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视频生成大模型赛道,只是看上去拥挤

guochanshipinshengchengmoxinghaishizhangwozaidagongsishouli。buguocikejinjinshifalingqiangxiangqi,buyaotaizaoxiajielun。

wen|xinmeidaybreak zhaiwenting

2024nianzuihouyigeyue,guochandamoxingluodiyingyongturanjiasu。youqishipinshengchengmoxing,jiuxiangmijishechuzidanhoudeqiangguan,redefatang。

12yue19ri,kuaishoukelinggengxinle1.6moxing,xiangbiliangzhouqiangaodiaokuosanaidaoyangongchuangjihua,zheigedongzuoxiandeanjinghenduo。danshikuaishouxuanzeshengjimoxingdezheigeshijiandian,sihuyouxieshenyi。

yinweiyitianqiande12yue18ri,zijiehuoshanyuandonglidahui,diyiciduiwaifabudoubaoshipinshengchengdamoxing。tongshizhangnancongdouyinlaidaojianyingchengweizhangmenrenzhihou,shouciduiwailiangxiang。tajianduanjieshaolejinnian5yuefenjiutuichudejimeng,yikuangenkelingleisideshipinshengchenggongju。

huishang,zhangnanjichujimengdemingquehanyi:xiangxianglixiangji,yiciduiyingdouyindexianshixiangji。danshitameiyoujiangtaiduochanpinxijie,zhishibofanglelianggeyangpian。tashuochanpinhejishudouhaizaizaoqijieduan。

zheikenengshibimianwaijiejiangjimengheyizhouqiangongbudesora turbozuozhijieduibi。

openainiandiweiqi12tiandezhibo,zhongtouxishizai12yue10ri,zhangda10geyuedepudianzhihou,sorazhongyujiekaimiansha。

qizhongzuidaliangdianshi「gushiban」(view story)gongneng,tishicikeyizhijiezhuanhuajuben。ciwaixinbansorashipinshengchengsudugengkuai,bianjigongnenggengshiyong。weici,yonghumeiyueyaofuchu200meiyuandechengben。suoyisuiranchanpinfabudangtian,fuwuqibeihailiangliuliangchongjibengkui,dantucaoshengyinbuduan。

buguanzenyang,zaidamoxingxianfengopenaizhihoufabuchanpinzongshiyalibuxiao,chufeiyougengjingxiqiangdadechanpinliangdian,fouzerongyianranshise。

yinci,tengxunhunyuanzai12yuechujiuqiangxianyibutuichushipinshengchengdamoxing,qiejiangyingyongmingzichengzuo「yuanbao」。buguo,xiangbisora、keling、jimengdengjinengwenshengshipinyenengtushengshipindegongju,tengxunhunyuanmuqianzhinengwenshengshipin。

wentizaiyu,muqiandamoxingduiyuyilijieshuipingnengliyouxian,suoyouwenshengshipindeyingyongxiaoguoyuanyuandabudaolingrenmanyidedibu,yehennanxiyinagicchuangzuozhejijishiyong。

tengxunziranshimingbaide。suoyichanpinfabudangtian,kaiyuanshitengxunjijishifangdexinhao。

suiranguochanshipinshengchengyingyongyejin10duokuan,congguoqu20tiandeqingkuanglaikan,guochanshipinshengchengmoxinghaishizhangwozaidagongsishouli,zheibujingendamoxingshuiping、suanliyouguan,shipinshujujileigengshijuedingxingyinsu。erqiedamoxingzaoqimimandeyizhongfomoqingxu(fear of missing out),cikeyiranyoujikexun。

zhishizhengruzhangnansuoshuo,chanpinhejishuhaichuzaizaoqi。ruguonilejiedaoxianzaideaishipinshizenmezuochulaide,jiubuhuibeixuanrandehuamianmihuo,zhishifachuyishengjingtan。

cikejinjinshifalingqiangxiangqi,buyaotaizaoxiajielun。

01 图生视频是主流? 

