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【走进上市公司】第一期——至纯科技 | 解码2022年半导体行业走势

《guowuyuanguanyujinyibutigaoshangshigongsizhiliangdeyijian》zhongmingquezhichu,zibenshichangzaijinrongyunxingzhongjuyouqianyifaerdongquanshendezhongyaozuoyong。zuoweizibenshichangdejishi,shangshigongsiyizhishoudaoshehuigejiehetouzizhedegaoduguanzhu。shanghaibaoyejituan | jiemianxinwenxiangyingguowuyuanhaozhao,fahuimeitigongxinli,yaoqingzhuanjiaxuezhe、xingyefenxishi、qiyegaoguandeng,xieshoubozhongtouzikaizhan【zoujinshangshigongsi】zhuantihuodong,congxinshidaizibenshichangdezhengcebianhuazhonggongtanfazhanxinjiyu,jijizhanxianshangshigongsifengcai,yicituidongqiyushichanggefangjiaoliuhezuo,tigaogongsizhilishuiping。

2021年11月,【走进上市公司】专题活动第一期正式启动。界面新闻携手博众投资高管及首席投资顾问,共同走进了——上海至纯洁净系统科技股份有限公司(以下简称“至纯科技“)。tongguoyuzhichunkejiduoweigaoguandeshenduduitan、duojiaodutantaoxingyedongtaijizuixinqushi,yifangmianhongguanerjutidizhanshileqiyechengshudeyewujishunengli、qiyezhanlvefangxiangjizaibandaotichanyedezhuoyueyingxiangli,lingyifangmianyizhuanyetougujiaoduduishangshigongsijinxingdiaoyan,jiema2022nianbandaotixingyezoushi,jiashenzhuanyetouzizheduikejigunaizhizhenggebandaotixingyederenzhi,zuochugengjiakexue、yuanlvxingdetouzijuece。

主持嘉宾:

jiemianxinwenzhengquanyanjiubuzongjian geyunfei

对谈嘉宾:

zhichunkejidongshihuimishu chaixinming

zhichunkejijituanfuzongcai yeying

bozhongtouzifuzongjingli denggang

bozhongtouzijinrongyanjiusuosuozhang liugang

bozhongtouzishouxitouziguwen wuzhihui

以下为文字实录:

葛韵飞 (主持人):

huanyinggeweizoujinshangshigongsi,zheicizhuyaoshiyoushanghaibaoyejituanjiemianxinwenyijibozhongtouzigongtongjubandezheicihuodong。shouxian,tebieganxiehehuanyinggeweilingdao,keyiyouzheicijihuizoujinshangshigongsi。womenxianqinggeweilingdaozuoxiajiandandeziwojieshao。

柴心明:dajiahao,woshizhichunkejidedongmichaixinming。

叶颖:dajiahao,wolaizizhichunkeji,woshijituanfuzongyeying。

邓刚:dajiahao,woshibozhongtouzidefuzongjinglidenggang。

吴志辉:dajiahao,woshilaizibozhongtouzideshouxitouziguwenwuzhihui。

刘刚:dajiahao,woshibozhongtouzidedayangjinrongyanjiusuodefuzerenliugang。

葛韵飞(主持人):

zheicihuiyizhiqian,chaizongyijingjiandanjieshaoleyixiazhichunkejideyewugaikuang,xianzainengbunengxiangxijieshaoyixiajingyingxianzhuanghemuqiandefazhanqingkuang。

柴心明:

zhichunkejishi2000nianchenglide,chuangshirenshiwomendedongshizhangjiangyuannvshi,tachuangyezhichuconggaochungongyilingyuqierudaoyiyaoheshipinjiagonglingyu,weixiangyingdeyaochangyijikekoukele、guangmingruyejianligaochungongyidepeisongxitong。

zhihoucong2001nianqieruguangfubankuai,2004-2005nianjinrupingbanxianshi,2015nianjinrubandaoti。muqianlaishuo,zhuyaofuwuduixiangxiangtaijidian,sanxing,yingteerzaiguoneidedachang,yijiguoneidelongtouzhongxinguoji、huahongjituan、zhangjiangcunchu、hefeizhangxin,zheikuaishijin20niandezhuying,gaochungongyizheikuai。

dierdazhuyingshimuqianerjishichangbijiaoguanzhudeshifashebei。zheigeshiyebushi2017nianshangshizhihoubuju,2018nianyoule1yidedingdan,2019nianjiejin2yidedingdan,2020niandingdanshi5.3yi。muqianlaishuojiezhi3jibao,muqiandingdanyijing8yi,yibanyishangshidanpianleideshifashebei,suoyizheikuaichengzhangxingtebieqiang。

disankuaizhuyingshiguangdianzizheikuai,yejiushiwomenbinggoudebiaode,bohuikeji。qiyejiyoujijiexingdebodongdetedian,yinweiqixiayoukehushiguojiadianwang,baokuozhongshiyouzheiyangdaxingdeyangqi。muqianlaishuogenjuyangqiquerenhuikuandejiezoudoushi4jidu,shenzhijiduanzai12nianfenyuedaguimodehuikuan,xiangyingdejijiexingdebodongyehuiduigongsiqiansangejidudeyingshouhelirungongxianshaoweiyouyixietuolei。danshimuqianzhanbizaizhunianxiajiang,mingnianyinggaisuizhexitongbaokuoshebeidedafuduzengzhang,huizhubujianqingjijiexingbodongdeyingxiang,muqianzhei3kuaizhuyinggouchengwomenzhichunkejide3jiduyingshoujiejin13yi,koufeizhihoudelirunzai8qianwan。

