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美联储官员警告12月或暂停降息,今晚将是关键

mingniabolisilianchuzhuxinier·kashenkalidangdishijianzhoueranshi,ruguotongzhangzai12yuezhiqianchuxianyiwaishangsheng,zheikenenghuirangmeilianchuzantingjiangxi。

2024年11月7日,美国华盛顿特区,美联储主席鲍威尔出席记者会。图源:CFP

界面新闻记者 | 刘婷

mingniabolisilianchuzhuxinier·kashenkalidangdishijianzhoueranshi,ruguotongzhangzai12yuezhiqianchuxianyiwaishangsheng,zheikenenghuirangmeilianchuzantingjiangxi。

ciyanyichu,jinrongshichangyipianhuaran。meiguogushilianxuduorishangzhangdeshitouzanxie,daoqiongsigongyezhishuzhouershoudie0.9%,bao43910.98dian;biaozhunpuer500zhishudie0.3%,shouyu5983.99dian;nasidakezonghezhishudie0.1%,shouyu19281.40dian。meiguzouruandetongshi,meiguoguozhaishouyilvjitishangzhang,qizhong,10nianqimeizhaishouyilvdazhang12.9gejidian,zhi4.437%。

zhijiageshangpinjiaoyisuode“meilianchuguanchagongju”xianshi,jiezhibeijingshijianzhousanzhongwu12dianzuoyou,12yue,bujiangxidegailvwei41.3%,jiaoqianyitianzengjia6.6gebaifendian,jiaoyizhouqianzengjia19.3gebaifendian。

kashenkalizhouerzaijieshouyahucaijingcaifangshibiaoshi,taguanzhujijiangfabudetongzhangshuju,yiquedingzai12yuehuiyishangzaicijiangxishifouweishidangzhiju。dangbeiwenjihezhongyinsukenengdaozhimeilianchuzaixiageyueanxiazantingjianshi,tahuidashuo:“ruguocongxianzaidao12yue,womenkandaotongzhangyiwaishangxing,neikenenghuirangwomenzanting。”

meiguolaogongbujiangyubeijingshijianzhousanwanjianfabu10yuejuminxiaofeijiagezhishu(cpi)baogao。muqianjingjixuejiapubianyujimeiguo10yuecpitongbizengzhang2.6%,bi9yuede2.4%gaochu0.2gebaifendian,daduanciqianlianxu6geyuezhangfuquhuandeshitou;tichubodongjiaodadeshipinheqiyoujiagedehexincpiyujitongbizengzhang3.3%,lianxulianggeyuechiping。

tongzhangshijinnianmeiguodaxuandeyigejiaodianwenti,duiwujiadebumanbeirenweishidaozhiqianzongtongtangnade·telangpuqingsongyingdedaxuandeguanjianyinsuzhiyi。

美国银行经济学家史蒂芬·朱诺在周一发布的研报中表示,通胀不太可能出现太大进展,即将公布的10月CPI数据可能会显示通胀“在经过一段时间的大幅放缓后保chihengxiangfazhan”。fuguoyinxingyebiaoshi,10yuedecpibaogaokenenghuixianshi,tongzhanghuidaomeilianchumubiaode“zuihouyiyingli”shizuijiannande。

shangzhou,meilianchuruqixiadiaozhengcelilv25gejidianzhi4.50%-4.75%qujian。zaihuihoufabudeshengmingzhong,meilianchushanqule“duitongzhangchixuchao2%maijinyoulegengdaxinxin”debiaoshu。

cicijiangxiyeshijinnianyilaimeilianchudediercijiangxi。9yue,meilianchujianglianbangjijinlilvdemubiaoqujianxiadiao50gejidianzhi4.75%-5.0%,wei4nianbanlaideshoucijiangxi。dangshifabudelilvlujing“dianzhentu”xianshi,meilianchuguanyuanyujizai11、12yuezaifenbiejiangxi25gejidian;mingnianzaijiangxisici,leijifuduwei100gejidian,congerjiangzhengcelilvjiangzhi3.25%-3.50%qujian。

