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ai+wanou:shiertongshichangdexinfengkou,haishizhinengyingjiandelaopaomo?

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AI+玩偶:是儿童市场的新风口,还是智能硬件的老泡沫?

menjianbugao、wanjiazhongduo,shangyouguangkuokongbaishichang。

文|深响 吕玥

zaijingdiandedonghuadianying《wanjuzongdongyuan》zhong,hudi、cuier、basiguangnian、mr. potatozheixiewanju,huizaizhurenandibuzaijiashiyongyouziwo、xixidanao,gongtongbianzhiwenxinqieyouqudegushi。

rujin,donghuazhengzaizhaojinxianshi。

ailangchaozhixia,shimianshangyongxianchuleyipihuishuohua、nengyurenhudongdeaiwanou,yingdeleshichangdeguangfanguanzhu——rukedaxunfeituichuguobuwawa“ai kids”、xiyangyangzheiyijingdianiptuichuleshoukuanaizhinengchanpin“xiyangyangchaonenglingdangwawa”、yueranchuangxintuichudebubblepalguajianwanju、folotoydetiaowuxianrenzhangyijizijietiaodongzhongqiujieshisongkehudeliwu“xianyanbao”……

jushichangyanjiujigouresearch and marketsdebaogaoshujuxianshi,quanqiuaiwanjushichangyujijiangcong2022niandeyue87yimeiyuan,zengzhangdao2030niande351.1yimeiyuan,nianfuhezengzhanglvchaoguo16%。

ruciguangkuodeshichangqianjing,lvxianqiangtanbujudewanjiamendouyouhesilu?zaidazaoaiwanouchanpinshisilushangyouyouhechayi?dangzheixiezhinengwanjudoumianxiangxiaofeizheshi,wanjiayouyaoruhejingzheng?ciqianjiaoyulingyujiuxianqiguoyiboertongzhinengyingjianrechao,rujindashangleai,jiujingshiertongshichangdexinfengkou,haishizhinengyingjiandelaopaomo?

火热赛道,创业者抢跑

jinruaiwanousaidaodechuangyezhe,duoshiyinweizaishenghuozhongguanchadaohaiziwanwanjudeqingjing,congermengshengleyongairangwanju“huoqilai”dexiangfa。youyuertongduihuazhongduiyuxinximiduhezhunquedudeyaoqiubingbugao,xianyoudetongyongdamoxingjibendounengmanzu,zheiyerangaiertongwanjudemenjianmeiyouxiangxiangzhongneimegao。

muqian,shichangshangyichuxianduojiazhuanzhuyuertongaizhinengyingjiandechuangyegongsi,qizhongyixiesuichanpinshangweiwanquanshangshi,jiuyinweichuangshirenbeijingeryinqileyejieguanzhu。rumeituanqianfuzongcai、meituanjinrongctobaotachuanglibeijingqidianlingzhikejiyouxiangongsi,zhuyaoshimianxiangertongquntikaifaaizhinengyingjian。youweiruandpsquanqiufanganchuangxinbumenqianzongjingliguozhichuanglishenzhenyijiayibanzhinengkejiyouxiangongsi,zaijinniandiershijiewenbohuishangyetuichuaimaorongwanban“aixiaoban”。

shichangshangyebufayixieyijingkaishouchanpindechuangyegongsi。zaitaobaoshangsousuo“aiwanou”,paizaizuiqianmiandejiushifolotoyhehaiviviyueranchuangxindechanpin。zheiliangjiagongsidechanpinsuigeyoutese,danzaiyixiehexinsilushangyouxiangsizhichu。

shouxianzheixiechuangyegongsizaijishulujingshang,pubianxuanzewaijiedamoxingdefangshi,yijiangdizizhuyanfadetouru。tamendaduohuixuanzejierutongyongdamoxing,bingzaicijichushangjinxingchuizhilingyudexiaomoxingxunlian,yigenghaomanzuertongquntidexuqiu。

biruyueranchuangxinchuangshirenliyongzaicaifangzhongtidao,chanpin“bubblepal”dicengdetongyongdamoxingyuguoneizhuliudejijiadouyouhezuo,baokuominimax、doubao、zhipudengdeng,xianzaizhuyaoyongdeminimax。yinweichanpinyezaihaiwaifashou,suoyiyejierulegptdengjijiadamoxing。tongyongdamoxingzhishang,chanpinyongdaodechuizhixiaomoxingshigongsijiyullama 2dekaiyuanmoxingjinxinglejingxihuadiaozheng。

