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王一鸣:短期政策刺激非长久之计,解决内生动力问题有赖经济转型

zhongguoguojijingjijiaoliuzhongxinfulishizhangwangyimingzhichu,dangqiankuodatouzidekongjianzaishouzhai,touzidebianjishouyiyezaixiajiang。shifouyingzhuanxiangzhengfupeiyuxiaofei、xiaofeiyindaotouzidemoshi,zhideshenruyanjiu。

2024年12月21日,北京,中国国际经济交流中心副理事长王一鸣在“中国财富管理50人论坛2024年会”上发言。(财富管理50人论坛供图)

记者 王珍

zhongguoguojijingjijiaoliuzhongxinfulishizhangwangyimingzhouliuzai“zhongguocaifuguanli50renluntan2024nianhui”shangbiaoshi,duanqidezhengcecijinanyijiejueneishengdongliwenti,bixutuijinjingjizhuanxing,tongguotigaoquanyaosushengchanlvlaituidongjingjizengzhang。

wangyimingshuo,9yuedichutaideyilanzizhengceduigaibianjingjixiaxingtaishi、mihegongxushihengdaozhidechanchuquekouqidaolejijizuoyong,youxiaoniuzhuanleshichangyuqi,tizhenlexinxin。gushi、loushi、touzi、xiaofeidenglingyujunchuxianleyidingchengdudegaishan。

dantatongshizhichu,duanqizhengcecijinanyijiejuechixudeneishengdongliwenti。liru,shehuixiaofeipinlingshouzengsuzai10yuetisheng1.6gebaifendianhou,11yueyouchuxianlexiahua。zaibiru,zaichuantongfazhanmoshixia,dangjingjimianlinxiaxingyalishi,zhuyaoshitongguotouziladongzengzhang。raner,zheizhongmoshihuidaozhigongdayuqiudewentiriyituchu。dangqian,kuodatouzidekongjianzaishouzhai,touzidebianjishouyiyezaixiajiang。yinci,shifouyingzhuanxiangzhengfupeiyuxiaofei、xiaofeiyindaotouzidemoshi,zhideshenruyanjiu。

wangyimingbiaoshi,dangqianzhongguozhengchuyujingjizhuanxingyudongnengzhuanhuandeguanjianshiqi。jinnianqiansanjidu,woguogdptongbizengzhang4.8%,qizhong,gongjiduanbiaoxianqiangjing,ruguimoyishanggongyezengjiazhitongbizengzhang5.8%,danxuqiuduan,baokuotouziyuxiaofei,zexiangduipiruo。xiaofeilingyuyouweipiruo,youqishizai6、7、8yue,shexiaozengzhanglvpaihuaizai2%zuoyou,10yuefenyinyijiuhuanxinzhengcetuidong,shexiaozengzhanglvyidushengzhi4.8%,dan11yueyouhuiluozhi3.0%,yuji12yuejiangjinyibuxiahuazhi3%yixia。

tajinyibubiaoshi,xuqiuduandepiruanyouhuixianggongjiduanchuandao,duigongjiduanchanshengyingxiang。congguimoyishanggongyeqiyelirunshujulaikan,shangbannianshangweizhengzengzhang,dansanjiduyizhuanweifuzengzhang。youyugongdayuqiu,jiashanggongyepinjiagechixuzoudi,guimoyishanggongyeqiyelirunnanyixianzhugaishan。“weilaihuibuhuixingchengyigexiaofeitouziliandongdexiaxingyali,zheigeshiwomenxuyaoquguibide。”wangyimingshuo。

tahaibiaoshi,guoquzuidadefazhandongnengshifangdichan,danjinnianlaifangdichanxiaoshouedafuxiahua。suiran“xinsanyang”(xinnengyuanqiche、lidianchi、guangfushebei)fazhanxunsu,dannanyiwanquanduichongfangdichanshousuodailaidequekou。

wangyimingzhichu,zhongguozhengchuyuzhuanxingdeguanjianqi,jingjizengzhangquxianyuqushixianzhijiancunzaiquekou,zheiyuyaosuduijingjizengzhangdegongxianbianhuamiqiexiangguan。liru,laodonglifuzengzhangdaozhiqiduijingjizengzhangdegongxianyouzhengzhuanfu,jiashangrenlizibenyinsu,zongtichengxianlingzengzhangtaishi。tongshi,laolinghuajiajudaozhichuxuxiajiang,zibenxingchengdegongxianyechengxianxiajiangqushi。yinci,weilaibixuyikaoquanyaosushengchanlvdetigaolaituidongjingjizengzhang。

weici,wangyimingtichuleduoxiangjianyi:yishitongguokejichuangxinpeiyuxindongneng;ershijiakuaichanyeshengji,fazhanxinxingchanyehebujuweilaichanye,tongshijiakuaichuantongchanyedeshuzihua、zhinenghuagaizao;sanshishifangxinxingchengzhenhuadailaidexuqiuqianneng;sishifazhanlvsexindongneng,tebieshikezaishengnengyuanhexinnengyuanqichedenglingyu。