zaiwomenjieshoudaodexinxizhong,damoxingshengchengshipinsihuyirufanzhang,yiduanwenzihainiyiduanshipin,qiexiaoguobijianyingshidapian。renrendoushidadaoyan,jinzaichichi。

shishishi,aishipindequejiangdileshengchanmenjian,zhishineixiezhizuojingliangdeguanggaoxuanchuanpian、duanjuleiaishipin,haishishaoshurenzhangwodejineng。

youbiyaoxianjiangxiayige2fenzhongdeaiduanpianshizenmezuochulaide。

shouxian,genchuantongchuangzuoleisi,chuangzuozheyaoxiannachujiaoben,zhibuguoshijiyuainenglikeyishixiandeneirong。zheigebuzhoushikeyijiezhuaigongju,chatgpt、kimihezhipuqingyanshibeitijizuiduode。

qici,genjushipinjiaobenchaijiexihuadefenjingneirong,chuangzuozheyongaiwenshengtugongjujiangfenjingxianyijingtaitudefangshizhanxian。

ruguoshiyouzhuanyehuozheshangyeyaoqiu,biruguanggao,xuanchuanpian,duanjudeng,xiwangdadaochuantongpaishedezhuanyeyuhelixing,zaijiangjingtaifenjingtuzhuanchengshipinzhiqian,xuyaochuangzuozhejiangshengchengdejingtaitujinxingpshouqijitupianchaofenbianlvchulilaitigaotupiandeyuanshizhiliang,yicibaozhengtushengshipindezhiliangjichu。

zhihou,jiangzheixietupianjidaoaishipingongjujinxingdongtaifenjingshengcheng。sorade720pdancikeyishengchengzuizhang20miaodeshipin,guochandamoxingyicidouzhinengshengcheng5-10miaodeshipin。

xuyaozhuyideshi,chulesora,guochanaihaizuobudaojiyushengchengshipinjinxingxiugaibianji,suoyiyige5-6miaodeshipinxuyaoduocishengchengcainengnadaomanyijieguoyeshiyoukenengde。

xianzaiwomenkandaode2-3fenzhongaishipin,juedabufendoushitushengshipin,erqieyuanliaoshijingguozhuanyechulidetupian,xuyaoduocixuxiebingpeihehouqijianjiercheng。

suiranmuqianguochanshipinshengchengmoxingzhong,zhiyoutengxunhunyuanshimianfeide,meiyoushoufeixiangmu,danwenshengshipinyiranmianlinjilichuangzuozheshiyongdezhangai(jinnian5yuefentengxunshengchengshiaichanyefenghuishang,tengxungongbudeduomotainenglizhong,qizhongtidaohunyuanzhichituwendengxingtaishengchengshipinnengli,zhishihaimeiyoutushengshipindeluodiyingyong):

shouxianshidamoxingyuyilijienenglijuxian,shipinzuizhongchengxiandeshibushiwenzimiaoshudedongxi,yijishibushifuhechuangzuozhenaohaishexiangdehuamian?

qicizaiyuyizhixing。biru,nixiwangyi「yigechuanzhedanhuangsezhangqundenvsheng」weizhujiao,shengchengyigezhang1-2fenzhongdelianxushipin。

anzhaoxianzaidamoxingnengli,nikenengyaobuduanxuxiejishicishenzhishangbaicicaiyoukenengzuizhongshixian。danshikenengnimeiciwenzishurushengchengdeshipinzhong,zheigenvshengdewuguanhechuandezhangqunkuanshidoubuyiyang,wuguankenengcunzainianlingyuyangmaopiancha,fuzhuangyansekenengshiqianhuang、shenhuanghuoshichenghuang,zheijiushiyizhixingwenti。

danshitushengshipinkeyitiqianquedingtongyisediao,zaitupianchulifangmianpeihecomfy ui(yikuanjiyujiediangongzuoliuwendingkuosansuanfadetuxingjiemian)dehuanlian、huanfuzhuangdenggongnengzuodaorenwuyizhixing。

wenshengshipinyebushibeishuzhigaoge,ruguoniyaodejiushiduanduanwuliumiaodedongxi,huozheyijianrangjingtuhuodongqilai,shiyongmenjianyaogengdiyixie。zaiwenshengshipinlingyu,shangzaineicejieduandetengxunhunyuan(yitianzhinengceshi6ci)dequeshichaochuxianzaixingyepingjunshuipingde。

