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xingbakezhongguoyao“maishen”,zhiweizhengmiangangruixing?

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星巴克中国要“卖身”,只为正面刚瑞幸?

yidanxiaoxichengzhen,maishenhoudexingbakedaodihuiyouzenyangdebianhua?yichanggengjulie、chijiudejiagezhanshifouhuidaxiang?

图片来源:界面图库

wen | yulezibenlun guojian

jinri,jupengboshexiaoxi,xingbakezhengzaitansuochushouzhongguoquyewugufendekenengxing,tongshi,gongsiyifeizhengshipinggulebaokuozhongguobentusimuguquanjigouzaineideduogezhongguoqianzaitouzizhedexingqu。

duici,xingbakeguanfangzaimeitishengmingzhonghuifu:“zhengruzaidisijiducaibaodianhuahuiyishangsuoshuodeneiyang,gongsizhengzaihuashijiangengshenrudilejiewomenzaizhongguodeyewuyunyingyijishichangjingzhenghuanjing。womenzhengzainulixunzhaozuijiadezengzhangtujing,qizhongbaokuotansuozhanlvehezuohuobanguanxi。”

wulunshichushouchuanwenhaishihuiyingzhong“xunzhaozuijiazengzhanglujing”yishuo,douponairenxunwei。

shouxian,jinguanguoneikafeixingyemianlinqiansuoweiyoudejiliejingzheng,danxingbakeyijingzoudaoxuyaoyikao“chushouzhongguoquyewu”laihuanquzengzhangdechengdulema?

qici,yidanxiaoxichengzhen,maishenhoudexingbakedaodihuiyouzenyangdebianhua?yichanggengjulie、chijiudejiagezhanshifouhuidaxiang?

maishen、chushouwangwangyuyejikunjingqiangguagou,zheijiakafeixingyedelaopaijutoudequezhengmianlinzhouqi。

sijidubaoxianshi,xingbakequanqiuyingshou90.7yimeiyuan,tongbixiahua3.2%。jinglirun9.09yimeiyuan,tongbixiajiang25.5%。quanqiutongdianxiaoshouetongbixiahua7%。

zhideguanzhudeshi,xingbakezhongguodehexinyejizhibiaoxiahuachengduyegaoyuquanqiujunzhi。sijidu,xingbakezhongguoyingshou7.84yimeiyuan,tongbixiahua7%;kebimendianxiaoshouexiajiang14%,kedanjiaxiahua8%,dingdanshuliangxiajiang6%。

kejuxingbakezhongguoceoliuwenjuanbiaoshi,zhongguoquzai2024cainiandejingyinglirunlvshizhongbaochiliangweishudejiankangtaishi,congshujulaikan,xingbakeyuanyuanweidaoxuyao“chushouzhongguoyewu”dechengdu。

gengdadewentihuoxulaiziyuzhongguoshichangyubeimeishichangzaihexincelveshangde“xiangbei”。

jinniandisijiducaibaodianhuahuishang,xingbakexinrenceobulaien·nikeermingquetichulexiayijieduangongsixuyaoconggenbenshangzhuanxing,bingjinyibumingquebeimeidiquzhanlve,baokuofangmanxinpinyanfasuduxuejianfuzacaidan、jianshao2025cainiandexindiankuozhangjieshengkaidianchengben、jianshaofengkuangzhekoutishengyonghufugoulvdeng。

bunanfaxian,beimeiqudecelveyuxingbakezhongguomianduijiliejingzhengsuocaiqudeyingduifangshijihuwanquanxiangfan。

shouxiancongshangxinjiezoulaikan,xingbakezhongguozaijinnianyouxianzhudetuixintisu,erjidu、sanjidu、sijidufenbieshangxin27kuan、17kuanhe22kuanchanpin,zheiyubeichengwei“xinpinjuanwang”——ruixing2024shangbannianshangxin52kuanxinpindesuduyixiangchabuda。mianduibeilianming、xinkouwei“yangdiaole”dezhongguokafeishouzhong,gaopincigengxin、xinkouweilafugou、juanskukuodayonghupanyijingchengweibiranzhixuan。