未经正式授权严禁转载本文,侵权必究。

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王一鸣:短期政策刺激非长久之计,解决内生动力问题有赖经济转型

zhongguoguojijingjijiaoliuzhongxinfulishizhangwangyimingzhichu,dangqiankuodatouzidekongjianzaishouzhai,touzidebianjishouyiyezaixiajiang。shifouyingzhuanxiangzhengfupeiyuxiaofei、xiaofeiyindaotouzidemoshi,zhideshenruyanjiu。

2024年12月21日,北京,中国国际经济交流中心副理事长王一鸣在“中国财富管理50人论坛2024年会”上发言。(财富管理50人论坛供图)

记者 王珍

zhongguoguojijingjijiaoliuzhongxinfulishizhangwangyimingzhouliuzai“zhongguocaifuguanli50renluntan2024nianhui”shangbiaoshi,duanqidezhengcecijinanyijiejueneishengdongliwenti,bixutuijinjingjizhuanxing,tongguotigaoquanyaosushengchanlvlaituidongjingjizengzhang。

wangyimingshuo,9yuedichutaideyilanzizhengceduigaibianjingjixiaxingtaishi、mihegongxushihengdaozhidechanchuquekouqidaolejijizuoyong,youxiaoniuzhuanleshichangyuqi,tizhenlexinxin。gushi、loushi、touzi、xiaofeidenglingyujunchuxianleyidingchengdudegaishan。

dantatongshizhichu,duanqizhengcecijinanyijiejuechixudeneishengdongliwenti。liru,shehuixiaofeipinlingshouzengsuzai10yuetisheng1.6gebaifendianhou,11yueyouchuxianlexiahua。zaibiru,zaichuantongfazhanmoshixia,dangjingjimianlinxiaxingyalishi,zhuyaoshitongguotouziladongzengzhang。raner,zheizhongmoshihuidaozhigongdayuqiudewentiriyituchu。dangqian,kuodatouzidekongjianzaishouzhai,touzidebianjishouyiyezaixiajiang。yinci,shifouyingzhuanxiangzhengfupeiyuxiaofei、xiaofeiyindaotouzidemoshi,zhideshenruyanjiu。

wangyimingbiaoshi,dangqianzhongguozhengchuyujingjizhuanxingyudongnengzhuanhuandeguanjianshiqi。jinnianqiansanjidu,woguogdptongbizengzhang4.8%,qizhong,gongjiduanbiaoxianqiangjing,ruguimoyishanggongyezengjiazhitongbizengzhang5.8%,danxuqiuduan,baokuotouziyuxiaofei,zexiangduipiruo。xiaofeilingyuyouweipiruo,youqishizai6、7、8yue,shexiaozengzhanglvpaihuaizai2%zuoyou,10yuefenyinyijiuhuanxinzhengcetuidong,shexiaozengzhanglvyidushengzhi4.8%,dan11yueyouhuiluozhi3.0%,yuji12yuejiangjinyibuxiahuazhi3%yixia。

tajinyibubiaoshi,xuqiuduandepiruanyouhuixianggongjiduanchuandao,duigongjiduanchanshengyingxiang。congguimoyishanggongyeqiyelirunshujulaikan,shangbannianshangweizhengzengzhang,dansanjiduyizhuanweifuzengzhang。youyugongdayuqiu,jiashanggongyepinjiagechixuzoudi,guimoyishanggongyeqiyelirunnanyixianzhugaishan。“weilaihuibuhuixingchengyigexiaofeitouziliandongdexiaxingyali,zheigeshiwomenxuyaoquguibide。”wangyimingshuo。

tahaibiaoshi,guoquzuidadefazhandongnengshifangdichan,danjinnianlaifangdichanxiaoshouedafuxiahua。suiran“xinsanyang”(xinnengyuanqiche、lidianchi、guangfushebei)fazhanxunsu,dannanyiwanquanduichongfangdichanshousuodailaidequekou。

wangyimingzhichu,zhongguozhengchuyuzhuanxingdeguanjianqi,jingjizengzhangquxianyuqushixianzhijiancunzaiquekou,zheiyuyaosuduijingjizengzhangdegongxianbianhuamiqiexiangguan。liru,laodonglifuzengzhangdaozhiqiduijingjizengzhangdegongxianyouzhengzhuanfu,jiashangrenlizibenyinsu,zongtichengxianlingzengzhangtaishi。tongshi,laolinghuajiajudaozhichuxuxiajiang,zibenxingchengdegongxianyechengxianxiajiangqushi。yinci,weilaibixuyikaoquanyaosushengchanlvdetigaolaituidongjingjizengzhang。

weici,wangyimingtichuleduoxiangjianyi:yishitongguokejichuangxinpeiyuxindongneng;ershijiakuaichanyeshengji,fazhanxinxingchanyehebujuweilaichanye,tongshijiakuaichuantongchanyedeshuzihua、zhinenghuagaizao;sanshishifangxinxingchengzhenhuadailaidexuqiuqianneng;sishifazhanlvsexindongneng,tebieshikezaishengnengyuanhexinnengyuanqichedenglingyu。

未经正式授权严禁转载本文,侵权必究。