danshiyeyouchuangzuozheyouguoxindechangshi,《lieyantianjie》shizuozhemengluofuchuangzuodeyibuaidianying,quanpian660gejingtou,qizhong70%shiwenshengshipin,meigejingtouxuyao200-300zidetishici。tazaifenxiangchuangzuoxindeshijieshi,「zhisuoyiyongwenshengshipinzuozhutichuangzuo,yinweitabiaoqinghezhitidongzuobitushengshipinzhenshi。」

tatidao,jimengwenshengshipinxiaoguohenxiangtushengshipin,「fangyanwangqu,renrendoushizhuyan,duorenneirongchangjingmoxingbubenghuai」。

buguanzenyang,xianzaikandaojuemeihuoshijiejinwulixianshideaishipin,shishaoshudongdesheji、shenmei,shuliancaozuogezhonggongjudezhuanyerenshizuochulaide。niyekeyilijiewei,zheixierenshiaishipindezhongziyonghu。yinianqian,tamenzhongdabufenshiaihuihuagongjudeshulianzhangwozhe,huoyuezaixiaohongshupingtai。

yinci,xiangbidoubao、kimidengaiduihualeichanpinshanglaijiuhailiangtoufangzhuanhuadedongzuo,keling、jimengqianqigengduoshizaijinkenengwangluozhongziyonghudecanyu,jilitamenchuangzuogengduozuopin,gegeshequnzheixiechuangzuozhedoushibeizhengqudeduixiang。qizhongyixieminruidechuangzuozhe,kaoshoumaiaigcpeixunjiaocheng,zhuazhuleyibobianxianhongli。

chengweigegeyingyongdechaochuang,chuangzuozhekeyiyoujihuihuodepingtaituisongdeshangdan,mianfeijifen,baokuoyudianshitaihezuodezhichi。dankenengpingtaiyehuiyaoqiuchaochuangmeiyueshuchuyidingdeshipinchuangzuo,shenzhimianfeipeihechanpinxuanjiangjiaocheng。

congdachangdeyixiedongzuoyetouluchuyingyongzaiyindaodeyonghuquntiheshiyongchangjing。

kelingcongyingshizhuanyerenyuanquntigongru,zhiqiantamenyetichuai+duanjudejihua,yitujiushizaiyingshi、guanggao、youxidenglingyujiajieai。zishangerxiashentoudeyituxianeryijian。

tengxunhunyuanzaijieshaozhongjiumingquetichu,kezaigongyejishangyechangjingliruguanggaoxuanchuan、donghuazhizuodengchangjing。tengxunguanggaomiaosipingtaijiuyijingjieruwenshengtumoshi,jiangdiguanggaozhudechuangzuomenjian。

02 看不见的决定因素 

jinguanjimenghekelingjubeitushengshipindenengli,yijingzhanjuyidingdeyonghuxinzhi,danduiyutameneryan,yiranqianlumanman。

chulewomensuonengganzhidaodechanpintezhenghechayi,guochanaishipinyingyongdedicengmoxingjiagou,youhendadexiangsixing。

tengxunhunyuanhekuaishoukelingdoushicaiyonglegensoraleisidedit(diffusion transformer)moxingjiagou。baokuominimaxdehailuoaiyeshirucixuanze。

yizhongguandianrenwei,yuopenaiqitachanpinbutong,zaisuanlichongzudeqiantixia,ditjiagoulujingfukenanduxiangduijiaodi。zheiyeshiguochanshipinshengchengdamoxingzaiduanduanjigeyue,bujusuduheluodijieguochaochuyuqideyuanyin。

danshijiexialaizaiyixieguanjianxingwentijiejueshang,jiukangejiagongsidedicengyouhuanengliheshujuxunlianjieguo。

agicchuangzuozhewenweisiwenvisgaosuxinmeidaybreak,taduiaishipinyingyongshixiandejieguoyoulianggeqiwang:yishikuaisuzhanxianchuzijinaohaidexiangfa,qiegenyuqishibijiaoxiangfude;ershichengweizijidelingganjifaqi,buyidingshichengpin,danxiangfahuibeiqifahuotisheng。

