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美联储如期下调利率25个基点,但大幅削减明年降息预期

zuixindelilvlujing“dianzhentu”xianshi,2025nianjiangjiangxiliangci,meici25gejidian,er9yuefenyuqideshijiangxisici,meici25gejidian。

图源:CFP

记者 刘婷

beijingshijianzhousilingchen,meiguolianbangchubeiweiyuanhuixuanbujianglianbangjijinlilvmubiaoqujianxiadiao25gejidianzhi4.25%-4.50%,zheishijinnianyilaidedisancijiangxi,dantongshixiadiaolemingniankenengdejiangxifudu,zhuyaoshiyinweitongzhangrengranchuzaijiaogaoshuiping。

huihoufabudelilvlujing“dianzhentu”xianshi,2025nianjiangjiangxiliangci,meici25gejidian,er9yuefenyuqideshijiangxisici,meici25gejidian;2026nianjiangjiangxiliangci,meici25gejidian,yu9yuefendeyuqiyizhi。

meilianchudafuxiadiao2025nianjiangxiyuqidexingweidaozhimeigudadie。daoqiongsigongyepingjunzhishuzhousanshoudiechaoguo1100dian,diefuyuewei2.5%。nasidakezonghezhishushousungengyanzhong,xiadieyue3.5%。zuixindezhijiageshangpinjiaoyisuo“meilianchuguancha”gongjuxianshi,mingnian1yuejiangxi25gejidiandegailv0,erqianyitianhaiyou16.8%。

meilianchuzhuxijieluomu·baoweierzaihuihoudexinwenfabuhuishangbiaoshi,12yuedejiangxijuedingshi“yigegengnandejueze”,danqueshi“zhengquede”。2025nianshifoujiangxijiangjiyuweilaideshuju,erbushidangqiandeyucejieguo,meilianchujiangzaitongzhanggaishanhouzaikaolvjinyibujiangxi。

“worenweigengmandejiangxibufafanyinglewomenjinniankandaodejiaogaodetongzhangshuju,yiji2025niantongzhangkenengrengranjiaogaodeyuqi。”baoweiershuo,“womengengjiejinzhongxinglilv,zheishixiayibuxingdongyaojinshendelingyigeyuanyin。”

meilianchuzaidangtianfabudejidujingjiyucezhongdafushangdiaoleqiduiweilaiyiniantongzhangdeyuqi。2025nian,meilianchupianhaodetongzhangzhibiao——gerenxiaofeizhichu(pce)jiagezhishuyujishangzhang2.5%,jiao9yuedeyuceshangdiaole0.4gebaifendian,tichushipinhenengyuanjiagedehexinpcezhishuyujishangzhang2.5%,jiao9yueshishangdiao0.3gebaifendian。tongshi,meilianchuyeshangdiaole2025nianjingjizengzhangyuqi0.1gebaifendianzhi2.1%。

baoweiertidao12yuedejiangxijuedingshi“yigegengnandejueze”,shiyinweibencitoupiaode12weipiaoweizhongyouyirenduijiangxichifanduiyijian。toufanduipiaodeshikelifulanlianchuxingzhangbeisi·hamake,taqingxiangyujianglianbangjijinlilvmubiaoqujianweichizai4.50%-4.75%bubian。

ciwai,zuixindelilvlujing“dianzhentu”xianshi,meilianchuneibuduiyumingnianlilvzoushicunzaixiangdangdefenqi。zai19weijuecezhezhong,you5weiyuce2025nianjiangxifudujiangdadao75gejidianhuogengduo。

zaixinwenfabuhuishang,baoweierchengren,zhishaoyixiemeilianchuguanyuanyijingkaishipinggudangxuanzongtongtangnade·telangpudezhengceduijingjihetongzhangdeqianzaiyingxiang。tazhichu,yixiezhengcezhidingzherenwei,zidaxuanyilai,tongzhangdeweilailujingbiandegengnanyuce。telangpuweixieyaoduisuoyoujinkoushangpinzhengshouguanshui,bingdaguimoquzhuyimin,zheikenengzaimingnianjiajutongzhang。

“zheishiyizhongchangshixingsikao,dangqianlubuquedingshi,nihuizoudemanyixie。”baoweiershuo,“zheijiuxiangzaiwuyekaichehuojinruyoujiajudeheianfangjian,zhinengmanmanlai。”

bencihuiyiqian,bushaofenxishiyujimeilianchuzaijinnianshixian“sanlianjiang”zhihou,mingnianjiangfanghuanjiangxibufa,zuizaozaimingnianxiabannianjieshubenlunjiangxizhouqi。

deyizhizichanguanligongsizhouerfabuyanbaocheng,yuji2025niandiqian,meilianchujiangjiangxi3ci(baokuojinnian12yuezainei),bizhiqiandeyucejianshaole2ci。gaigongsishouximeiguojingjixuejiakelisidian·xieermanbiaoshi,jinqimeiguojingjishujuhaohuaicanban,jinguanlaodonglishichangyousuojianruo,dantongzhangrengranjugaobuxia。chucizhiwai,weilaidecaizhenghemaoyizhengcerengshizhongdaweizhishu。tayuji,meilianchukenengzai2025nianshangbannianmeigejidujiangxiyici,ranhouxiabannianqibuzaijiangxi。