suizhetelangpudedangxuan,jingjixuejiapubianrenwei,ruguotadejingjizhengcededaoquanbuduixian,weilaiyiniandejiangxifuduhuojiangdafushouzhai。telangpudejingjizhengcegaikuoqilaishuojiushi,duiwaijiazhengguanshui,duineishishijianshui、shoujinyiminzhengce,zheixiecuoshijiangdadazengjiameiguo“ercitongzhang”defengxian。

qiankelifulanlianchuzhuxiluoleita·meisitezhouerzaichuxiruiyinouzhouhuiyishibiaoshi,ruguotelangpuduimaoyihuobanjiazhengguanshuidejingxuanchengnuodeyishishi,meilianchumingniandejiangxifudukenenghuidiyuciqianyuqi。ruotelangpudecaizhengjihualuodi,meilianchumuqiandezhanwangjiangfashenggaibian,shichangyujidejiangxicishudiyuciqianyuqide4cikenengshiduide。

kashenkalibiaoshi,tarenweiweilaimeiguodezhongxinglilvkenengbiyiqingqiangenggao,ergenggaodezhongxinglilvkenengshiweilaijiangxicishujianshaodeyigeliyou。

meilianchuzhuxijieluomu·baoweierzaishangzhousidexinwenfabuhuishangshifangduanqikenengjixujiangxidexinhao。tabiaoshi,jinyibudiaozhengzhengcelichang“youzhuyubaochijingjihelaodonglishichangqiangjing”。suizheshijiantuiyi,huobizhengcejiangchaozhegengjiazhongxingdelichangmaijin。baoweierhaishuo,telangpuyingdedaxuanduanqineibuhuiduimeilianchudejuecechanshengyingxiang,jinguanxiayijiezhengfudezhengcekenengduimeiguojingjichanshengyingxiang,danxianzaixiajielunhaiweishiguozao。

meiguoyinxingfenxishirenwei,jianyubaoweierdeyanlun,12yuemeilianchukenengzaicijiangxi25gejidian。buguo,tongzhangfengxiandezhuanbian,jiashangmeiguojingjiderenxing,zengjialezhongqizhengceqianjingdebuquedingxing。zhengcebianhuakenenghuiduitongzhangqianjinggouchengshangxingfengxian。

未经正式授权严禁转载本文,侵权必究。

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美联储官员警告12月或暂停降息,今晚将是关键

mingniabolisilianchuzhuxinier·kashenkalidangdishijianzhoueranshi,ruguotongzhangzai12yuezhiqianchuxianyiwaishangsheng,zheikenenghuirangmeilianchuzantingjiangxi。

2024年11月7日,美国华盛顿特区,美联储主席鲍威尔出席记者会。图源:CFP

界面新闻记者 | 刘婷

mingniabolisilianchuzhuxinier·kashenkalidangdishijianzhoueranshi,ruguotongzhangzai12yuezhiqianchuxianyiwaishangsheng,zheikenenghuirangmeilianchuzantingjiangxi。

ciyanyichu,jinrongshichangyipianhuaran。meiguogushilianxuduorishangzhangdeshitouzanxie,daoqiongsigongyezhishuzhouershoudie0.9%,bao43910.98dian;biaozhunpuer500zhishudie0.3%,shouyu5983.99dian;nasidakezonghezhishudie0.1%,shouyu19281.40dian。meiguzouruandetongshi,meiguoguozhaishouyilvjitishangzhang,qizhong,10nianqimeizhaishouyilvdazhang12.9gejidian,zhi4.437%。

zhijiageshangpinjiaoyisuode“meilianchuguanchagongju”xianshi,jiezhibeijingshijianzhousanzhongwu12dianzuoyou,12yue,bujiangxidegailvwei41.3%,jiaoqianyitianzengjia6.6gebaifendian,jiaoyizhouqianzengjia19.3gebaifendian。

kashenkalizhouerzaijieshouyahucaijingcaifangshibiaoshi,taguanzhujijiangfabudetongzhangshuju,yiquedingzai12yuehuiyishangzaicijiangxishifouweishidangzhiju。dangbeiwenjihezhongyinsukenengdaozhimeilianchuzaixiageyueanxiazantingjianshi,tahuidashuo:“ruguocongxianzaidao12yue,womenkandaotongzhangyiwaishangxing,neikenenghuirangwomenzanting。”