葛韵飞(主持人):

chaizongjieshaodehenxiangxi,zhichunchenglizhijinchaoguo20niandeshijian,qishiyekeyisuanshijianzhenglezhenggezhongguobandaoticonglingdaoyidefazhanqingkuang。juwolejie,bozhongtouziyeshiyijiachenglishijianxiangdangjiudetouziqiye,nengbunengqingdengzongjieshaoyixiabozhongxianzaidejingyingqingkuang。

邓刚:

womenbozhongyeshichengliyu2000nian,jinnianyezhenghao7yue12riduguole21zhouniandeqingdian,bozhongzuoweilaopaidezhengquantouzijigou,yeshizhiliyuweizhongguodezhengquanshichangdegerentouzizhetigonggengzhuanyedetouzizhejiaoyuyijitougucelvepeiban。suoyishuoxianzaiwomenyeyou90duoweizhengquantouziguwen,weitouzizhetigonggengzhuanyedefuwu,tongshiyezaikaifawomendayangzhitouapp,jiushiliyongxianzaidashuju、aisuanfa,funengwomendetouzizhezuogenghaodetouzijuece。

lingwaijiushimcnjigoudeyewu,xianzaifensijingjiyunyingyeshizaifengkou,womenyezaishengengzheikuai,xianzaiquanwangfensijiaqilaiyou1700duowan,zheikuaiyeshimuqianbozhongzhuyaodeyewu。

chaizong,womenliangjiagongsidouchengliyu2000nian,zuoweixingyelimiandelaopaiqiye,woxianglejieyixiazhichunzaifazhan21nianqijianyoumeiyourangniyinxiangshenkedezhongyaobiangeheshijian?

柴心明:

womenzhichunchenglizhichu,yinweidangshimeiyoubandaoti,yemeiyoupingban,yemeiyouguangfu,danshijiangzongzhiqianyouwaizigongsidebeijing,tadangshifuwuguoguoneijinyoudejigebandaotixiangmu,shangshiji90niandaide908、909,motuoluolazaitianjindechang。zheigeguochengdangzhongtarenshidaogaochunfuwudezuigaojiededuixiangjiushibandaoti,dangshimeiyouxiangyingyingyongchangjingdeqingkuangxia,zhinengcongyiyao、shipinjiagonglingyu。danshihedianzijichundulaishuo,gongyinandulaishuoxiangchabijiaoduo。muqianlaishuoguangfulingyuduojingguichundu6ge9,danjingguishangshengdao9ge9;pingbanlingyushangshengdao11ge9dechengdu;bandaotilingyuzhishao11ge9,shenzhi13ge9,15ge9。suoyizhichunyouyijuhua“chunshiyigedu,zhichunshiyigejingjie”,zheishiqujinyuwuxiandejingjie,yizhikeyiwangzheigemubiaofazhan。danshizheigeguochengzhongxuyaofuchudenulishixiangdangdade。

邓刚:

bozhongzaiqunian20zhouniandeshihoutichu“peibanchuangzaojiazhi”zheimeyigebiaoyu,womenzhichunzuoweiyijiashangshigongsi,zuoweibandaotixingyedeqianyanqiye,jujilezheimeduogaoduanrencai,woxianglejiezhichunshiyongshenmeyangyouxiudeshanghaiyedianwang,badajiajujizaiyiqide?

叶颖:

zheigeshichuangshirenchuangligongsizhichujiufeichangjiandingkaolvkejiyidingyaoherenwenpeihe,kejibenshenshizhonglide,meiyourenwendezhidao,kejishibuhuiduishehuideliangxingfazhanchanshengzuoyongde。zuoweiyigekejigongsi,jiangzongyizhijuedegongsixuyaoyidingderenwenhejiazhiguanlaiyindao,zaiwomenzhichunwomenfeichangjiandan8gezi:zhichun、zhizhen、zhijian、zhishan。womenxiwangtongguochengliyigefeichangjiandan、feichangzhenchengdezuzhi,meigerenmeitianzuohaozijideshi,feichangdidiaodi、bukuazhangdizaiwomendexingyelimianzuohaomeitianyinggaizuodemeijianshi,bangzhumeigeren,bangzhugongsidedaofazhan,yebaokuobangzhuzhenggexingye、zhenggeshehuijinyibufazhan。qishicongzhichunchuangli20zhouniandaoxianzaimeiyoubianguoshanghaiyedianwang,womenyeshiyizhibijiaojianchideren。

