetajiatongyanghuxingdefangziguapaijiawei1050wanyuan，gebicengjingmaichutianjiadexiaoquzuixinchengjiaojiayeyijingsuoshuisiwucheng。

haoyueruzhuweimanyiniandefangzi，jiage“pofa”le。

leiside“pofa”bingfeigeli。zaigegeshejiaomeitipingtai，sidayixianchengshinaizhihangzhou、chengdou、wuhan、shamendengredianerxianchengshi，douyouyezhufenxiang“pofa”demaifanggushi。

yimingwuhanyezhuzai2020niangaowei“shangche”，300wanyuanbenjinyijingfukui50%，“bumaile”。tongyangzai2020nianmaifangdeyiweiguangzhouyezhu，680wanyuanmaidefangzi，xianzaitongxiaoqutonghuxingzhimai450wanyuan。“meirirenwu”debaodaozhongyechuxianshumingningkekuisunshangbaiwanyeyao“jietao”debeijingyezhu。

zaishenzhenbeiqiaoyanjiuyuanyuanzhangxiaoxiaopingkanlai，ershoufangjia“pofa”，jibushigean，yebushixianxiang。“shichangbijingdiaozhenglesansinian，jiagekendingbukenenghezhiqianbi，suoyiyuanjiamaiyehao，shenzhibiyuanjiahaiyaodidejiagelaimai，kendingshiyoude。”

genjuxiaoxiaopingdediaocha，muqiandijiamaifangdeyezhu，zuizhuyaodeyuanyinshixinxinbuzu，“suiranxianzaimaidejiagebugao，danshitamenrenweiweilaikenenghaihuigengdi。” 

网红盘报价“破发”

cengjingbeishoushichangzhuipengdeshenzhenwanghongpanfangyuan，xianzaibufayi“pofajia”guapaichushou。

pirushenzhendiyigeshixingjifenyaohaodehuaqiangcheng。

2020nian8yue，huaqiangchengsanqirushi。jushenguangdiandoushipindaobaodao，2.6wanrencanyulechengyidengji，erhuaqiangchengkeshoufangyuanzhiyou556tao。zuizhong，zhangda96yederuweimingdanshang，diyimingjifengaoda109.5fen——anjifenguizetuisuan，zheishiyiduishenhufuqi，hejizaishenzhenjiaona41nianshebao，qiemingxiajunwufangchan。

quniankaishi，huaqiangchengsanqiluxujiexian，keyishangshijiaoyi。muqian，huaqiangchengsanqizaibeiqiaozhaofangyou20taofangchushou，guapaijiazai4.37-5.87wanyuan/pingfangmizhijian，erkaipanshidebeianjiazai4.3-6.6wanyuan/pingfangmizhijian，duotaozaishoufangyuandashangle“yezhujishou”debiaoqian。

beiqiaozhaofangdechengjiaojiluxianshi，jinnian3yue，huaqiangchengsanqiyitaojianmianyue89pingfangmidesanjushiyi378wanyuanchengjiao，danjiayue4.26wanyuan/pingfangmi。zaiguapaichushoude308tianli，yezhudiaojia7cicaicuchengjiaoyi。

yuhuaqiangchengqimingdewanghongpanwanfenghaianchengzai2021nian1yueshoucikaipan，tongyangxiyindaliang“shebaojuzi”daxin，yemeitaoguo“pofa”mingyun。xianshouquxiaohou，wanfenghaianchenghuodejiaoyizige，muqianzaibeiqiaozhaofangyou8taoershoufangchushou，qizhong5taodeguapaijiadiyukaipanjunjia。zuibianyideyitaoguapandanjiayue5.26wanyuan/pingfangmi，ersannianqiandebeianjunjiayue5.75wanyuan/pingfangmi。

gaishanpanzhaoshangzhenfuyeyouershoufangbaojia“pofa”le。

zhaoshangzhenfuweiyu“xiangouqu”baoanquxinanjiedao，zhiyouliangzhonghuxing，jianmianyue118pingfangmisijushi、jianmianyue156pingfangmiwujushi，beianjunjiayue8.84wanyuan/pingfangmi，yu2020nian8yuerushi。

muqian，zhaoshangzhenfuyou27taoershoufangzaibeiqiaozhaofangguapai，qizhong10taofangyuanbaojia“pofa”。zuibianyideshiyitaojianmianyue120pingfangmidesijushi，zaixianshouzhengcequxiaohoubangeyuefangpanchushou，guapaijia950wanyuan，danjiayue7.92wanyuan/pingfangmi。fuzeweihuzheitaofangzidejingjirenweitadashangle“manerweiyi”“hongbenzaishou”“gaolouceng”dengbiaoqian。

xiaoxiaopingrenwei，ershoufangyezhudijiamaifang，shizai“qianjiushichang”。2021nian5yueyilai，shenzhenfangjiachixuxiatan，bufenquyufangjiajiaogaodiansuoshuisanzhiwucheng，daliangershoufangjiagehuidaoliunianqian，xinfangjiageyebuduanhuidiao。ershouyezhuxiangyaomaifang，zhinengsuixingjiushi。

