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气候大会成果喜忧参半,专家这样解读

kongfengzhichu,cop29weiqianghuanengyuanzhuanxingchengnuokenenghuishigeguozaixiangguantouruhezhengcezhichilidujianruo,yanhuankezaishengnengyuan、qingjienengyuanjishudengdeyanfa、tuiguangheyingyongsudu,yingxiangquanqiunengyuanxitongdeshengjihezhuanxingjincheng。

(资料图)COP29主会场阿塞拜疆巴库奥林匹克体育场。来源:视觉中国

界面新闻记者 | 陈升龙

界面新闻编辑 | 刘海川

jingguo30duogexiaoshidetaojiahaijiazhihou,《lianheguoqihoubianhuakuangjiagongyue》di29cidiyuefangdahui(cop29)jiuxindeqihourongzijitilianghua(ncqg)mubiao、《balixieding》di6tiaoquanqiutanshichangjizhidenghexinyitidachengyilanzixieyi。

gengxinbandeanwenxianshi,dao2035nianyiqian,fadaguojiadaitoumeiniantigong3000yimeiyuanjifazhanzhongguojia,baokuogonggonghesirenzijindexingshi,yizhichitamenyingduiqihou。

yixiefazhanzhongguojiapiping3000yimeiyuanyuanyuanbugoujiejuetamenzaoyudeqihouwenti,dulijigoufenxirenweisuoxuguimoyingwei1wanyimeiyuan,bingzhuyaoyizengkuanerfeidaikuandexingshi,fouzejiangshidetamenjinyibuxianruzhaiwuxianjing。danfadaguojiarenweijingjiqianjingbuleguan,fazhanzhongguojiazuichudeyaoqiubuqieshiji,yincijujuejieshou。

zaidahuihoupilulezuihoujieduandehunluan。2024nian11yue23rixiawudetanpanchixule5gexiaoshi。jusangdefazhanzhongguojiadaibiaomenzhidaozuihouyikerengmanhuaiqidaidihuidaotanpanzhuoqian,tamenbuxiangdaizhepoliedetanpanjieguokongshouhuiguo。

qijianshatealabodaibiaoalbara tawfiqqiangshijujueleoumeijiangrongzizeren“kuoda”daofadaguojiayiwaideyaoqiu。erzuoweidongdaoguo,youqidaguoasaibaijiangyebeipipingquefajingyan,caoanliaocao。

就此次COP29相关成果的影响,界面新闻邀请长期从事气候治理与风险管理教学与科研工作的中国农业大学自然灾害学博士孔锋进行解读。

kongfengshuo,shouxianncqgzaimingqueqihourongzidezijinchengnuo、weiquanqiuhezuotigongjichu、tichumingquedeluxiantuguihuadengfangmiandejijiyiyizhidekending,dantongshiyeyinggaikandaosanfangmiandetiaozhan。

yishizijinquekoujiaoda。duiyuxuduoqihoucuiruoguojialaishuo,3000yimeiyuandemubiaoshenzhibujikexueyanjiubiaomingsuoxujinedesifenzhiyi,nanyiyouxiaobangzhutamenyingduiriyiyanjundeqihoutiaozhan,duiyushixianquanqiukongwenmubiaodezhichengliduyexiangduiyouxian。

ershizijinzhiliangkenengcunzaiwenti。zuizhongjuedingweimingquezijindezhuyaolaiyuanhexingshi,meiyoumanzufazhanzhongguojiaxiwangzijinzhuyaolaizigonggongzijin,bingyizengkuanhuoyouhuidaikuanxingshitigongdesuqiu,zheikenengdaozhizijindekehuodexingheshiyongxingdadazhekou。

sanshizijinfenpeihezerenfendanshangdegongpingxingcunzaizhengyi。xindencqgmubiaorengweichongfentixian“gongtongdanyouqubiedezeren”yuanze,zaizijinfenpeihezerenfendanshangweinengchongfenkaolvdaoqihoucuiruoguojiadeteshukunjinghefazhanxuqiu,yingxiangguojiqihouhezuodejijixinghewendingxing。

