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xuliyabiantianhou,jiashatinghuotanpanchuxianzhuanji?

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叙利亚变天后,加沙停火谈判出现转机?

hamasizaiguanjianyaoqiushangzuochulerangbu。

2024年12月16日,以军袭击加沙地带北部和中部多地。图片来源:视觉中国

记者 | 安晶

libanenzhenzhudangyuyiseliedachengtinghuo、xuliyazhengfuguangsudaotai、yilangweishoude“dikangzhihu”beixueruo,zhengzaiduilvlvshoucuodejiashatinghuotanpanchanshengxinyingxiang。

2024nian12yue16ri,yiselietanpandaibiaodidakataershoudouduoha,jiujiashatinghuoxieyizhankaitanpan。juyiseliemeitibaodao,yiseliefangzhangyisilaaier·kacizaidangtianduiguohuiwaijiaofangwuweiyuanhuidebimenjianghuazhongbiaoshi,jiashaderenzhijiaohuanxieyibi“yiwangrenheshihoudougengjiejindacheng”。

balesitanyisilandikangyundong(hamasi)nimingguanyuanzaijieshouzhongdongmeiticaifangshi,yezuochuleleisibiaoshu。

meiguozhengfucengshituzaimeiguozongtongdaxuanqiantuidongjiashatinghuo,danweinengchenggong。libanenzhenzhudangyuyiseliedachengtinghuohou,meiguo、kataerheaijizhongqijiashatinghuowoxuan。shangzhouwu,duituerqijinxingfangwendemeiguoguowuqingchengguoqujizhouchuxianle“gengguwurenxindejixiang”,jiashatinghuoyoukenengdacheng。

muqianliuchudexiaoxixianshi,jiashatinghuoxieyidachengdekenengxingshangshengshiyouyuhamasizaiguanjianyaoqiushangzuochulerangbu。

aijiguanyuanjieshoumeilianshecaifangshitoulu,jiashatinghuoxieyijiangfenjieduanzhixing。diyijieduanjiangchixu6dao8zhou,hamasijiangshifangyue30mingrenzhi,baokuomeiguoheyiselieshuangzhongguojigongmin。yiseliejiangshifangshangbaimingbalesitanqiufan,baokuoduiyiseliefadongguoxijidebalesitanren。

zaizheiyijieduan,yiseliejiangcongbufenjiasharenkoumijiquchejun,danbingbushiwanquanchejun。jiashayuaijijiaojiedefeichengzoulangjiangjixuyouyiselieshibingbashou。yiseliefangzhangkacizaizhouyidebimenhuishanghaitoulu,yijunjiangjixuzhushoufengejiashananbuhebeibudenazhalimuzoulang。

ju《》baodao,kacitoulu,zaiyijunzhushoufeichengzoulanghenazhalimuzoulangwentishang,hamasishoucizhanxianle“linghuoxing”。hamasidehexinsuqiushiyiseliecongjiashadidaiwanquanchejun,yiseliezejianjuefandui、shiyanyaocuihuihamasi。danzaijinjizhoudetanpanzhong,hamasidetaidufashenglebianhua。

shangzhousi,zhongdongguanyuanjieshou《huaerjieribao》caifangshitoulu,hamasishoucitongyiyunxuyiseliezaijiashazanshibaochijunshicunzai。hamasihaidapociqiandezuofa,zhudongxiangdiaotingfangdijiaoleyifenkenengshifangderenzhimingdan,mingdanzhongbaokuomeiguogongmin、nvxing、laonianrenhejiankangzhuangkuangbujiaderenzhi。

zuoweijiaohuan,yiseliejiangyunxudapirendaozhuyijiuyuanwuziyunrujiasha。gefanghaizaitaolunzhongxinkaifangjiashayuaijizhijiandetongguankouanlafa,kouandejiashaceyoubalesitanminzuquanlijigouguanli,oumengpaichuguanchayuanjiandu。lafakouanshijiashadidaiweiyiraokaiyiseliedelulukouan,jinnian5yueyiselieduilafafadongjingonghou,aijiguanbilegaikouan。

