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【shendu】dikongjingjiyuanniankaiqi,evtoljishunajiaqiang?

saoyisaoxiazaijiemianxinwenapp

【深度】低空经济元年开启,eVTOL技术哪家强?

xiangbi“qingzhuanxuanyihuizouxiangyijiaduda”depanduan,chi“weilaiduozhongjishulujinghuibingcun”guandiandehaishizhanduoshu。

来源:视觉中国

界面新闻记者 | 薛冰冰

界面新闻编辑 | 沈霄戈

“mangyuyewu、mangyujiedai,gongsihuiyishidoupaibukai。shenzhennanshanzhanxintoudetouzituanduizhijiezuodaodishang,zaizheizhonghuanjingxiawanchengleduiwomendejindiao。”

huiyiqizheiyimu,evtol(diandongchuizhiqijiangfeixingqi)zhizaoshangwolantehehuorenhuangxiaofeirenggankaiwanfen。jinnianshangbannian,nanshanzhanxintouduiwolantewanchengleshuqianwanyuandetouzi。

evtolshidikongjingjidezhongyaozaitizhiyi,dikongjingjishiyiyourenhewurenjiashihangkongqiweiqianyin,feixinggaoduzai300miyixiakongyu,fushedaidongxiangguanlingyuronghefazhandezonghexingjingjixingtai。2024nianquanguolianghuijiang“dikongjingji”xieruzhengfugongzuobaogaohou,quanguo20duogeshengshixiangjichutaizhengcedazao“tiankongzhicheng”,bingqiantouchenglidifangxingdikongjingjiguozipingtai。2024nianyebeichengweidikongjingjiyuannian。

12月20日,背靠本地六大国企,上海成立低空经济产业发展有限公司;12月23日,中共中央办公厅、guowuyuanbangongtingfabujiakuaijianshetongyikaifangdejiaotongyunshushichangdeyijian,tichuyaochixutuijinkongguantizhigaige,shenhuadikongkongyuguanligaige,fazhantongyonghangkonghedikongjingji。

xiabannianqi,gengduodetouzijigouguoduanchushou,qiechushoujiezouyuelaiyuekuai,“youzhongzaibuxiashoujiuwanledexintai”,lingyijiaevtolzhujichanglingzhonglifeijigongyelianhechuangshirenjiasiyuanshuo。

yuyiwangfengkouxingyexiantangainianbutong,suizheyanfajindudejiakuai,bushaoevtolzhujichangxiaxianlequanchicungongchengyangjihuozhesuobiyanzhengji,bingjijiduiwaizhanshihexiaoshou。

diqijiezhongguojinbohuihedishiwujiezhuhaihangzhan,shizuihuobaodezhanshiwutai,zhongduoevtolzhujichangxiezijiadefeixingqitongtaijingji。zairentouzandongdezhantaishang,suichukejianzhanshangfuzerenhuoyuedeshenying,tamenbuyiyulidixiangxianchangguanzhongjieshaochanpin,“hangsu”、“licheng”、“chongdianshijian”dengchanpinxingnengdoushifanfubeitijidegaopincihui。

anzhaogejiazhizaoshangjichudejindujihuabiao,zairenbanevtolshihangquzhengshijiandaduozai2026-2027nianqianhou,zheiyeyiweizhezaicizhiqian,damochanpin、youhuaxingnengshigezhujichangmaitoukugandezhongyaofangxiang。

群雄争锋

anzhaozhengjigouxingdebutong,evtolkefenweiduoxuanyi、fuheyi、qingzhuanxuanyisandazhuliujishuluxian。duoxuanyixingevtolwenshishijianzuizao,tongguokongzhiduogexuanyideshenglidaxiaoshixianfeixing;fuheyixingevtoldeshenglihexunhangyongdeluoxuanjianggeziduli,fenbieshixianchuizhiqijianghexunhang;qingzhuanxuanyixingevtoldexuanyikeyizaichuizhiqijiangshichuizhifangzhi,zaixunhangshiqingxiebingxianggudingyifeijiyiyangqianjin。

制图:界面新闻何苗

就国内制造商而言,多旋翼以亿航智能(NASDAQ: EH)、xiaopenghuitianweizhudao;zaifuheyibeihoushifengfeihangkong、wolante、yufengweilai、lanyihangkong、yiweitedengduojiaqiye;qingzhuanxuanyibeihou,youyouwofeizhangkong、shidekeji、lingzhongli、beifeizhihang、huayuxianxiangdengyizhongzhujichang。