未经正式授权严禁转载本文,侵权必究。

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美联储如期下调利率25个基点,但大幅削减明年降息预期

zuixindelilvlujing“dianzhentu”xianshi,2025nianjiangjiangxiliangci,meici25gejidian,er9yuefenyuqideshijiangxisici,meici25gejidian。

图源:CFP

记者 刘婷

beijingshijianzhousilingchen,meiguolianbangchubeiweiyuanhuixuanbujianglianbangjijinlilvmubiaoqujianxiadiao25gejidianzhi4.25%-4.50%,zheishijinnianyilaidedisancijiangxi,dantongshixiadiaolemingniankenengdejiangxifudu,zhuyaoshiyinweitongzhangrengranchuzaijiaogaoshuiping。

huihoufabudelilvlujing“dianzhentu”xianshi,2025nianjiangjiangxiliangci,meici25gejidian,er9yuefenyuqideshijiangxisici,meici25gejidian;2026nianjiangjiangxiliangci,meici25gejidian,yu9yuefendeyuqiyizhi。

meilianchudafuxiadiao2025nianjiangxiyuqidexingweidaozhimeigudadie。daoqiongsigongyepingjunzhishuzhousanshoudiechaoguo1100dian,diefuyuewei2.5%。nasidakezonghezhishushousungengyanzhong,xiadieyue3.5%。zuixindezhijiageshangpinjiaoyisuo“meilianchuguancha”gongjuxianshi,mingnian1yuejiangxi25gejidiandegailv0,erqianyitianhaiyou16.8%。

meilianchuzhuxijieluomu·baoweierzaihuihoudexinwenfabuhuishangbiaoshi,12yuedejiangxijuedingshi“yigegengnandejueze”,danqueshi“zhengquede”。2025nianshifoujiangxijiangjiyuweilaideshuju,erbushidangqiandeyucejieguo,meilianchujiangzaitongzhanggaishanhouzaikaolvjinyibujiangxi。

“worenweigengmandejiangxibufafanyinglewomenjinniankandaodejiaogaodetongzhangshuju,yiji2025niantongzhangkenengrengranjiaogaodeyuqi。”baoweiershuo,“womengengjiejinzhongxinglilv,zheishixiayibuxingdongyaojinshendelingyigeyuanyin。”

meilianchuzaidangtianfabudejidujingjiyucezhongdafushangdiaoleqiduiweilaiyiniantongzhangdeyuqi。2025nian,meilianchupianhaodetongzhangzhibiao——gerenxiaofeizhichu(pce)jiagezhishuyujishangzhang2.5%,jiao9yuedeyuceshangdiaole0.4gebaifendian,tichushipinhenengyuanjiagedehexinpcezhishuyujishangzhang2.5%,jiao9yueshishangdiao0.3gebaifendian。tongshi,meilianchuyeshangdiaole2025nianjingjizengzhangyuqi0.1gebaifendianzhi2.1%。

baoweiertidao12yuedejiangxijuedingshi“yigegengnandejueze”,shiyinweibencitoupiaode12weipiaoweizhongyouyirenduijiangxichifanduiyijian。toufanduipiaodeshikelifulanlianchuxingzhangbeisi·hamake,taqingxiangyujianglianbangjijinlilvmubiaoqujianweichizai4.50%-4.75%bubian。

ciwai,zuixindelilvlujing“dianzhentu”xianshi,meilianchuneibuduiyumingnianlilvzoushicunzaixiangdangdefenqi。zai19weijuecezhezhong,you5weiyuce2025nianjiangxifudujiangdadao75gejidianhuogengduo。

zaixinwenfabuhuishang,baoweierchengren,zhishaoyixiemeilianchuguanyuanyijingkaishipinggudangxuanzongtongtangnade·telangpudezhengceduijingjihetongzhangdeqianzaiyingxiang。tazhichu,yixiezhengcezhidingzherenwei,zidaxuanyilai,tongzhangdeweilailujingbiandegengnanyuce。telangpuweixieyaoduisuoyoujinkoushangpinzhengshouguanshui,bingdaguimoquzhuyimin,zheikenengzaimingnianjiajutongzhang。

“zheishiyizhongchangshixingsikao,dangqianlubuquedingshi,nihuizoudemanyixie。”baoweiershuo,“zheijiuxiangzaiwuyekaichehuojinruyoujiajudeheianfangjian,zhinengmanmanlai。”

bencihuiyiqian,bushaofenxishiyujimeilianchuzaijinnianshixian“sanlianjiang”zhihou,mingnianjiangfanghuanjiangxibufa,zuizaozaimingnianxiabannianjieshubenlunjiangxizhouqi。

deyizhizichanguanligongsizhouerfabuyanbaocheng,yuji2025niandiqian,meilianchujiangjiangxi3ci(baokuojinnian12yuezainei),bizhiqiandeyucejianshaole2ci。gaigongsishouximeiguojingjixuejiakelisidian·xieermanbiaoshi,jinqimeiguojingjishujuhaohuaicanban,jinguanlaodonglishichangyousuojianruo,dantongzhangrengranjugaobuxia。chucizhiwai,weilaidecaizhenghemaoyizhengcerengshizhongdaweizhishu。tayuji,meilianchukenengzai2025nianshangbannianmeigejidujiangxiyici,ranhouxiabannianqibuzaijiangxi。

未经正式授权严禁转载本文,侵权必究。