文|零态LT 张尧
编辑|胡展嘉
jibianchuguojijiujiagejianting,yelanbuzhuguorenzaodongdexin,chujingyouchenglejinnianxiaofeide“heima”。
beijingshijian11yue19ri,xiechengfabule2024niandisanjiduyejibaogao。danjijingzhuan68yiyuan,rizhuan7500wan,huanbizengzhang75%,qiansanji150yiyuandejingliyichao2023nianquannian。
qiangjingdechujingheguojilvyouyewushisanjiduladongxiechengyingshouzhengtizengzhangdezhuyaogongchen。xiechengcaibaoxianshi,chujingyoudejijiuyudingliangyihuifudao2019niantongqide120%(shangjiduwei100%),chunhaiwaiyewudeyudingliangyebaochizhe60%degaosuzengzhang(shangjiduwei70%)。
chuguoyoudereduzaijinnianyufagaozhang,genjuguojiayiminjudeshuju,jinnianguoqingqijian,neidijuminchurujingwei758.9wanrenci,tongbizengzhangle33.2%。zhongguolvyouyanjiuyuanfabude《zhongguochujinglvyoufazhanniandubaogao(2023-2024)》xianshi,2023nianchujinglvyourenshuchaoguo8700wanrenci,yuce2024nianchujinglvyourenshujiangda1.3yirenci。
jinnianshuangshiyishujuzhong,chujingyouyechengweilexiaofeide“xiangbobo”。yifeizhushuang11fabudeshujuweili,jinnianbujinchujingyoushangpinzhanbichuangxingao,chujingyoushangpinchengjiaoyechuanglexingao,kedanjiadongzhedajiqianshenzhishangwandeshangpin、kucunshuokongjiukong。
年轻人重新“整顿”出境游
dang90houhe00houchengweixiaofeishichangdezhudaoliliang,nianqingrenlvyouxuqiudepenfakaishizhongxin“zhengdun”chujingyou,yejiota(online travel agency)pingtaimendailailexindezengliangjihui。
正如携程董事会执行主席梁建章zaicicicaibaohoudianhuahuiyizhongbiaoshi,nianqingrenyuelaiyueduodijianglvxingzuoweizhichuzhongdeyouxianshixiang。
fastdatafabude《2024zhongguochujingyoushichangjingzhengbaogao》(xiacheng《baogao》)xianshi,nianqingrendechujingyouyiyuanxianzhugaoyuqitanianlingjieduan,90houchujingyouyiyuangaoda71.5%。qizhong72%de“90hou”yiji 86%de“00hou”dourenweiziyouxingshigenghaodechujinglvxingfangshi。
julvxingpingtaifabude《2024zhongguojuminchujingyouxuqiuqushiqianzhan》,pianhaojingwaiziyouxingderenqunyijingjiejinjingwailvyourenshude50%。gaibaogaohaixianshi,zai18zhi40suidequntizhong,mei5gerenjinyou1weihaihuixuanzechuantongdequanchengbaobanleilvyoutuan。huidao5nianqian,xuanzechuguolvyoutuandeyoukezhanbizeyaogaodeduo。
congshangshuyixiliebaogaoshujudouyinzheng,xiangwangxingchendahai、zhuiqiuwujuwushudenianqingyidailvkedapoleguoqushengxingde“baokuangongshi”,keyigenjuzishenxuqiuxuanzezhutineirong,liangshendingzhihualvchengchenglewufazudangdequshi。
shinianqian,zhongguorenchujingyouhuixiayishifanying“beiouwuguogentuanlvyou”、“beimeigentuanyou”、“xinmatai+gangao”zheiyangdexianluhuozhezhongyawuguozheiyangdequyu,xianzaizehuijiangqumougechengshi、mougedaoyu、mougedujiadi。
cengbeihushidemudediguojiahediqukaishijinruchujinglvkedexuanxiangzhong,feichuantongziyuankaishichengweichujinglvyoudeliyou,renmenshenzhiweileyichangtiyusaishi、yichangyinlehui、yigetesecantinghuozheshilingmeishierdaofangyigeguojia、chengshihexiangcun。
zouchuguomendeyoukejiaobuyemanlexialai,yuanyiweimeihaodelvyouzhuangtaimaidan,yaozhuhaoyidiandejiudian,chihaoyixiedemeishi,canguanbowuguan、meishuguan,guankangaoshuipingdewenyibiaoyan,xiwangfaxianyixiexiaoerjing、xiaoermei、xiaoernuandeshenghuochangjingbingshendutiyan。
xiaofeizhedexuqiuhelvxingshetigongde“yizhanshifuwu”chuxiangelie,eryoujiaoqiangxiaofeiduanganzhinengliheyidinggongyinglianzhenghenenglidelvxingotamenyoulexianfayoushi,suipianhuadechanpinyeyinyuxiaofeizheziyouxingdexuqiugengweitongpin,chengweileotadeyoushi。
suizhekuajingyou、rujingyoudengshichangquanmianfusu,xiechengkuajingyouhechuhai,sihuyinglailezuihaodeshiji。