葛韵飞(主持人):

其实各位已经对至纯以及博众两家已成立超过20年的公司有了一个简单的了解。那我们现在就对整个半导体产业来聊一聊。因为从2020年开始,整个半导体的行业无论是二级市场还是投资者的关心角度,都是一个非常炙手可热的行业。至纯所属的清洗的业务,可能又是整个半导体行业当中相对来说目前国产替代hualvzhengzaiqianjinguochengzhongdeyigexingye。liuzongyeshiduierjishichangxiangduibijiaoshuxi,ninzenmekanbandaotixingye?

刘刚:

shouxianbandaotixingyeguoneifazhanqilaiqishitingburongyide,qishiwomenshicongsha,tu,linchengzhangqilaide,yikaishishiyiqiongerbai,danshiduiyuguoneidetouzizheheqiyelaishuodoushijudadejiyu。touzihuijiangyaotouyigehenzhangdesaidao,qishitayaoyouzugoudechengzhangkongjian,yueshizaoqideshihou,kenengtadequedingxinghuichayidian,danshidangyouyipigongsichengzhangqilaizhihou,tadequedingxinghaole,tadejingzhengnenglitishengle,neitayouhuizhongxinkuarukuaisudepaodaodangzhong,zheigepaodaoyoushiyigeyoufeichanggaodetianhuabandepaodao,duiyuwomentouzizhelaishuozheijiushifeichanghaodexuanze。zheigedangzhongnideshouyihuisuizhegongsidechengzhangfashengzhibian。dangniyuezaofaxianzheimeyijiayouzhidegongsi,nihuodedeshijianfulijiuhuiyuegao。

我们也是很认同半导体这个行业,尤其是在中国的发展,当中就会涉及到半导体设备,半导体行业本身处在国产替代delangchaokuaisufazhanqi,zengsuheweilaikongjianbijiaokeguan。womenyoushizaishebeiguochanhuadelangchaodangzhong,suoyizhenggechengzhangxingfeichanghao,womenjuedezheiyangdesaidaoduiyutouzizhelaishuoshibijiaozhengquede。danshisaidaodangzhongshenmeyangdeqiyekeyipaochulai,zheishiwomenzuoweiyijiakeyidailingtouzizhezuoyixiezhuanyeyanjiudejigou,xiangwomendayangjinrongyanjiusuo,qishishixiangzhaodaoyigefangfalun,nenggoupingjiayigehaogongsi,

touzifangfalundeguochengdangzhong,womentichuyixiefangfa,dajiajiuhuihenhaodiduibiyixieyouqishigaokejideqiye,daodizenmelaipanduantaweilaishibushiyigehaodetouzifangxiang。womenxiangzaizheiyangyigezhangsaidaodangzhongzenmexuanzezheijiahaogongsi,yibanhuixiangzheijiagongsiyoulianggefangmiandeyoushi,yigeshixingnengfangmiandeyoushi,jiushiwomendechanpin;lingwaiyigeshichengbenfangmiandeyoushi,yibanruguojuyouzheiliangfangmianyoushidegongsihuichengzhangdehenkuai,keyizaizhangsaidaodangzhongxiangshougenggaosudefazhan。

zheiliyeqingjiaoyixiachaizong,zhenduiqitajingzhengduishou,womendexingnengyoushizainali?womendechengbenyoushizainali?dangqianjieduankenengxiayouqiyegengduoguanzhudeshixingneng,suoyixiwangchaizongkeyizhankaijiangyijiang,womenmuqianguoneichengzhangqilaidezheixieyouxiudegongsi,womenzenmetuoyingerchu,womendeyoushizainali?

柴心明:

yiwomendeshifashebeiweili,zheikuaisuiranwomenbujuxiangduilaishuowanleyidian,danshichengzhangxingshitebiekuai,jiushiyinweizheigeguochengdangzhongwomenshizhongyikehudexuqiuweizhiyin,shenduhekehujinxingjishu、shangwushangdegoutongzhihouquedinglezuoshifagaoduandeshebei。guowaiyijingjingliguo3cidejishuzhuanyi,diyicishishangshiji70niandai,meiguowangribenzhuan;diercishishangshiji90niandai,ribenwangtaiwan、hanguozhuan,sanxing、taijidianjiushineigeshihouchenglide;xianzaishidisancidechanyezhuanxing,zheigeguochengzhong,guowaiyijingzaixiangdangzhangdeshijianneibazheigedangaozuozule,womenzaizheigeguochengdangzhongzenmeqiezheigeyifen,queshixuyaodongnaojinde。zheigeguochengdangzhong,hekehugoutongdeguochengdangzhongwomenfaxianyigewenti,yinweiguowaidegongyingshangzuoweijishudelingxianfangheshuchufang,tabuhuigenzongguoneikehudexuqiu。muqiangenzongtaijidian、yingteer、sanxing,zuo7nami、5nami、3namideshendukaifa。14namizaiguoneishizuixianjin,28namiyeshiguoneipianxianjindezhicheng,duiguowaigongyingshangyijingfenbieluohou3-4geshidaile,shishinianzhiqian,shijinianzhiqian,zaiguojigongyingshanglimianshifashebeidouyijingdingxingle。