zaikelingfaqideaidaoyangongchuangjihuazhong,wenweisishidaoyanwangzichuandeaihezuozhe,tamengongtongchuangzuole《chuju》,qianqiyigejibenxiangfajiushi,jinliangbikaiaibushanzhangdedifang。

jiumuqianeryan,shipinshengchengmoxinggongtongnulifangxiangyoujige:yizhixing,shijuezhenshidu,dongtaifudu,tishicideyuyilijienenglideng。

birujinguanhenduochanpinxuanchengyizhixingbiaoxianbucuo,danjihusuoyougongsidouhaizaimomonuli。zhiyouchuangyegongsishengshukejicengzaijinnian9yuegaodiaofabusuowei「quanqiushougezhichiduozhutiyizhixingdeduomotaidamoxing」,gongsiqixiachanpinviduxianzaiyijingkaifangshiyong,cepingfankuizai2djiduozhutiyizhishangbiaoxianbucuo,quedianshihuamiantaihu,jishishihuiyuankeyixiangshougaofenbianlvdeyonghuyeyirancunzaizheigewenti。

zaibiru,bulunguoneiguowai,aishipinruanjiandedongtaifududouyoudaitisheng。zuijibenderenwukaikoushuohua,zuoyixietedingdezhitidongzuo,biruwushu,yundongticaozheileidafudongzuo,muqiansuoyougongjubiaoxiandoubujinrurenyi。

daoyanyubaimeijiechuaizuixiangtansuodejiushiyudongzuolianjiedebufen,tazhidaoaizaiguidingjingtoudeyundongfangmian,bushiqiangxiang,yebushanzhangzhenrendongzuo。dantahaishijijicanyulekelingdedaoyanjihua,xiwangchangshichuangzuochuyixiezhiqianmeiyoujianguodedongzuopianduan。

tanjizhenggechuangzuoguocheng,tashuoyiyannanjin,jieguoyechaqiangrenyi,「zheixiezuopindoushituya」。dantayetidao,zhongjianyouquweicunzai,xuedaolehenduodongxi。

yubaimeidetigankenenghuidedaobushaogongming。suoyi,chuangzuozhehuigenjubutongticai,butongxuqiu,shiyongbutongdeaishipingongju。yexugerenchuangzuopianhaohuidaozhitashiyongmougegongjuduoyixie,danxianzaiyuanbudaonakuanchanpinxingchengjueduiyoushidedibu。

guochanaishengchengshipinyingyong,kuaishouqixiadekelingshiweiyigongbuguoshujude。

kuaishoudisanjiducaibaofabushi,keling9yuefenyuehuochao150wan。daole12yue10ri,leijiyonghushudadao600wan,shengchengshipinshuliangwei6500wan,tupianchao1.75yizhang。kuaishouhaigongbuguoshangyehuachengji,danyueliushuichaoguoqianwanyuan,jushuoweicineibuhaiqiedangao,xiaoxiaoqingzhuleyixia。

kelingshiguochandamoxingshengchengshipindongzuoxiangduijiaokuaideyige,youzhongqiangpaojiasudejiaolvgan。

jinnian6yuechanpinshangxian,dangyuejiutuichutushengshipin,yijixuxieshipin,congyikaishidezuizhang2fenzhongyanshenzhi3fenzhong。erqiehenzaojiumingquegenduanju、yingshixiangjiehe,kelingshengchengzuizaoliuchuandaohaiwaideshipinhaibeimasikekandaobingdianping。

jimengtuichushijianbikelingyaogengzao,duiwaishifangdexinxihedongzuomeiyoukelingpinfan。danshiyinweizijieaibushunengliheguangfanyonghujichu,jimengzaichuangzuozhequntidehushengyehengao。

yejintianyouliangjuhuashuodefeichanghao:ruguoyong3dchuantongdefangshi,meicixiangshiyiyangdongxidouyaohuatongyangdeshijian,danaishibuyongde。zheijilewobutongdesudugan,wojiukaishiqulinghui,aihuiyingxiangwozenmekanzheigeshijie。tahaishuo,aiyoushihouzoudebiwomenkuai,suoyiyoukenengdailailingwaiyizhongjingyan。

aiyitian,renjianyinian。

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视频生成大模型赛道,只是看上去拥挤

guochanshipinshengchengmoxinghaishizhangwozaidagongsishouli。buguocikejinjinshifalingqiangxiangqi,buyaotaizaoxiajielun。

wen|xinmeidaybreak zhaiwenting

2024nianzuihouyigeyue,guochandamoxingluodiyingyongturanjiasu。youqishipinshengchengmoxing,jiuxiangmijishechuzidanhoudeqiangguan,redefatang。

