文|半导体产业纵横
jinnian,renxingjiqirendeqianjingyuqibuduantisheng。meiguo《shidaizhoukan》fabiaolefengmianwenzhang,huijibingshaixuanle200xiang“2024nianzuijiafaming”。qizhong,renxingjiqirendengshangfengmian,beichengwei2024nianzuiweidafamingzhiyi。
yourenrenwei,renxingjiqirenlibaofahaizao,dejiejuenengyuan、cailiao、lunlidengnanti,buranjiushishaoqianwangainian。yingweidahetesilaruju,gengduoshibujuweilai,qiangzhanshengtaizhudaoquan。zaihaiwai,baokuoyingweida、argon mechatronics、boshidundongli、apptronik、figure ai、unitree、agility roboticshetesilazaineidegongsizhengzaizhongsuxiayibozhinengzidonghuadekenengxing。
01、黄仁勋的机器人梦
zuijin,huangrenxundeshi“shijiezhilv”daodalezhongguotaiwan,tayedaizheyingweidaderenxingjiqirenjihualuodi。
yingweidajiqirenkaifatuanduijinqizaitaiqidongshoubo“xuanxiu”,yiyouduojiagongjujiyezhehuodezhengqiu,baokuoguanjianlingzujianjishuyuguigejijiaruyingweidajiqirengongyingliandeyiyuan,shenzhichuanjiangbupaichuzaitaishelizuzhuangjidi。
yingweidalaitaixunqiubingzuzhirenxingjiqirengongyinglian,baokuoheda、mengli、mengying、luosheng、shangyin、zhide、suoluomendengdachangdoushisuodingduixiang,zhongduanchanpinmiaozhunrenxingjiqiren、zhuanyexingjiqiren。yeneituigu,zuikuaimingnianjiuhuiminglanghua,xiangguanchanpinrenzhengyehuijiexuzhankai,taimeijiqirengongyingliankewangzhubuchengxing。ciwai,gongyingliantoulu,yingweidashuyiduojiatedingzhibiaokejidachangzuoweizuzhuanghuoban,qiebufenchanpinjiangbupaichuzaitaizuzhuang,huanyanzhi,taiwandiqukewangjidiandongchezhihou,chengweirenxingjiqirenshengchanzhongzhen。
hedajituandongshizhangshenguorongbiaoshi,yingweidayutesilabuyueertongsuodingfazhanrenxingjiqiren,weilaishangjikeqi,“hedajituanzairenxingjiqirenfangmianjueduibuhuiquexi,mengyingjinqiyijiehuobushaoguojidachangqiaxun,yuliaohenkuaijiuhuichubuchengguo。”
11yuedihuangrenxunzaizhongguoxianggangkejidaxuedeboshixueweishouyuyishishang,jiangrenxingjiqirenyuqiche、wurenjibingjianlieweiweilaihuishixiandaguimoliangchandesanzhongjiqiren。zaijinnian3yuefendeyingweidagtcdahuishang,huangrenxuncengyu1x technologies、agility robotics、boston dynamics、figure ai、yushudeng9gerenxingjiqirentongshidengtai,fabuyingweidarenxingjiqirentongyongjichumoxing——project gr00t。
yingweidakaifalejiqirenkaifafangzhenpingtaihecankaoyingyongchengxuisaac simhekaiyuandemokuaihuajiqirenxuexikuangjiaisaac lab。zongdelaishuo,yingweidazheiyitaorenxingjiqirenruanjianshengtai,nenggouweijiqirenshujuxunliantigaoxiaolv、jiangdichengben,rangjiqirenkeyibubizaifuzadeyingjianhuanjingzhongkekepengpeng,zaijinruzhenshihuanjingzhiqian,nenggouxianzaixunishijieli“lianbing”。zaijinnian3yuefendeyingweidagtcdahuishangdengtaide9jiarenxingjiqiren,jiushizheitaoshengtaideshoupi“zhongziyonghu”。zaizheiyangyitaofangzhenjizhidepeihezhixia,yingweidafabulejushenzhinengtongyongdamoxing——project gr00t,yudishinidonghua《yinhehuweidui》zhongdexiaoshurengelutetongming,yuyizherenxingjiqirenkeyirudonghuazhongdegeluteyiyangyongyouchaofandeliliang。grootshidejiqirennenggoulijiehechuliziranyuyan,bingqiejubeiduomotaiganzhinengli,jitanenggoutongguoshijue、tingjuedengduozhongganguanshurulaijinxingxinxichuli。danzhizuoruanjianshengtai,haiwufamanzuyingweidazheiyangyijiayixinpianqijiadegongsideyexin。
