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lulouguancha | redupanshengyufenhuajiaju,“yinshi”zhihoudeloushiruhepoju?

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鲁楼观察 | 热度攀升与分化加剧,“银十”之后的楼市如何破局?

zongheqingdaoyujinanliangdachengshideloushishuju,womenbunanfaxian,shandongloushizhengtishangzhengchengxianchuyizhongzhidieqiwendequshi,tebieshixinfangshichang,qihuinuandongliyouweixianzhu。raner,zheishifoujiuyiweizheshandongloushibaituolexiaxingyalidekunrao?

“yinshi”luomu,shichangmuguangfenfenjujiaoyuzhengceqiangliqiangliqudongxiadeloushidongtai,qibiaoxianbujinchengzaizhexingyefusudehouwang,gengchengweidongchaweilaizouxiangdeguanjianchuangkou。neimeshandongloushide“chengse”jiujingruhe?qiekanjinanheqingdaodeshuju。

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jinanloushiyu 10 yuezhanxianchuqiangjingdehuinuanzhishi。juzhuoyishujutongji,xinjianshangpinzhuzhaichengjiaotaoshugaoda 4147 tao,chengjiaomianjida 58.47 wanpingfangmi,chengjiaojinewei 93.06 yiyuan。huanbilaikan,gexiangshujuzhangfuxianzhu,taoshu、mianjihejinezhangfufenbiegaoda 65%、69%he 86%,junjiayishangyang 10%。zheiwuyijidaditizhenlegoufangzhedexinxin,jinanloushifusushuguangzhaxian。jibianyu 2023 nian 10 yuetongbi,jibianchengjiaojunjiaxiajiang 10%,qichengjiaotaoshu、mianjihejinerengfenbieyou 15%、18%he 6%dezengzhang,xianshilejinanloushizaiyalizhixiadewenjianfazhannengli,shichangjichuyiranjianshi。

zaiguanqingdao,deyiyujiangdicunliangfangdaililv、jiangdishoufukuanbilidengyixilieyoulizhengcedetuidong,wangyixinwenzhichu,10yueqingdaoquanshixinfang(baokuozhuzhai、gongyu、shangyechanpindeng)chengjiao5621tao ,tongbishangzhang7.8%,xinjianshangpinfangqianyue 4727 tao,ershoufangqianyue 6416 tao,zongjichengjiao 11143 tao,guimokeguan。xinfangchengjiaojianzhumianjida 59.18 wan㎡,chengjiaozongjia 91.73 yi,tongbiqunianfenbieshangzhang 2.69%、8.93%、9.11%,zhengtichengxianlianghaodezengzhangtaishi。buguo,qingdaoloushihuanbi 9 yue,xinfangchengjiaotaoshu、mianjihezongjiajunyousuoxiahua。zheihuoxushi 9 yuebufenxuqiutiqianshifang,yihuoshi 10 yueshichangduanqidiaozhengdengyinsusuozhi。

qingdaoyujinandeloushidechengjiaoshujuweiwomentigongleguanchashandongloushidatiqushidezhongyaochuangkou,chengjiaoshujudemeiyicitiaodong,doushishichangqingxudeqifuyuloushijiagedexiansheng,ruchengjiaozhouqisuoduan、yijiakongjiansuoxiaodeng,zheiwangwangyushizheloushijiagejijiangburushangxingtongdao。

shouxianlaikanershoufangshichang,qingdaoyujinandeshujusuigeyouqianqiu,quegongtongyanyizheyichangweimiaode“jiagezhan”。jufangtianxia、anjukedengfangdichanzhuanyewangzhandeshujuxianshi,qingdaoshichang,jinguanjunjiahuanbiweijiang0.56%,danshichangneibudebianhuaquezhidewomenguanzhu。jiangjiafangyuandezhanbizhengzaizhubujianshao,erzhangjiafangyuandeshuliangzechengxianchuzengjiadequshi。zheiyibianhuasuiranweiruo,danquetouluchushichangkenengzhengzaizhubuxunzhaoxindepinghengdian。raner,yuquniantongqixiangbi,ershoufangjunjiarengdafuxiadiele8.29%,zheiwuyibiaomingshichangrengchengshouzheyidingdexiaxingyali,goufangzhehemaijiazhijiandeboyirengzaichixu。erjinanershoufangshichang,zeyiyizhonggengweiwenjiandezitai,junjiahuanbishangzhang1.16%,tongbigengshishixianle12.19%dexianzhuzengzhang,zhanxianchuqiangdadefusurenxingyushangzhangqianli。