zaitinghuodiyijieduan,yiseliehehamasihaijiangjixujiuyongjiutinghuoxieyizhankaitanpan,baokuojieshubayichongtu、yiseliecongjiashawanquanchejun、hamasishifangshengyurenzhi。gefanghaijiangtaolunzhanhoujiashafangan,quedingyounayifangguanlijiashayijijiashazhongjianshiyi。yiseliefangzhangkacizaizhouyidejianghuazhongzhongshen,yiseliedeyaoqiushihamasibunengcanyuzhangguanjiasha。

hamasiguanyuanjieshoushate《》caifangshiquerengaizuzhizaitanpanzhongzhanxianle“feichanglinghuodelichang”,tongyianzhaoshangyihaodeshijianbiaofenjieduantinghuo。dangaiguanyuantongshiqiangdiao,hamasijiangjixuyaoqiuyiseliedachengyongjiutinghuo、congjiashawanquanchejunbingrangjiashaminzhongzhongfanjiayuan。benlunbayichongtuyijingzaochengjiashadidai4.5wanrensangsheng,90%dejiashajuminliulishisuo。

yiseliezonglibenyaming·neitaniyahuyushangzhouliuyumeiguodangxuanzongtongtangnade·telangputonghua,taolunjiashahexuliyajushi。neitaniyahumeiyoutoulutonghuadejutineirong,danjuyiseliemeitibaodao,neitaniyahuqingqiutelangpuduiaijihekataershiya,ranghamasizaitinghuodiyijieduanshifanggengduorenzhi。

zaiqunian10yue7riduiyiseliedetuxizhong,hamasijiqitawuzhuangjiang251mingrenzhidairujiasha。qunian11yuededuanzantinghuoqijian,hamasishifangle105ren,ciqianhaizhudongshifangle4mingrenzhi。yiseliegujimuqianjiashahaiyou96mingrenzhi,qizhongzhishao34rensangsheng。

benyueyilai,telangpuxianhouliangcijinggao,ruguohamasibuzaimingnian1yue20ridemeiguozongtongxuanshijiuzhiyishizhiqianshifangrenzhi,“houguojiangfeichangyanzhong”。jijianglirendeyuesefu·baidengzhengfuzezaituidongbayitinghuowentishangyutelangputuanduidachenglehezuo。

meiguoguojiaanquanguwenbiaoshi,zaituidongjiashatinghuoshang,baidengzhengfuyutelangputuanduijianlile“feichanghaodexiezuo”。tabiaoshi,shuangfangdachengdegongshishiwulunsheichurenmeiguozongtong,“womendouxiangxianzaijiukandaojiashatinghuoherenzhijiaohuanxieyi。”shaliwenzhichu,meiguoxiwangyiselieyuhamasinengzai12yuedizhiqiandachengtinghuo。meiguoguowuqingbulinkenyiyushangzhouzaicikaiqiduizhongdongdefangwen。

benlunbayichongtuyijingchanshengleyixilieliansuoyingxiang。

suizhehamasihelibanenzhenzhudangdeliliangbeixueruo、xuliyazhengfukuatai,yilanglingdaodefanmeifanyilianmeng“dikangzhihu”buduanzaoshouchongji。xuliyazhengfujun、hamasi、libanenzhenzhudang、yemenhusaiwuzhuang、yilakeshenyepaiwuzhuangdoushi“dikangzhihu”dechengyuan。

yiseliezechenjijixudaji“dikangzhihu”,tongguoduixuliyademengliekongxishitucuihuixuliyadezhongxingwuqi、qieduanyilanghelibanenzhenzhudangzaixuliyadejudianhegongyingxian。

shangzhou,xuanbucuihuilexuliya80%dejunshililiang。zhouyi,yiselieguofangjunfabiaoxinshengming,xuanbujixuliyadesuoyouzhanlvewuqi,baokuozhandouji、zhishengji、“feimaotui”daodan 、xunhangdaodan、wurenji、diduikongdaodan、leida、huojiandandengzaochengle“yanzhongdaji”。

yiseliehaidasuanjinyibukuodaduigelangaodidezhanling。yiseliezhengfupizhunleyixiangjiazhiyue1100wanmeiyuandejihua,jianggelangaodiderenkoufanbei。gaijihuayinfatuerqi、shate、yuedan、alianqiu、kataer、yilakedengduoguoyizhiqianze。

gelangaodiweiyuxuliyaxinanbu,dichuxuliya、yiselie、libanenheyuedandejiaohuichu,nengfukanxuliyashoudoudamashige,shizhongdongdezhanlveyaodi。