旅行业一超多强,双十一比拼出境游
2010nianhouotaxingyeyinglaileyilunbaofashizengzhang,gedapingtaifenfentuichuyidongyingyong,shiyonghunenggousuishisuidiyudinglvyouchanpin。2013nianmeituankaishishezujiudianyudingyewu,2014niantongchenghuodetengxundezhanlvetouzi,2015nianxiechengshougouqunaer,2016niantaobaolvxingzhengshigengmingfeizhu。
zhongguodeotapingtaizhijianzhujianxingchengleyixiechengweishoude、“yichaoduoqiang”dejingzhenggeju,bingjinrusishajieduan。
genjufastdata《2024nianzhongguochujingyouxingyefazhanbaogao》xianshi,xiechengzaiguoneichujingyoushichangdezhanbida48.3%,jiaoshangnian54.7%xiahua,erfeizhuzhanbiweiyoushangniande27.1%panshengzhi29.6%,paimingdier,qiziyouxingdingdanshigentuanyoudeliubeizuoyou,yeshuomingqizaiziyouxingshichangdefazhanqianli。
danfangyanguojilvxingotapingtai,bookingdeshizhimuqianshi1250yimeiyuan,jinnianqiansanjidujinglirundadao48yimeiyuan(yuehe340yiyuanrenminbi),erxiechengshizhishi300yimeiyuan,shangbanniandejinglirunwei81yiyuanrenminbi。woguootaqiyezaiguimoshangyuguojipingtairengyoujiaodachaju。zheiyeyiweizhe,suoyoupingtaidouyoujihuiquqiangzhangongjigaodi,kuodashichangfene。
congjinnianshuangshiyilaopaiotayu“doukuaihong”dengxinwanjiazaozaobuju、“gexianshentong”debiaoxianbiankekuijiangedapingtaiduilvyouxingyedeyexin。
jinnianxiecheng、feizhu、meituan、douyinjinjiexiachangzai“juan”yigekansihenbuqiyandedongxi:xiandunhoufu。
guoqingqian,xiechengdingxiangyaoqingbufenyonghuneiceleyixiangxingongneng:rangxiaofeizhekeyizaishouxineduneixian“dun”jiudianyushoutaocan,yuyuejiudianhexiaohoudehaikuanri(yueyigeyuehou)zaihaikuanjike。xiaofeizhejiangqiqumingwei“xiechengbanhuabei”。
“zheiyijudongduixiechenglaishuokebushiyijianxiaoshi,zhiqian‘xiandunhoufu’qishishifeizhude‘zhuanli’,yeshifeizhuqingzhubomendaihuodejinzizhaopai,yeshizhiqianfeizhushuangshiyidaihuochengjiaoekeyidadaoxiechengsansibeideyuanyin。” yeneirenshibiaoshi,ruguoniyongxinyongkadingjiudian,zheiyueshuaka,xiayuehaikuan,erruguoniyonglehuabeideshouxinedu,neijiushijiulvtaocanhexiaohouzaihaikuan,youxiaojiejuelenianqingrenxianjinliubeizhanyongdewenti。
ciwai,youdouyinshangjiatoulu,jinniannianchu,douyinshenghuofuwuba“xiandunhoufu”zheigegongnengkaifangjileshangjia,xianshouyonghu“dunjiudian”deqian,haishifangchushouxineduzairangyonghuhouqihaikuan,youshangjiazixingjueding。
xianzaixiechengde“buhexiaobuhaikuan”yegaodiaoshangxianle,yeranglvyouzheiyipinleichengweijinnianshuangshiyizuirenaodelingyu。
congfeizhufabudeyouguanshuang11dezhankuangshujukan,chujingyouhuodongshangpinxiaoliangzhanbitongbizengzhangle30%,xiaofeizheshuliangtongbiqunianzengzhang40%,qizhongyuesanfenzhiyishixinyonghu。chuchuantongchujingremenmudedizhiwai,bingdao、tuerqi、jianpuzhai、feiji、faguodexiangguanchanpinxiaoshoutongbizengsuzuikuai,jishipingtaihaiwaimudedixin“heima”,yeyoukenengshimingnianzuishouxiaofeizheguanzhudemudedisuozai。
ciwaifeizhushujuhaixianshi,shuang11gongjiyou22gepinpaidehuodongshangpinchengjiaoetupo1yiyuan;baokuofeizhuchaojivipzhibojianzaineidefeizhuguanfangjuzhendaihuoxiaolvyuesheng,leijidazaole19gechengjiaoeqianwanjidedanpin。
xiechengjiangdongnanya、rihan、ouzhoudengquanqiu20duogemudedidehezuohuobandounarudaojinniandeshuang11dehuodongzhong。ercongyouhuilidukan,jinnian5zheyixiadeshangpinzhanbichaoguosifenzhiyi,6zheyixiadeshangpinchaoguo50%。erjiushuang11yushouchanpineryan,xiechengjinniandeyuqizengzhangzhishi50%yishang。
youxiaofeizhebiaoshi:“feizhujiudian,buguansanqiershiyidunlezaishuo,fanzhengzhihuiyonghuabei,maizhewanyiyouyongni。”
