界面新闻记者 | 刘婷

faguoguominyihuizaidangdishijianzhousanbamianlezonglimixieer·baniyelingdaodezhengfu，zheiyiweizhechenglijin3geyuedexinzhengfukuatai。xinyilunzhengzhibuquedingxingduiyuanjiupiruandefaguojingjilaishuoshi“xueshangjiashuang”，tebieshi，zhengzhijiangjuhuodaozhi2025nianyusuanannanchan，fenxirenshidanxin，yichangyinzhengfuzhaiwueryinfadejingjiweijikenengzhengzaifaguoyunniang。

baniyezhengfukuataidedaohuosuoshiyusuanzhizheng。10yuefen，baniyegongbuleyixiangxuejianchizidejihua，xuanbudao2025nianjianggonggongchizizhangdpdebilicong6%jiangzhi5%，2029nianjinyibujiangzhi3%zuoyou。dancijuzaodaofanduipaideqiangliedizhi，baniyezhengfuyejujuerangbu。zhouyi，baniyedongyongxianfaxiangguanjizhi，raoguoguominyihui，qiangxingtongguole2025niandeshebaoyusuanan，yinfajiyouyihezuoyizhengdangqiangliebuman，jinertuichubuxinrendongyi。

dangdishijianzhousanwan，faguoguominyihuitoupiaotongguolezhenduixianrenzhengfudebuxinrendongyi，zheishi1962nianyilaifaguozhengfushoucibeiyihuituifan。baniyeyijingtijiaolecicheng。suiran“zhengfutingbai”dekenengxingfeichangdi，danzheizaicijiangfaguodecaizhengwentizhiyujiaodianzhizhong。

“jianyurenmingbaniyeweizonglishidekunnan，xunsuzhaodaotidaizhedekenengxingjibuqueding。zaijidufenliedeguominyihuizhong，zuoyi、zhongyouyihejiyouyisandazhenyingnanyituoxie，renhexinzhengfudoumianlinzaicibeibuxinrendongyituifandegaofengxian。”helanguojijituan（ing）zhouyizaiyipianbaogaozhongbiaoshi。gaigongsizaitoupiaojieguochulaiqianjiuyujidaolebaniyezhengfubeibamiandejieguo。

ingbiaoshi：“wulunruhe，keyiquedingdeshi，zainiandizhiqian，guohuijiangwufatongguoguojiayusuanhuoshehuibaozhangyusuan。guoqujizhoudeqingkuangbiaoming，yiyuanhecanyiyuanduiruhehuifugonggongcaizhengdeyijianjidufenqi，jihuwufadachenggongshi。”

jiezhi6yuedi，faguozhengfuzhaiwuyizhangdpde112%，yuangaoyuoumengguidingde60%deshangxian，weioumengguojiazhongzuigaoshuiping。youyucaizhengzhuangkuangkanyou，guojipingjijigouhuiyu10yuexiadiaofaguozhuquanxinyongpingjizhanwangzhi“fumian”，zheiyidiaojiangzaizhaiquanshichangyinfaliansuofanying，touzizhefenfenpaoshoufaguozhaiquan。

zhideyitideshi，zheihaishihuiyuzaibaniyetichu2025nianyusuancaoanzhihoufabudebaogao。huiyuzhichu，difangzhengfuzhichushangshengyijicaizhengshouruzengzhangdiyuyuqishifaguocaizhengzhuangkuanghuapodezhuyaoyuanyin。jinguanfaguozhengfutichuledaguimodecaizhengzhengdunjihua，danzheixiecuoshizhongyoubufenshizanshixingde，nengfouquanmianshishicunzaibuquedingxing。huiyuyuji，2024nianfaguocaizhengchizijiangkuodazhigdpde6.1%，yuangaoyuzhiqianyuqide5.1%；dao2028nianfaguozhengfuzhaiwujiangpanshengzhigdpde118.5%。