“renheyigexingyezaoqidejishuluxianxiangduidoubijiaofasan。zheishijiyumeigetuanduiduishichangderenzhi、zishendejishujilei,jiqijishuqiangxiangsuozuochudejueding。”jiasiyuangaosujiemianxinwen。

duoxuanyihangchengjiaoduan、sudujiaoman,danyanfazao、chengbendi;fuheyidianjiduo、chengbengao、zhandimianjida,danyanfananduzhongdeng;qingzhuanxuanyiyanfananduda,danjingjijiazhiyeda。

shidekejishiguoneishoujiayanfaqingzhuanxuanyigouxingdeevtolgongsi,zaichuanglizheijiagongsiqian,hehuorenjiancmojiangjunyouguoyinianzuoyoudefuheyigongsigongzuojingli。taxiangjiemianxinwenjiangshu,zhisuoyilikaishangyijiagongsizhuanshentouruqingzhuanxuanyi,hehaiwaievtolchangshangfazhanjieduanyoutebiedeguanlian。

2020nianqianhou,henduohaiwaigongsikaishizhuanxiangqingzhuanxuanyiluxian,yunyingshangxuyaochengbengengdi、sudugengkuai、xiaolvgenggaodefeiji,qingzhuanxuanyijishufangangengnengmanzushangyehuadexuqiu。“zhongguodangshimeiyouyijiaqingzhuanxuanyigongsi”,zaizheizhongqijixia,jiangjunyuhehuorenchuangbanleshidekeji。

“meibiyaojiangfuheyiheqingzhuanxuanyi(jishu)duili”,2021nianchenglizhijin,zaizhugongqianzhejishudewolantehehuorenhuangxiaofeikanlai,yigesaidaoganghuohuiyouhenduojishuluxianzhizheng、henduoweigainian,kehuzhenshixuqiuhuibeizheixiegainiansuoyangai。kaolvdaokehuduianquan、xiaolv、chengbendezhizhe,fuheyiyexubushiyigexitongjie,danyidingshigangganjiehezuiyoujie。

yeyouchangshang“buzuoxuanze,quandouyao”,lingzhonglishiweishubuduotongshibujuduoxuanyi、qingzhuanxuanyiliangzhonggouxingdeevtolzhujichang。

zailingzhonglikanlai,qifeizongzhong2.5dun、hezai6rendeqingzhuanxuanyigouxing,shixuyao10nianyanfazhouqi、touruzijintiliangjiaodadechanpin,“ruguobasuoyoujinglidouyongzaizheiyigechanpinshang,zhonghouqifengxianhuipianda”,lingzhonglilianhechuangshirenjiasiyuanshuo,tamenkaifadeduoxuanyigouxingzg-one“quefei”,haozi2yi,yanfashijianxiankekongzhizai5nianzuoyou。

“xianzaigongsideduoxuanyiyixiangdingdanyijingchaoguo1000jia,yifangmiankeyibangzhugongsigengkuaishixianyingli,lingyifangmiantongguoduoxuanyichanpindebuju,keyidailaizonghedenenglijianshe,baokuocongshengchandaoshichangzaidaoshouhoudequanliantiaojiaofufuwunengli,jinerweiqingzhuanxuanyichanpindaxiajichu。”jiasiyuancheng。

资本的投票

evtolchangshangduoweichuchuanggongsi,yanfatourujuda,zaishihangquzheng、daguimoshangyeqiannanyichuangzaoxiaoyi,rongzishigongsifazhanxiaqudeguanjianzhicheng。nengduodachengduhuodezibenqinglaichengweievtoljishugouxingmianduideyouyicijueze。

制图:界面新闻何苗

guoneiweiyiyijiazainasidakeshangshideyihangzhineng,chenglizhangdashinian,yeshinadaozuiduorongzideevtolgongsi。yinruxingzao,yihangxuanzedeshiyanfananduzuidi、qiejishulujingxiangduichengshudeduoxuanyigouxing。

wolantezongrongzilunshuyingtouganshang,jinqigangwanchengdi9lunrongzi,danshishangweiduiwaigongkaifabu,jinnianneiderongzicishudadao6lun。qihexinchanpinve25-100shidianxingdefuheyigouxing,yeshimuqianquanqiufanweineiyizhideqifeiliangzuida、qiekecangkongjianzuikuankuodezairenevtol。qiyuzhujichangzongrongzilunshushaoze2-3lun,duoze5lun。

gongxinbuxiashujigousaidiguwenfabude《zhongguodikongjingjifazhanyanjiubaogao(2024)》xianshi,qunian,zhongguoevtolzhengjizhizaolingyudetourongzizhuyaojizhongzaiqingzhuanxuanyigouxinglingyu,zibenbijiaokanhaozheiyijishuluxianyinerjiadaletouzi。

dancongyipiludetourongzijinelaikan,duoxuanyigouxingjishufengxianheyanzhinandujiaodi、xiangduijiaokuaishixianchanyehuadeng,xiangguanzhengjiqiyehuotouzijinezuida。

 “dikongjingjishigezhangpohouxuedesaidao,qihexinjiushievtolzhuji。”rongyitouzigaojihehuorenzhaojucheng,tamenzaozai2017nianqianhoujiujiechuevtolzhujilingyu,dangshiquanqiudiyijiaevtolzhizaoshangjobyshangweishangshi。cong2018nianzhijin,rongyitouziyixiangguoneifuheyigongsi——yufengweilailiantousanlun。