tongshizaikaidianduan,xingbakezhongguoyechengxianxianzhudekuozhangtisu,tishengdixianchengshifugailv、tuozhanxiachenshichangshenzhishi2024nianxingbakezhongguoqudehexincelve。jinnian,xingbakezhongguoxinzengmendian790jia,qizhongyibanzaisanxianjiyixiachengshi。

danxiangbigengweijijindezhongguopinpai,zheiyangdekuodiansuduchengbushangkuai。juhongcandashuju,miaozhunxiachenshichangdexingyunka,jinnian5-11yuexinzengmendianchao800jia;ruixingyikaolianyunmoshidalikaituoxinxianchengshi,jinnianmendianyidadao2wan+;riqian,kudigengshidachu“weilaikuodianwuwanjia”dekouhao。kaolvdaoxinzengrenqundezhengduo,xingbakezhongguodemendianzengsuye“nengjinbunengtui”。

zhekouduangengbubishuo,jinguanduocishenming“budajiagezhan”,dan2024nianxingbakezhongguodegezhongyouhuilidumingxianzengda,wulunshixiaochengxuzhongde16dianhou39.9liangbei、49.9sanbeizhekouhaishi10yueqiaoqiaohuiguide“19yuanzaocan”zuhe,cuxiaohuodonghuayangfanduo。

“zhongguokafeidejiagezhanbucunzaizhuguanshangdedabuda。zairuixing、kudixianqide9.9xuanfengxia,renheyijiadaxingliansuokafeidoubucunzaibujuanjiagetigaolaokehufugoudekeneng。”mouhuadongkafeijiamengshangxiangduojiaospicybiaoshi,“jinianxialaizhongguoshichangyijingzhengmingle,heguanlexingbakedekehuhuipaoquruixing,xiachenshichangdeqianzairenqunyejuede10yuanyixiadekafeigengxiang,weilaiyidingshipindijiadeshidai。”

星巴克短剧截图

xianran,zaidangqianguoneideshichangjingzhengzhong,xingbakezhongguozaixinpinduan、mendiancehejiageduancaiqudecelvezhiyouchixubaochihuojinyibushengji,caiyouwangwanhuituishi,“zhongzhenhuihuang”。jiuxiangbeilaruyitiaodanxiangkuaichedao,zhiyoujiasuxiangqian,duanwuhuitoukeneng。

danzheiyeyiweizhegenggaodetouru、gengdadefengxianhebuduanxiajiangdelirunkongjian。yigongleizheruixingweili,juqisanjiducaibaoxianshi,ruixingtongyangyinweikuozhanghejiagezhanxianru“zengshoubuzengli”kunjing。jinnianyijidu,ruixingchuxianhanjiankuisun;jinniansanjidu,qiguimujinglirun20.91yiyuan,tongbixiahua18%;jinnianqiansanjidu,qitongdiankebixiaoshouzengzhanglvfenbiewei-20.3%、-20.9%he-13.1%。

bujuanjiuyaobeitunshi,juanzeyiweizhekanbudaobianjiedetouru。xingbakezhongguojintuiliangnan。jupengboshebaodao,xingbakemianlinlaizijijintouziguanligongsiailiaote(elliott investment management)deyali,gaigongsixiwangxingbakezhongxinpinggushenchaqizhongguoquyewu。

tongshizaisijiducaibaodianhuahuizhong,bulaien·nikeeryecengmingquebiaoshi:“wohengaoxingdilejiedaozhongguoyiwaideguojiyewuyouzhongdazengzhangjihui。weilaijinianwomenjiangtourugengduoshijianhejingliliyongqitaguojishichangdezengzhang。”

xianran,xingbakezongbuyuzhongguoquzaizhanlvefangxiangshangshizhongweinengdachengyizhi,mouzhongchengdushang,mouqiuhewaibutouzizhedehezuo,rangxingbakezhongguoyigengdulideshenweijiarujiagezhan,huoxushigaishanlajukunjingdeyouxiaofangan。

jupengboshebaodao,ailiaotezaishiyashizhuanchengtijilemaidanglaohebaishengjituanzaizhongguoqude“maishen”celve。2016nian,baishengzhongguoyinruchunhuazibenhemayijinfu,2017nian,maidanglaoyuzhongxin、kaileitouzidachengzhanlvehezuochenglixingongsifuzemaidanglaoweilai20nianzaizhongguoquhexianggangdejingying。liangdakuaicanjutouzaixianhouyinruzhongguozibenhou,yedaguimotishengletexujingyingmoshizhanbi,jiecitishengkuozhangsudu。

