文 | 新氪度

2024nian，feixingqihe“weilaichengshi”buzaizhishikehuandianyingdezhuanshuchangjing。congshenzhendaoluoshanji，congyihangdaowolante，evtol（diandongchuizhiqijiangfeixingqi）zhengchengweizibenshichangzhuizhude“xinfengkou”。jutongji，jin2023nian，evtolxiangguanchuchuanggongsijiuwanchenglechaobaiyimeiyuanderongzi。yucitongshi，bushaojutouqiyeyedajubujuzheiyisaidao：boyin、kongkedenghangkongjutouyiyouduogexiangmujinrushiyunying，tesilashenzhichuanchukuajieyanfaevtoldexiaoxi。

evtolkansiliwomenderichangshenghuohaihenyaoyuan，queyijingxiyinleyuelaiyueduodeguanzhu。tabujinshijishuchuangxindejidachengzhe，gengshidikongjingji、weilaichuxingyulvsejiaotongdehexinzaiti。danzailingrenxingfendeyuanjingbeihou，zheigexingyecunzaizhezibenfengkuangyongruyu“shaoqian”wududeshuangzhongxianshi。evtol，daodipingshenmehuole？zibenkanzhongdeshishenme？shangyehuaqianjingyoushifouruyuqiguangming？

eVTOL：飞行汽车还是“烧钱陷阱”？

evtol，shiyizhongdiandongqudong、nenggouchuizhiqijiangdefeixingqi，yinqibuyilaipaodao、caozuolinghuoqiejubeilvsehuanbaoqianli，beirenweishiweilaichengshikongzhongjiaotong（uam）fazhandehexinzaiju。conggerenchuxingdaowuliuyunshu，congyingjijiuyuandaogaoduanlvyou，tamiaohuilewushuyingyongchangjing，shenzhibeishiweigaibianchengshixingtaide“feixingqiche”。raner，congyanfadaoshengchan，zaidaoshangyehuayingyong，evtolxuyaokuayuezhongzhongjishuhejingjimenjian，yeyincibeiwaijiexichengwei“shaoqiandeyishu”。

qizhongyanfashievtolshaoqianzuilihaidejieduan。yaoshixianchuizhiqijiang，bujinxuyaotupochuantongfeixingqidekongqidonglixuejixian，haiyaokaifagaoxingnengdianchizu、qinglianghuajishenhezhinengfeikongxitong。yidianchiweili，evtolduidianchideyaoqiubidimiandiandongchegengkeke，jiyaomanzugaogonglvshuchuyouyaojianguanquanxingheqinglianghua。zheixiejishutiaozhanyiweizhe，wushushiyanshibaidailaidebujinshishijiansunhao，gengshizibendejudaxiaohao。

zhidezhuyideshihangkonggongyeyouzhejigaodeanquanmenjian，renheyijiaevtolzaishangyongqiandouxujingguoyangedeshihangrenzheng。meiguolianbanghangkongguanliju（faa）heouzhouhangkonganquanju（easa）zhidingdebiaozhunfugaicongcailiao、jiegoudaodianzixitongdengfangfangmianmian，wangwangxuyaoshunianshijianhechengbaishangqianciceshicainengtongguo。zheiqijiandegaoangrenli、wulitouru，changlingqiyezijinchijin，xuduochuchuanggongsishenzhihuizaizheiyijieduandaoxia。

erqieevtolshengchanzhizaohuanjieshejitezhongcailiao、jingmibujianjigaokejishebei，chuqishengchanguimojiaoxiaonanyitanbochengben。yijiayuanxingjizaojiadongzhejibaiwanmeiyuan，daguimoliangchanxuyaogoujianwanshandegongyinglianyugaoxiaodeshengchangongyi，zheiwuyijinyibutaishenglezijinmenjian。zaimaixiangshangyehuazhiqian，qiyewangwangzhinengchixu“shaoqian”，nanjianhuibao。

为何“黑洞”却成了风口？

xiangxiangyixia，weilaidechengshizhong，renmenbuzaiyilaidimianjiaotonggongju，zuoshangevtolfeixingqi，congshiqudaojiaoqudetongqinshijiandadasuoduan。shenzhi，zaijiaotongzuifanmangdeshiduan，evtolkenengchengweile“kongzhongchuzuche”，jirenmentigonggengkuaijiedechuxingxuanze。zheizhong“feixingqiche”deshexiang，yijingbuzaishikehuanxiaoshuozhongdechangjing，ershigedaqiyehezibenkanhaodeweilaichuxingfangshi。

quanqiuchengshikongzhongchuxingshichangyujidao2035nianjiangchaoguowanyimeiyuan，evtolzhengshizheigeshichangdehexinzaiju。suizhejishudezhubuchengshu，evtoljiangzhujianshentoudaomeigejiaoluo，chengweirenmenrichangshenghuodeyibufen。zibendefengkuangyongru，zhengshikanzhonglezheiyiweilaishichangdejudaqianli。

eVTOL的“赚钱路”不止一条

zaizibenrepengyuzhengcefuchixia，evtolyinglimoshibuzaishiwulikanhua，jiancigoulechuqingxi“pintu”，congzhijiechanpinshoumaidaoyanshengfuwuyunying，womenlaikankan，tadaodinengcongnaxielingyushouhuolirun？