yiseliezai1967niandedisancizhongdongzhanzhengzhongzhanlinglegelangaodidabufendiqu。1973niandisicizhongdongzhanzhengzhong,xuliyashituduohuigelangaodidanweichenggong。zhanzhenghou,yiselieyuxuliyadachengxieyi,zaigelangaodidongceshelijunshihuanchongqu,lianheguoguanchayuanbuduizhuzhazaihuanchongqunei。1981nian,yiseliedanfangmianxuanbutunbinggelangaodiyiseliekongzhiqu,danguojishehuiburenkeyiselieduigelangaodiyongyouzhuquan。

xuliyazhengfudaotaihou,yiseliehuosuchubingzhanlinggelangaodidongcedejunshihuanchongqu。neitaniyahuhaixuanbu,yiseliejiangzhanlinggelangaodihuanchongqude。heermengshanweiyuxuliyahelibanenbianjie,zuigaofenghaiba2814mi,weigelangaodidezuigaodian。zhanlingleheermengshanhou,yiseliejiangdeyijinyibujiankongxuliyahelibanen,baokuolibanenzhenzhudangdejudianbeikagudi。

图片来源:中东之眼

congshangzhouridaobenzhouyi,yiseliehaiduixuliyaweiyudizhonghaiyanandetaertusidiqufadongmijikongxi,cuihuilexuliyadefangkongxitong、daodancangku。taertusigangshieluosizaidizhonghaideweiyihaijunjidi,yeshizaihaiwaiweiyidehaijunjidi,weieluosizhihengbeiyuedezhongyaojudian。

zhouyi,eluosizongtongxinwenmishudemiteli·peisikefubiaoshi,eluosizhengzaiyuxuliyaxinlingdaocengjiechu,youguaneluosizaixuliyajunshijididehouxuanpaishangwudinglun。

tuerqiguofangbuzhangyashaer·julaiershangzhoumobiaoshi,meiyoumingquejixiangbiaomingeluosijiangcongxuliyaquanmianchejun。waijiepubianyuji,eluosijiangnulibaozhutaertusiganghezaixuliyadehemaimimukongjunjidi。

未经正式授权严禁转载本文,侵权必究。

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叙利亚变天后,加沙停火谈判出现转机?

hamasizaiguanjianyaoqiushangzuochulerangbu。

2024年12月16日,以军袭击加沙地带北部和中部多地。图片来源:视觉中国

记者 | 安晶

libanenzhenzhudangyuyiseliedachengtinghuo、xuliyazhengfuguangsudaotai、yilangweishoude“dikangzhihu”beixueruo,zhengzaiduilvlvshoucuodejiashatinghuotanpanchanshengxinyingxiang。

2024nian12yue16ri,yiselietanpandaibiaodidakataershoudouduoha,jiujiashatinghuoxieyizhankaitanpan。juyiseliemeitibaodao,yiseliefangzhangyisilaaier·kacizaidangtianduiguohuiwaijiaofangwuweiyuanhuidebimenjianghuazhongbiaoshi,jiashaderenzhijiaohuanxieyibi“yiwangrenheshihoudougengjiejindacheng”。

balesitanyisilandikangyundong(hamasi)nimingguanyuanzaijieshouzhongdongmeiticaifangshi,yezuochuleleisibiaoshu。

meiguozhengfucengshituzaimeiguozongtongdaxuanqiantuidongjiashatinghuo,danweinengchenggong。libanenzhenzhudangyuyiseliedachengtinghuohou,meiguo、kataerheaijizhongqijiashatinghuowoxuan。shangzhouwu,duituerqijinxingfangwendemeiguoguowuqingchengguoqujizhouchuxianle“gengguwurenxindejixiang”,jiashatinghuoyoukenengdacheng。

muqianliuchudexiaoxixianshi,jiashatinghuoxieyidachengdekenengxingshangshengshiyouyuhamasizaiguanjianyaoqiushangzuochulerangbu。

aijiguanyuanjieshoumeilianshecaifangshitoulu,jiashatinghuoxieyijiangfenjieduanzhixing。diyijieduanjiangchixu6dao8zhou,hamasijiangshifangyue30mingrenzhi,baokuomeiguoheyiselieshuangzhongguojigongmin。yiseliejiangshifangshangbaimingbalesitanqiufan,baokuoduiyiseliefadongguoxijidebalesitanren。