xiangjiaoyuershoufangshichangdeweimiaobianhua,qingdaoyujinandexinfangshichangzexiandegengweihuoyueyuzhijie。qingdaoxinfanggongshijunjiahuanbidazhang10.72%,tongbiyishixianweizeng,zheiguxiongyongdeshangzhangshitou,wuyiweiqingdaoloushizhuruleyizhenqiangxinji。jinanxinfangshichangtongyangbuganshiruo,jinguanpingjundanjialveyouhuidiao,dangongshijunjiadehuanbishangzhang7.04%jitongbidexianzhuzengzhang,biaomingjinanxinfangshichangtongyangzaizhubufusu。

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zongheqingdaoyujinanliangdachengshideloushishuju,womenbunanfaxian,shandongloushizhengtishangzhengchengxianchuyizhongzhidieqiwendequshi,tebieshixinfangshichang,qihuinuandongliyouweixianzhu。raner,zheishifoujiuyiweizheshandongloushibaituolexiaxingyalidekunrao?daanxianranshifoudingde。

congqingdaoershoufangshichangdechixuchengyazhong,womenkeyikuijianshichangxinxinshangweiwanquanhuifudekunjing。yucitongshi,jinanxinfangshichangsuiranzhengtichengxianchushangzhangtaishi,danpingjundanjiayugongshijunjiazhijiandechayiquejieshileshichangneibudefenhuaxianxiangyiranyanzhong。zheizhongfenhuabujintixianzaibutongquyu、butongloupanzhijian,gengshenrudaoshichanggongxuguanxidemeiyigexiweicengmian。

zhidezhuyideshi,qingdaozhuchengquzhongdelicangdongbuyuzhangcunhebankuai,qiloushireduchixupansheng,zheiyixianxiangwuyiweiwomentigongleguanchaloushifazhandexinshijiao。zaizheilianggequyu,jinguanjingzhengjilie,danjiageyoushishidelicangdongbudezhuzhaiquhuazhouqijinwei13geyue,chengweiquanshizuidi。zheiyishujubujinzhangxianlequyushichangdehuoli,gengyanzhenglebufenloupanjiagediaozhengcelvedeyouxiaoxing。

goufangzheduijiagemingandudetisheng,bujinfanyingleshichangxuqiudeweimiaobianhua,gengyingshechuquyufazhanqianliduifangchanshichangdeqiangdaladongzuoyong。licangdongbuzuoweiqingdaochuantongzhuchengquyuxinxingfazhanquyudexianjiedidai,zhengfuzaicibujulechuangxinchanyeyuanqu,xiyinledalianggaoxinjishuqiyeherencaideliuru,tuidonglequyujingjidekuaisufazhan。erzhangcunhebankuaizebeidingweiweigaoduanfazhanquyu,zhengfudegaobiaozhunguihuayuchanyebuju,shiqichengweileqingdaochengshigengxindezhongdianquyu,weilaifazhanqianlijuda。zheixielihaoyinsugongtongzuoyongxia,bujindaidonglefangdichanshichangdefanrong,gengweigoufangzhetigonglefengfudexuanzehegaopinzhideshenghuotiyan。yinci,kaifashangxuminruibuzhuozhengfuguihuadefengxiangbiao,jingzhunbujuqianliquyu,fangnengzaizheichangjiliedeshichangjingzhengzhongzhanjuxianji。