COP29的另一项成就,是在最后时刻通过了《巴黎协定》6.2条、6.4条细则,jiejueleguanyushixianguojitanshichangdezhangqizhengyi,weitanjiaoyitigonglequanqiubiaozhun。

kongfengrenwei,quanqiushichangmaimaitanxinyongeduguizedachengyizhideqianzaitiaozhanzaiyu:

yishizhuduozhixingxijieshangdaimingquehewanshan,rutanxinyongedudejutihesuanfangfa、shenheyujianguanjizhi、shichangjiaoyidejuticaozuoliuchengdeng,zheixiexijiewentiruguochulibudang,kenenghuiyingxiangtanshichangdegongpingxing、youxiaoxinghewendingxing,shenzhidaozhishichangluanxianghexujiajianpai。

ershifadaguojiakenenghuiliyongtanshichangjizhizhuanyijianpaizerenhechengben,erfazhanzhongguojiazexuyaoquebaozishendefazhankongjianbushouxian,binghuodezugoudezijinhejishuzhichi;tongshi,yixiegaopaifangxingyekenenghuimianlinjiaodadejianpaiyalihechengbenshangshengfengxian。

sanshitanshichangdejiagebodongkenenghuiduicanyugefangchanshengyingxiang,tebieshiduiyufazhanzhongguojiadexiangmukaifazhehetouzizhelaishuo,ruguotanxinyongedujiageguodi,kenenghuiyingxiangqixiangmudejingjikexingxinghetouzihuibaolv;erjiageguogaozekenengzengjiagoumaifangdechengben,jiangdishichangxuqiu,jineryingxiangtanshichangdehuoyueduhejianpaixiaoguo。

ciwai,benjiedahuidetanpanweiqianghuaconghuashiranliaozhuanxingdechengnuohexingdong,xiangguanguojia、tuantihezhuanjiabiaodaledanyou,jiangqishiweiquanqiuezhibiannuanjinzhandecuozhe。yincinengyuanzhuanxinghuati,yebeioumeimeitichengwei“fangjianlidedaxiang”。

dongdaoguoasaibaijiangbenshenjiushichanyoudaguo。youmeitizhichu,genjuyigemingwei“quzhudawuranzhe”dezuzhifenxi,1700duominghuashiranliaoyoushuozhehuoxingyerenyuancanjialedahui,qiguimochaoguolesuoyouguojiadaibiaotuan。telangpudangxuanmeiguodeyinyingyeyizhilongzhaozhehuichang。

shatealaboshiquanqiuzuidadeshiyouchukouguo,zaiguoquduojieqihoudahuishangyizhifanduicaiqujijindexingdong,cicizaiasaibaijianggengshimingquejujuezaixieyizhongtijishiyou、meitanhetianranqi。

huashiranliaodeshiyongshieryanghuatandengwenshiqitidezhuyaolaiyuan。conghuashiranliaoxiangqingjienengyuanzhuanxingshiquanqiunengyuanfazhandebiranqushi,yeshiyingduiqihoubianhuadezhongyaojucuo。

kongfengzhichu,weiqianghuazhuanxingchengnuokenenghuishigeguozainengyuanzhuanxingfangmiandetouruhezhengcezhichilidujianruo,yanhuankezaishengnengyuan、qingjienengyuanjishudengdeyanfa、tuiguangheyingyongsudu,yingxiangquanqiunengyuanxitongdeshengjihezhuanxingjincheng。lingyifangmian,nengyuanzhuanxingdeyanchikenengyehuixianzhixinnengyuanchanyedefazhan,cuoshituidongjingjilvsezengzhang、chuangzaojiuyejihuidengdelianghaojiyu。