“womentouzikendingqingxiangyujingjijiazhigenggaodelingyu。”

zhaojufenxiqitouziluoji,duoxuanyigouxingdehangchengzhinengdadaofuheyi、qingzhuanxuanyide10%-20%,shiyongyudikongguanguang、duanjuliwuliuyunshudengxiandingchangjing。errongyitouzigengkanhaojinengchuizhiqijiang、younenglianxufeixing200gongliyishangdeevtol。

zaifuheyiheqingzhuanxuanyierzhedexuanzeshang,rongyitouziqiangdiaogongchenghuaqushedeyuanze。zhaojugaosujiemianxinwen,shangyekeyunfeijikanzhongxunhangsudu、buzhuiqiujunshishangdejixiansudu,fuheyisuiranzuidasudubibuguoqingzhuanxuanyi,danqiyongyouchuizhiqijiangheshuipingtuijinliangtaodulidedonglixitong。pingfeishi,chuiqideyitaoxitongxiangdangyujixiejiangluosan,xiangqianfeidedonglixitongyidanchuguzhang,feixingqirengnenganquanjiangluo。

“zheiqishishigongchenghuadequshewenti,shidangxishengjixiansududengjishuzhibiao,huanlaianquandu、kekaodudejidatisheng。”zhaojushuo。

bujufuheyigouxingdegongsibuzhiyijia,rongyitouzizhisuoyijielianyazhuyufengweilai,haikanzhonglegongsidehexinjishunenglijishangyelujing。

赵炬直言,飞机总体设计和配套飞控系统是初创eVTOL企业核心研发能力的体现,御风未来拥有完全自主defeikongxitongshejinengli。ciwai,yufengweilaishangyelujingshi“liangtiaotuizoulu”,yanfaevtoldetongshi,tongguogongyejiwurenjidexiaoshoushixianyingshoujinyi。budandanyilairongzishuxue,gengnengziwozaoxue。

运营商的选择

zaijinnianjinbohuihezhuhaihangzhanqijian,bushaoevtolzhujichangzhanhuolechengbaishangqianjiadekehudingdan。

xiaopenghuitian“ludihangmu”feixingqicheqianxiaquanqiufeixingqichelingyuqijinweizhizuidadingdan——gongji2008tai;yufengweilaihepuyinjinzujiu100jiam1zairenbanevtoldachengzhanlvehezuocaigouyixiang,zongjinechao10yiyuan;wolantezeyunanhangtonghangqiandinglejiyuve25-100xingevtolcaigoudeyixiangxieyi。ciwai,wolantehaiyuzhongguotonghang、zhongguofeilong、jinlugongwuqianshuyixiangdingdanchao150jia,dingdanjineyu35yiyuan。

“meizhongjishuluxianbukenengzhiyouyoudian、meiyouquedian,kehuzuizhonghaishiyaohuansuanchengshibushigenganquan、chengbenshibushigengdi、xiaolvshibushigenggao。”wolantehehuorenhuangxiaofeicheng。

xingkonghui|sirenfeixingjulebu(xiachengxingkonghui)hexiaopenghuitianqianshule58taifeixingqicheyixiangcaigoudingdan,julebuhehuorenlixianyongxiangjiemianxinwentoulu,maizheimeduobingfeiquanbuyougongsizijiyunying,haiyoubushaojulebudexueyuanhekehuxiangyaogoumai,lingwaiyekeyixiangdikongjingjilingyuyouxuqiudedanweihegerenjinxingchushou。

xiaopenghuitianzaituichu“ludihangmu”feixingqicheqian,cengpaituanduidaoxingkonghuizhuzhajinlianggexingqi。“julebukehujuedabufenshigaojingzhirenqun,shenjiaqianwannaizhishangyiyuan,zheixiekequnqiaqiashixiaopenghuitianfeixingqichejingzhunyonghuqunti。”lixianyongcheng,zhuzhaqijian,xiaopenghuitiantuanduiderenjianfengchazhenhejulebukehuliaotian,lejietamendexuqiuhexihao,yicijinxingqianqiyonghudiaoyangongzuo。

chuleludihangmuzhiwai,xingkonghuihaiheshidekejiqianshuleqingzhuanxuanyichanpine20caigouhezhanlvehezuoxieyi。dangbeiwenjiweihekanzhongxiaopenghuitianheshidekejideevtolchanpinshi,lixianyongjichuleyigechuhuyiliaodedaan:waiguanhaokan。