jiqirenhuoshiaizuidazaiti,aescape、cohesive robotics、standard botsdengduojiajiqirengongsizhengzaishiyong isaac sim duijiqirenjinxingbushuqiandexingnengfangzhenheyanzheng。rendered.ai、softservehetata consultancy serviceszhengzaishiyongomniverse replicatorheisaac simdehechengshujushengchenggongneng,laiyindaoqudonggezhongjiqirenyingyongdeganzhi ai moxing。yingweidatigongdedicengjishuyouwangzhulijiqirenruanjiantupo,jiakuaijiqirenshangyonghuayingyongqianjing。dangqianweirenxingjiqirenliangchanqianxi,jiqirenchanyeyouwangyinglaijizhongcuihua,jianyizhongdianguanzhu。
02、特斯拉:愿意一战
tesilashaozaogangfabiaorenxingjiqiren“optimus”,dangenyingweidaleisideshiyouyuduiguanjianlingzujianxuqiuqiangjing,tesilayebuyueertongdimiaozhunletaichanggongyinglian。
lingwai,meiguodiandongqichezhizaoshangtesilagongsijinrishenqingzhuce“tesilajiqirendongzuomoxing”shangbiao,zhuceleibieweijianshenqicai。juqiyexinxiwangzhantianyanchaxianshi,gaishangbiaomuqianchuyushizhishenchajieduan。
tesilajiqirenhuodongmoxingbeimiaoshuwei“nindeminizidongzhushouherenxingjiqirenpengyou”,shiyige 1:10 bilidekeshouzanghekewanmoxing,jingxinshejile 40 duogedulibujianhe 20 geguanjiedian,waiguanhedongzuodouyudierdairenxingjiqirenxiangsi。jugaiqichezhizaoshangdewangzhancheng,zheikuanmoxingmuqianquehuo,shoujiawei 40 meiyuan。gaimoxingkuan 5.5 limi,gao 18.2 limi,zhong 48 ke,juyou 40 duogedulibujianhe 20 geguanjiedian,baokuochongdianzuo、daiyoujiqirenmoxingdewangluochui。
jingguojigeyuedejinhua,suiranguoneiwaichangshangdouzaikuangjuanjiqirenlingqiaoshou,danjincongziyoudulaikan,optimuslingqiaoshouyiranbaochizhelingxiandiwei
youopenaitouzidechuchuangqiye1x,9yuechutuichudejiatingrenxingjiqirenshoubujuyou20geziyoudu;
figure 8yuefabudedierdairenxingjiqirenfigure02,dazailedisidaijixieshou,yongyou16geziyoudu;
guoneizhiyuanjiqiren8yuefabudexinchanpinzhong,lingqiaoshoudeziyoududadao19ge;
fuliye9yuefabutongyongrenxingjiqirengr-2,lingqiaoshouziyoududadao12ge。
tesilarenxingjiqirenxinxinglingqiaoshouchupeizhikongxinbeidianjiwai,haijiangyouwangjiaruweixingsigang、weixingxiebodengsheji,yijiyouhuachujuechuanganqi、qianbeijianzhongfangandeng,zheixiexinjishufangandexiangguanbiaodedanxingkenenghuigengda
ju《jinrimeiguo》baodao,tesilajiqirenkedongjiqirenzi 11 yuefashouyilai,budao 24 xiaoshijiuyishouqing。muqian ebay shangzheikuanrenoudeshoujiadazhizai 100 zhi 300 meiyuanzhijian。yijitesilayu2022nian9yuefabuqingtianzhuyuanxingche,jihualiangchanhounianchanliangdadao10yiliang。
tesilagongchangjihuamingnianbushuchaoguo 1,000 taishenzhishuqiantaileirenjiqiren。jubaodao,gaigongsixiwangjiangzheixiejiqirendeyingyongkuozhandaoyanglaodenglingyu——youyuxuduoguojiaderenkoulaolinghua,yanglaogongnengbiandeyuelaiyuezhongyao。
03、机器人暴涨
huaqiquanqiudongchafenxishirob garlickhewenyan feifenxiangletamenduiweilai25nianneirenxingjiqirenshichangfazhandeshenruyanjiuchengguo。jurob garlickjieshao,jinguanjiqirenjishubingfeixinshengshiwu,dandangqianzhengyongxianchuzhongduoxindejinzhan,qizhongaidefazhanyouweiguanjian。tazhichu,renxingjiqirenzaijiatingfuwulingyuzhanxianchujudadeqianli,ruzhedieyiwu、xiujiancaopingdengjiawulaodong,yijiweilaonianrentigongzhaohufuwudengfangmian,yujijiangyinglaixianzhuzengzhang。ciwai,baoguodisong、jianzhushigongheshipindisongdenglingyuyeshirenxingjiqirendezhongyaoyingyongchangjing。