12yue19ri,kuaishoukelinggengxinle1.6moxing,xiangbiliangzhouqiangaodiaokuosanaidaoyangongchuangjihua,zheigedongzuoxiandeanjinghenduo。danshikuaishouxuanzeshengjimoxingdezheigeshijiandian,sihuyouxieshenyi。

yinweiyitianqiande12yue18ri,zijiehuoshanyuandonglidahui,diyiciduiwaifabudoubaoshipinshengchengdamoxing。tongshizhangnancongdouyinlaidaojianyingchengweizhangmenrenzhihou,shouciduiwailiangxiang。tajianduanjieshaolejinnian5yuefenjiutuichudejimeng,yikuangenkelingleisideshipinshengchenggongju。

huishang,zhangnanjichujimengdemingquehanyi:xiangxianglixiangji,yiciduiyingdouyindexianshixiangji。danshitameiyoujiangtaiduochanpinxijie,zhishibofanglelianggeyangpian。tashuochanpinhejishudouhaizaizaoqijieduan。

zheikenengshibimianwaijiejiangjimengheyizhouqiangongbudesora turbozuozhijieduibi。

openainiandiweiqi12tiandezhibo,zhongtouxishizai12yue10ri,zhangda10geyuedepudianzhihou,sorazhongyujiekaimiansha。

qizhongzuidaliangdianshi「gushiban」(view story)gongneng,tishicikeyizhijiezhuanhuajuben。ciwaixinbansorashipinshengchengsudugengkuai,bianjigongnenggengshiyong。weici,yonghumeiyueyaofuchu200meiyuandechengben。suoyisuiranchanpinfabudangtian,fuwuqibeihailiangliuliangchongjibengkui,dantucaoshengyinbuduan。

buguanzenyang,zaidamoxingxianfengopenaizhihoufabuchanpinzongshiyalibuxiao,chufeiyougengjingxiqiangdadechanpinliangdian,fouzerongyianranshise。

yinci,tengxunhunyuanzai12yuechujiuqiangxianyibutuichushipinshengchengdamoxing,qiejiangyingyongmingzichengzuo「yuanbao」。buguo,xiangbisora、keling、jimengdengjinengwenshengshipinyenengtushengshipindegongju,tengxunhunyuanmuqianzhinengwenshengshipin。

wentizaiyu,muqiandamoxingduiyuyilijieshuipingnengliyouxian,suoyouwenshengshipindeyingyongxiaoguoyuanyuandabudaolingrenmanyidedibu,yehennanxiyinagicchuangzuozhejijishiyong。

tengxunziranshimingbaide。suoyichanpinfabudangtian,kaiyuanshitengxunjijishifangdexinhao。

suiranguochanshipinshengchengyingyongyejin10duokuan,congguoqu20tiandeqingkuanglaikan,guochanshipinshengchengmoxinghaishizhangwozaidagongsishouli,zheibujingendamoxingshuiping、suanliyouguan,shipinshujujileigengshijuedingxingyinsu。erqiedamoxingzaoqimimandeyizhongfomoqingxu(fear of missing out),cikeyiranyoujikexun。

zhishizhengruzhangnansuoshuo,chanpinhejishuhaichuzaizaoqi。ruguonilejiedaoxianzaideaishipinshizenmezuochulaide,jiubuhuibeixuanrandehuamianmihuo,zhishifachuyishengjingtan。

cikejinjinshifalingqiangxiangqi,buyaotaizaoxiajielun。

01 图生视频是主流? 