zaizheiyijieduan,yiseliejiangcongbufenjiasharenkoumijiquchejun,danbingbushiwanquanchejun。jiashayuaijijiaojiedefeichengzoulangjiangjixuyouyiselieshibingbashou。yiseliefangzhangkacizaizhouyidebimenhuishanghaitoulu,yijunjiangjixuzhushoufengejiashananbuhebeibudenazhalimuzoulang。

ju《》baodao,kacitoulu,zaiyijunzhushoufeichengzoulanghenazhalimuzoulangwentishang,hamasishoucizhanxianle“linghuoxing”。hamasidehexinsuqiushiyiseliecongjiashadidaiwanquanchejun,yiseliezejianjuefandui、shiyanyaocuihuihamasi。danzaijinjizhoudetanpanzhong,hamasidetaidufashenglebianhua。

shangzhousi,zhongdongguanyuanjieshou《huaerjieribao》caifangshitoulu,hamasishoucitongyiyunxuyiseliezaijiashazanshibaochijunshicunzai。hamasihaidapociqiandezuofa,zhudongxiangdiaotingfangdijiaoleyifenkenengshifangderenzhimingdan,mingdanzhongbaokuomeiguogongmin、nvxing、laonianrenhejiankangzhuangkuangbujiaderenzhi。

zuoweijiaohuan,yiseliejiangyunxudapirendaozhuyijiuyuanwuziyunrujiasha。gefanghaizaitaolunzhongxinkaifangjiashayuaijizhijiandetongguankouanlafa,kouandejiashaceyoubalesitanminzuquanlijigouguanli,oumengpaichuguanchayuanjiandu。lafakouanshijiashadidaiweiyiraokaiyiseliedelulukouan,jinnian5yueyiselieduilafafadongjingonghou,aijiguanbilegaikouan。

zaitinghuodiyijieduan,yiseliehehamasihaijiangjixujiuyongjiutinghuoxieyizhankaitanpan,baokuojieshubayichongtu、yiseliecongjiashawanquanchejun、hamasishifangshengyurenzhi。gefanghaijiangtaolunzhanhoujiashafangan,quedingyounayifangguanlijiashayijijiashazhongjianshiyi。yiseliefangzhangkacizaizhouyidejianghuazhongzhongshen,yiseliedeyaoqiushihamasibunengcanyuzhangguanjiasha。

hamasiguanyuanjieshoushate《》caifangshiquerengaizuzhizaitanpanzhongzhanxianle“feichanglinghuodelichang”,tongyianzhaoshangyihaodeshijianbiaofenjieduantinghuo。dangaiguanyuantongshiqiangdiao,hamasijiangjixuyaoqiuyiseliedachengyongjiutinghuo、congjiashawanquanchejunbingrangjiashaminzhongzhongfanjiayuan。benlunbayichongtuyijingzaochengjiashadidai4.5wanrensangsheng,90%dejiashajuminliulishisuo。

yiseliezonglibenyaming·neitaniyahuyushangzhouliuyumeiguodangxuanzongtongtangnade·telangputonghua,taolunjiashahexuliyajushi。neitaniyahumeiyoutoulutonghuadejutineirong,danjuyiseliemeitibaodao,neitaniyahuqingqiutelangpuduiaijihekataershiya,ranghamasizaitinghuodiyijieduanshifanggengduorenzhi。

zaiqunian10yue7riduiyiseliedetuxizhong,hamasijiqitawuzhuangjiang251mingrenzhidairujiasha。qunian11yuededuanzantinghuoqijian,hamasishifangle105ren,ciqianhaizhudongshifangle4mingrenzhi。yiseliegujimuqianjiashahaiyou96mingrenzhi,qizhongzhishao34rensangsheng。

benyueyilai,telangpuxianhouliangcijinggao,ruguohamasibuzaimingnian1yue20ridemeiguozongtongxuanshijiuzhiyishizhiqianshifangrenzhi,“houguojiangfeichangyanzhong”。jijianglirendeyuesefu·baidengzhengfuzezaituidongbayitinghuowentishangyutelangputuanduidachenglehezuo。