“yezhuqianjiushichang，zuizhongyaodeyuanyinshiduihoushixinxinbuzu。”jinnian8yue，xiaoxiaopingcengfaqiyigeguanyumaifangyuanyindediaocha，“zheixieyezhuxuanzezheishihoudijiamaifang，zhuyaoshiyinweitamenjuedeguojigeyuehuozhemingnianzaimai，jiagehuigengdi。”

yiweiyi“pofajia”maidiaofangzidehangzhouyezhufaxian，xiayitaofangzidechengjiaojiayoubizijidechengjiaojiadile25wanyuan，“haishipaodemanle，danshixianzaipaozongbizaiwandianhao。”

xiaoxiaopingbiaoshi，ershoufangjia“pofa”dequecunzai，danbingmeiyouxingchengqushi，“zhenzhengyuanyiyidiyugourujiamaichuderen，meiyouwomenxiangxiangzhongneimeduo，zheigeshishihenxuyaoyongqide。”

二手房挂牌量走高

ershoufangjiagechengya，yuxianshoujiejinhouyezhudaliangfangpanbuwuguanxi。

9yue29ri，shenzhenshizhujianjudengsibumenlianhefabu《guanyujinyibuyouhuafangdichanshichangpingwenjiankangfazhanzhengcecuoshidetongzhi》（yixiajiancheng“《tongzhi》”），mingquequxiaoshangpinzhufangheshangwugongyuzhuanrangxianzhi，shangpinzhufangheshangwugongyuqudebudongchanquandengjizhengshuhou，keshangshijiaoyi。

ciqian，shenzhendeshangpinzhufangheshangwugongyuxuzaiqudebudongchanquandengjizhengshufenbieman3nian、5nianhoufangkeshangshijiaoyi。

xianshouquxiaohou，yuanbenzaixianshouqidefangyuankeyishangshijiaoyi，cixinloupanguapailiangzengduo，tuidongzhengtiguapailiangchuxianjiaoweimingxiandezengzhang。

shenzhenbeiqiaoyanjiuyuanjianceshujuxianshi，xinzhengfabuhou，louling3niannei、5nianneidefangyuanzhanbishangsheng，qizhong3nianneidexinzhenghouzhanbidadao3%，zengfuwei1.8%；5nianneidexinzhenghouzhanbidadao9.5%，zengfuwei2.5%。

beiqiaozhaofangappxianshi，xinzhengfabuhoudesizhou（9yue30ri-10yue27ri），meizhouxinzengguapaideershoufangyuanshuliangfenbiewei7253tao、5091tao、4626tao、4144tao。kegongduibideshi，xinzhengfabuqian，beiqiaozhaofangmeizhouxinzengguapaiershoufangyuanzai3000taozuoyou。

shenzhenshifangdichanzhongjiexiehuigenjugongkaizaishouershoufangyuanliangshujutongjifaxian，jiezhi10yue28ri，shenzhengongyou68341taoyouxiaoershoufangzaishou，zaishouliangzhengtichengchixuzengzhangtaishi。 

gongyingduanqizougao，daozhiguapaijiachengya。

yiwanghongpanhuarunchengrunxiweili。runxifenliangqikaifa，zai2020nianzhi2022nianfensanpirushi，beianjunjiayue13.2wanyuan/pingfangmi。suizhexianshouquxiao，runxideyishangshijiaoyi。

muqian，runxiyi、erqizaibeiqiaozhaofang、zhongyuanzhaofangdeguapailiangfenbiewei72tao、85tao。shuxihuarunchengdejingjirensongnantoulu，runxiyi、erqishijizaishoufangyuanyichaoguo300tao，“youxieshifangpanchengxuhaimeizouwan，huozhemeiqianweituoshu，meiyouzaiappzhanshi。”

zaishoufangyuanzengduo，jishoudeyezhubudeburangbu。

zaizhongyuanzhaofangfangpandeduomingrunxiyiqiyezhujinqixiadiaolebaojia，jiangjiafangyuanjunweijianmianyue120pingfangmisanjushi，yitaodicengchaodongbeidejiangjia250wanyuan，yitaodicengchaonandejiangjia150wanyuan，yitaogaocengchaodongnandejiangjia100wanyuan。

zhongyuanzhaofangchengjiaojiluxianshi，runxiyiqizuijinchengjiaoyitaojianmianyue114pingfangmisanjushi，zongjia1668wanyuan，danjiayue14.63wanyuan/pingfangmi。“suanshanggongloulixi、zijinchengben，maile1668wanyuandeyezhubingmeiyouzhuanqian”，songnanbiaoshi。

songnanbiaoshi，jinjinianyinqiquanmindaxindewanghongpan，anmuqianshichangrenkedejiagecesuan，dabufenzhinengbaoben，huozheweizhuan，“bushishuo13wanyuan/pingfangmimairu，14wanyuan/pingfangmimaichujiushizhuanleyiliangbaiwanyuan，shoufudejihuichengben、lixi、shuifei、yongjin，nandaobushichengbenma？”

haoxiaoxishi，xianshouquxiaoyuzengzhishuimianzhengnianxiancongwuniandiaozhengweiliangnianyinfadeguapailiangzougaoqushi，yijingkaishifanghuan。xiaoxiaopingbiaoshi，shenzhenxinzhengchutaideqiansanzhou，beiqiaozhaofangpingtaideershoufangguapailiangzengfufenbiewei4.4%、1.9%、1.0%，“suizheshijiandetuiyi，zengfujianqupinghuan，congzhongbunankanchushichangxinxinzaizhubutisheng。”

