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genjuzuixindekongdiaoshichangshujuxianshi，jinglile2022nianchuhuodiguzhihou，jinnianyijidukongdiaoshichangzaiyidingchengdushangdedaofusu。shujuxianshi，2023nianyijidukongdiaoxingyezhengtilingshouliang1025wantai，tongbizengzhang3.9%；lingshouewei400yiyuan，tongbizengzhang9.8%。

yejiepubianrenwei，kongdiaoshichangdehuinuanshiyouyujinnianshengwenlaidejiaozao。lianrilai，duogechengshifabugaowenchengseyujing，jinnianshougegaowenriyiranbaodao。5yue14rizhi15ri，beifangdabudaojiangnanyidaiqiwenxunsupansheng，beijing、tianjin、hebei、shandongzhongbeibu、henanzhongbeibudengbufendiquzuigaoqiwenjiangdadaohuochaoguo35℃。

tianqiyuere，kongdiaomaideyuehao，danjingguociqianshunianxiahua，kongdiaoshichangnengfou“huifuyuanqi”shangweikezhi。zuoweiladongkongdiaoshichangzhuyaodonglidefangdichan，yanxiasuiranyousuofandan，danshixiangyaolihaojiazhuangshichang，shangxugengzhangshijian。

zaidengdaijiazhuangshichangdehuifuqijian，kongdiaoqiyeyezainulikaipixindezhanchang。jinqi，zhongguochuxianleyibofangcheluyingchuyoure，zuoweiyigekeyiyidongde“xiaojia”，fangcheyaoxiangzhudeshushiziranlibukaikongdiao。neimezheigexinxingshichangdeqianjingdaodiruheni？

有待开发的市场

fangchekongdiaoxingyeshizhiliyongqichedianyuanhefadongjixitong，tongguoqichefadongjiqudongdekongdiaoxitong，laishixianqicheshineidekongdiaoxiaoguodexingye。jinjinian，suizhefangchexingyedekuaisufazhan，fangchekongdiaoxingyeyeyinglailebaofashizengzhang，shichangguimoyebuduanpansheng。

genjushichangdiaoyanzaixianwangfabushujuxianshi，2019nian，zhongguofangchekongdiaoxingyeshichangguimoyuewei255.5yiyuan，tongbizengzhang12.1%。zhanwangweilai，yujizhongguofangchekongdiaoxingyeshichangguimojiangjixuzengzhang，youwangdadao283.1yiyuan。

zhideyitideshi，fangcheyibanhuipeibeiliangzhongkongdiao，yizhongshixingchekongdiao，zheizhongkongdiaogenputongdeqichekongdiaoyiyang，suifadongjichuchangzidai，daduozaicheliangxingshishikaiqi；lingwaiyizhongshizhuchekongdiao，yibananzhuangzaichedinghuozhechedi。youyushiyongxingchekongdiaojinxingqunuanjiangwen，bujinhuichanshengdaliangdeyouhao，erqiezhangshijiankaizhekongdiaohaiyouzaochengyiyanghuatannongduguogaoerzhixidekeneng，shifenweixian，suoyizhuchekongdiaochengweifangchebibukeshaodebeijian。

xianzaishimianshangfangchepubianpeibeidezhuchekongdiaodaduofenweiliangzhong，fenbieshidingzhikongdiaohedizhikongdiao。dingzhikongdiaoneijianzhuangzaicheliangdingbu，waijianzhuangzaifangchedingbu，tuchudebufenyibanjiagaolefangchegaodu20~30cm。tadegongzuoyuanlishitongguofangchedingbuyasuozhilengji，jingyoufengjibalengkongqishusongjishineiji。

dizhikongdiaoyibananzhuangzaifangchechuangpuxiahuokazuoshafadibu，chufengguandaoquanbuyinzangzaichexiangnei，jiaoshengkongjian，dananzhuangjiaoweifuza、zhengtichengbenjiaogao。dizhikongdiaoduibidingzhikongdiaoyoudianbijiaoxianzhu，biruzhengtizaoyinjiaoxiao、zhirexiaoguogengqiang。