qici,zheixiechuangyegongsizaizhidingchanpincelveshi,gengqingxiangyushouxiantuichunenggouguazaizaiwanoushangdeaijishu“guajian”,suihouzaizhubuxiangneizhiaijishudewanoufazhan。

zheiyangdecelve,yifangmianshiyinweichuangyezhexiwanggengkuairangchanpinshangshi,gengzaodizhanlingshichangbingshoujiyonghufankui。liru,yueranchuangxintuichude“bubblepal”chanpin,zhixujiangqiguazaiwanoushangjiunengrangwanoujubeishuohuagongneng。chuangshirenliyongbiaoshi,zheizhuyaoshikaolvdaoyuipjinxinglianmingshouquanhezuoshi,ipfangdeshenhezhouqiwangwangjiaozhang,erbubblepaldetuichuzhouqixiangduijiaoduan,nenggougengzaodijinrushichang。

lingyifangmian,rufolotoydechuangshirenwanglezaicaifangzhongsuoyan,aitaojiankeyibeishiweiwanjudeyizhongzhongjianxingtai,tanenggouyugengduozhongleidewanjuxiangronghe,huigengyouliyugongsikaizhanto bdehezuo。birufolotoyzuichutuichudebazhuayuaikaifaxuexitaojian,takeyibeidiydaorenhewanjuzhong;ciwai,tamenhaiyouyigemingwei“moxia”deduihuahezi,zijietiaodongzhongqiujiesuozengsongde“xianyanbao”jiushineizhilezheiyichanpin。

图源:FoloToy小红书官方账号

dangran,jinguanyouleguajianshichanpin,zuoneizhishiaiwanourengshidajiaweilaidefazhanfangxiang。yinweiduiyuwanoueryan,iphekatongxingxiangrengshixiaofeizhegoumaideshouyaojueceyinsu。

muqian,folotoyyijingtuichulexianrenzhang、xiangrikuidengshitiwanouchanpin,zheixiewanoukeyizhijieyuyonghujinxinghudongduihua。eryueranchuangxinyeshijihuaxinpinyuxiaozhupeiqiyijideguolaopaiwanjupinpaisteiffshidaifuhezuo,jiangaiyingjianneizhidaotamendemaorongwanjuzhong,houxuhaijihuayougengduolianming。ciwaiyueranchuangxinyebiaoshihuidazaozijideip,bingyuyixiedulishejishizhankaihezuo。

文娱玩家入局,活化IP探增长新路

dangchuangyegongsirengxuyaonulixunzhaohedazaoipshi,aiwanouzheiyisaidaoyeyijingxiyinleneixieshouwozhimingkatongipdewanjiaruju。

aofeiyulejiushidianxingdaibiao。zuoweiguoneishoujiadongmanshangshigongsi,aofeiyuleyongyouzhongduoguangweirenzhideip,qizhongzuizhumingdemoguoyu《xiyangyangyuhuitailang》。

2023nian,aofeiyulekaishijijiyongbaoaidengqianyanjishu,yubeijinghongmianxiaobingkejiyouxiangongsidachengzhanlvehezuo,jihuagongtongdazao“xiyangyangyuhuitailang”、“chaojifeixia”dengzhimingdonghuaipzhuyaojiaosedexunishuzirenjizhinengwanju。

jinnianwuyue,aofeiyuletuichule“xiyangyang”shoukuanaizhinengchanpin——“xiyangyangchaonenglingdangwawa”,zuoweiqixia《xiyangyangyuhuitailang》zuixindadianying《shouhu》dexiandingxianliangzhenzangkuan。tongshizaiaofeiyuleqixiaertongwanjupinpai“aodishuangzuan”detaobao、jingdongqijiandianli,yeyoufeixianliangdeaixiyangyangwanoujinxingxiaoshou。