wenyan feizedadanyuce,dao2050nian,renxingjiqirendeshichangguimoyouwangdadao7wanyimeiyuanzhiju。tatidao,tesiladeoptimusshidangqianzhengzaikaifaderenxingjiqirenzhongdeyigedianxingdaibiao,ershichangshanghaiyouchaoguo50zhongbutongderenxingjiqirenzhengchuyuyanfajieduan。jinguanjiayongshichangqianlijuda,danfenxishirenwei,renxingjiqirengengyoukenengshouxianzaigongyehuanjinghelaodonglizhongdedaoguangfanyingyong。
rob garlickqiangdiao,renxingjiqirendetouzihuibaozhouqikenengfeichangduan,qiehuibaofenghou。taguji,bufenjiqirendetouzihuishouqishenzhikenengduanzhi36zhou。raner,tayechengren,muqianshangbuqingchurenxingjiqirenjiangruhetidairenleiyuangongyijijutidetidailv。tongshi,duiyuxiwangbushugaijishudegongsilaishuo,tigaorenxingjiqirendechanliangrengmianlinjudadecaiwutiaozhan。
lingwaizai11yue29ri,huaweizhengshirujurenxingjiqirenlingyu,youwangmingnianliangchan。gaixiaoxishunjianyinbaoshichang。huaweirujurenxingjiqiren,yifangmianshiyigexindekejixiangmuqidongyugongguan,lingyifangmian,qishiyoushigexiangkejichengguodeyicixitongjicheng,huaweishezurenxingjiqirenchanyebingbutuwu。
guoneirenxingjiqirenshangyongliangchanjindujizhongzaijinliangnian,chengbenjizhongkongzhizaijishiwanyuannei,gongye、shenghuoduanjuncunqianzaiyingyongchangjing,demo jigengcezhongyundongxingneng、yingjianxingnengdetupo。congxianyouzuixinchanpinlaikan,guoneichangshang(chuxiaomiwai)jibendoutuichulezuixinderenxingjiqiren demo ji。congshangyonghuajindulaikan,muqianyoubixuanwalker x、zishu h1、fuliye gr-1 yijingkaishichushoujiaofu,kaipulexianxingzhejihuajiangyu 2024 nianxiabannianjinxingliangchanchushou,data xr4 yujijinruxiaofeizhejiatingdeshijianzeyujizai 2025nian。
congyuanqishoujiakan,guoneichangshangyujiliangchanyihouzhengjichengbenkongzhizaijishiwanyuanyinei,qizhongzishuyujilingshoujiazaijishiwanrenminbiyinei,zhiyuanyuanzheng a1 xiwangjiangchengbenkongzhizai 20wanyuanyinei,kaipulexianxingzheyuguduiwaishoujiawei 23 wanmeiyuan。congyingyongchangjinglaikan,muqianguoneichangshangchanpinmianduigongyehexiaofeiduanchangjingjuncun,qizhongyoubixuanwalkers、xiaopeng px5、zhiyuanyuanzheng a1、kaipulexianxingzhezhuyaomianduigongyehuachangjing,youbixuan walkerxxiaomi cyber one、data xr4 gengduopianshenghuochangjing,fuliye gr-1 zailiangzhongchangjingdoujubeiyingyongjihui。
yuguoneibutong,guowailiangchanshijianjizhongzai 2025 nianjiyihou,yingyongchangjingzhuyaozaigongyelingyu,chanpinjinzhancezhongjushenzhinengdeliuchangdu、jiaohunengli。congshangyehuajindulaikan,haiwailiangchanjiaofujinduzhengtijiaobuminglang,qizhong diginiyu 2024 nianjiaofudiyipi,2025 nianquanmianshangshichushou;tesilazai 2023q4 yejijiaoliuhuibiaomingoptimus niyu 2025 nianpiliangjiaofu,atlas zai 2024 nianjinruqichegongchangzhiqianjunzuoweirenxingjiqirenyanjiupingtaicunzai,shangyonghuajinchengjiaoman。
congyuanqishoujialaikan,digit dangqianshoujiawei 25wanmeiyuan,optimus yuanqinizai2wanmeiyuanyixia,nizhixingweixian、zhongfuwuliaoderenwu。congyingyongchangjinglaikan,guowairenxingjiqirenchangshangmuqianzhuyaoyigongyechangjingweizhu,qizhong digit zhuanzhuwuliuxingye,atlas、optimus muqianzaigongchangzhizaochangjingxunlianjiaoduo,er sanctuaryai gongside phoenixchulegongyechangjingyiwai,yizaiyiliaochangjingyousuoyingyong。
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