suizheluyingreduchixupansheng，fangchechuyouyeyuelaiyuebeinianqingxiaofeizhemensuojieshou。dazhongdianpingshujuxianshi，jinnianshangbannian，luyingsousuoliangjiaoquniantongqishangzhang447%，beifenxiangguoluyingxiangguanpingjiadexianxiashanghushuliangtongbishangzhang240%。fangcheshichanghaiyizhilaolaozhuazhelaonianshichang，woguolaolingrenkouzengjiayechengweituidongfangchexiaofeizengjiadeyuanyinzhiyi。2021nianzhongguo60zhousuiyishangrenkoushuliangzhanzongrenkoubizhongyijingdadao18.90%，duonianlaichixushangsheng，suizhezhongguoquxiao70zhousuishenlingjiazhaonianlingshangxian，laonianyongcheshichangbeijihuo。erfangchezuoweisimi、wending、buzhetengdexuanze，yegengshoudaolaonianquntideqinglai。

ciwai，zhongguozuoweiquanqiuzuidadeqicheshichang，fangchebaoyouliangxiangjiaoyumeiguo、jianada、aodaliyadengguojiarengyoubuxiaochaju，shuomingfangcheshichanghaiyouxiangdangdadeqianliyoudaiqiyequwajue。

可能的隐患

buguo，zuoweijinjiniancaichuxiandexinxingchuyoufangshi，zhongguodefangchechuyouhaiyoubushaodifangxuyaogaishan。zhongqiguwenwangfabu《2021-2027nianzhongguofangchexingyefenxiyufazhanqushiyanjiubaogao》xianshi，fangchefazhanrengrancunzai、falvfaguibuwanshan、luyingdiyinglikunjing、shangyemoshiweiwanshan、shichangguanlihunluandengduozhongnanti。

zhuanjiazhichu，yifangmian，youyuyongdixingzhitudiguihuafangmiandezhengce，peitaodefangcheluyingdijiaoshao，yingdifazhanman，fangchetingchenan、shouhounan、bujinan、tiyanchadengwentituchu，yuoumeishichangyingdixiangjiayouzhanyiyangpujihebianlixiangbi，chajushenyuan；lingyifangmian，fangchezulinshichangyejidaikaifa，poqiexuyaojiaqiangtongchouguihuaheguifanyinling。

chufangcheshichangbenshenshiyigeguizebuwanshandexinxingshichangwai，zhichengfangchejingjibeihoudeluyingreyecunzaizhexiaotundefengxian。

jinglileliulianghetiliangdeshuangzhong“kuangbiao”，luyingchanyejinruchendianhediaozhengqi。wuyiqijianchuyouxuqiudedaojizhongshifang，jiashangluyingyetaicunzaipeitaofuwusheshibujianquan、anquanbaozhangquefa、xiangyingdelvyouxinxibuduichengdengwentiyebeibaoluchulai，jinyibudajixiaofeizhedeluyingreqing。

危机并存

duiyukongdiaoqiyelaishuo，fangchekongdiaoshichangjishuxiyoumosheng。shuxi，shiyinweigaishichangheciqiankongdiaoqiyeyizhiyoubujudeqichekongdiaoshichangshifenxiangsi，xianghaixin、meidedengkongdiaoqiyekeyixunsudiqieru。mosheng，shiyinweigaishichangzaizhongguoshuyuxinxingdeshichang，xiangyingdeguizeguizhangshangbuwanshan，weilaicunzaijiaodadebianshu。

danzongdelaishuo，jingguojinjiniandejilei，luyingyijingzhujianrongrudaozhongguoxinyidaixiaofeizhedeyuleshenghuodangzhong。zuoweiyibangzheiyixinxinglvyouyetaidefangchelaishuo，qishichangweilaiziranyehuiyoujiaohaodefazhanqianjing。ruguokongdiaoqiyedexianjinjishukeyizaifangchezhongdedaoyingyong，birugaijinkongdiaoxitongdejiegou，caiyonggenggaoxiaojienengdeyasuoji，yijigengjienengdelengmei，shiqijuyougenggaodezhilengxiaolvhegengdidenenghao，wuyijiunengzaizheiyixindeshichanghuodexindeshangji。

congtiliangshanglaikan，fangchekongdiaosuodailaideshouyihuoxuhaiyuanbujifangdichansuodailaidezengyi，danshizaidengdaijiajujiazhuangshichangfusudeqijian，fangchekongdiaoshichangbushiweiyigehenhaodeguodulingyu。