高端定制市场：

zaijishushangweiwanquanchengshudejieduan，evtolkeyimianxianggaoduankehutigongdingzhihuafuwu。liru，lvyougongsikeyiyuevtolzhizaoshanghezuo，dazaohaohuakongzhongguanguangji，dailingyoukezaikongzhongfukanmeilidechengshifengguang。yucitongshi，zhengfuheqiyeyehuidingzhizhuanmendeevtol，yongyujinjijiuyuanhewuliuyunshu。zheixiedingzhihuadefeixingqishoujiagaoang，yidantourushichang，biannengdailaikeguandeshouru。

空中出租车运营：

weilai，evtolyouwangchengwei“kongzhongchuzuche”，anshiduanhelichengshoufei，chuansuozaichengshideshangkong。zaidimianjiaotongyongdushiduan，evtoljiangchengweizuibianjiedetongqingongju。tongguopingtaidezhinengdiaodu，nenggoushixiangaoxiaoyunying。suizheshiyongliangdezengjia，kongzhongchuxingdeshoufeitixijiangweievtolzhizaoshangdailaiwendingdexianjinliu。

空中物流配送：

suizhedianshangdefeisufazhan，evtolzaiwuliulingyudeyingyongqianjingyefeichangguangkuo。evtolnenggoukuaisuchuanyuechengshijiaotongdusai，shixian“zuihouyigongli”dejingzhunpeisong。youqishizaipianyuandiqu，evtoljiangchengweipeisongdezhongyaoshouduan。zaiweilai，dianshangpingtaihewuliugongsijiangyuevtolzhizaoshanghezuo，gongtongdazaokongzhongwuliupeisongwangluo，jidatishengwuliuxiaolvheyonghutiyan。

shouhoufuwuyushujuyunying：

evtolyidantourushichang，weibaofuwujiangchengweilingyixiangzhongyaodeyinglilaiyuan。suizhefeixingqidezengduo，weixiuhepeijiangenghuanjiangdailaiwendingdeshouru。ciwai，evtolfeixingguochengzhonghuijileidaliangshuju，nenggouweichengshijiaotong、hangkonganquandenglingyutigongbaoguidexinxi，weilaizheixieshujuhaikeyichushoujizhengfuhuokeyanjigou，jinyibuwajueyingliqianli。

全球政策利好，加速eVTOL产业发展

chulepangdadeshichangxuqiuheguangkuodeyinglikongjian，evtoldefazhanhaidedaolegeguozhengfudejijizhichi，fenfenchutaizhengce，tuidongdikongjingjidekuaisufazhan。biru，meiguodelianbanghangkongguanliju（faa）zhengzaijiasuevtolshihangbiaozhundezhiding，ouzhouduoguozhengfuyikaishiguihuadikongfeixingjichusheshi，erzhongguoyezaijijijianshedikongfeixingwangluo。guoneijinrihaixuanbulejiangzaihefei、hangzhou、shenzhen、suzhou、chengdou、zhongqingliugechengshikaizhanevtolshidian，dui600miyixiakongyushouquandifangzhengfuguanli，weixingyetigonglebaoguidezhengcezhichiheshidianjihui。

zhengcedelihao，shideevtolxingyezaizijinhejishushangdezhichilidudadazengqiang，weizibentourutigonglebaozhang。rujin，zibenjinrudefengxianxiangduijiaodi，gengduodetouzizhekaishikanhaozheiyixingyedeweilai。

写在最后

zaikejiyujiaotongdejiaohuidianshang，evtolwuyishiweilaichuxingdejianduantansuo。jinguantamianlinzhejudadejishutiaozhan、zijintourugao、zhouqizhangde“shaoqian”yali，danzhengcedeqingxiezhichi、shichangdeguangkuoqianjing，yijijishudekuaisujinbu，zhengzaiweievtolzheichang“kongzhonggeming”tigongqiangyoulidebaozhang。suizhezhengcedongfengdebuduanchuifu，jishubileidezhubudapo，zibendechixujiama，zheiyixinxinglingyuyouwangzaiweilaizhenzhengshixiancongshiyanshidaoshangyeyunyingdekuayue。

evtolbujinjinshiyizhongkejichuangxin，gengshiyizhongchengshi、jiaotong、jingjishengtaidezhongsuliliang。tabujinkeyijiejueyongdu、dixiaodengchuantongjiaotongwenti，gengkenengchengweicujinlvsejingjifazhandezhongyaoyinqing，zhongxindingyiweilaichengshidexingtaihejingjijiegou。zhanzaizheigebiangedeqidian，sheinengjinwochuangxinde“yaochi”，zaijishujinbu、shangyemoshigoujianheshichangbujuzhongzhanjuyoushi，sheijiuyoukenengzaizheichang“kongzhonggeming”zhongyingdexianji，yingjiexindecaifufengkou。