“feixingqiduigereneryanbingbushigangxu,gengxiangaicherenshikaichaopao”,tajieshi,“kaichulaiyaokanyoumeiyoubianshidu、nengfoutuxiangexing”。congweilaishichangtuiguangdejiaodueryan,zaihaokanheanquanzhiyu,haiyaokanjingjixing,jiyunyingchengbenhehouqiweixiuweihuchengbendi。gengweiguanjiandeyidian,zaiyuxuhangzhangduan,xuhangnengliqiangcaijuyoushiyongjiazhi。

xiaopenghuitiandefeixingqicaiyongduoxuanyigouxing,suirangaigouxingtongchangyicizhinengfei20-30fenzhong,danshixiaopenghuitianludihangmu“luxingti”bufenzaimanyoumandianqingkuangxiakeji“feixingti”buneng6ci,shiyongxingdadatigao。

jinlugongwushihaihangqixiagongwujiyunyingshang,2020nianqijiujiadaleduievtollingyudeguanzhulidu,zhudongyuguonei7-8jiaevtolzhujichangjinxingleshenrujiaoliu,bingyujinnianjinbohuiqijiancaigoulewolantefuheyigouxingevtol。

“zuoweiyunyingshangzaixuanzeevtolchanpinshi,anquanxingshiwomenshouyaokaoliangdeyinsu。zheibaokuoevtolchangshangduiyuhangkongqideshejizhizaolinianshifouzhuzhonganquan,yijichanpinbenshendeanquanxingnengruhe。”jinlugongwuxiangguanfuzerencheng。anquanxingzhiwai,gongsihaifeichangkanzhongchanpindeshushixing、xingneng、jingjixinghechuangxinxing。ciwai,changshangdeshouhoufuwunengliheshichangqianliyeshizhongyaokaoliangyinsu。

gaifuzerentichu,wolanteve25-100chanpinzaianquanxing、shushixing、jingjixinghechuangxinxingfangmiandadaolegaobiaozhun。liru,kuandadekecangkongjianbujinmanzulechengkedeshushixuqiu,yeweigongsitigonglegengduodeyunyingkenengxing。xianjindefeikonghehangdianxitongtishenglefeixingdejingzhunduhexiaolv。

未来前景

fangyanguoji,quanqiudiyijiaevtolzhizaoshangjoby(nyse: joby)yu2017nianqianhouxiaxianqingzhuanxuanyiquanchicunyanzhengji;lingyijiagongsivertical(nyse: evtl)qichuweiduoxuanyichanpin,2020nianmaixiangleqingzhuanxuanyigouxing。guoneifangmian,wofeizhangkongyecongfuheyibanluzhuandao,rujinzhuliyanfaqingzhuanxuanyichanpinae200。

duici,shidekejihehuorenjiancmojiangjunrenwei,2021nianhenduorenshuoqingzhuanxuanyizuobuchulai,2022niantaolunqingzhuanxuanyikaifayounandu,dandao2024nian,henduogongsidouzaibujuqingzhuanxuanyi。liru,xiangbishangyijie,jinnianzhuhaihangzhanshangchuxianxuduoqingzhuanxuanyichanpin,qingzhuangouxingjishuqutongxingyijingxianxian。

“随着商业化时间的到来,行业会筛选最终有商业价值的产品。”蒋俊称。

buguo,jiemianxinwenzaicaifangguochengzhongfaxian,xiangbi“qingzhuanxuanyihuizouxiangyijiaduda”depanduan,chi“weilaiduozhongjishulujinghuibingcun”guandiandehaishizhanduoshu。

zaijiasiyuankanlai,meiyizhongjishulujingdouyougezideyoushi。yiduoxuanyijuli,duoxuanyichanpingengxiaoqiao、youxiaozaiheweiyidaolianggeren,nengbijiaokuaidijinrushichangshangyehuayunying。weilaisuizhedikongjiaotongchengshu、dianchinenglimidutisheng、jianzhongyouhuadeng,duoxuanyichanpinyiranyouyongwuzhidi,nenggoumanzumoshaodianduidiandekuaijiejieboxuqiu。

“muqianquanqiuevtolhaishuyuyanfahequzhengdezaoqijieduan,zaijiexialaideliangsannian,meiyizhongxifengouxingdekeshixianxing、xiaolvdouhuitixianchulai,neishijishulujinghegouxinghuiyoujinyibudeshoulian。”jiasiyuanrenwei。

xiaopenghuitianchuangshirenzhaodelitichu,zuochanpinbunenggouyigechanpindatianxia,buguanshiduoxuanyi、fuheyihaishiqingzhuanxuanyi,kanxuqiushishenme、dashenmeshichang。duoxuanyitianranyoushishixuantingnenglihao,keyimanmantingxialaikanjingse。danyaojiejuechengjijiaotongwenti,xuyaofeidekuaifeideyuan,duoxuanyi、fuheyidoudabudaosuduyaoqiu,zhiyouqingzhuanyinengzuodaoshisu350gongli。

rongyitouzigaojihehuorenzhaojucheng,yexu10nianyihouevtoljishulujinghuizouxiangqutong,danxianzaigejiaevtolchangshanghaishixuanzezijirenweizuiheshidelujing,yiqieliujishichangquxuanzehejianyan。