zaiwomenjieshoudaodexinxizhong,damoxingshengchengshipinsihuyirufanzhang,yiduanwenzihainiyiduanshipin,qiexiaoguobijianyingshidapian。renrendoushidadaoyan,jinzaichichi。

shishishi,aishipindequejiangdileshengchanmenjian,zhishineixiezhizuojingliangdeguanggaoxuanchuanpian、duanjuleiaishipin,haishishaoshurenzhangwodejineng。

youbiyaoxianjiangxiayige2fenzhongdeaiduanpianshizenmezuochulaide。

shouxian,genchuantongchuangzuoleisi,chuangzuozheyaoxiannachujiaoben,zhibuguoshijiyuainenglikeyishixiandeneirong。zheigebuzhoushikeyijiezhuaigongju,chatgpt、kimihezhipuqingyanshibeitijizuiduode。

qici,genjushipinjiaobenchaijiexihuadefenjingneirong,chuangzuozheyongaiwenshengtugongjujiangfenjingxianyijingtaitudefangshizhanxian。

ruguoshiyouzhuanyehuozheshangyeyaoqiu,biruguanggao,xuanchuanpian,duanjudeng,xiwangdadaochuantongpaishedezhuanyeyuhelixing,zaijiangjingtaifenjingtuzhuanchengshipinzhiqian,xuyaochuangzuozhejiangshengchengdejingtaitujinxingpshouqijitupianchaofenbianlvchulilaitigaotupiandeyuanshizhiliang,yicibaozhengtushengshipindezhiliangjichu。

zhihou,jiangzheixietupianjidaoaishipingongjujinxingdongtaifenjingshengcheng。sorade720pdancikeyishengchengzuizhang20miaodeshipin,guochandamoxingyicidouzhinengshengcheng5-10miaodeshipin。

xuyaozhuyideshi,chulesora,guochanaihaizuobudaojiyushengchengshipinjinxingxiugaibianji,suoyiyige5-6miaodeshipinxuyaoduocishengchengcainengnadaomanyijieguoyeshiyoukenengde。

xianzaiwomenkandaode2-3fenzhongaishipin,juedabufendoushitushengshipin,erqieyuanliaoshijingguozhuanyechulidetupian,xuyaoduocixuxiebingpeihehouqijianjiercheng。

suiranmuqianguochanshipinshengchengmoxingzhong,zhiyoutengxunhunyuanshimianfeide,meiyoushoufeixiangmu,danwenshengshipinyiranmianlinjilichuangzuozheshiyongdezhangai(jinnian5yuefentengxunshengchengshiaichanyefenghuishang,tengxungongbudeduomotainenglizhong,qizhongtidaohunyuanzhichituwendengxingtaishengchengshipinnengli,zhishihaimeiyoutushengshipindeluodiyingyong):

shouxianshidamoxingyuyilijienenglijuxian,shipinzuizhongchengxiandeshibushiwenzimiaoshudedongxi,yijishibushifuhechuangzuozhenaohaishexiangdehuamian?

qicizaiyuyizhixing。biru,nixiwangyi「yigechuanzhedanhuangsezhangqundenvsheng」weizhujiao,shengchengyigezhang1-2fenzhongdelianxushipin。

anzhaoxianzaidamoxingnengli,nikenengyaobuduanxuxiejishicishenzhishangbaicicaiyoukenengzuizhongshixian。danshikenengnimeiciwenzishurushengchengdeshipinzhong,zheigenvshengdewuguanhechuandezhangqunkuanshidoubuyiyang,wuguankenengcunzainianlingyuyangmaopiancha,fuzhuangyansekenengshiqianhuang、shenhuanghuoshichenghuang,zheijiushiyizhixingwenti。

danshitushengshipinkeyitiqianquedingtongyisediao,zaitupianchulifangmianpeihecomfy ui(yikuanjiyujiediangongzuoliuwendingkuosansuanfadetuxingjiemian)dehuanlian、huanfuzhuangdenggongnengzuodaorenwuyizhixing。

wenshengshipinyebushibeishuzhigaoge,ruguoniyaodejiushiduanduanwuliumiaodedongxi,huozheyijianrangjingtuhuodongqilai,shiyongmenjianyaogengdiyixie。zaiwenshengshipinlingyu,shangzaineicejieduandetengxunhunyuan(yitianzhinengceshi6ci)dequeshichaochuxianzaixingyepingjunshuipingde。