zhanzaidangxiajiaoduhuiwang,zheiliangcimaishendouchuyuliangdajituanyejidaguimoxiahua、kuozhangshouzujieduan,eryinruzhongguozibenhou,youchuxianlexianzhudeyejihuichun,jidatishenglezaizhongguodeshizhan。

congzheidianlaikan,xingbakezhongguomaishenyuzhongguoziben,duiqikuozhangcelvelaishuo,huoxuyiweizhequanxindekaiduan。

yimaidanglaoweili,2017nianshi,maidanglaozaizhongguomendianshujinwei2200jia,nianjundianpuzengzhangshuzai200jiazuoyou。danzhongxinruguhou,yikaoqiantoudichanshangjinxingzhanlvehezuo、jiansheshuzihuaxiaochengxu、tishengbentugongyinglianjiansheyasuochengbendengcaozuo,maidanglaozhongguodekuozhangsududadaonianjun500jia,qiesansixianchengshicantingzhanbi、waisongfuwutigongzhanbidengjidatisheng。

zhongxinzibensimuguquantouzibumenguanlihehuorenxinyueshengcengzaicaifangzhongbiaoshi,zhongxinzibenrujuhoudiyishijianyutengxunhezuo,6zhouneijiutuichulemaidanglaozhongguoxiaochengxu,bingyiciweiqidiandazaoxianshanghuiyuantixi。

xianran,guozizaizhanlvejuece、bentuhuaziyuangongji、yingxiaozhidao、gongyinglianfunenghezijinzhichishangdoujubeiwaizinanyichaoyuedejudayoushi。

youqishizaigongyingliance,dangqian,yiruixingweidaibiaodeguochankafeipinpaizhisuoyinengkuozhangxunsu,zuidayangzhangdebianshiqidijiacelve。ruguonengtongguogongyingliangaige、qudaokuozhangshenzhijiamengcelvediaozheng——kaifanghuoquyuxingkaifangtexujingying,xingbakezhongguohuoxuyehuizaizheichangdijiazhanzhongyongyougengduodanyao,zaiyikaoqimuqianrengjubeidepinpailiyoushi,wanchengzaixiachenchengshidejinyibukuozhang。

muqian,xingbakezaizhongguoxiachenshichangdekuozhangrengzhuiqiu“gaozhiliang”,qianghuaqidisankongjianmoshi,zaichengshushichangdezhoubianchengjiao、xiangzhenyouxiantuodian。danzheishibidailai:1.kuozhangsudushouxian2.gaojiageyuyonghuxiaofeishuizhundezhangqipipeidudengwenti。

fanguanbaishengzhongguo,zaiqiyinruguozihou,qizaixiachenshichangdekuozhangdaiyouxianzhude“zhongguohua”dafa。yiyidukaoangguiweiyukuaicanlingyujiagediyitiduidebishengkeweili,tongguoduoniangaigeduibentugongyingliandebuduanyouhua,bishengkekongjiachengxiaoxianzhu,qixindianxingwowdianjiuzhudadijiaheyirenshi,zhijiejiangrenjunxiaofeijiangzhi40yuan。

tongshi,jubaishengzhongguozuixincaibaoxianshi,sanjiduqijiamengdianzaixinzengmendianzhongzhanbitishengzhi33%,tongguohedaliangyangguoqideshenduhezuo,baishengzhongguojiangmendianchujiaoyanzhanzhigaosufuwuqu、jingqu、yiyuan、xuexiaodengdi,qizhongdaliangshiweixingdian、minidian,chengbengengdiqiezengsugengkuai。

dangran,zheibingbuyiweizhexingbakezaiyinruzhongzihou,huichedifangqikongjiangainianhemendianpinzhizhuiqiu,juanru9.9yuandejiagezhan。

zongguanguoqu30nian,yimaidanglao、kendejiweidaibiaodexishikuaicanjutou,zaishidaibiangexia,wanchenglecongxuyaoyangwangdechengshizhongchan“qingshe”candaogaoxingjiabi“qiongguitaocan”deshenweizhuanxing,yeyincikeyijiarukuaicanxingyedejiagezhansisha,yuhualaishi、tasitingdengpinpaizhengmianyinggang。