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【深度】低空经济元年开启,eVTOL技术哪家强?

xiangbi“qingzhuanxuanyihuizouxiangyijiaduda”depanduan,chi“weilaiduozhongjishulujinghuibingcun”guandiandehaishizhanduoshu。

来源:视觉中国

界面新闻记者 | 薛冰冰

界面新闻编辑 | 沈霄戈

“mangyuyewu、mangyujiedai,gongsihuiyishidoupaibukai。shenzhennanshanzhanxintoudetouzituanduizhijiezuodaodishang,zaizheizhonghuanjingxiawanchengleduiwomendejindiao。”

huiyiqizheiyimu,evtol(diandongchuizhiqijiangfeixingqi)zhizaoshangwolantehehuorenhuangxiaofeirenggankaiwanfen。jinnianshangbannian,nanshanzhanxintouduiwolantewanchengleshuqianwanyuandetouzi。

evtolshidikongjingjidezhongyaozaitizhiyi,dikongjingjishiyiyourenhewurenjiashihangkongqiweiqianyin,feixinggaoduzai300miyixiakongyu,fushedaidongxiangguanlingyuronghefazhandezonghexingjingjixingtai。2024nianquanguolianghuijiang“dikongjingji”xieruzhengfugongzuobaogaohou,quanguo20duogeshengshixiangjichutaizhengcedazao“tiankongzhicheng”,bingqiantouchenglidifangxingdikongjingjiguozipingtai。2024nianyebeichengweidikongjingjiyuannian。

12月20日,背靠本地六大国企,上海成立低空经济产业发展有限公司;12月23日,中共中央办公厅、guowuyuanbangongtingfabujiakuaijianshetongyikaifangdejiaotongyunshushichangdeyijian,tichuyaochixutuijinkongguantizhigaige,shenhuadikongkongyuguanligaige,fazhantongyonghangkonghedikongjingji。

xiabannianqi,gengduodetouzijigouguoduanchushou,qiechushoujiezouyuelaiyuekuai,“youzhongzaibuxiashoujiuwanledexintai”,lingyijiaevtolzhujichanglingzhonglifeijigongyelianhechuangshirenjiasiyuanshuo。

yuyiwangfengkouxingyexiantangainianbutong,suizheyanfajindudejiakuai,bushaoevtolzhujichangxiaxianlequanchicungongchengyangjihuozhesuobiyanzhengji,bingjijiduiwaizhanshihexiaoshou。

diqijiezhongguojinbohuihedishiwujiezhuhaihangzhan,shizuihuobaodezhanshiwutai,zhongduoevtolzhujichangxiezijiadefeixingqitongtaijingji。zairentouzandongdezhantaishang,suichukejianzhanshangfuzerenhuoyuedeshenying,tamenbuyiyulidixiangxianchangguanzhongjieshaochanpin,“hangsu”、“licheng”、“chongdianshijian”dengchanpinxingnengdoushifanfubeitijidegaopincihui。

anzhaogejiazhizaoshangjichudejindujihuabiao,zairenbanevtolshihangquzhengshijiandaduozai2026-2027nianqianhou,zheiyeyiweizhezaicizhiqian,damochanpin、youhuaxingnengshigezhujichangmaitoukugandezhongyaofangxiang。

群雄争锋

anzhaozhengjigouxingdebutong,evtolkefenweiduoxuanyi、fuheyi、qingzhuanxuanyisandazhuliujishuluxian。duoxuanyixingevtolwenshishijianzuizao,tongguokongzhiduogexuanyideshenglidaxiaoshixianfeixing;fuheyixingevtoldeshenglihexunhangyongdeluoxuanjianggeziduli,fenbieshixianchuizhiqijianghexunhang;qingzhuanxuanyixingevtoldexuanyikeyizaichuizhiqijiangshichuizhifangzhi,zaixunhangshiqingxiebingxianggudingyifeijiyiyangqianjin。

制图:界面新闻何苗

就国内制造商而言,多旋翼以亿航智能(NASDAQ: EH)、xiaopenghuitianweizhudao;zaifuheyibeihoushifengfeihangkong、wolante、yufengweilai、lanyihangkong、yiweitedengduojiaqiye;qingzhuanxuanyibeihou,youyouwofeizhangkong、shidekeji、lingzhongli、beifeizhihang、huayuxianxiangdengyizhongzhujichang。