图源:喜羊羊与灰太狼淘宝旗舰店、奥迪双钻淘宝旗舰店

chuleaofeiyule,lingyijiamingquejihuatuichuaiwanoudegongsishitangmumao。

gaigongsichengliyu2007nian6yue,zhuyaoshiweiraoqi“huishuohuadetangmumaojiazu”ipzhankaiyanshengheshouquanyewu。jinnian11yue,tangmumaozaitouzizheguanxihuodongzhongtoulu,gongsizhengzaiyanfadeaichanpinbaokuotangmumaoaiyuyinjiqiren、aijianggushiapp、aiyouxidengxiliechanpin,qizhongdiyidaitangmumaoaijiqirenchanpinyujijiangzaichunjieqianshangshi。

shishishangzixilaikanzheiliangjiagongsiyeyouxianzhugongxing。

shouxianshigongsidoushouwozhimingip,bingqiezhangqizaizuoipshouquanheyanshengpinkaifayewu。

aofeiyulezi2003nianqi,bianyi“wanju+dongman”weizhuyaoshangyemoshi,chule《xiyangyangyuhuitailang》,haiyongyou《kaijiayongshi》《balalaxiaomoxian》《chaojifeixia》dengip。zaikantangmumao,suiranqiipshuliangburuaofeiyulefengfu,danweiraozheiyigeipxiliegongsiyeshezulexianshangyuxianxia、yuleyujiaoyu、yanshengpinyushouquandengduogelingyu。

图源:奥飞娱乐官网

kuaruaiwanoulingyu,xianranshigongsizaibuzhuodaoxinkejilangchaosuodailaidequanxinfazhanqianjinghou,suozuochudeqianzhanxingtouru。duiyuaofeiyulehetangmumaozheiyangdeyongyoufengfuipziyuandegongsieryan,zhixuzhaodaoyouaijishudegongsihezuo,jiunengjiangaijishuyuzishendeipyoushixiangjiehe,weiyuanbenjiuyougushizhicheng、youguangfanrenzhidudeipzhuruxindehuoli。

qiciliangjiagongsidouyongyouzhimingdujigaodejingdianlaoip,danmuqiandoumianlinyixietiaozhan,jixuzhaodaoxinzengzhang。

congaofeiyule2024niandecaibaolaikan,gongsiqiansanjiduyingyeshouru20.11yiyuan,tongbixiajiang0.45%;guimujinglirun7124.38wanyuan,tongbixiajiang12.50%。tongyang,tangmumaozai2024nianqiansanjidudeyingyeshouruheguimujinglirunyefenbietongbixiajiangle15.5%he58.33%。

suoyizheiyangkanlai,kuaruaiwanoulingyujishiduixinqianjingdeminruidongcha,yeshigongsizaimianduichuantongyewuzengzhangfali、shichangjingzhengriyijiliedeqingkuangxia,duiiphuohua、tuozhanxinyewumoshi、xunzhaoxinchuludeyizhongnulitansuo。

萌芽阶段,尚有广阔空白地带

buguoaiwanouzuoweixinxingchanwu,qifazhanshangchuyumengyajieduan。duiyuzheikuanchanpinnengfouzhenzhengzhulichuangyegongsishixianguimokuozhangyushilitisheng,yijiweiyongyouipziyuandegongsikaipixindezengzhanglujing,muqianshangnanyiduanyan。

congshichangxianzhuanglaikan,dangqianzhenzhengtourushichangdeaiwanouchanpinrengranfengmaolinjiao。shimianshangkansiyouhenduodaizhe“ai”ziyandewanjuwanou,qishibenzhishangshijiandanneizhileshaoergushihebaikequanshudekatongxingxianglanyayinxiang,erxiaofeizhewufazhiguanlaibianrenqubie。zheiyenengbiaoming,aiwanoushichangshangchuyuchubutansuoyupeiyujieduan,rengxuyidingshijianjinxingshichangjiaoyu。

danyucitongshi,dabufenhaimeiyourongzidechuangyegongsiyewangwangzijinyouxian,younanyizaiyingxiaotuiguangshangtouruguoduoziyuanquzuoshichangjiaoyu。

suoyinihuifaxian,dabufenaiwanouchanpinzhishizaichuantongdianshangpingtairutaobaoshangjiajinxingxiaoshou,zaishangpinyemianyouduanshipinlaiduichanpingongnengzuojiandanjieshao。zaidouyin、xiaohongshudengzhuliuneirongpingtaishang,jinyouyueranchuangxinzaizuozibochangshi,qitaruzhaodarenzhongcao、duanshipintouliudengyingxiaofangshiyewutouru。