zheigeguochengdangzhong,guoneikehuyaoqiutagongyishengji,gongyigaizaotashimeiyouzheigejijixing,meiyouzheigedongli,taderencaiwudoushipuzai7、5、3namizhichengshangdeshebei,womenzaizheigeguochengzhongwomenyuanyiqugendong,tebieheguoneidelongtoukehushendudebangding,tayaotichushenmegongyidexuqiu,gongyidegaijin、gongyideshengji,womenbangtagai,lianheyanfa,erqiewomenxianquedingyipijixingshibianyuliangchande,tongshikeyitanbochengbende,yibianyuwomenkuodazaishengchan,xingchengliangxingxunhuan。zheiyangfangbiandakaijumian,2018nianshi1yidedingdan,2019nianshi2yidedingdan,2020nianshi5.3yidedingdan,muqianyijing8yidedingdan,zheigedingdanshimeinianfanbeidejiezou。suoyichengzhangxingyeshixiangdangmingquede。

suoyihekehudeshendugendongshidailaihenhaodedingdanzengzhanghewomenweilaideyewufazhan,tongshiwomenyejubeijishuyanfadenengli,muqian28namiyijingquanxilierenzhengtongguole,yebaokuoshifadekeshi、shifadequjiao、shifadeqingxi、shifadeshuaxi,jidashifalingyudegongyishebeiwomendoujubei28namishengchandenengli,muqianwomenzuixindedongtaishifalekezhuanzhaideyugao,shiwang14namiji14namiyixiadegongyishebeikaifa。tongshihaihuidailaigengduoqiangti,baokuo18qiangdegongyishebeideyanfa。womenyujixiangmujinxingshunlidehua,mingnianjiukeyiyoubufendejixingjiaofukehujinxingrenzheng。zuiwan2023niankendingkeyi14namihe14namiyixiadejixingjiaofurenzheng。zheiyangjibenshangkeyimanzuxiayoukehukuozhangdejiezou。

刘刚:

womendangxiajidaguoneidezhuliudexiangshifashebeidegongyingshang,womendejingzhengyoushi,huozhebicizhijiandeyouquedianyounaxie。

柴心明:

congmuqianlaishuo,guoneishifasuiranbiqitadegongyishebeiqianjindesuduyaokuaiyidian,danshimuqianlaishuozhengtiguochanzhuangbeideshizhanlvbuzu10%,haibijiaodi,kongjianxiangdangda,muqianmeinianguoneideshifashebeidexuqiuliangzai20-25yimeijinzhijian,tidaikongjianhaishixiangdangda。congjishulaijiang,womenshiheguojidezhuliujishuzhijieduibiaode。muqianlaishuoyinweiwomenshiyongzuixianjindesheji、gongyi、cailiao,duibiaotashinianzhiqianyijingdingxingdejixing,suoyizhibiaoshang,shenzhibufenzhibiaoshanghaiyouyuguojitongleixingdeshebei。erqiewomenhaiyoulingxianquanqiudeqiangtineidehuishouxitong,zheishiguojigongyingshangyebujubeide,keyibangzhuxiayoukehujieshengdianzijidehaocai,yejiushishuodengtazhejiuwanchengzhihouhaikeyibangtazhuanqian,yueyongyuesheng,suoyiwomendeshebeixingjiabitebiegao。

刘刚:

gangcaichaizongyeshijiangleyixiawomengongsidehexinjingzhengli,qishiwomentouzizhebijiaoguanxinhexinjingzhengliyijibilei,zheiyangcaikeyiyougengzhangqidechengzhangdongnenghequedingxing,womenkeyizailajinyidiandeweidu,womenkanyixiadagaiminghounian,xiangwomengongsiduisandayewuyouzenyangdechannengbujuhuozheguihua?haiyouwomenhuibuhuichulezheisandazhuyingyewuzhiwai,yijingzaibujugengyouyejidanxingdeyewuhuozhechanpinfangxiang?