“renheyigexingyezaoqidejishuluxianxiangduidoubijiaofasan。zheishijiyumeigetuanduiduishichangderenzhi、zishendejishujilei,jiqijishuqiangxiangsuozuochudejueding。”jiasiyuangaosujiemianxinwen。

duoxuanyihangchengjiaoduan、sudujiaoman,danyanfazao、chengbendi;fuheyidianjiduo、chengbengao、zhandimianjida,danyanfananduzhongdeng;qingzhuanxuanyiyanfananduda,danjingjijiazhiyeda。

shidekejishiguoneishoujiayanfaqingzhuanxuanyigouxingdeevtolgongsi,zaichuanglizheijiagongsiqian,hehuorenjiancmojiangjunyouguoyinianzuoyoudefuheyigongsigongzuojingli。taxiangjiemianxinwenjiangshu,zhisuoyilikaishangyijiagongsizhuanshentouruqingzhuanxuanyi,hehaiwaievtolchangshangfazhanjieduanyoutebiedeguanlian。

2020nianqianhou,henduohaiwaigongsikaishizhuanxiangqingzhuanxuanyiluxian,yunyingshangxuyaochengbengengdi、sudugengkuai、xiaolvgenggaodefeiji,qingzhuanxuanyijishufangangengnengmanzushangyehuadexuqiu。“zhongguodangshimeiyouyijiaqingzhuanxuanyigongsi”,zaizheizhongqijixia,jiangjunyuhehuorenchuangbanleshidekeji。

“meibiyaojiangfuheyiheqingzhuanxuanyi(jishu)duili”,2021nianchenglizhijin,zaizhugongqianzhejishudewolantehehuorenhuangxiaofeikanlai,yigesaidaoganghuohuiyouhenduojishuluxianzhizheng、henduoweigainian,kehuzhenshixuqiuhuibeizheixiegainiansuoyangai。kaolvdaokehuduianquan、xiaolv、chengbendezhizhe,fuheyiyexubushiyigexitongjie,danyidingshigangganjiehezuiyoujie。

yeyouchangshang“buzuoxuanze,quandouyao”,lingzhonglishiweishubuduotongshibujuduoxuanyi、qingzhuanxuanyiliangzhonggouxingdeevtolzhujichang。

zailingzhonglikanlai,qifeizongzhong2.5dun、hezai6rendeqingzhuanxuanyigouxing,shixuyao10nianyanfazhouqi、touruzijintiliangjiaodadechanpin,“ruguobasuoyoujinglidouyongzaizheiyigechanpinshang,zhonghouqifengxianhuipianda”,lingzhonglilianhechuangshirenjiasiyuanshuo,tamenkaifadeduoxuanyigouxingzg-one“quefei”,haozi2yi,yanfashijianxiankekongzhizai5nianzuoyou。

“xianzaigongsideduoxuanyiyixiangdingdanyijingchaoguo1000jia,yifangmiankeyibangzhugongsigengkuaishixianyingli,lingyifangmiantongguoduoxuanyichanpindebuju,keyidailaizonghedenenglijianshe,baokuocongshengchandaoshichangzaidaoshouhoudequanliantiaojiaofufuwunengli,jinerweiqingzhuanxuanyichanpindaxiajichu。”jiasiyuancheng。

资本的投票

evtolchangshangduoweichuchuanggongsi,yanfatourujuda,zaishihangquzheng、daguimoshangyeqiannanyichuangzaoxiaoyi,rongzishigongsifazhanxiaqudeguanjianzhicheng。nengduodachengduhuodezibenqinglaichengweievtoljishugouxingmianduideyouyicijueze。

制图:界面新闻何苗

guoneiweiyiyijiazainasidakeshangshideyihangzhineng,chenglizhangdashinian,yeshinadaozuiduorongzideevtolgongsi。yinruxingzao,yihangxuanzedeshiyanfananduzuidi、qiejishulujingxiangduichengshudeduoxuanyigouxing。

wolantezongrongzilunshuyingtouganshang,jinqigangwanchengdi9lunrongzi,danshishangweiduiwaigongkaifabu,jinnianneiderongzicishudadao6lun。qihexinchanpinve25-100shidianxingdefuheyigouxing,yeshimuqianquanqiufanweineiyizhideqifeiliangzuida、qiekecangkongjianzuikuankuodezairenevtol。qiyuzhujichangzongrongzilunshushaoze2-3lun,duoze5lun。

gongxinbuxiashujigousaidiguwenfabude《zhongguodikongjingjifazhanyanjiubaogao(2024)》xianshi,qunian,zhongguoevtolzhengjizhizaolingyudetourongzizhuyaojizhongzaiqingzhuanxuanyigouxinglingyu,zibenbijiaokanhaozheiyijishuluxianyinerjiadaletouzi。

dancongyipiludetourongzijinelaikan,duoxuanyigouxingjishufengxianheyanzhinandujiaodi、xiangduijiaokuaishixianchanyehuadeng,xiangguanzhengjiqiyehuotouzijinezuida。

 “dikongjingjishigezhangpohouxuedesaidao,qihexinjiushievtolzhuji。”rongyitouzigaojihehuorenzhaojucheng,tamenzaozai2017nianqianhoujiujiechuevtolzhujilingyu,dangshiquanqiudiyijiaevtolzhizaoshangjobyshangweishangshi。cong2018nianzhijin,rongyitouziyixiangguoneifuheyigongsi——yufengweilailiantousanlun。