meiguoguojiaanquanguwenbiaoshi,zaituidongjiashatinghuoshang,baidengzhengfuyutelangputuanduijianlile“feichanghaodexiezuo”。tabiaoshi,shuangfangdachengdegongshishiwulunsheichurenmeiguozongtong,“womendouxiangxianzaijiukandaojiashatinghuoherenzhijiaohuanxieyi。”shaliwenzhichu,meiguoxiwangyiselieyuhamasinengzai12yuedizhiqiandachengtinghuo。meiguoguowuqingbulinkenyiyushangzhouzaicikaiqiduizhongdongdefangwen。

benlunbayichongtuyijingchanshengleyixilieliansuoyingxiang。

suizhehamasihelibanenzhenzhudangdeliliangbeixueruo、xuliyazhengfukuatai,yilanglingdaodefanmeifanyilianmeng“dikangzhihu”buduanzaoshouchongji。xuliyazhengfujun、hamasi、libanenzhenzhudang、yemenhusaiwuzhuang、yilakeshenyepaiwuzhuangdoushi“dikangzhihu”dechengyuan。

yiseliezechenjijixudaji“dikangzhihu”,tongguoduixuliyademengliekongxishitucuihuixuliyadezhongxingwuqi、qieduanyilanghelibanenzhenzhudangzaixuliyadejudianhegongyingxian。

shangzhou,xuanbucuihuilexuliya80%dejunshililiang。zhouyi,yiselieguofangjunfabiaoxinshengming,xuanbujixuliyadesuoyouzhanlvewuqi,baokuozhandouji、zhishengji、“feimaotui”daodan 、xunhangdaodan、wurenji、diduikongdaodan、leida、huojiandandengzaochengle“yanzhongdaji”。

yiseliehaidasuanjinyibukuodaduigelangaodidezhanling。yiseliezhengfupizhunleyixiangjiazhiyue1100wanmeiyuandejihua,jianggelangaodiderenkoufanbei。gaijihuayinfatuerqi、shate、yuedan、alianqiu、kataer、yilakedengduoguoyizhiqianze。

gelangaodiweiyuxuliyaxinanbu,dichuxuliya、yiselie、libanenheyuedandejiaohuichu,nengfukanxuliyashoudoudamashige,shizhongdongdezhanlveyaodi。

yiseliezai1967niandedisancizhongdongzhanzhengzhongzhanlinglegelangaodidabufendiqu。1973niandisicizhongdongzhanzhengzhong,xuliyashituduohuigelangaodidanweichenggong。zhanzhenghou,yiselieyuxuliyadachengxieyi,zaigelangaodidongceshelijunshihuanchongqu,lianheguoguanchayuanbuduizhuzhazaihuanchongqunei。1981nian,yiseliedanfangmianxuanbutunbinggelangaodiyiseliekongzhiqu,danguojishehuiburenkeyiselieduigelangaodiyongyouzhuquan。

xuliyazhengfudaotaihou,yiseliehuosuchubingzhanlinggelangaodidongcedejunshihuanchongqu。neitaniyahuhaixuanbu,yiseliejiangzhanlinggelangaodihuanchongqude。heermengshanweiyuxuliyahelibanenbianjie,zuigaofenghaiba2814mi,weigelangaodidezuigaodian。zhanlingleheermengshanhou,yiseliejiangdeyijinyibujiankongxuliyahelibanen,baokuolibanenzhenzhudangdejudianbeikagudi。

图片来源:中东之眼

congshangzhouridaobenzhouyi,yiseliehaiduixuliyaweiyudizhonghaiyanandetaertusidiqufadongmijikongxi,cuihuilexuliyadefangkongxitong、daodancangku。taertusigangshieluosizaidizhonghaideweiyihaijunjidi,yeshizaihaiwaiweiyidehaijunjidi,weieluosizhihengbeiyuedezhongyaojudian。

zhouyi,eluosizongtongxinwenmishudemiteli·peisikefubiaoshi,eluosizhengzaiyuxuliyaxinlingdaocengjiechu,youguaneluosizaixuliyajunshijididehouxuanpaishangwudinglun。

tuerqiguofangbuzhangyashaer·julaiershangzhoumobiaoshi,meiyoumingquejixiangbiaomingeluosijiangcongxuliyaquanmianchejun。waijiepubianyuji,eluosijiangnulibaozhutaertusiganghezaixuliyadehemaimimukongjunjidi。

未经正式授权严禁转载本文,侵权必究。