zaifangdichanshichangzheipianhonghaizhizhong,pinzhiyufuwuwuyishihengliangjingzhenglideliangbabiaochi。suizhegoufangzhexuqiuderiyijingxihuayugexinghua,duichanpinpinzhihefuwutiyandeyaoqiuyesuizhishuizhangchuangao。kaifashangzaizhuiqiuguimokuozhangyujianshesududetongshi,gengxujiangpinzhitishengyufuwuyouhuazhiyushouwei。zaijianzhushejicengmian,rongrujienengjishuyulvsejianzhulinian,dazaojishushiyouhuanbaodejuzhuhuanjing;zaiwuyefuwucengmian,tigongzhinenghua、renxinghuadefuwu,quanfangweimanzugoufangzhededuoyuanhuaxuqiu。zheixiejucuobujinnenggouxianzhutishengxiangmudeshichangjingzhengli,gengweigoufangzhedailaileqiansuoweiyoudejuzhutiyan。

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mianduitongzhihuajingzhengriyijiajudexianzhuang,chuangxinyuchayihuazhanlvechengweilefangdichanshichangpojuerchudeguanjiansuozai。kaifashangxuyongyutupochuantongkuangjia,tansuoquanxindefazhanlujing。zaichanpinshejishang,rongrudutedehuxingsheji、jingguanyingzaohezhinengjiajuxitongdengchuangxinyuansu,weixiangmuzengtianfujiazhiyuxiyinli;zaiyingxiaocelveshang,jiezhudashuju、rengongzhinengdengqianyanjishu,shixianjingzhunyingxiaoyugexinghuafuwudeshuangzhongshengji,congersuzaoxiangmudeqiangda“pinpaili”。zheibujinweigoufangzhetigonglegengduoyuanhuadexuanzekongjian,yeshikaifashangzaishichangzhongyingdeleguangfanderenkeyuqinglai。

loushiruqiju,wulunshishujubeihoudejiagexinhao、quyufenhua,haishilicangdongbuhezhangcunhebankuaidehuoli,doujingshizhecongyezhe:yuquyuqianlizhongshengengjiazhi,zaipinzhifuwuzhongzhujiukoubei,yichuangxinchayizhongxunqiutupo,fangnengyufuzaqijuzhongzhaozhunzishendingwei,zailoushilangchaolixingwenzhiyuan。

本文为转载内容,授权事宜请联系原著作权人。

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鲁楼观察 | 热度攀升与分化加剧,“银十”之后的楼市如何破局?

zongheqingdaoyujinanliangdachengshideloushishuju,womenbunanfaxian,shandongloushizhengtishangzhengchengxianchuyizhongzhidieqiwendequshi,tebieshixinfangshichang,qihuinuandongliyouweixianzhu。raner,zheishifoujiuyiweizheshandongloushibaituolexiaxingyalidekunrao?

“yinshi”luomu,shichangmuguangfenfenjujiaoyuzhengceqiangliqiangliqudongxiadeloushidongtai,qibiaoxianbujinchengzaizhexingyefusudehouwang,gengchengweidongchaweilaizouxiangdeguanjianchuangkou。neimeshandongloushide“chengse”jiujingruhe?qiekanjinanheqingdaodeshuju。

图片来源:摄图网

jinanloushiyu 10 yuezhanxianchuqiangjingdehuinuanzhishi。juzhuoyishujutongji,xinjianshangpinzhuzhaichengjiaotaoshugaoda 4147 tao,chengjiaomianjida 58.47 wanpingfangmi,chengjiaojinewei 93.06 yiyuan。huanbilaikan,gexiangshujuzhangfuxianzhu,taoshu、mianjihejinezhangfufenbiegaoda 65%、69%he 86%,junjiayishangyang 10%。zheiwuyijidaditizhenlegoufangzhedexinxin,jinanloushifusushuguangzhaxian。jibianyu 2023 nian 10 yuetongbi,jibianchengjiaojunjiaxiajiang 10%,qichengjiaotaoshu、mianjihejinerengfenbieyou 15%、18%he 6%dezengzhang,xianshilejinanloushizaiyalizhixiadewenjianfazhannengli,shichangjichuyiranjianshi。