“womentouzikendingqingxiangyujingjijiazhigenggaodelingyu。”

zhaojufenxiqitouziluoji,duoxuanyigouxingdehangchengzhinengdadaofuheyi、qingzhuanxuanyide10%-20%,shiyongyudikongguanguang、duanjuliwuliuyunshudengxiandingchangjing。errongyitouzigengkanhaojinengchuizhiqijiang、younenglianxufeixing200gongliyishangdeevtol。

zaifuheyiheqingzhuanxuanyierzhedexuanzeshang,rongyitouziqiangdiaogongchenghuaqushedeyuanze。zhaojugaosujiemianxinwen,shangyekeyunfeijikanzhongxunhangsudu、buzhuiqiujunshishangdejixiansudu,fuheyisuiranzuidasudubibuguoqingzhuanxuanyi,danqiyongyouchuizhiqijiangheshuipingtuijinliangtaodulidedonglixitong。pingfeishi,chuiqideyitaoxitongxiangdangyujixiejiangluosan,xiangqianfeidedonglixitongyidanchuguzhang,feixingqirengnenganquanjiangluo。

“zheiqishishigongchenghuadequshewenti,shidangxishengjixiansududengjishuzhibiao,huanlaianquandu、kekaodudejidatisheng。”zhaojushuo。

bujufuheyigouxingdegongsibuzhiyijia,rongyitouzizhisuoyijielianyazhuyufengweilai,haikanzhonglegongsidehexinjishunenglijishangyelujing。

赵炬直言,飞机总体设计和配套飞控系统是初创eVTOL企业核心研发能力的体现,御风未来拥有完全自主defeikongxitongshejinengli。ciwai,yufengweilaishangyelujingshi“liangtiaotuizoulu”,yanfaevtoldetongshi,tongguogongyejiwurenjidexiaoshoushixianyingshoujinyi。budandanyilairongzishuxue,gengnengziwozaoxue。

运营商的选择

zaijinnianjinbohuihezhuhaihangzhanqijian,bushaoevtolzhujichangzhanhuolechengbaishangqianjiadekehudingdan。

xiaopenghuitian“ludihangmu”feixingqicheqianxiaquanqiufeixingqichelingyuqijinweizhizuidadingdan——gongji2008tai;yufengweilaihepuyinjinzujiu100jiam1zairenbanevtoldachengzhanlvehezuocaigouyixiang,zongjinechao10yiyuan;wolantezeyunanhangtonghangqiandinglejiyuve25-100xingevtolcaigoudeyixiangxieyi。ciwai,wolantehaiyuzhongguotonghang、zhongguofeilong、jinlugongwuqianshuyixiangdingdanchao150jia,dingdanjineyu35yiyuan。

“meizhongjishuluxianbukenengzhiyouyoudian、meiyouquedian,kehuzuizhonghaishiyaohuansuanchengshibushigenganquan、chengbenshibushigengdi、xiaolvshibushigenggao。”wolantehehuorenhuangxiaofeicheng。

xingkonghui|sirenfeixingjulebu(xiachengxingkonghui)hexiaopenghuitianqianshule58taifeixingqicheyixiangcaigoudingdan,julebuhehuorenlixianyongxiangjiemianxinwentoulu,maizheimeduobingfeiquanbuyougongsizijiyunying,haiyoubushaojulebudexueyuanhekehuxiangyaogoumai,lingwaiyekeyixiangdikongjingjilingyuyouxuqiudedanweihegerenjinxingchushou。

xiaopenghuitianzaituichu“ludihangmu”feixingqicheqian,cengpaituanduidaoxingkonghuizhuzhajinlianggexingqi。“julebukehujuedabufenshigaojingzhirenqun,shenjiaqianwannaizhishangyiyuan,zheixiekequnqiaqiashixiaopenghuitianfeixingqichejingzhunyonghuqunti。”lixianyongcheng,zhuzhaqijian,xiaopenghuitiantuanduiderenjianfengchazhenhejulebukehuliaotian,lejietamendexuqiuhexihao,yicijinxingqianqiyonghudiaoyangongzuo。

chuleludihangmuzhiwai,xingkonghuihaiheshidekejiqianshuleqingzhuanxuanyichanpine20caigouhezhanlvehezuoxieyi。dangbeiwenjiweihekanzhongxiaopenghuitianheshidekejideevtolchanpinshi,lixianyongjichuleyigechuhuyiliaodedaan:waiguanhaokan。

