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杨伟民:长期以来我们对需求特别是居民消费重视不够

dishisanjiequanguozhengxiejingjiweiyuanhuifuzhurenyangweiminbiaoshi,juminxiaofeibuzu,bujinshidangqiandetuchuwenti,yeshijin20nianlaiwoguofazhanzaixuqiucededuanban。

2024年12月21日,北京,第十三届全国政协经济委员会副主任杨伟民在“中国财富管理50人论坛2024年会”上发言。(财富管理50人论坛供图)

记者 王珍

dishisanjiequanguozhengxiejingjiweiyuanhuifuzhurenyangweiminzhouliuzai“zhongguocaifuguanli50renluntan2024nianhui”shangbiaoshi,dangqianzhongguomianlindebushiwaixubuzudailaidezongxuqiubuzu,ershijuminxiaofeibuzudailaidezongxuqiubuzu。yinci,kuoneixucelveyaoyousuogaibian,congkuodatouzizhuanxiangkuodaxiaofei。

tabiaoshi,zhongyangjingjigongzuohuiyibakuodaxuqiufangzaijiudarenwuzhishou,feichangjishi、henyoubiyao。juminxiaofeibuzu,bujinshidangqiandetuchuwenti,yeshijin20nianlaiwoguofazhanzaixuqiucededuanban。juminxiaofeilv,jijuminxiaofeizhangdpdebizhong,you2001niande45.7%,jiangdidao2023niande39%,suiranbi2010nianzuididiande35%yousuotigao,danbi2001nianjiangdi6.7gebaifendian。

yangweiminzhichu,zhangqiyilai,womenduikuodagongjihenzhongshi,duixuqiutebieshiduijuminxiaofeizhongshibugou,duixuqiudeshengchengjili、neishengjizhi、youxiaozhengceyanjiubugou。duikuodatouzi,qingcheshulu,duikuodaxiaofei,libushengren。

 “1998nianhe2008nian,womenshixingkuodaneixuzhanlve,dangshimianduideshijishangshiwaixubuzudailaizongxuqiubuzu。dangshidekuodaneixuzhanlve,yebaokuolecujinxiaofeizhengce,danshishijieguoshitouzizhongyuxiaofei。”yangweiminshuo,danshi,jintianmianlindeshijuminxiaofeibuzudailaidezongxuqiubuzu,suoyi,kuodaneixudecelveyaoyousuogaibian,yaocongtouzizhuanxiangxiaofei。

yangweiminbiaoshi,ruomingnianjingjizengzhang5%,gdpdezengliangshi6.6wanyiyuan,jiuyaozengjia6.6wanyiyuandezongxuqiu。anjinnianqiansanjiduxiaofei、touzi、jingchukoudegongxianlv,mingnianzuizhongxiaofeiyaozengjia3.3wanyiyuan、touzizengjia1.7wanyiyuan、jingchukouzengjia1.6wanyiyuan。danjinnianqiansanjidujingchukouduizengzhangdegongxianlvyijingdadao23.8%,zaizheiyangdegaojishujichushang,mingnianzaizengjia1.6wanyiyuan,shihennande,guoquconglaimeiyouzengjiaguozheimeduo。

tabiaoshi,zheijiuyiweizhe,mingnianjingjizengzhang5%,bunengfuzhijinnianqiansanjidudezengzhanggeju。ruojingchukounanyizengjia1.6wanyiyuan,jiuyaokaozengjiatouzihuoxiaofeilaimibuzongxuqiuquekou。“zhongyangjingjigongzuohuiyitichu,yaodalitizhenxiaofei,tigaotouzixiaoyi。wojuedeshixiwanggengduoyikaoxiaofeilaikuodaneixu。”yangweiminshuo。

weiraozhongyangjingjigongzuohuiyiguanyutizhenxiaofeidebiaoshu,yangweimintichulesandianjianyi。

首先是更加积极的财政政策应更多用于扩大消费。假定明年净出口的缺口全部由投资弥补,明年居民消费也要增加2.3万亿元。靠今年的消费政策,很难使消费增加2.3万亿元。中央经济工作会议要求优化财政支出结构,更加注重惠民生、促消费、增后劲。所以,要降低增量财政用于投资的比重,提高用于支持消费的比重

qicishidafuzengjiaduidishouruquntidezhuanyizhifu。juminxiaofeibuzudeyigezhongyaoyuanyinshidishouruquntiguimoda、shourudi、xiaofeishao。jiadingdishouruzudexiaofeilvshi90%,qinianrenjunxiaofeizhichushi8293yuan,yuezhichuzhiyou700yuan。zhongyangjingjigongzuohuiyiduicitichulehenduozhenduixingdecuoshi,yaojiakuaizuohaozhengceshishidezhunbei,binggengduoxiangdishouruquntiqingxie。tongshi,yaojiakuailuoshiershijiesanzhongquanhuizaicizhongshendejiakuainongyezhuanyirenkoushiminhua、nongcunjitijiansheyongdirushi、nonghuzhufangchuzu、rugu、hezuodenggaigejucuo。

sanshizhichixiaofeixingchanyefazhan。yangweiminrenwei,ruoshixingkuodajuminxiaofeidexuqiuzhengce,chanyezhengceyeyaoyuzhipeihe。chanyefazhandezongfangzhen,yinggaidiaozhengweigaizaotishengchuantongchanye、dalifazhanxinxingchanye、peiyufazhanweilaichanye,zhichixiaofeixingchanyefazhan。baxiaofeixingchanyecongchuantongchanyezhongfenkaidandubiaoshu,youliyuyindaoshichanghegejidifangzhengfuzhongshixiaofeixingchanyefazhan。