danmuqian,jinguankafeichayinpinpaidejiliezhanshibuduanjiasu,ruixingweidaibiaodebentupinpaizhiyongduanduan7nianbianyingxialeleitai,ranggongshoutaishinizhuan。dancongdingweishang,xingbakeyiranbaoyoujiaogaodepinpaiyijia,wulunzaichengshizhongchanhaishixiachenshichang,xiangyoubushao“laopaijutoudepinzhiganguanghuan”。zheiyangdexintaixia,jiujingshichedidiaozhengdingweizhengduoxinyonghu,haishizuohaofencengwanchengshouleizhan,youweikezhi。

dangenglinghuodedianxing、gengduoyuandedianwei、gengdidejiage,zhongguishixingbakebixiudekuozhangketi,xianran,zheinanyizaiduanqineiyikaozhiyingmoshihexianyoucelvejiejue,huoxuyinruzhongzi,wanchengbentuduli,cainengzhenzhengweibiangesikaiyidaoliekou。

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星巴克中国要“卖身”,只为正面刚瑞幸?

yidanxiaoxichengzhen,maishenhoudexingbakedaodihuiyouzenyangdebianhua?yichanggengjulie、chijiudejiagezhanshifouhuidaxiang?

图片来源:界面图库

wen | yulezibenlun guojian

jinri,jupengboshexiaoxi,xingbakezhengzaitansuochushouzhongguoquyewugufendekenengxing,tongshi,gongsiyifeizhengshipinggulebaokuozhongguobentusimuguquanjigouzaineideduogezhongguoqianzaitouzizhedexingqu。

duici,xingbakeguanfangzaimeitishengmingzhonghuifu:“zhengruzaidisijiducaibaodianhuahuiyishangsuoshuodeneiyang,gongsizhengzaihuashijiangengshenrudilejiewomenzaizhongguodeyewuyunyingyijishichangjingzhenghuanjing。womenzhengzainulixunzhaozuijiadezengzhangtujing,qizhongbaokuotansuozhanlvehezuohuobanguanxi。”

wulunshichushouchuanwenhaishihuiyingzhong“xunzhaozuijiazengzhanglujing”yishuo,douponairenxunwei。

shouxian,jinguanguoneikafeixingyemianlinqiansuoweiyoudejiliejingzheng,danxingbakeyijingzoudaoxuyaoyikao“chushouzhongguoquyewu”laihuanquzengzhangdechengdulema?

qici,yidanxiaoxichengzhen,maishenhoudexingbakedaodihuiyouzenyangdebianhua?yichanggengjulie、chijiudejiagezhanshifouhuidaxiang?

maishen、chushouwangwangyuyejikunjingqiangguagou,zheijiakafeixingyedelaopaijutoudequezhengmianlinzhouqi。

sijidubaoxianshi,xingbakequanqiuyingshou90.7yimeiyuan,tongbixiahua3.2%。jinglirun9.09yimeiyuan,tongbixiajiang25.5%。quanqiutongdianxiaoshouetongbixiahua7%。

zhideguanzhudeshi,xingbakezhongguodehexinyejizhibiaoxiahuachengduyegaoyuquanqiujunzhi。sijidu,xingbakezhongguoyingshou7.84yimeiyuan,tongbixiahua7%;kebimendianxiaoshouexiajiang14%,kedanjiaxiahua8%,dingdanshuliangxiajiang6%。

kejuxingbakezhongguoceoliuwenjuanbiaoshi,zhongguoquzai2024cainiandejingyinglirunlvshizhongbaochiliangweishudejiankangtaishi,congshujulaikan,xingbakeyuanyuanweidaoxuyao“chushouzhongguoyewu”dechengdu。

gengdadewentihuoxulaiziyuzhongguoshichangyubeimeishichangzaihexincelveshangde“xiangbei”。

jinniandisijiducaibaodianhuahuishang,xingbakexinrenceobulaien·nikeermingquetichulexiayijieduangongsixuyaoconggenbenshangzhuanxing,bingjinyibumingquebeimeidiquzhanlve,baokuofangmanxinpinyanfasuduxuejianfuzacaidan、jianshao2025cainiandexindiankuozhangjieshengkaidianchengben、jianshaofengkuangzhekoutishengyonghufugoulvdeng。