柴心明:

congxiayoukehujiaodulaishuo,yinweidajiayezhidaoquexin,quexinduanqineibukenenghuanjie,yinweicongwosidejiaodu,zuoyitiaoxianchabuduoxuyao1nianbandeshijian,gongchengguimohenda,zuowanzhihouxiayibuhaiyaozailianhediaoshi,chabuduo3-6geyuedeshijian。zhihouzaijinxingkehudedaoru,ranhoucongopc、yanmodengxiangyingdejishuhuanjieshanggenjutadegongyishipeixingjinxingkehudedaoru。zaizheigeguochengzhong,zhishaodaomingniannianzhongruguonenggouyoubufendehuanjie,yijingsuanjinduxiangdangkuaile,suoyixiayoudequexin,baokuotaijidianshangzhouyeyouyiweidakajiangle,quexindeqingkuangyijingbukenenghuidaoyiqingzhiqiandegongxuzhuangkuangle,shiyigezhangqideguocheng,zhishichengduhuanjiedewenti,muqianlaishuo,congxiayoukuozhangdejiaodulaishuo,baokuoxitong,baokuoshebei,baokuojingyuanzaisheng,doushixiangdangdejinque。womenmuqianlaishuodoushizhongzichandetouru,congdingzengyehao,congzhuanzhaiyehao,doushiweilemanzurongzi、kuodazaishengchandexuqiu。qianmiantidaosangeyewubankuai,womenzhongdianfazhanhaishizaishifa,yinweicongroedejiaodulaishuo,shifaderoebiaoxianzuihao。yinweixitongzaiguoneishishuyugongchengleidexiangmu,xitongzheigetuanduikeyizuo20yidedingdan,danshiwomenbingbuxiwangtayixiazizuodao20yidedingdan,yinweinikandaowomenyingshouzhangkuan,baokuowomendecunhuo,baokuoxianjinliudetuolei。tajieleyuedadedingdan,wodexianjinliuyuejinzhang,yinweiwodoushixuyaodianzide,gongchengleijiushiyouzheigetedian,kehudeyufubilixiangdangdi,zhiyou20-30%。shangshizhiqianguoyidedingdandoushibujiede,jiupayinxingchoudai,yinweishikuaqidegongcheng,yaozuo1nianbandao2nian,guochengdangzhongyinxingyichoudai,xianjinliujiuduanle,qiyeshengcunyouwentile。shangshizhihoucaibujuguoyidedingdan,manmanzuoda。muqianxitongduan,womenjitadezhibiaobingbutaida,shouxianweihuhaodakehu,xiangtaijidian、sanxing、hailishizaiguoneidechang、ranhouguoneidelongtou,zhihouzhengqumaolilvgaodexiangmuquzuo,tongshixiwangkeyijinzaowanchengneishengdexunhuan,jiushikehuzheibianshoudaoqianzhihouzaipuxindedingdan,erbuxuyaojituanewaideshuxue,zheishiliangxingdeneishengxunhuan。xitongyewuwomenxiwangtameinianshiwendingdezengzhang,womenzaishebeiduanshigaosudezengzhang,yinweitaderoebiaoxianqueshihao,huikuanzhouqimeiyouxitongzheimezhang,erqietadedanjiaqueshiyegao。womenmuqianputongde8qiangdedanpianshebei,guojigongyingshangzaiguoneidebaojiajiuyao350wanmeijin,12qiangdeputonggongyijiejin5baiwanmeijin。ruguoshi12qiangdetesegongyide,genjugongyinandudebutong,6baiwan,7baiwan,8baiwan,ruguoyanjiuchu18qiangdoushiqianwanmeijinji。zheigeliangdailaizhenggegongsideyingshou、lirundoushizhidefeiyue。wogujimingnianzhuangbeizheikuaijiukeyihexitongdetiliangdapingle。

zaibohuizheikuaiyeshiwendingdezengzhang,yinweixiayoukehuhenqueding,meiniandedingdanyezaichixuzengjia,zhishiyouyigejijiexingdetedianzai。2jishichangshiyingzhihoujiumeiyouwenti,yinweicaibingbiao2nianbudao,kenengduijijiexingbodongtuoleiwomen,qian3jidudeyejihuiyouyixiebulijie。qishisuizhewomenqianliangkuaiyewudezengzhang,tadetiliangyetongbilidejiangdi,mingnianyinggaishuotadejijiexingbodongbuhuijiwomenzhengtiyingshou、lirundailaitaidadefudong。

刘刚:

chulesandayewu,womenxianzaiyezaifuhuanaxieqianjingdefangxiang?

柴心明:

suizhegongyiyuelaiyuenan,tadexinghao、baokuoyanshengxinghaoyuelaiyueduo。birushuoyuanlaiqiangtishuliangshao,yigejitaizhinengduiyingyigegongyi;muqiansuizheqiangtishuliangdezengjia,kehutichulainengbunengduiyingduogegongyi,jiushiyitaiqidaoyuanlaijitaidezuoyong,qiangtishuliangduole,dailaiyingjianheruanjianfuzale。womenhaozaishejizhichujiucaiyonglemokuaihuadesheji,jiuxiangdangyuupanyiyang,jichajiyong。dazhikuangjiabubiandeqingkuangxiahuanyigeqiangtijiudailaigongyidegaibian,danshishijishanghaishifuzade,ruanyingjianhaishiyaotongshidiaozhengde,shuoqilaijiandan,gongchenglingyuyingyonghaishiyouyidingdefuzaxingde。lilunshang,womenmokuaihuadeshejiyeshibianyuzhuangpeihejiaofu,lilunshangzhuangpeishijianlianggeyue,danshimuqianshoupicixuyao6geyuedeshijian。yinweizaiwomenzuozhonggaojiedeshifashebeizhiqian,guoneizhiyouyingyongderencai,huiyong、huikanmianban,ruguoyouguzhangzhongqishikeyi;danshicongkuangjiakaishidashe,limiandeguanlu,jixiebeiyehao,guidaoyehao,zenmebuzhi,zheigeshimeiyoujichude,suoyimuqianlaishuo,womenhaishiyinjindaliangdeguojirencai,tongshidapiliangdepeiyangguoneidetidui,caikeyibuduanmanzuxiayoukuozhangdejiezou。muqianwomenyexiwangmingnianzai2picikeyiwang4-5geyueshijianlimianyasuo,zheiyangwojiedanhejiaofujiezouyekeyitongbilidetigao。

葛韵飞(主持人):

qishichaizongzhiqianyetidao,zhenggeerjishichangduiyubandaotidexiangmukuaqixianderongrendushiyuelaiyuegaode,suoyierjishichangduiyuzhenggebandaoti,wulunshicongshangyoudaoxiayoudeguzhiyeshimanmanwangshangzoude。jiuwolejie,wuzongduiyubandaotierjishichangtouziyeyousuoshelie。qingwuzongfenxiangyixiaduiyuzuijinjinianerjishichangbandaotitouzideganxiang。

吴志辉:

duiyubandaotixingye,congwomentouzideweidulaijiang,womenshouxianhuikaolvzishangerxiadefenxifangfalun,(zaizuo)touzixuanzedeshihoukendinghuixiankansaidaohaobuhao,zenmepanduansaidaohaobuhaoni?youyixiajigefangmian:

diyi,shibushifuhewomenguojiaweilaizhanlvedefangxiang,zheishifeichangzhongyaodedian;

dier,jiushishichangrongliangshibushizugouda。yinweizhiyoudadexingyecaikeyicuishengchufeichangdadeqiye,keyiconghenxiaodeqiyebianchengfeichangdadeqiye;

disan,xingyedezengsu,weilaijinianxingyedezengsuhuiyouduoda,yinweizengsuhuizhijieyingxiangdaoerjishichang,jigoujigongsi、huozhezhenggexingyedeguzhidingjia。

bandaotixingyeganggangfuhewomengangcaishuodesuoyoutiaojian,henmingxianshiguojiazhichidesaidao。baokuoxianzaideguojiadajijindechengli,qishijiushiweileguliwomenzhongguoxiangzhichunzheiyangdeqiye,keyirangqizaibandaotixingyefahuigengdadezuoyong。

dangranzheimedadesaidao,woxiangwenyixiachaizong,zaibandaotiweilaidezhanlveguihuahebujuhuiyounaxiedongzuoni?nengbunenghewomenxiangxiliaoyixia。

柴心明:

确实从2014年大基金成立之后,整个产业欣欣向荣的发展。如果从二级市场的角度,我们更注重天时地利人和,天时就是政策性的,国家投入;地利就是国产替代,由国内的供应商替代国外的供应商;人和就是人的能力,包括团队能不能载负历史交付的重任。从至纯角度来说,我们完全具备天时地利人和的。但是投资角度来说,整个半导体领域因为本身就不是一蹴而就的,它是长周期的,它投资的量是几万亿的,这个过程中投资人,我建议投资人更需要长期的耐心也好,并不需要太在意短期的波动。因为整个行业、整个赛道都是长周期的。国产替代shibukedang,zheigeguochengdangzhong1-2geyue,yigejiduyouyixiebodonghenzhengchang,bijingzheigeguochengdangzhongshoudaoyixiedahuanjing、shoudaogezhongqitayinsudeyingxiangyehenzhengchang,dadefangxiangmeiyoufashenggaibiantouzirenjiuyinggaijiandingxinxin,jiubuyinggaiqusuibozhuliu、zhuizhangshadie,chufeiduizijijishutebiezixin。

dajijin2qiduizhuangbeileide,cailiaoleidegongsishitouzidezhongdian。zheigeguochengdangzhongqishiyeshijigeweitouzizhezhimingleyigefangxiang,zaiwomenqianyigeyuegonggaodedajijin2qizhuziwomenquanzizigongsi——zhiwei,tongshijinrudeyoushanghaidezhuangbeicailiao,zhongxinjuyuan、yuanzhixinghuo,haiyouxinxin,zheixiedoushidaibiaoleguojiahedifangdeziben,yijikehuduiwomenderenke。duiwomenshifadeshebeixianzaijishudeqingkuang,baokuojianglaifazhanqianjingderenke,yinweitamenzaitouruzhiqiandouzuoledaliangdejindiao。zheigeguochengdangzhongtamendouyuanyizuoxiangyingdepeiban,qishizibenchanrongjiehezuihaodejiushipeiban,dangranzheigeguochengdangzhongzuizhongkendinghuijiandaoshouhuo。qiyezuixiwangjiushihezhangqidetouzirenzuoxiangyingdebangding,buxuyaojingchangqushichangshangchouqian,jianshaoganrao,jianshaoqiyedejinglixiaohao。

zhanlvetouzirennenggoubangwomenchanyezhongtishengxingyediwei,yuxiangguandekehushendubangding,duiwomendeyewubaokuozhihoudedingdanfazhandoushiyouhaochude。