zaiguanqingdao,deyiyujiangdicunliangfangdaililv、jiangdishoufukuanbilidengyixilieyoulizhengcedetuidong,wangyixinwenzhichu,10yueqingdaoquanshixinfang(baokuozhuzhai、gongyu、shangyechanpindeng)chengjiao5621tao ,tongbishangzhang7.8%,xinjianshangpinfangqianyue 4727 tao,ershoufangqianyue 6416 tao,zongjichengjiao 11143 tao,guimokeguan。xinfangchengjiaojianzhumianjida 59.18 wan㎡,chengjiaozongjia 91.73 yi,tongbiqunianfenbieshangzhang 2.69%、8.93%、9.11%,zhengtichengxianlianghaodezengzhangtaishi。buguo,qingdaoloushihuanbi 9 yue,xinfangchengjiaotaoshu、mianjihezongjiajunyousuoxiahua。zheihuoxushi 9 yuebufenxuqiutiqianshifang,yihuoshi 10 yueshichangduanqidiaozhengdengyinsusuozhi。

qingdaoyujinandeloushidechengjiaoshujuweiwomentigongleguanchashandongloushidatiqushidezhongyaochuangkou,chengjiaoshujudemeiyicitiaodong,doushishichangqingxudeqifuyuloushijiagedexiansheng,ruchengjiaozhouqisuoduan、yijiakongjiansuoxiaodeng,zheiwangwangyushizheloushijiagejijiangburushangxingtongdao。

shouxianlaikanershoufangshichang,qingdaoyujinandeshujusuigeyouqianqiu,quegongtongyanyizheyichangweimiaode“jiagezhan”。jufangtianxia、anjukedengfangdichanzhuanyewangzhandeshujuxianshi,qingdaoshichang,jinguanjunjiahuanbiweijiang0.56%,danshichangneibudebianhuaquezhidewomenguanzhu。jiangjiafangyuandezhanbizhengzaizhubujianshao,erzhangjiafangyuandeshuliangzechengxianchuzengjiadequshi。zheiyibianhuasuiranweiruo,danquetouluchushichangkenengzhengzaizhubuxunzhaoxindepinghengdian。raner,yuquniantongqixiangbi,ershoufangjunjiarengdafuxiadiele8.29%,zheiwuyibiaomingshichangrengchengshouzheyidingdexiaxingyali,goufangzhehemaijiazhijiandeboyirengzaichixu。erjinanershoufangshichang,zeyiyizhonggengweiwenjiandezitai,junjiahuanbishangzhang1.16%,tongbigengshishixianle12.19%dexianzhuzengzhang,zhanxianchuqiangdadefusurenxingyushangzhangqianli。

xiangjiaoyuershoufangshichangdeweimiaobianhua,qingdaoyujinandexinfangshichangzexiandegengweihuoyueyuzhijie。qingdaoxinfanggongshijunjiahuanbidazhang10.72%,tongbiyishixianweizeng,zheiguxiongyongdeshangzhangshitou,wuyiweiqingdaoloushizhuruleyizhenqiangxinji。jinanxinfangshichangtongyangbuganshiruo,jinguanpingjundanjialveyouhuidiao,dangongshijunjiadehuanbishangzhang7.04%jitongbidexianzhuzengzhang,biaomingjinanxinfangshichangtongyangzaizhubufusu。

图片来源:摄图网

zongheqingdaoyujinanliangdachengshideloushishuju,womenbunanfaxian,shandongloushizhengtishangzhengchengxianchuyizhongzhidieqiwendequshi,tebieshixinfangshichang,qihuinuandongliyouweixianzhu。raner,zheishifoujiuyiweizheshandongloushibaituolexiaxingyalidekunrao?daanxianranshifoudingde。

congqingdaoershoufangshichangdechixuchengyazhong,womenkeyikuijianshichangxinxinshangweiwanquanhuifudekunjing。yucitongshi,jinanxinfangshichangsuiranzhengtichengxianchushangzhangtaishi,danpingjundanjiayugongshijunjiazhijiandechayiquejieshileshichangneibudefenhuaxianxiangyiranyanzhong。zheizhongfenhuabujintixianzaibutongquyu、butongloupanzhijian,gengshenrudaoshichanggongxuguanxidemeiyigexiweicengmian。