bunanfaxian,beimeiqudecelveyuxingbakezhongguomianduijiliejingzhengsuocaiqudeyingduifangshijihuwanquanxiangfan。

shouxiancongshangxinjiezoulaikan,xingbakezhongguozaijinnianyouxianzhudetuixintisu,erjidu、sanjidu、sijidufenbieshangxin27kuan、17kuanhe22kuanchanpin,zheiyubeichengwei“xinpinjuanwang”——ruixing2024shangbannianshangxin52kuanxinpindesuduyixiangchabuda。mianduibeilianming、xinkouwei“yangdiaole”dezhongguokafeishouzhong,gaopincigengxin、xinkouweilafugou、juanskukuodayonghupanyijingchengweibiranzhixuan。

tongshizaikaidianduan,xingbakezhongguoyechengxianxianzhudekuozhangtisu,tishengdixianchengshifugailv、tuozhanxiachenshichangshenzhishi2024nianxingbakezhongguoqudehexincelve。jinnian,xingbakezhongguoxinzengmendian790jia,qizhongyibanzaisanxianjiyixiachengshi。

danxiangbigengweijijindezhongguopinpai,zheiyangdekuodiansuduchengbushangkuai。juhongcandashuju,miaozhunxiachenshichangdexingyunka,jinnian5-11yuexinzengmendianchao800jia;ruixingyikaolianyunmoshidalikaituoxinxianchengshi,jinnianmendianyidadao2wan+;riqian,kudigengshidachu“weilaikuodianwuwanjia”dekouhao。kaolvdaoxinzengrenqundezhengduo,xingbakezhongguodemendianzengsuye“nengjinbunengtui”。

zhekouduangengbubishuo,jinguanduocishenming“budajiagezhan”,dan2024nianxingbakezhongguodegezhongyouhuilidumingxianzengda,wulunshixiaochengxuzhongde16dianhou39.9liangbei、49.9sanbeizhekouhaishi10yueqiaoqiaohuiguide“19yuanzaocan”zuhe,cuxiaohuodonghuayangfanduo。

“zhongguokafeidejiagezhanbucunzaizhuguanshangdedabuda。zairuixing、kudixianqide9.9xuanfengxia,renheyijiadaxingliansuokafeidoubucunzaibujuanjiagetigaolaokehufugoudekeneng。”mouhuadongkafeijiamengshangxiangduojiaospicybiaoshi,“jinianxialaizhongguoshichangyijingzhengmingle,heguanlexingbakedekehuhuipaoquruixing,xiachenshichangdeqianzairenqunyejuede10yuanyixiadekafeigengxiang,weilaiyidingshipindijiadeshidai。”

星巴克短剧截图

xianran,zaidangqianguoneideshichangjingzhengzhong,xingbakezhongguozaixinpinduan、mendiancehejiageduancaiqudecelvezhiyouchixubaochihuojinyibushengji,caiyouwangwanhuituishi,“zhongzhenhuihuang”。jiuxiangbeilaruyitiaodanxiangkuaichedao,zhiyoujiasuxiangqian,duanwuhuitoukeneng。

danzheiyeyiweizhegenggaodetouru、gengdadefengxianhebuduanxiajiangdelirunkongjian。yigongleizheruixingweili,juqisanjiducaibaoxianshi,ruixingtongyangyinweikuozhanghejiagezhanxianru“zengshoubuzengli”kunjing。jinnianyijidu,ruixingchuxianhanjiankuisun;jinniansanjidu,qiguimujinglirun20.91yiyuan,tongbixiahua18%;jinnianqiansanjidu,qitongdiankebixiaoshouzengzhanglvfenbiewei-20.3%、-20.9%he-13.1%。

bujuanjiuyaobeitunshi,juanzeyiweizhekanbudaobianjiedetouru。xingbakezhongguojintuiliangnan。jupengboshebaodao,xingbakemianlinlaizijijintouziguanligongsiailiaote(elliott investment management)deyali,gaigongsixiwangxingbakezhongxinpinggushenchaqizhongguoquyewu。