葛韵飞(主持人):

chaizongqianmiantidaodajijin2qirugulezhiweikeji,erqieninqianmianyetidaolehenduoguojiadajijinduiyuzibencengmiandeyixiexiangfahezhanlvebuju。neininnengbunengjinyibufenxiangyixia,zaiyewucengmian,guojiadajijinruguwomenzigongsi,duiyuwomenyewufazhanyounaxiexietongxiaoying?

柴心明:

qizhuzikendingyouliyuwomenyanfa,duichanyeshangdeyingxiangyeshibijiaoshenyuande,tebieyoudajijinjiwomenbeishuzhihou,womenqishiyehuoduohuoshaochengdanleguojiaderenwu,zhongdianjixingdeyanfa,aiyuyixieminganxingbubianyuduiwai。dajijinduiwomenzhihoudefazhanhaishiyouxiangdangshenyuandeyiyide。shouxianbuhuixiangcaiwutouzirenzuoduanqidedongzuo,zheigeguochengdangzhongdajijinduichanyeziyuandezhenghe,baokuokehuxiangyingdeshenrubeijingdexiangguanhezuo,douhuiqidaojijidezuoyong。

葛韵飞(主持人):

zhichunkejikeyishuoshiguoneiqingxishebeidediyixiandeqiye,nengbunengnengbunengfenxiangyixiamuqianguojiazaibandaotixingyeyounaxiezuixindejucuo?

柴心明:

shilimiandecengmianbijiaoduole,birushuowomennadaoxiangyingdixidedaikuan,youdaikuanbutie,zhiqianyoukouxing、kaixingqiantou,xianzaikuodadaozhongnonggongjianjiao,haiyoushanghaideshijidejijiayinxing,haiyouqitachanyelideyixiezhengce,birushuoshuishoude,birushuoqita,yiqingduiyugaoduanzhizaoyeyeyouxiangyingdeyouhuizhengce,guojiadezhongshichengduqueshishishiwuqianlide。qishicongzuigaocengyizhizaiwangxiaguanche,zaichanyezhongxiangyingdezenmebaituopingjing,zenmejiasutidaiguochan。womennaleguojiaxiangyingdebutieyehao,touruyehao,jinkenengbajianshangdezerenqieshilvxinghao,jianfuqilishijiaojiwomendezhongren,xiwangwomenzheidairennengjinzaoyuanmeng,erbushijixiwangyuxiayidaiyuanmengzhongguoxin,womenzheiyidainengshixianjiuzuihaole。

葛韵飞(主持人):

womenkeyikanchu,chenglichaoguo20niandezhichunkejizhenshijianxinglezhiqiantidaodezhichun、zhizhen、zhijian、zhishandehexinjiazhiguanhelinian,zuoweimuqianbandaotixingyedenongchaoer,zhichunkejiyeyoudajijin2qidejiachi,xiangxinzhichunkejizaiweilaiyehuiyuezouyuehao,jintian《zoujinshangshigongsi》dehuodongdaozheilizangaoyiduanluo,xiexiedajia。

行业点评

博众投资金融研究所所长 刘刚:

shouxianwomenduibandaotixingyeyigejiandandianping:

diyi、shiguanyuxingyezenglianghezengsu。shisanwuqijian,woguobandaotichanyeshixianlekuayueshifazhan,nianfuhezengzhanglvjin20%。jiezhi2020nian,quanxingyexiaoshoueyida8848yiyuan。weilailiangnianguoneijingyuanzhizaochangzhengtidekuochanzengsunengdadao30%zuoyou。congqianshidajingyuanzhizaoqiyedeshujulaikan,neizizhizaoqiyezongliangzaizengzhang,danneiziqiyezengsudiyuwaiziqiyehetaiziqiye。suoyi,suiranwomendebandaotichanyezhengzaipengbofazhan,danshihaishimianlinzhezhongzhongyali,yaopeiyang“xitong-xinpian-gongyi-zhuangbei-cailiao”xietongchuangxinfazhandeliangxingshengtaihaishirenzhongdaoyuan。

dier、guanyujingyuanzhizaojishudetupo。muqian,14nmyijingjinruliangchan,7nmyijingjinrushichan,5nmjishuyezaiyanfazhong。woguodejingyuanzhizaojishujiedianzhengzaiyoutiaobuwendexiangqiantuijin。