xiaofeizhenengbadunlvyouchanpinzuoweiweilailvxingjihuade“shengqian”xinxuanze,zuizhuyaoyuanyinhaishizaiyupingtaiduishuang11wanfaguizedezhidingshiyuelaiyueyouliyumaifang。
“dunlvyou”tigongdeshiyizhongbuquedingriqi、buquedingjihuadexiaofeifangshi,tongshidingjiahejiagezhanshibifudongdingjiaderilichanpingengjiandanwending。xiaofeizhexiangjizijishanggejiage“baoxian”。
zaixiaofeizhechuxingbuzaishouxianhou,yushoumoshidehexinjiazhiyijingcongbangzhulvyoushangjiahuokedeshijianjihuibianweilexiangduiwendingdechengbenjihui,keyirangxiaofeizhezaikejieshoudejiagequjianneigengdagailvdexuanzeziji,yejiushitishengzhangweidezhengtihexiaogailv。genjuyiwangjingyankan,jibianshizaiwangjihexiaoshixuyaobuyidingdechajia,zhiyaoyirandiyubishideshichangpingjunjiage,xiaofeizhexuanzehexiaogailvyehuidadazengjia。
携程的未来,机遇与挑战并存
erzaiqiangdihuansidedangxia,xiechenghaiyuanweidaonenggoufangsongdeshihou。
xiechengdeshouruzhuyaolaizizhusuhepiaowu,liangxiangyewuweixiechenggongxianlechaoqichengdeshouru。dangxiechengzhuandepenmanbomandetongshi,guoneijiudianzhuanqiansihuyuelaiyuenanle。
guojinzhengquandediaochashujuxianshi,jiudianxingyejinniandiyijiduhedierjiduzhong,revpar(meijiankeshoukefangshouru)tongbifenbiexiajiang9%、12%;adr(yishoukefangpingjunfangjia)tongbifenbiexiajiang3%、8%。
juwenlvbugongbudeshuju,2024niandierjiduquanguowuxingjifandianpingjunfangjia601.62yuan/jianye,tongbixiajiang2.7%;pingjunchuzulv58.25%,tongbixiajiang3.34gebaifendian。
9yuechu,huazhujituanchuangshirenjianceojiqideyipianneibuxiaozuowengengzhichulejiudianheotazhijiandeliyichongtudian:henduomendianguoyuyilaijituanyiyoudehuiyuanhezhongyangqudao,yijingzhubusangshixiaoshoutuokedenengli。
jieguojiushi,dianzhangzaiyejiyalixia,weilechuzulv,gezhongranglijiota,“jiagejidebihuiyuanjiahaidi”,daozhimendiandedingdanhendayibudoulaiziyuota。
zhangciyiwang,jiudiandelirunbiranbeitanbo,gengyanzhongdeshi,zheixiangdangyugongshourangchuledingjiaquan,zheixianranshijiudiandeleichi。
zaiyixiecengjingbeishiwei“feizhuliu”dexifenlingyu,feizhuyezhengzaimanmanshixianlefenelingxian。
chujingyoudeziyouxingshidai,suizhesuipianhuaxuqiudejizeng,zhongduoxiangduibuneimeqiyandexifenlingyude“yinxingguanjun”shangjia,yinglaileqiansuoweiyoudejiyu。
zhengrudazhonglvyoushidaiyoukezhengzaizhongxindingyituandui、jingqunaizhilvyouyiyang,zaichujingyoudeziyouxingshidai,youkeyezhengzaigaibianchujingyoudexingyeyunzuofangshi——tamenyijingxiguanyutongguoshoujijinxingquanchengyudingbingfuyijixinggoumai。
nianlingzai20suidao35suizhijianyonghuzhanbifeizhusuipianhuashangpinxiaofei6chengzuoyou,zheigerenqunhuaxianghepingtaizhengtidehuaxiangjiaojiejin。
yifangmian,jingguozhangniandegongjidiedai,feizhuzai2019nianqianjiuyijingzainianqingrenlijileilelianghaodekoubei,sannianguoquhou,zheigerenqundekezhipeishourugenggaole,qiechujingyouwandeyiyuanzengqiang;
lingyifangmian,henduoguojijituanbijiaokanzhongfeizhuqudao,biruwanhao、xierdunzheileiguojijituanhuiyuantixijinzaifeizhutongbu。
xiechengguojiotapingtaitrip.comdeshourubaochizengzhang,danzengsuyousuofanghuan。jinnianyijidu,xiechengrutrip.comshourutongbishangzhang80%,erjidutongbizengsufanghuanzhi70%,daolesanjidujinyibufanghuanzhi60%,xiechengquanqiuhuazhanlve,renzhongdaoyuan。
weilaiyongyuanchongmanbianshu,gejuyebukenengyichengbubian。womenkandaotezhongbingshilvyou、chuguoyouyijixuduoxindetiyanshilvyouyongxian,xingyefangfochuzaixinyiluntuibianguochengzhong。
运营|陈佳慧
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