tongshizaisijiducaibaodianhuahuizhong,bulaien·nikeeryecengmingquebiaoshi:“wohengaoxingdilejiedaozhongguoyiwaideguojiyewuyouzhongdazengzhangjihui。weilaijinianwomenjiangtourugengduoshijianhejingliliyongqitaguojishichangdezengzhang。”

xianran,xingbakezongbuyuzhongguoquzaizhanlvefangxiangshangshizhongweinengdachengyizhi,mouzhongchengdushang,mouqiuhewaibutouzizhedehezuo,rangxingbakezhongguoyigengdulideshenweijiarujiagezhan,huoxushigaishanlajukunjingdeyouxiaofangan。

jupengboshebaodao,ailiaotezaishiyashizhuanchengtijilemaidanglaohebaishengjituanzaizhongguoqude“maishen”celve。2016nian,baishengzhongguoyinruchunhuazibenhemayijinfu,2017nian,maidanglaoyuzhongxin、kaileitouzidachengzhanlvehezuochenglixingongsifuzemaidanglaoweilai20nianzaizhongguoquhexianggangdejingying。liangdakuaicanjutouzaixianhouyinruzhongguozibenhou,yedaguimotishengletexujingyingmoshizhanbi,jiecitishengkuozhangsudu。

zhanzaidangxiajiaoduhuiwang,zheiliangcimaishendouchuyuliangdajituanyejidaguimoxiahua、kuozhangshouzujieduan,eryinruzhongguozibenhou,youchuxianlexianzhudeyejihuichun,jidatishenglezaizhongguodeshizhan。

congzheidianlaikan,xingbakezhongguomaishenyuzhongguoziben,duiqikuozhangcelvelaishuo,huoxuyiweizhequanxindekaiduan。

yimaidanglaoweili,2017nianshi,maidanglaozaizhongguomendianshujinwei2200jia,nianjundianpuzengzhangshuzai200jiazuoyou。danzhongxinruguhou,yikaoqiantoudichanshangjinxingzhanlvehezuo、jiansheshuzihuaxiaochengxu、tishengbentugongyinglianjiansheyasuochengbendengcaozuo,maidanglaozhongguodekuozhangsududadaonianjun500jia,qiesansixianchengshicantingzhanbi、waisongfuwutigongzhanbidengjidatisheng。

zhongxinzibensimuguquantouzibumenguanlihehuorenxinyueshengcengzaicaifangzhongbiaoshi,zhongxinzibenrujuhoudiyishijianyutengxunhezuo,6zhouneijiutuichulemaidanglaozhongguoxiaochengxu,bingyiciweiqidiandazaoxianshanghuiyuantixi。

xianran,guozizaizhanlvejuece、bentuhuaziyuangongji、yingxiaozhidao、gongyinglianfunenghezijinzhichishangdoujubeiwaizinanyichaoyuedejudayoushi。

youqishizaigongyingliance,dangqian,yiruixingweidaibiaodeguochankafeipinpaizhisuoyinengkuozhangxunsu,zuidayangzhangdebianshiqidijiacelve。ruguonengtongguogongyingliangaige、qudaokuozhangshenzhijiamengcelvediaozheng——kaifanghuoquyuxingkaifangtexujingying,xingbakezhongguohuoxuyehuizaizheichangdijiazhanzhongyongyougengduodanyao,zaiyikaoqimuqianrengjubeidepinpailiyoushi,wanchengzaixiachenchengshidejinyibukuozhang。

muqian,xingbakezaizhongguoxiachenshichangdekuozhangrengzhuiqiu“gaozhiliang”,qianghuaqidisankongjianmoshi,zaichengshushichangdezhoubianchengjiao、xiangzhenyouxiantuodian。danzheishibidailai:1.kuozhangsudushouxian2.gaojiageyuyonghuxiaofeishuizhundezhangqipipeidudengwenti。

fanguanbaishengzhongguo,zaiqiyinruguozihou,qizaixiachenshichangdekuozhangdaiyouxianzhude“zhongguohua”dafa。yiyidukaoangguiweiyukuaicanlingyujiagediyitiduidebishengkeweili,tongguoduoniangaigeduibentugongyingliandebuduanyouhua,bishengkekongjiachengxiaoxianzhu,qixindianxingwowdianjiuzhudadijiaheyirenshi,zhijiejiangrenjunxiaofeijiangzhi40yuan。

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