中国代表团全面参与了大会各议题谈判磋商。中方呼吁各方坚持多边主义,按照“共同但有区别的责任”原则,在《巴黎协定》基础上确保行动不倒退。

未经正式授权严禁转载本文,侵权必究。

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气候大会成果喜忧参半,专家这样解读

kongfengzhichu,cop29weiqianghuanengyuanzhuanxingchengnuokenenghuishigeguozaixiangguantouruhezhengcezhichilidujianruo,yanhuankezaishengnengyuan、qingjienengyuanjishudengdeyanfa、tuiguangheyingyongsudu,yingxiangquanqiunengyuanxitongdeshengjihezhuanxingjincheng。

(资料图)COP29主会场阿塞拜疆巴库奥林匹克体育场。来源:视觉中国

界面新闻记者 | 陈升龙

界面新闻编辑 | 刘海川

jingguo30duogexiaoshidetaojiahaijiazhihou,《lianheguoqihoubianhuakuangjiagongyue》di29cidiyuefangdahui(cop29)jiuxindeqihourongzijitilianghua(ncqg)mubiao、《balixieding》di6tiaoquanqiutanshichangjizhidenghexinyitidachengyilanzixieyi。

gengxinbandeanwenxianshi,dao2035nianyiqian,fadaguojiadaitoumeiniantigong3000yimeiyuanjifazhanzhongguojia,baokuogonggonghesirenzijindexingshi,yizhichitamenyingduiqihou。

yixiefazhanzhongguojiapiping3000yimeiyuanyuanyuanbugoujiejuetamenzaoyudeqihouwenti,dulijigoufenxirenweisuoxuguimoyingwei1wanyimeiyuan,bingzhuyaoyizengkuanerfeidaikuandexingshi,fouzejiangshidetamenjinyibuxianruzhaiwuxianjing。danfadaguojiarenweijingjiqianjingbuleguan,fazhanzhongguojiazuichudeyaoqiubuqieshiji,yincijujuejieshou。

zaidahuihoupilulezuihoujieduandehunluan。2024nian11yue23rixiawudetanpanchixule5gexiaoshi。jusangdefazhanzhongguojiadaibiaomenzhidaozuihouyikerengmanhuaiqidaidihuidaotanpanzhuoqian,tamenbuxiangdaizhepoliedetanpanjieguokongshouhuiguo。

qijianshatealabodaibiaoalbara tawfiqqiangshijujueleoumeijiangrongzizeren“kuoda”daofadaguojiayiwaideyaoqiu。erzuoweidongdaoguo,youqidaguoasaibaijiangyebeipipingquefajingyan,caoanliaocao。

就此次COP29相关成果的影响,界面新闻邀请长期从事气候治理与风险管理教学与科研工作的中国农业大学自然灾害学博士孔锋进行解读。

kongfengshuo,shouxianncqgzaimingqueqihourongzidezijinchengnuo、weiquanqiuhezuotigongjichu、tichumingquedeluxiantuguihuadengfangmiandejijiyiyizhidekending,dantongshiyeyinggaikandaosanfangmiandetiaozhan。

yishizijinquekoujiaoda。duiyuxuduoqihoucuiruoguojialaishuo,3000yimeiyuandemubiaoshenzhibujikexueyanjiubiaomingsuoxujinedesifenzhiyi,nanyiyouxiaobangzhutamenyingduiriyiyanjundeqihoutiaozhan,duiyushixianquanqiukongwenmubiaodezhichengliduyexiangduiyouxian。

ershizijinzhiliangkenengcunzaiwenti。zuizhongjuedingweimingquezijindezhuyaolaiyuanhexingshi,meiyoumanzufazhanzhongguojiaxiwangzijinzhuyaolaizigonggongzijin,bingyizengkuanhuoyouhuidaikuanxingshitigongdesuqiu,zheikenengdaozhizijindekehuodexingheshiyongxingdadazhekou。

sanshizijinfenpeihezerenfendanshangdegongpingxingcunzaizhengyi。xindencqgmubiaorengweichongfentixian“gongtongdanyouqubiedezeren”yuanze,zaizijinfenpeihezerenfendanshangweinengchongfenkaolvdaoqihoucuiruoguojiadeteshukunjinghefazhanxuqiu,yingxiangguojiqihouhezuodejijixinghewendingxing。