图源:haivivi跃然创新抖音官方账号

yezhengyinweiqueshaochanpintuiguangheshichangjiaoyu,xianjieduantuichuchuangxinchanpindechuangyezheheyuanyigoumaichanpindejiazhangxiangfaqishiyebutong。muqianhenduochuangyezhegengxiwangyongaiquzuopeiban,guanzhuhaizideqingxuyuxingquaihao,rangwanjuchengweitedingjiaose,laipeibanhaizichengzhang。

yueranchuangxindebubblepaljiushiruci,jiazhangkeyitongguochanpinlianjiedeappjishifaxianhaizichangtijidegaopinci,qupanduanqiqingxubianhua、zuijinjingliheguanzhudeshi。haiyourupinpaicupboobubu、babycaredeaiwanouqishihuigengtiejinyuyizhichongwu,zhuyaofahuideyezhishiqinggananfu、peibandengzuoyong。

erjiazhangderenzhiwangwangshixiangduigudinghezhihoude,renggengqingxiangyujiangaishiweiyizhonggengweizhinengqieshiyongdezaojiaogongju,gengguanzhuchanpingongnengshifounengrongruyingyukouyulianxi、baikezhishiwendadengdeng。

birukedaxunfeiyuxionganqianjichuangyikejiyouxiangongsilianhetuichudeliyongxinghuodamoxingkaifadebuwawa“ai kids”,bianshiyikuangengjiacezhongyuzaojiaogongnengdeaiwanou,qizhuyaogongnengbaokuojianggushi、qingjingyingyu、baikehuidayijihongshuideng。erfolotoydexianrenzhangaiwanju,jinguanhexinmaidianshiliaotian、gaoxiaoyijijieya,danchanpinjieshaozhongrengxuyaoqiangdiao“aihailiangzhishi,yulexuexiliangbuwu”laitishengjiazhangdegoumaiyiyuan。

duiyurujuaiwanouzheiyilingyudewanjiaeryan,xuyaogengshenrusikaobingmingquechanpindemubiaorenqun、xijiehuagongnengdingweidengdeng。ruguozhishihudongduihua,jiuyaomianduirongyibeizhiyiwei“zhishangshui”、“jilei”dewenti;erzhishizuoyikuanzaojiaoji,qishimianduideyeshihonghaijingzheng,dangyuanfudao、zuoyebangdengjiaoyulingyutoubuwanjiaruju,jiuhuishijiangweidaji。

jiangyigechanpinzuodegengchuizhi、gengjingxihuashizhongshichangfazhandebiranqushi。jujiaoertongaiyingjian,keyizuojiaoyu、peiban、qingxushudao,shenzhiyekeyiquzuoxinyidaide“chaowan”。duichuangyezhemenlaishuo,dangqianshichangrengyouguangkuodekongbaididaijidaifajue。

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AI+玩偶:是儿童市场的新风口,还是智能硬件的老泡沫?

menjianbugao、wanjiazhongduo,shangyouguangkuokongbaishichang。

文|深响 吕玥

zaijingdiandedonghuadianying《wanjuzongdongyuan》zhong,hudi、cuier、basiguangnian、mr. potatozheixiewanju,huizaizhurenandibuzaijiashiyongyouziwo、xixidanao,gongtongbianzhiwenxinqieyouqudegushi。

rujin,donghuazhengzaizhaojinxianshi。

ailangchaozhixia,shimianshangyongxianchuleyipihuishuohua、nengyurenhudongdeaiwanou,yingdeleshichangdeguangfanguanzhu——rukedaxunfeituichuguobuwawa“ai kids”、xiyangyangzheiyijingdianiptuichuleshoukuanaizhinengchanpin“xiyangyangchaonenglingdangwawa”、yueranchuangxintuichudebubblepalguajianwanju、folotoydetiaowuxianrenzhangyijizijietiaodongzhongqiujieshisongkehudeliwu“xianyanbao”……

jushichangyanjiujigouresearch and marketsdebaogaoshujuxianshi,quanqiuaiwanjushichangyujijiangcong2022niandeyue87yimeiyuan,zengzhangdao2030niande351.1yimeiyuan,nianfuhezengzhanglvchaoguo16%。

