界面新闻记者 |
界面新闻编辑 | 崔宇
编者按:2024年9月召开的中央政治局会议提出,要帮助企业渡过难关,进一步规范涉企执法、监管行为;要出台民营经济促进法,为非公有制经济发展营造良好环境。继2023年民企大调研之后,界面新闻和界面智库2024年10月起再次开展年度民营企业发展现状调研,以了解民营企业最新发展动态以及政策和法律诉求,助力民企渡过难关(欢迎扫描下图二维码,以匿名方式参与本次调研)。 本文为2024民企大调研系列报道的第一篇,旨在通过官方统计数据梳理民间投资的发展现状,以及行业和区域特征。
2024nianqiansanjiduwoguogdptongbizengzhang4.8%,jiaoshangniantongqihuiluole0.4gebaifendian。jinguanjingjizengzhangsudujiaoshangniantongqiyousuofanghuan,dangudingzichantouzitongbizengsufanerlveyoushangsheng,qiansanjidutongbizengzhang3.4%,jiaoshangniantongqijiakuaile0.3gebaifendian。
minjiantouzizuoweigudingzichantouzidezhuyaozuchengbufen,2024niandebiaoxianjiujingruhe?zaikouchufangdichantouzihou,minjiantouzihuifudechengseruhe?
即便扣除房地产投资,民间投资同比增速也较上年同期有所回落。qiansanjidu,minjiangudingzichantouzitongbizengsusuijiaoshangniantongqishangshengle0.4gebaifendian,danrengmeiyouhuifuzhengzengzhang,jiangfuwei0.2%。kouchufangdichankaifatouzihou,minjiangudingzichantouziqueshibiaoxiandegenghao,qiansanjidutongbizengsuwei6.4%,danyushangniantongqixiangbirengxiajiangle2.7gebaifendian;yukouchufangdichankaifatouzidequanguogudingzichantouzitongbizengsuxiangbi,yedile1.3gebaifendian。
民间投资进一步减少、在固定资产投资中的占比继续下降,不过降幅明显放缓。2024nianqiansanjidu,minjiangudingzichantouziwanchengewei19.1wanyiyuan,zaiquanguogudingzichantouziwanchengezhongdebizhongwei50.4%,erzhejiaoshangnianfenbiexiajiang2400yiyuanhe1.17gebaifendian,jiangfujiaoshangniantongqidafushouzhai。2023nianqiansanjidu,minjiangudingzichantouziwanchengetongbijianshao3.86wanyiyuan、zhanbixiajiang3.5gebaifendian。zi2019nianminjiangudingzichantouziwanchengeshoucichuxianjianshaoyilai,chu2022nianweizengjia4570yiyuanwai,qitanianfenjiangfudouzai1.6wanyiyuanyishang。
从企业注册类型来看,民间投资分化较为明显。jinnianqiansanjidu,zhiyousiyinggufenyouxiangongsiyujitisuoyouzhiqiyetouzigaosuzengzhang,fenbieshixianle28.7%、28.4%detongbizengsu,qitarugetigongshanghu、gerenduziqiye、sirenyouxianzerengongsi、gufenhezuoqiye、hehuoqiyedetouzitongbidouzaixiajiang,jiangfuyiciwei12.4%、43.3%、6.8%、58.7%、40.9%。
yushangnianxiangbi,getigongshanghugudingzichantouzitongbijiangfujinyibukuoda,zaishangnianxiajiang7.9%dejichushangjinyibuxiajiang12.4%;gufenhezuoqiyetouzitongbizengsucongshangnianzengzhang5.5%,nizhuanweixiajiang58.7%。
从行业来看,民间投资的结构化特征较为突出。zaisandachanyezhong,tuoleiminjiantouzidezhuyaoshidisanchanye,2024nianqiansanjiduminjiangudingzichantouzitongbixiajiang8.9%,jiangfujiaoshangniantongqikuoda2.8gebaifendian;diyichanyeminjiantouzizengsuzecongshangniantongqidetongbixiajiang11.1%nizhuanweijinniandetongbizengzhang4.8%,dierchanyebiaoxiangengweituchu,zaishangniantongqitongbizengzhang9.5%dejichushangjinyibujiasuzengzhang,jinnianqiansanjidushixian13.2%detongbizengsu。yuquanguosandachanyegudingzichantouzixiangbi,minjiantouzibiandongfudugengda,“mataixiaoying”mingxian。