zhidezhuyideshi,qingdaozhuchengquzhongdelicangdongbuyuzhangcunhebankuai,qiloushireduchixupansheng,zheiyixianxiangwuyiweiwomentigongleguanchaloushifazhandexinshijiao。zaizheilianggequyu,jinguanjingzhengjilie,danjiageyoushishidelicangdongbudezhuzhaiquhuazhouqijinwei13geyue,chengweiquanshizuidi。zheiyishujubujinzhangxianlequyushichangdehuoli,gengyanzhenglebufenloupanjiagediaozhengcelvedeyouxiaoxing。

goufangzheduijiagemingandudetisheng,bujinfanyingleshichangxuqiudeweimiaobianhua,gengyingshechuquyufazhanqianliduifangchanshichangdeqiangdaladongzuoyong。licangdongbuzuoweiqingdaochuantongzhuchengquyuxinxingfazhanquyudexianjiedidai,zhengfuzaicibujulechuangxinchanyeyuanqu,xiyinledalianggaoxinjishuqiyeherencaideliuru,tuidonglequyujingjidekuaisufazhan。erzhangcunhebankuaizebeidingweiweigaoduanfazhanquyu,zhengfudegaobiaozhunguihuayuchanyebuju,shiqichengweileqingdaochengshigengxindezhongdianquyu,weilaifazhanqianlijuda。zheixielihaoyinsugongtongzuoyongxia,bujindaidonglefangdichanshichangdefanrong,gengweigoufangzhetigonglefengfudexuanzehegaopinzhideshenghuotiyan。yinci,kaifashangxuminruibuzhuozhengfuguihuadefengxiangbiao,jingzhunbujuqianliquyu,fangnengzaizheichangjiliedeshichangjingzhengzhongzhanjuxianji。

zaifangdichanshichangzheipianhonghaizhizhong,pinzhiyufuwuwuyishihengliangjingzhenglideliangbabiaochi。suizhegoufangzhexuqiuderiyijingxihuayugexinghua,duichanpinpinzhihefuwutiyandeyaoqiuyesuizhishuizhangchuangao。kaifashangzaizhuiqiuguimokuozhangyujianshesududetongshi,gengxujiangpinzhitishengyufuwuyouhuazhiyushouwei。zaijianzhushejicengmian,rongrujienengjishuyulvsejianzhulinian,dazaojishushiyouhuanbaodejuzhuhuanjing;zaiwuyefuwucengmian,tigongzhinenghua、renxinghuadefuwu,quanfangweimanzugoufangzhededuoyuanhuaxuqiu。zheixiejucuobujinnenggouxianzhutishengxiangmudeshichangjingzhengli,gengweigoufangzhedailaileqiansuoweiyoudejuzhutiyan。

图片来源:摄图网

mianduitongzhihuajingzhengriyijiajudexianzhuang,chuangxinyuchayihuazhanlvechengweilefangdichanshichangpojuerchudeguanjiansuozai。kaifashangxuyongyutupochuantongkuangjia,tansuoquanxindefazhanlujing。zaichanpinshejishang,rongrudutedehuxingsheji、jingguanyingzaohezhinengjiajuxitongdengchuangxinyuansu,weixiangmuzengtianfujiazhiyuxiyinli;zaiyingxiaocelveshang,jiezhudashuju、rengongzhinengdengqianyanjishu,shixianjingzhunyingxiaoyugexinghuafuwudeshuangzhongshengji,congersuzaoxiangmudeqiangda“pinpaili”。zheibujinweigoufangzhetigonglegengduoyuanhuadexuanzekongjian,yeshikaifashangzaishichangzhongyingdeleguangfanderenkeyuqinglai。

loushiruqiju,wulunshishujubeihoudejiagexinhao、quyufenhua,haishilicangdongbuhezhangcunhebankuaidehuoli,doujingshizhecongyezhe:yuquyuqianlizhongshengengjiazhi,zaipinzhifuwuzhongzhujiukoubei,yichuangxinchayizhongxunqiutupo,fangnengyufuzaqijuzhongzhaozhunzishendingwei,zailoushilangchaolixingwenzhiyuan。

本文为转载内容,授权事宜请联系原著作权人。