guominyihuitoupiaojieguochuluhou，faguozhongxiaoqiyelianhehuizaiyifenshengmingzhongcheng，zheikenenghuidailaiyigexindebuwendingshiqi，“meiyouyusuandefaguojiangweizhaiwuweijidakaidamen，qihouguojiangyanzhongdajijingyingzhuti。”

balizixungongsibdoshouxijingjixuejiaanne-sophie alsifzhousanduideguozhishengbiaoshi：“womendehongguanjingjishujuyuanbenjijianggaishan，zhengfudaotaihou，yihuiwufatongguo2025nianyusuan，womenjiangxianrujingjiweiji。zheijiangshizainanxingde。”

jingjixuejiazhichu，jinguanfaguodeyixiejingjizhibiaokansijiaohao，liru，faguogdpyujijinnianzengzhang1.1%，erdeguogdpyujiweisuo0.2%；faguoshiyelvwei7.4%，duifaguolaishuoxiangduijiaodi；tongzhanglvyicongjinianqiande5%jiangzhiyue2%，danzheixiexiangduibucuodeshujuyangaibulejinnianlaifaguojingjidepiruan。

“faguoheouzhouqiyedejingzhengliburuzhongguoqiye。zi2019nianyilai，womendeshengchanchengbenshangshengle25%，erzhongguotongqijinzengzhangle3%。”balijingjiyanjiusuorexecodedefuzerendeni·feilangdeduideguozhishengzhichu。

feilangdejiangqiguiyinyuduoniandegaotongzhang、lilvshangshengyijinengyuanjiagebiaosheng，tebieshi2022nian2yueewuzhanzhengbaofahou。tahaizhichu，genjugaijigoumeigejidudui1000jiafaguozhongxiaoqiyedediaocha，jinnian10yue，zhiyou36%deqiyejihuaweichitouzi，45%biaoshijiangtuichitouzi，18%biaoshihuiquxiaotouzi。

anyongdui200mingguojiqiyegaoguandediaochayexianshileisijieguo：yueyibanshoufangzhesuojianhuotuichiletouzixiangmu。zi2019nianyilai，faguoyizhizaianyongdeouzhoutouzixiyinlidiaochazhongpaimingdiyi。

anshengtouziguanligongsishouxijingjixuejiajilesi·moaikezhouyizaiyifenyanbaozhongzhichu，suiranfaguokeyiyikaoguoneichuxutianbuwaiguotouzizhedequekou，danzheijiangxueruoqiguoneijingjizengzhangqianli。“xiaofeizhexinxinyijingzaixiajiang，chuxulvkenengjinyibushangsheng，zheijiangzuaixiaofeifandan，erzhengfuzhengjixiwangyuxiaofeizengzhanglaizhichi2025niandeshuishoushouru。”moaikeshuo。

fenxirenshijinyibubiaoshi，zuoweiouyuanqudierdajingjiti，faguodezhengzhijiangjuchengweiouyuandeyouyifumianyinsu。yixiejigouyuji，ouyuanduimeiyuanhuilvjiangdiezhi1:1fujin。jiezhibeijingshijianzhousi20:15，ouyuanduimeiyuanbao1.0533，jinnianqijindiefuda4.6%

ingbiaoshi，faguohedeguozhengfushuangshuangxianrujiangju，ouyuandefandanxuyaomeiguoshujuzouruanyijimeilianchuzai12yue18riwenhejiangxi25gejidiandetuidong。zongtilaikan，yujiouyuanduimeiyuanhuilvkenenghuijinyibudiexiang1.02-1.03quyu。

zhongguodehuataizhengquanrenwei，zonghejingjijibenmian、hongguanzhengcezhanwang、qushizengzhangqianli、yijizaimeiguojiazhengguanshuihuanjingxiaouzhoujingjide“cuiruoxing”dengfangmianlaikan，bupaichuouyuanduimeiyuanhuilvzaijinhoushuyuehoubijin、shenzhitupo 1:1 de“pingjia”shuiping。