disanchanyeminjiantouzizhisuoyixiajiang,zhuyaoshiyinweifangdichantouzihaizaixiajiang。yucitongshi,jiaotongyunshu、cangchuheyouzhengye,shuili、huanjinghegonggongsheshiguanliyedeminjiantouzisuirandoushixianlezengzhang,dandoumanyutongxingyequanguotouzizengsu。buguo,disanchanyezhong,wenhua、tiyuheyuleyedeminjiantouzizengsugaoyutongxingyedequanguozengsu。
dierchanyeminjiantouzizhuyaoshouyiyuzhizaoyeyu“dianli、reli、ranqijishuideshengchanhegongyingye”。qianzhezaishangnianqiansanjidutongbizengzhang9%dejichushangjinyibujiasuzengzhang(11.6%),biaoxianmingxianhaoyuquanguozhizaoyetouzi(congshangnianqiansanjidude6.2%daojinnianqiansanjidude9.2%)。houzhezaishangnianqiansanjidutongbizengzhang17.7%dejichushangyouzengzhang34.5%,ertongqitongxingyequanguozengsulveyoufanghuan。shoufangdichankaifatouzituolei,jianzhuyeminjiantouzibuzengfanjiang,cong2023nianqiansanjidudezengzhang19.9%nizhuanweixiajiang11.3%,tongqitongxingyequanguotouzizejixuzhengzengzhang,zhishizengsuyousuohuiluo。
zaizhizaoyezhong,zhuyaoxifenxingyedeminjiantouzizengsudaduojiaoshangnianjiasu。qizhong,tielu、chuanbo、hangkonghangtianheqitayunshushebeizhizaoyedeminjiantouzizengsuzuigao,dadao41.5%,jiaoshangniantongqishangshengyu40gebaifendian,yebitongxingyequanguozengsugaojin10gebaifendian;yousejinshuyelianjiyayanjiagongyeminjiantouzitongbizengsujiaoshangniantongqijiakuai16.3gebaifendianzhi19.4%;tongyongshebeizhizaoyeminjiantouzijiaoshangniantongqijiakuai11.5gebaifendianzhi16%。buguo,qichezhizaoyeminjiantouzizengsufanghuanzhi6%,danrenggaoyutongxingyequanguozengsu。
私人投资对不同地区的边际偏好存在显著差异。congguojiatongjijuzuixinfabude《zhongguotongjinianjian2024nian》laikan,2023nian,gediqudesirenkonggugudingzichantouzidezengzhangsuduqujiancongtongbixiajiang23.8%daotongbizengzhang16.3%,zuidachajuyu40gebaifendian。
chaoguoquanguosirenkonggutouzizengsu(0.1%)deshengfenyou15ge,qizhong,zengsuchaoguo10%deshengfenyousige,baokuoxizang、shanghai、xinjiangheneimenggu,zhiyoushanghaiyigedongbushengshi,qitajunweixibushengfen;ningxia、hubei、shandongzengsuxiangjin,junzai7%-7.5%zhijian,paizaidi4-7wei;jiangsu、hainan、guangdongdengsangedongbushengfenzengsuzai5.0%-5.3%zhijian。
qiyu16geshengshizizhiqudesirenkonggugudingzichantouzidouchuxianxiajiang,anhui、henantongbixiajiangbuzu1%,shanxixiajiang1.3%,yunnan、shanxi、guizhou、beijingdetongbixiajiangfuduzai4.4%-8%zhijian,fujian、sichuanjiangfuxiangjin(10%、10.1%)、liaoningtongbixiajiang11.4%,qinghai、jiangxi、guangxijiangfuzai15%-19.5%zhijian,jilin、tianjin、heilongjiangxiajiangfudujunchaoguo20%。
集体控股投资增长情况好于私人控股,但弱于国有控股。congquanguocengmiankan,jitikonggugudingzichantouzizai2023niandezengzhangsuduwei6.0%,xianzhugaoyusirenkonggu(0.1%)、lvediyuguoyoukonggu(6.4%)。
jitikonggugudingzichantouzitongbishixianzhengzengzhangdeshengfenshuliangbisirenkongguduolewuge,qiezheixieshengfendezengzhangsuduzongtibiaoxiangenghao,you18geshengfentongbizengsuzai10%yishang、qizhong14geshengfengaoyu20%(sirenkonggutouzidezengzhangzuigaozhijinwei16.3%);yucixiangyingdeshi,jitikonggugudingzichantouzitongbixiajiangdeshengfenshuliangbisirenkonggushaolewuge。
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