danshiyeyouchuangzuozheyouguoxindechangshi,《lieyantianjie》shizuozhemengluofuchuangzuodeyibuaidianying,quanpian660gejingtou,qizhong70%shiwenshengshipin,meigejingtouxuyao200-300zidetishici。tazaifenxiangchuangzuoxindeshijieshi,「zhisuoyiyongwenshengshipinzuozhutichuangzuo,yinweitabiaoqinghezhitidongzuobitushengshipinzhenshi。」

tatidao,jimengwenshengshipinxiaoguohenxiangtushengshipin,「fangyanwangqu,renrendoushizhuyan,duorenneirongchangjingmoxingbubenghuai」。

buguanzenyang,xianzaikandaojuemeihuoshijiejinwulixianshideaishipin,shishaoshudongdesheji、shenmei,shuliancaozuogezhonggongjudezhuanyerenshizuochulaide。niyekeyilijiewei,zheixierenshiaishipindezhongziyonghu。yinianqian,tamenzhongdabufenshiaihuihuagongjudeshulianzhangwozhe,huoyuezaixiaohongshupingtai。

yinci,xiangbidoubao、kimidengaiduihualeichanpinshanglaijiuhailiangtoufangzhuanhuadedongzuo,keling、jimengqianqigengduoshizaijinkenengwangluozhongziyonghudecanyu,jilitamenchuangzuogengduozuopin,gegeshequnzheixiechuangzuozhedoushibeizhengqudeduixiang。qizhongyixieminruidechuangzuozhe,kaoshoumaiaigcpeixunjiaocheng,zhuazhuleyibobianxianhongli。

chengweigegeyingyongdechaochuang,chuangzuozhekeyiyoujihuihuodepingtaituisongdeshangdan,mianfeijifen,baokuoyudianshitaihezuodezhichi。dankenengpingtaiyehuiyaoqiuchaochuangmeiyueshuchuyidingdeshipinchuangzuo,shenzhimianfeipeihechanpinxuanjiangjiaocheng。

congdachangdeyixiedongzuoyetouluchuyingyongzaiyindaodeyonghuquntiheshiyongchangjing。

kelingcongyingshizhuanyerenyuanquntigongru,zhiqiantamenyetichuai+duanjudejihua,yitujiushizaiyingshi、guanggao、youxidenglingyujiajieai。zishangerxiashentoudeyituxianeryijian。

tengxunhunyuanzaijieshaozhongjiumingquetichu,kezaigongyejishangyechangjingliruguanggaoxuanchuan、donghuazhizuodengchangjing。tengxunguanggaomiaosipingtaijiuyijingjieruwenshengtumoshi,jiangdiguanggaozhudechuangzuomenjian。

02 看不见的决定因素 

jinguanjimenghekelingjubeitushengshipindenengli,yijingzhanjuyidingdeyonghuxinzhi,danduiyutameneryan,yiranqianlumanman。

chulewomensuonengganzhidaodechanpintezhenghechayi,guochanaishipinyingyongdedicengmoxingjiagou,youhendadexiangsixing。

tengxunhunyuanhekuaishoukelingdoushicaiyonglegensoraleisidedit(diffusion transformer)moxingjiagou。baokuominimaxdehailuoaiyeshirucixuanze。

yizhongguandianrenwei,yuopenaiqitachanpinbutong,zaisuanlichongzudeqiantixia,ditjiagoulujingfukenanduxiangduijiaodi。zheiyeshiguochanshipinshengchengdamoxingzaiduanduanjigeyue,bujusuduheluodijieguochaochuyuqideyuanyin。

danshijiexialaizaiyixieguanjianxingwentijiejueshang,jiukangejiagongsidedicengyouhuanengliheshujuxunlianjieguo。

agicchuangzuozhewenweisiwenvisgaosuxinmeidaybreak,taduiaishipinyingyongshixiandejieguoyoulianggeqiwang:yishikuaisuzhanxianchuzijinaohaidexiangfa,qiegenyuqishibijiaoxiangfude;ershichengweizijidelingganjifaqi,buyidingshichengpin,danxiangfahuibeiqifahuotisheng。