未经正式授权严禁转载本文,侵权必究。

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杨伟民:长期以来我们对需求特别是居民消费重视不够

dishisanjiequanguozhengxiejingjiweiyuanhuifuzhurenyangweiminbiaoshi,juminxiaofeibuzu,bujinshidangqiandetuchuwenti,yeshijin20nianlaiwoguofazhanzaixuqiucededuanban。

2024年12月21日,北京,第十三届全国政协经济委员会副主任杨伟民在“中国财富管理50人论坛2024年会”上发言。(财富管理50人论坛供图)

记者 王珍

dishisanjiequanguozhengxiejingjiweiyuanhuifuzhurenyangweiminzhouliuzai“zhongguocaifuguanli50renluntan2024nianhui”shangbiaoshi,dangqianzhongguomianlindebushiwaixubuzudailaidezongxuqiubuzu,ershijuminxiaofeibuzudailaidezongxuqiubuzu。yinci,kuoneixucelveyaoyousuogaibian,congkuodatouzizhuanxiangkuodaxiaofei。

tabiaoshi,zhongyangjingjigongzuohuiyibakuodaxuqiufangzaijiudarenwuzhishou,feichangjishi、henyoubiyao。juminxiaofeibuzu,bujinshidangqiandetuchuwenti,yeshijin20nianlaiwoguofazhanzaixuqiucededuanban。juminxiaofeilv,jijuminxiaofeizhangdpdebizhong,you2001niande45.7%,jiangdidao2023niande39%,suiranbi2010nianzuididiande35%yousuotigao,danbi2001nianjiangdi6.7gebaifendian。

yangweiminzhichu,zhangqiyilai,womenduikuodagongjihenzhongshi,duixuqiutebieshiduijuminxiaofeizhongshibugou,duixuqiudeshengchengjili、neishengjizhi、youxiaozhengceyanjiubugou。duikuodatouzi,qingcheshulu,duikuodaxiaofei,libushengren。

 “1998nianhe2008nian,womenshixingkuodaneixuzhanlve,dangshimianduideshijishangshiwaixubuzudailaizongxuqiubuzu。dangshidekuodaneixuzhanlve,yebaokuolecujinxiaofeizhengce,danshishijieguoshitouzizhongyuxiaofei。”yangweiminshuo,danshi,jintianmianlindeshijuminxiaofeibuzudailaidezongxuqiubuzu,suoyi,kuodaneixudecelveyaoyousuogaibian,yaocongtouzizhuanxiangxiaofei。

yangweiminbiaoshi,ruomingnianjingjizengzhang5%,gdpdezengliangshi6.6wanyiyuan,jiuyaozengjia6.6wanyiyuandezongxuqiu。anjinnianqiansanjiduxiaofei、touzi、jingchukoudegongxianlv,mingnianzuizhongxiaofeiyaozengjia3.3wanyiyuan、touzizengjia1.7wanyiyuan、jingchukouzengjia1.6wanyiyuan。danjinnianqiansanjidujingchukouduizengzhangdegongxianlvyijingdadao23.8%,zaizheiyangdegaojishujichushang,mingnianzaizengjia1.6wanyiyuan,shihennande,guoquconglaimeiyouzengjiaguozheimeduo。

tabiaoshi,zheijiuyiweizhe,mingnianjingjizengzhang5%,bunengfuzhijinnianqiansanjidudezengzhanggeju。ruojingchukounanyizengjia1.6wanyiyuan,jiuyaokaozengjiatouzihuoxiaofeilaimibuzongxuqiuquekou。“zhongyangjingjigongzuohuiyitichu,yaodalitizhenxiaofei,tigaotouzixiaoyi。wojuedeshixiwanggengduoyikaoxiaofeilaikuodaneixu。”yangweiminshuo。

weiraozhongyangjingjigongzuohuiyiguanyutizhenxiaofeidebiaoshu,yangweimintichulesandianjianyi。

首先是更加积极的财政政策应更多用于扩大消费。假定明年净出口的缺口全部由投资弥补,明年居民消费也要增加2.3万亿元。靠今年的消费政策,很难使消费增加2.3万亿元。中央经济工作会议要求优化财政支出结构,更加注重惠民生、促消费、增后劲。所以,要降低增量财政用于投资的比重,提高用于支持消费的比重

qicishidafuzengjiaduidishouruquntidezhuanyizhifu。juminxiaofeibuzudeyigezhongyaoyuanyinshidishouruquntiguimoda、shourudi、xiaofeishao。jiadingdishouruzudexiaofeilvshi90%,qinianrenjunxiaofeizhichushi8293yuan,yuezhichuzhiyou700yuan。zhongyangjingjigongzuohuiyiduicitichulehenduozhenduixingdecuoshi,yaojiakuaizuohaozhengceshishidezhunbei,binggengduoxiangdishouruquntiqingxie。tongshi,yaojiakuailuoshiershijiesanzhongquanhuizaicizhongshendejiakuainongyezhuanyirenkoushiminhua、nongcunjitijiansheyongdirushi、nonghuzhufangchuzu、rugu、hezuodenggaigejucuo。

sanshizhichixiaofeixingchanyefazhan。yangweiminrenwei,ruoshixingkuodajuminxiaofeidexuqiuzhengce,chanyezhengceyeyaoyuzhipeihe。chanyefazhandezongfangzhen,yinggaidiaozhengweigaizaotishengchuantongchanye、dalifazhanxinxingchanye、peiyufazhanweilaichanye,zhichixiaofeixingchanyefazhan。baxiaofeixingchanyecongchuantongchanyezhongfenkaidandubiaoshu,youliyuyindaoshichanghegejidifangzhengfuzhongshixiaofeixingchanyefazhan。

未经正式授权严禁转载本文,侵权必究。