ruciguangkuodeshichangqianjing,lvxianqiangtanbujudewanjiamendouyouhesilu?zaidazaoaiwanouchanpinshisilushangyouyouhechayi?dangzheixiezhinengwanjudoumianxiangxiaofeizheshi,wanjiayouyaoruhejingzheng?ciqianjiaoyulingyujiuxianqiguoyiboertongzhinengyingjianrechao,rujindashangleai,jiujingshiertongshichangdexinfengkou,haishizhinengyingjiandelaopaomo?

火热赛道,创业者抢跑

jinruaiwanousaidaodechuangyezhe,duoshiyinweizaishenghuozhongguanchadaohaiziwanwanjudeqingjing,congermengshengleyongairangwanju“huoqilai”dexiangfa。youyuertongduihuazhongduiyuxinximiduhezhunquedudeyaoqiubingbugao,xianyoudetongyongdamoxingjibendounengmanzu,zheiyerangaiertongwanjudemenjianmeiyouxiangxiangzhongneimegao。

muqian,shichangshangyichuxianduojiazhuanzhuyuertongaizhinengyingjiandechuangyegongsi,qizhongyixiesuichanpinshangweiwanquanshangshi,jiuyinweichuangshirenbeijingeryinqileyejieguanzhu。rumeituanqianfuzongcai、meituanjinrongctobaotachuanglibeijingqidianlingzhikejiyouxiangongsi,zhuyaoshimianxiangertongquntikaifaaizhinengyingjian。youweiruandpsquanqiufanganchuangxinbumenqianzongjingliguozhichuanglishenzhenyijiayibanzhinengkejiyouxiangongsi,zaijinniandiershijiewenbohuishangyetuichuaimaorongwanban“aixiaoban”。

shichangshangyebufayixieyijingkaishouchanpindechuangyegongsi。zaitaobaoshangsousuo“aiwanou”,paizaizuiqianmiandejiushifolotoyhehaiviviyueranchuangxindechanpin。zheiliangjiagongsidechanpinsuigeyoutese,danzaiyixiehexinsilushangyouxiangsizhichu。

shouxianzheixiechuangyegongsizaijishulujingshang,pubianxuanzewaijiedamoxingdefangshi,yijiangdizizhuyanfadetouru。tamendaduohuixuanzejierutongyongdamoxing,bingzaicijichushangjinxingchuizhilingyudexiaomoxingxunlian,yigenghaomanzuertongquntidexuqiu。

biruyueranchuangxinchuangshirenliyongzaicaifangzhongtidao,chanpin“bubblepal”dicengdetongyongdamoxingyuguoneizhuliudejijiadouyouhezuo,baokuominimax、doubao、zhipudengdeng,xianzaizhuyaoyongdeminimax。yinweichanpinyezaihaiwaifashou,suoyiyejierulegptdengjijiadamoxing。tongyongdamoxingzhishang,chanpinyongdaodechuizhixiaomoxingshigongsijiyullama 2dekaiyuanmoxingjinxinglejingxihuadiaozheng。

qici,zheixiechuangyegongsizaizhidingchanpincelveshi,gengqingxiangyushouxiantuichunenggouguazaizaiwanoushangdeaijishu“guajian”,suihouzaizhubuxiangneizhiaijishudewanoufazhan。

zheiyangdecelve,yifangmianshiyinweichuangyezhexiwanggengkuairangchanpinshangshi,gengzaodizhanlingshichangbingshoujiyonghufankui。liru,yueranchuangxintuichude“bubblepal”chanpin,zhixujiangqiguazaiwanoushangjiunengrangwanoujubeishuohuagongneng。chuangshirenliyongbiaoshi,zheizhuyaoshikaolvdaoyuipjinxinglianmingshouquanhezuoshi,ipfangdeshenhezhouqiwangwangjiaozhang,erbubblepaldetuichuzhouqixiangduijiaoduan,nenggougengzaodijinrushichang。

lingyifangmian,rufolotoydechuangshirenwanglezaicaifangzhongsuoyan,aitaojiankeyibeishiweiwanjudeyizhongzhongjianxingtai,tanenggouyugengduozhongleidewanjuxiangronghe,huigengyouliyugongsikaizhanto bdehezuo。birufolotoyzuichutuichudebazhuayuaikaifaxuexitaojian,takeyibeidiydaorenhewanjuzhong;ciwai,tamenhaiyouyigemingwei“moxia”deduihuahezi,zijietiaodongzhongqiujiesuozengsongde“xianyanbao”jiushineizhilezheiyichanpin。