COP29的另一项成就,是在最后时刻通过了《巴黎协定》6.2条、6.4条细则,jiejueleguanyushixianguojitanshichangdezhangqizhengyi,weitanjiaoyitigonglequanqiubiaozhun。

kongfengrenwei,quanqiushichangmaimaitanxinyongeduguizedachengyizhideqianzaitiaozhanzaiyu:

yishizhuduozhixingxijieshangdaimingquehewanshan,rutanxinyongedudejutihesuanfangfa、shenheyujianguanjizhi、shichangjiaoyidejuticaozuoliuchengdeng,zheixiexijiewentiruguochulibudang,kenenghuiyingxiangtanshichangdegongpingxing、youxiaoxinghewendingxing,shenzhidaozhishichangluanxianghexujiajianpai。

ershifadaguojiakenenghuiliyongtanshichangjizhizhuanyijianpaizerenhechengben,erfazhanzhongguojiazexuyaoquebaozishendefazhankongjianbushouxian,binghuodezugoudezijinhejishuzhichi;tongshi,yixiegaopaifangxingyekenenghuimianlinjiaodadejianpaiyalihechengbenshangshengfengxian。

sanshitanshichangdejiagebodongkenenghuiduicanyugefangchanshengyingxiang,tebieshiduiyufazhanzhongguojiadexiangmukaifazhehetouzizhelaishuo,ruguotanxinyongedujiageguodi,kenenghuiyingxiangqixiangmudejingjikexingxinghetouzihuibaolv;erjiageguogaozekenengzengjiagoumaifangdechengben,jiangdishichangxuqiu,jineryingxiangtanshichangdehuoyueduhejianpaixiaoguo。

ciwai,benjiedahuidetanpanweiqianghuaconghuashiranliaozhuanxingdechengnuohexingdong,xiangguanguojia、tuantihezhuanjiabiaodaledanyou,jiangqishiweiquanqiuezhibiannuanjinzhandecuozhe。yincinengyuanzhuanxinghuati,yebeioumeimeitichengwei“fangjianlidedaxiang”。

dongdaoguoasaibaijiangbenshenjiushichanyoudaguo。youmeitizhichu,genjuyigemingwei“quzhudawuranzhe”dezuzhifenxi,1700duominghuashiranliaoyoushuozhehuoxingyerenyuancanjialedahui,qiguimochaoguolesuoyouguojiadaibiaotuan。telangpudangxuanmeiguodeyinyingyeyizhilongzhaozhehuichang。

shatealaboshiquanqiuzuidadeshiyouchukouguo,zaiguoquduojieqihoudahuishangyizhifanduicaiqujijindexingdong,cicizaiasaibaijianggengshimingquejujuezaixieyizhongtijishiyou、meitanhetianranqi。

huashiranliaodeshiyongshieryanghuatandengwenshiqitidezhuyaolaiyuan。conghuashiranliaoxiangqingjienengyuanzhuanxingshiquanqiunengyuanfazhandebiranqushi,yeshiyingduiqihoubianhuadezhongyaojucuo。

kongfengzhichu,weiqianghuazhuanxingchengnuokenenghuishigeguozainengyuanzhuanxingfangmiandetouruhezhengcezhichilidujianruo,yanhuankezaishengnengyuan、qingjienengyuanjishudengdeyanfa、tuiguangheyingyongsudu,yingxiangquanqiunengyuanxitongdeshengjihezhuanxingjincheng。lingyifangmian,nengyuanzhuanxingdeyanchikenengyehuixianzhixinnengyuanchanyedefazhan,cuoshituidongjingjilvsezengzhang、chuangzaojiuyejihuidengdelianghaojiyu。

中国代表团全面参与了大会各议题谈判磋商。中方呼吁各方坚持多边主义,按照“共同但有区别的责任”原则,在《巴黎协定》基础上确保行动不倒退。

未经正式授权严禁转载本文,侵权必究。