“feixingqiduigereneryanbingbushigangxu,gengxiangaicherenshikaichaopao”,tajieshi,“kaichulaiyaokanyoumeiyoubianshidu、nengfoutuxiangexing”。congweilaishichangtuiguangdejiaodueryan,zaihaokanheanquanzhiyu,haiyaokanjingjixing,jiyunyingchengbenhehouqiweixiuweihuchengbendi。gengweiguanjiandeyidian,zaiyuxuhangzhangduan,xuhangnengliqiangcaijuyoushiyongjiazhi。

xiaopenghuitiandefeixingqicaiyongduoxuanyigouxing,suirangaigouxingtongchangyicizhinengfei20-30fenzhong,danshixiaopenghuitianludihangmu“luxingti”bufenzaimanyoumandianqingkuangxiakeji“feixingti”buneng6ci,shiyongxingdadatigao。

jinlugongwushihaihangqixiagongwujiyunyingshang,2020nianqijiujiadaleduievtollingyudeguanzhulidu,zhudongyuguonei7-8jiaevtolzhujichangjinxingleshenrujiaoliu,bingyujinnianjinbohuiqijiancaigoulewolantefuheyigouxingevtol。

“zuoweiyunyingshangzaixuanzeevtolchanpinshi,anquanxingshiwomenshouyaokaoliangdeyinsu。zheibaokuoevtolchangshangduiyuhangkongqideshejizhizaolinianshifouzhuzhonganquan,yijichanpinbenshendeanquanxingnengruhe。”jinlugongwuxiangguanfuzerencheng。anquanxingzhiwai,gongsihaifeichangkanzhongchanpindeshushixing、xingneng、jingjixinghechuangxinxing。ciwai,changshangdeshouhoufuwunengliheshichangqianliyeshizhongyaokaoliangyinsu。

gaifuzerentichu,wolanteve25-100chanpinzaianquanxing、shushixing、jingjixinghechuangxinxingfangmiandadaolegaobiaozhun。liru,kuandadekecangkongjianbujinmanzulechengkedeshushixuqiu,yeweigongsitigonglegengduodeyunyingkenengxing。xianjindefeikonghehangdianxitongtishenglefeixingdejingzhunduhexiaolv。

未来前景

fangyanguoji,quanqiudiyijiaevtolzhizaoshangjoby(nyse: joby)yu2017nianqianhouxiaxianqingzhuanxuanyiquanchicunyanzhengji;lingyijiagongsivertical(nyse: evtl)qichuweiduoxuanyichanpin,2020nianmaixiangleqingzhuanxuanyigouxing。guoneifangmian,wofeizhangkongyecongfuheyibanluzhuandao,rujinzhuliyanfaqingzhuanxuanyichanpinae200。

duici,shidekejihehuorenjiancmojiangjunrenwei,2021nianhenduorenshuoqingzhuanxuanyizuobuchulai,2022niantaolunqingzhuanxuanyikaifayounandu,dandao2024nian,henduogongsidouzaibujuqingzhuanxuanyi。liru,xiangbishangyijie,jinnianzhuhaihangzhanshangchuxianxuduoqingzhuanxuanyichanpin,qingzhuangouxingjishuqutongxingyijingxianxian。

“随着商业化时间的到来,行业会筛选最终有商业价值的产品。”蒋俊称。

buguo,jiemianxinwenzaicaifangguochengzhongfaxian,xiangbi“qingzhuanxuanyihuizouxiangyijiaduda”depanduan,chi“weilaiduozhongjishulujinghuibingcun”guandiandehaishizhanduoshu。

zaijiasiyuankanlai,meiyizhongjishulujingdouyougezideyoushi。yiduoxuanyijuli,duoxuanyichanpingengxiaoqiao、youxiaozaiheweiyidaolianggeren,nengbijiaokuaidijinrushichangshangyehuayunying。weilaisuizhedikongjiaotongchengshu、dianchinenglimidutisheng、jianzhongyouhuadeng,duoxuanyichanpinyiranyouyongwuzhidi,nenggoumanzumoshaodianduidiandekuaijiejieboxuqiu。

“muqianquanqiuevtolhaishuyuyanfahequzhengdezaoqijieduan,zaijiexialaideliangsannian,meiyizhongxifengouxingdekeshixianxing、xiaolvdouhuitixianchulai,neishijishulujinghegouxinghuiyoujinyibudeshoulian。”jiasiyuanrenwei。

xiaopenghuitianchuangshirenzhaodelitichu,zuochanpinbunenggouyigechanpindatianxia,buguanshiduoxuanyi、fuheyihaishiqingzhuanxuanyi,kanxuqiushishenme、dashenmeshichang。duoxuanyitianranyoushishixuantingnenglihao,keyimanmantingxialaikanjingse。danyaojiejuechengjijiaotongwenti,xuyaofeidekuaifeideyuan,duoxuanyi、fuheyidoudabudaosuduyaoqiu,zhiyouqingzhuanyinengzuodaoshisu350gongli。

rongyitouzigaojihehuorenzhaojucheng,yexu10nianyihouevtoljishulujinghuizouxiangqutong,danxianzaigejiaevtolchangshanghaishixuanzezijirenweizuiheshidelujing,yiqieliujishichangquxuanzehejianyan。

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