图源:FoloToy小红书官方账号

dangran,jinguanyouleguajianshichanpin,zuoneizhishiaiwanourengshidajiaweilaidefazhanfangxiang。yinweiduiyuwanoueryan,iphekatongxingxiangrengshixiaofeizhegoumaideshouyaojueceyinsu。

muqian,folotoyyijingtuichulexianrenzhang、xiangrikuidengshitiwanouchanpin,zheixiewanoukeyizhijieyuyonghujinxinghudongduihua。eryueranchuangxinyeshijihuaxinpinyuxiaozhupeiqiyijideguolaopaiwanjupinpaisteiffshidaifuhezuo,jiangaiyingjianneizhidaotamendemaorongwanjuzhong,houxuhaijihuayougengduolianming。ciwaiyueranchuangxinyebiaoshihuidazaozijideip,bingyuyixiedulishejishizhankaihezuo。

文娱玩家入局,活化IP探增长新路

dangchuangyegongsirengxuyaonulixunzhaohedazaoipshi,aiwanouzheiyisaidaoyeyijingxiyinleneixieshouwozhimingkatongipdewanjiaruju。

aofeiyulejiushidianxingdaibiao。zuoweiguoneishoujiadongmanshangshigongsi,aofeiyuleyongyouzhongduoguangweirenzhideip,qizhongzuizhumingdemoguoyu《xiyangyangyuhuitailang》。

2023nian,aofeiyulekaishijijiyongbaoaidengqianyanjishu,yubeijinghongmianxiaobingkejiyouxiangongsidachengzhanlvehezuo,jihuagongtongdazao“xiyangyangyuhuitailang”、“chaojifeixia”dengzhimingdonghuaipzhuyaojiaosedexunishuzirenjizhinengwanju。

jinnianwuyue,aofeiyuletuichule“xiyangyang”shoukuanaizhinengchanpin——“xiyangyangchaonenglingdangwawa”,zuoweiqixia《xiyangyangyuhuitailang》zuixindadianying《shouhu》dexiandingxianliangzhenzangkuan。tongshizaiaofeiyuleqixiaertongwanjupinpai“aodishuangzuan”detaobao、jingdongqijiandianli,yeyoufeixianliangdeaixiyangyangwanoujinxingxiaoshou。

图源:喜羊羊与灰太狼淘宝旗舰店、奥迪双钻淘宝旗舰店

chuleaofeiyule,lingyijiamingquejihuatuichuaiwanoudegongsishitangmumao。

gaigongsichengliyu2007nian6yue,zhuyaoshiweiraoqi“huishuohuadetangmumaojiazu”ipzhankaiyanshengheshouquanyewu。jinnian11yue,tangmumaozaitouzizheguanxihuodongzhongtoulu,gongsizhengzaiyanfadeaichanpinbaokuotangmumaoaiyuyinjiqiren、aijianggushiapp、aiyouxidengxiliechanpin,qizhongdiyidaitangmumaoaijiqirenchanpinyujijiangzaichunjieqianshangshi。

shishishangzixilaikanzheiliangjiagongsiyeyouxianzhugongxing。

shouxianshigongsidoushouwozhimingip,bingqiezhangqizaizuoipshouquanheyanshengpinkaifayewu。

aofeiyulezi2003nianqi,bianyi“wanju+dongman”weizhuyaoshangyemoshi,chule《xiyangyangyuhuitailang》,haiyongyou《kaijiayongshi》《balalaxiaomoxian》《chaojifeixia》dengip。zaikantangmumao,suiranqiipshuliangburuaofeiyulefengfu,danweiraozheiyigeipxiliegongsiyeshezulexianshangyuxianxia、yuleyujiaoyu、yanshengpinyushouquandengduogelingyu。

图源:奥飞娱乐官网

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图源:haivivi跃然创新抖音官方账号

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