meiguolaogongbujiangyubeijingshijianzhousanwanjianfabu10yuejuminxiaofeijiagezhishu(cpi)baogao。muqianjingjixuejiapubianyujimeiguo10yuecpitongbizengzhang2.6%,bi9yuede2.4%gaochu0.2gebaifendian,daduanciqianlianxu6geyuezhangfuquhuandeshitou;tichubodongjiaodadeshipinheqiyoujiagedehexincpiyujitongbizengzhang3.3%,lianxulianggeyuechiping。

tongzhangshijinnianmeiguodaxuandeyigejiaodianwenti,duiwujiadebumanbeirenweishidaozhiqianzongtongtangnade·telangpuqingsongyingdedaxuandeguanjianyinsuzhiyi。

美国银行经济学家史蒂芬·朱诺在周一发布的研报中表示,通胀不太可能出现太大进展,即将公布的10月CPI数据可能会显示通胀“在经过一段时间的大幅放缓后保chihengxiangfazhan”。fuguoyinxingyebiaoshi,10yuedecpibaogaokenenghuixianshi,tongzhanghuidaomeilianchumubiaode“zuihouyiyingli”shizuijiannande。

shangzhou,meilianchuruqixiadiaozhengcelilv25gejidianzhi4.50%-4.75%qujian。zaihuihoufabudeshengmingzhong,meilianchushanqule“duitongzhangchixuchao2%maijinyoulegengdaxinxin”debiaoshu。

cicijiangxiyeshijinnianyilaimeilianchudediercijiangxi。9yue,meilianchujianglianbangjijinlilvdemubiaoqujianxiadiao50gejidianzhi4.75%-5.0%,wei4nianbanlaideshoucijiangxi。dangshifabudelilvlujing“dianzhentu”xianshi,meilianchuguanyuanyujizai11、12yuezaifenbiejiangxi25gejidian;mingnianzaijiangxisici,leijifuduwei100gejidian,congerjiangzhengcelilvjiangzhi3.25%-3.50%qujian。

suizhetelangpudedangxuan,jingjixuejiapubianrenwei,ruguotadejingjizhengcededaoquanbuduixian,weilaiyiniandejiangxifuduhuojiangdafushouzhai。telangpudejingjizhengcegaikuoqilaishuojiushi,duiwaijiazhengguanshui,duineishishijianshui、shoujinyiminzhengce,zheixiecuoshijiangdadazengjiameiguo“ercitongzhang”defengxian。

qiankelifulanlianchuzhuxiluoleita·meisitezhouerzaichuxiruiyinouzhouhuiyishibiaoshi,ruguotelangpuduimaoyihuobanjiazhengguanshuidejingxuanchengnuodeyishishi,meilianchumingniandejiangxifudukenenghuidiyuciqianyuqi。ruotelangpudecaizhengjihualuodi,meilianchumuqiandezhanwangjiangfashenggaibian,shichangyujidejiangxicishudiyuciqianyuqide4cikenengshiduide。

kashenkalibiaoshi,tarenweiweilaimeiguodezhongxinglilvkenengbiyiqingqiangenggao,ergenggaodezhongxinglilvkenengshiweilaijiangxicishujianshaodeyigeliyou。

meilianchuzhuxijieluomu·baoweierzaishangzhousidexinwenfabuhuishangshifangduanqikenengjixujiangxidexinhao。tabiaoshi,jinyibudiaozhengzhengcelichang“youzhuyubaochijingjihelaodonglishichangqiangjing”。suizheshijiantuiyi,huobizhengcejiangchaozhegengjiazhongxingdelichangmaijin。baoweierhaishuo,telangpuyingdedaxuanduanqineibuhuiduimeilianchudejuecechanshengyingxiang,jinguanxiayijiezhengfudezhengcekenengduimeiguojingjichanshengyingxiang,danxianzaixiajielunhaiweishiguozao。

meiguoyinxingfenxishirenwei,jianyubaoweierdeyanlun,12yuemeilianchukenengzaicijiangxi25gejidian。buguo,tongzhangfengxiandezhuanbian,jiashangmeiguojingjiderenxing,zengjialezhongqizhengceqianjingdebuquedingxing。zhengcebianhuakenenghuiduitongzhangqianjinggouchengshangxingfengxian。

未经正式授权严禁转载本文,侵权必究。