记者 王玉
haiguanzongshuzhouyifabushujucheng,yimeiyuanji,10yue,chukoujinetongbixiajiang0.3%,2020nian6yueyilaishoucichuxiantongbifuzengzhang,zengsujiaoshangyuefanghuan6.0gebaifendian;jinkoutongbixiajiang0.7%,wei2020nian9yueyilaishoucitongbifuzengzhang,zengsujiaoshangyuexiajiang1.0gebaifendian。
jin、chukouzengsujundiyushichangyuqi。shujufabuqian,jiemianxinwencaijide8jiajigouyucezhongzhixianshi,10yue,chukoujinetongbizengzhang3.4%,jinkoutongbizengzhang0.6%。
fenxishibiaoshi,10yuechukouzengsujixuxiahua,chulewaixuchixuzouruohequniangaojishudeyingxiangwai,kenengyehejubudiquyiqingfandanzhiyuewuliutongchang、jiangdigangkouxiaolvyouguan。
东方金诚国际信用评估有限公司首席宏观分析师王青对界面新闻表示,出口不及市场预期,主要原因是外需放缓,也显示近期人民币贬值对出口帮助不大。出于稳定客户等角度考虑,出口商在调价方面会比较谨慎,这意味着出口订单难以随人民币贬值而大幅增加。
congwaixukan,genjuzhongguowuliuyucaigoulianhehuifabudeshuju,10yue,quanqiuzhizaoyecaigoujinglirenzhishu(pmi)wei49.4%,jiaoshangyuexiajiang0.9gebaifendian,shi2020nian7yueyilaishoucidiezhishousuoqujian,yiweizhequanqiujingjishuaituifengxianshangsheng。
zhixintouziyanjiuyuanzaiyanjiubaogaozhongzhichu,dangqianquanqiuyiyouchao60gejingjitikaiqijiaxi,huobizhengceshoujinjiaodachengduyizhilexuqiu。tongshi,gongjihewuliukenengrengranshoudaoyiqingyidingchengdudeganrao。zaiwaixuhegongjidegongtongzuoyongxia,10yuemo,zhongguochukoujizhuangxiangyunjiazhishu(ccfi)heshanghaichukoujizhuangxiangyunjiazhishu(scfi)jiao9yuemofenbiexiajiangle20%he11%。
beijingdaxueguominjingjiyanjiuzhongxinyebiaoshi,weiyingduitonghuopengzhang,fadajingjitichixujiaxisuobiao,shidequanqiujingjishuaituifengxianzengqiang,haiwaizongxuqiujinyibushousuowai。congkebiguojialaikan,yekekuijianchukoujixuxiahuadetaishi。10yue,hanguochukoutongbixiadie5.7%,liangnianlaishoucizhuanweifuzhi。
ciwai,fenxishizhichu,2021nian10yue,zhongguochukoutongbizengzhang27.1%,gaojishuxiaoyingyeduibenqichukouzengsuxingchengyazhi。
英大证券研究所所长郑后成对界面新闻表示,未来两个月,中国出口金额同比增速可能会继续下行。除以上原因外,从历史经验看,在人民币汇率贬值期间,出口金额同比增速大概率承压。此前亦有分析师指出,在2015至2016年、以及2019年,人民币对美元汇率都出现了一定程度的贬值,但当期我国出口增速不升反降。
王青则认为,伴随去年同期出口增速基数下滑,不排除11月出口同比小幅转正的可能。但总体上,海外经济下行对我国出口的影响还会持续体现,短期内出口难现趋势性改善。这意味着四季度稳增长将更加倚重内需发力。
jinkoufangmian,fenxishizhichu,zengsuxiaxingshiyouneixuzouruo、renminbihuilvbianzhiyijidazongshangpinjiagehuiluodengyinsugongtongdaozhi。
congneixulaikan,guojiatongjijushujuxianshi,10yue,woguozhizaoyepmijiaoshangyuehuiluo0.9gebaifendianzhi49.2%,daduanlelianxulianggeyuedehuishengshitou。qizhong,pmijinkoufenxiangjiaoshangyuehuiluo0.2gebaifendianzhi47.9%。
congrenminbihuilvkan,10yue,renminbiduimeiyuanhuilvdieyue2.8%,lianxusangeyuexiadie。cong4yuezhi10yuedi,renminbiduimeiyuanhuilvxiadiefuduyue13%zuoyou。
congjiageyinsukan,guotaijunanzhengquanshouxihongguanfenxishidongqizhichu,10yue,zhuyaojinkoudazongshangpinzhong,yuanyouzhangfushouzhai,tong、tiekuangshi、donglimeidiefukuoda,zhengtiduijinkouzengsuzhichenghuiluo。
haiguanshujuxianshi,10yue,woguojinkouyuanyoujinetongbizengjia43.8%,danheshangniantongqixiangbi,zengsufanghuanle12.5gebaifendian;jinkoutongkuangshajiqijingkuangjinetongbixiajiang14.2%, jinkoutiekuangshajiqijingkuangtongbixiajiang26.8%。
9月底,商务部在官网发布《支持外贸稳定发展若干政策措施》,提出六大项措施,包括保生产保履约、积极支持企业参加各类展会抓订单、进一步促进贸易畅通等等内容。商务部强调, 开放是中国的基本国策,进出口有力支撑稳增长稳就业,要加力稳定外贸。外贸大省要更好发挥挑大梁作用,拿出具体措施,有关部门要加强协调和服务。
10yue27ri,shangwubufayanrenshujuetingzaishangwubulixingfabuhuishangbiaoshi,jinguanmianlinbushaokunnanhetiaozhan,woguowaimaowendingzengzhangrengjubeizhuduoyoulitiaojian,zonghekan,zhongguowaimaoyouzhelianghaodechanyejichu,waimaoqiyelvyue、chuangxinnenglibuduanzengqiang,yuquanqiushichangdemaoyiwanglaigengjiajinmi。
“womenjiangnulibaochiwaimaoyunxingzaiheliqujian,shixianquannianbaowentizhimubiao,jixuweiguominjingjihuifuxianghaozuochujijigongxian。”tashuo。
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