价格泡沫被挤破

xianshouquxiao，daliangershoufangdeyishangshiliutong，zhishi“pofa”debiaocengyuanyin。gengshencengdeyuanyinshi，fangdichanshichangjingguoshenduhuidiao，paomobeijichu，fangjiadedaoxiuzheng。

buzhishishenzhen，hangzhou、wuhan、chengdoudengredianchengshicengyinfa“wanrenyao”debushaowanghongloupan，yezaiershoushichangzaoyu“pofa”。

yihangzhouweili。 2018nianzhi2021nian，hangzhouleijichuxian32ci“wanrenyao”，shejiweilaikejicheng、qianjiangshijichengdengremenbankuaide20geloupan，bufenyirushijiaoyideloupanchuxian“pofa”。

weilaikejichengdeyuanyangxixigongguanzai2020nianchuangzaole“6wanrenyao”jilu。gaixiangmuxinfangjunjiayue2.79wanyuan/pingfangmi，2022nian3yuedeershoufangchengjiaodanjiayidupanshengzhi4.2wanyuan/pingfangmi，dan2024nian9yuedechengjiaojunjiayue2.56wanyuan/pingfangmi。keerruizhichu，yuanyangxixigongguan“pofa”，zhuyaoshoutouzikebiliguogao、chanpinhuxingguoshiyijiqunzufangguoduodengyinsu，daozhixiaoqufangjiachuxiancaita、huiluodeqingkuang。

dajiangdonghexinquderongchuangchengyemianlin“pofa”。2019nianzhi2020nian，rongchuangchenggongkaipan9ci，chuangzaole2ci“wanrenyao”。xinfangshiqi，rongchuangchenggaocengjunjiayue1.84wanyuan/pingfangmi，jinnian9yueqigaocengfangyuandechengjiaojunjiayue1.66wanyuan/pingfangmi，kuisunjin10%。

hangzhoujiuridewanghongpanershoufangjia“pofa”，yuanyintongyangzhixiangfangjiadegaoweihuiluo。

2022nianzhongyilai，hangzhouershoufangjiagekaishibodongxiaxing，yiershoufangfangjiayouciqiandexianzhudaoguazhuanbianweidangqiandezhengxiangjiachachixukuoda。genjukeerruijiance，jinnianyilai，hangzhoudexinfangyuershoufangjiachayicong3yuede1297yuan/pingfangmikuodazhi9yuede5466yuan/pingfangmi。

“fangjiaxiaxingdaizouleduanqitouzitoujixuqiu，zhenshidegoufangxuqiuxianxian，duoshucengjingdewanghongpanhuojinrubaobenheweiliqi，loushicaifuxiaoyingyuqiyejiangchixujianruo”，keerruibiaoshi。

duiyuxianshouzhengcedequxiao，yeneipubianchikendingtaidu。

zhongzhiyanjiuyuanzhengceyanjiuzongjianchenwenjingrenwei，xianshouquxiaoduanqineihuotuidongershoufangguapailiangzengjia，danyeyouliyucujinershoufangshichanghuoyuedutisheng。

yimingshichangyanjiurenshibingburenweixianshoujiejingongyingzengjiahuizaochengfangjiacaita，“guoquzheimeduonian，ershoushichanghuoyuedeshihou，doushigongxuliangwangdexingqing，xuqiuhegongyingshiqitoubingjinerfeicixiaobizhangdeguocheng。gongxuliangduandouchongzu，dajiacainenggoukuaisudijinxingxuqiupipei，congerdadaoliangyujiadepingheng。”

“fangzinenggoumeiyouxianzhidiliutong，shichangcaihuishibijiaojiankangdezhuangtai。”qianshurenshibiaoshi。

9yuediluodideyixiliezhengcezuhequanyimanyue，shenzhendengyixianchengshishichangxinxinmingxianxiufu。

genjushenzhenzhongyuanyanjiuzhongxinjiance，jiezhi10yue28ri，shenzhenyishouzhuzhairengou11185tao，chaoguoguoqu4geyuegoufanghetongwangqianliangzonghe；ershouzhuzhaiguohuliangwei5256tao，wei2021nian2yueyilaixingao。

“yiershouchengjiaodouchuangjinjinianxingao，fanyingshichangqueshihuobaoqilai，kehuyuqimingxiangaishan，rushiyiyuandafutigao。”zhongyuandichan（zhongguoneidi）huananquzongcai、shenzhenzhongyuanzongjinglizhengshulunbiaoshi，muqianzhishichengjiaoliangdedafushangsheng，dangzheizhongxingqingnenggouchixuxiaqu，jiageyejiuyoujihuiwanchengzhudishenzhizhuantouxiangshang。

（郝悦、宋楠为化名）