zaikelingfaqideaidaoyangongchuangjihuazhong,wenweisishidaoyanwangzichuandeaihezuozhe,tamengongtongchuangzuole《chuju》,qianqiyigejibenxiangfajiushi,jinliangbikaiaibushanzhangdedifang。

jiumuqianeryan,shipinshengchengmoxinggongtongnulifangxiangyoujige:yizhixing,shijuezhenshidu,dongtaifudu,tishicideyuyilijienenglideng。

birujinguanhenduochanpinxuanchengyizhixingbiaoxianbucuo,danjihusuoyougongsidouhaizaimomonuli。zhiyouchuangyegongsishengshukejicengzaijinnian9yuegaodiaofabusuowei「quanqiushougezhichiduozhutiyizhixingdeduomotaidamoxing」,gongsiqixiachanpinviduxianzaiyijingkaifangshiyong,cepingfankuizai2djiduozhutiyizhishangbiaoxianbucuo,quedianshihuamiantaihu,jishishihuiyuankeyixiangshougaofenbianlvdeyonghuyeyirancunzaizheigewenti。

zaibiru,bulunguoneiguowai,aishipinruanjiandedongtaifududouyoudaitisheng。zuijibenderenwukaikoushuohua,zuoyixietedingdezhitidongzuo,biruwushu,yundongticaozheileidafudongzuo,muqiansuoyougongjubiaoxiandoubujinrurenyi。

daoyanyubaimeijiechuaizuixiangtansuodejiushiyudongzuolianjiedebufen,tazhidaoaizaiguidingjingtoudeyundongfangmian,bushiqiangxiang,yebushanzhangzhenrendongzuo。dantahaishijijicanyulekelingdedaoyanjihua,xiwangchangshichuangzuochuyixiezhiqianmeiyoujianguodedongzuopianduan。

tanjizhenggechuangzuoguocheng,tashuoyiyannanjin,jieguoyechaqiangrenyi,「zheixiezuopindoushituya」。dantayetidao,zhongjianyouquweicunzai,xuedaolehenduodongxi。

yubaimeidetigankenenghuidedaobushaogongming。suoyi,chuangzuozhehuigenjubutongticai,butongxuqiu,shiyongbutongdeaishipingongju。yexugerenchuangzuopianhaohuidaozhitashiyongmougegongjuduoyixie,danxianzaiyuanbudaonakuanchanpinxingchengjueduiyoushidedibu。

guochanaishengchengshipinyingyong,kuaishouqixiadekelingshiweiyigongbuguoshujude。

kuaishoudisanjiducaibaofabushi,keling9yuefenyuehuochao150wan。daole12yue10ri,leijiyonghushudadao600wan,shengchengshipinshuliangwei6500wan,tupianchao1.75yizhang。kuaishouhaigongbuguoshangyehuachengji,danyueliushuichaoguoqianwanyuan,jushuoweicineibuhaiqiedangao,xiaoxiaoqingzhuleyixia。

kelingshiguochandamoxingshengchengshipindongzuoxiangduijiaokuaideyige,youzhongqiangpaojiasudejiaolvgan。

jinnian6yuechanpinshangxian,dangyuejiutuichutushengshipin,yijixuxieshipin,congyikaishidezuizhang2fenzhongyanshenzhi3fenzhong。erqiehenzaojiumingquegenduanju、yingshixiangjiehe,kelingshengchengzuizaoliuchuandaohaiwaideshipinhaibeimasikekandaobingdianping。

jimengtuichushijianbikelingyaogengzao,duiwaishifangdexinxihedongzuomeiyoukelingpinfan。danshiyinweizijieaibushunengliheguangfanyonghujichu,jimengzaichuangzuozhequntidehushengyehengao。

yejintianyouliangjuhuashuodefeichanghao:ruguoyong3dchuantongdefangshi,meicixiangshiyiyangdongxidouyaohuatongyangdeshijian,danaishibuyongde。zheijilewobutongdesudugan,wojiukaishiqulinghui,aihuiyingxiangwozenmekanzheigeshijie。tahaishuo,aiyoushihouzoudebiwomenkuai,suoyiyoukenengdailailingwaiyizhongjingyan。

aiyitian,renjianyinian。

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