disan、guanyubentupeitaoqingkuang。yigeshizhuangbeipeitao,yigeshihaocaipeitao;dangxiawoguodebandaotipeitaochanyezhengchuyuyigecongdiandaomian,kuaisufazhandejieduan。guoneizhizaochanxianjianshejinrukuaisuzengzhangqi,yinglaiduizhuangbeihehaocaidejudaxuqiu。2020nianzhongguobandaotishebeixiaoshoushouruda240yiyuan,qizhongicshebeixiaoshoushourudadaole107yiyuan,tongbizengzhangle48.6%。yuji2021nianquannianicshebeitongbizengzhang50%yishang。suiranzengsuxirendanzhuangbeiyeguimorengranbugou,quanqiuzhanbihendi,muqianwomendehaocaipeitaoyetixianchubaijiaqifangdeyigetaishi。

zhengtilaishuo,zhuangbei、cailiao、ruanjianshibandaotichanyedehexinjichu,yeshiguojiboyidezhangqijiaodian。gongyinglianhexinqiyedezhanlvezhongxinyejiangcongshiyanggongyingxiangguimohuajingyingzhuanxing,duiqiyedepinzhikongzhi、gonghuonenglihefuwubaozhangdengtichulegenggaodeyaoqiu,qiyeyaokaishiweixiaoshouguimokuoda10beishenzhi50beizuohaozhunbei。

zhenggebandaotixingyedefazhanbushiyicuerjiude,xiayouxuqiuhechuangxinzhouqidebodongzhudingletadefazhanshiluoxuanshangshengde,zaizheigeguochengzhong,touzizhegengxuyaoyounaixin,buyaotaizaiyiduanqidebodong,ershiyaolizuzhangyuandefazhankandaiyixieyouxiudegongsi。

博众投资首席投资顾问 吴志辉:

bandaotixingyeshiguojiazhongdianzhichideyigexingye,xingyeguimoyeshiwanyijibiede。yincibandaotixingyecunzaizhejudadetouzijihui。bandaotixingyechanyelianfeichangdezhang,yefeichangdefuza,baohanlesheji,gedaogongxu,shebei,cailiao,fengzhuang,yingyongduandeng。

qizhonglvxianshouyideyidingshi,shebeiduanhecailiaoduan。yinweizheigelianggefangxiangshichanyeliandezuishangyou,shengchanxinpianyidingshixuyaoshebeihecailiaode。zhichunkejijiushuyushebeiduan。

近两年,中国大陆晶圆厂建厂潮为半导体设备行业提供了巨大的市场空间,但国产设备在这些晶圆厂的采购中占比仍较低,替代空间广阔。据芯谋研究数据,2020 年,国内晶圆厂设备采购总金额达到 154 亿美元,其中向美国厂商采购金额达到 82 亿美元,占比达 53%,而向国内供应商采购金额仅为 9.9 亿美元,占比仅为 7%。而在先进制程上,设备国产化率zegengdi,jubandaotixingyexiehuitongji,muqian,28 nm yixiadexianjinzhichengqianduanshebeiyou 70%laizimeiguochangshang。

据半导体行业协会数据,当前湿法清洗设备国产化率约达 20%,并已经攻克 14nm 制程。 前段工序三大件光刻、薄膜、刻蚀中,光刻机尚未实现国产化,涂胶显影设备、离子注 入设备的国产化率亦不足 1%,基本不具备自给能力。而刻蚀机方面率先实现了国产突 破,国产化率近 20%,清洗、CMP 设备亦走在了国产替代的前列,国产化率yida 15- 20%。

guoneibujuleqingxishebeidechangshangzhuyaoyouzhichunkeji、beifanghuachuang、shengmeibandaoti、xinyuanwei,danpianshiqingxijishiguoneichangshangzhongdiantupodefangxiang,gejiajuntuichulezijidedanpianshichanpin。zhichunnengtigongdao 28namijiedianquanbushifagongyi,zhuyaodanpianqingxichanpin s3xx xiliekedazai12geqiangti,channengzuigaokeda590wph,18qiangchanpinyizaiyanfazhong。

博众投资副总经理 邓刚:

bandaotixingyedexingyezenglianghezengsusuiranmianlinjiaodadeyali,danshixingyedongtairengranshizaipengbofazhan。

具体到至纯科技的设备,其实最主要的关注点在于国产替代。目前像光刻、薄膜等工序尚未实现国产化,而清洗设备国产化率shijiejin20%,zheishuomingzhenggexingyezhengchuyuyigeguochanshebeidekuaisutidaishiqi,haiyouxuduoshangxiayougongxutidaikongjianguangkuo。

而至纯作为国内主要的清洗设备供应商,未来均有望受益于国产化率detishengheguojiazhichifazhandexingyehongli。zaizheigeguochengzhong,worenweikenengxuyaoduoyidiandiannaixin。dangran,weilaidefazhan,zheiduiqiyedechengbenkongzhi、shangxiayougonghuonenglidengyejianghuitichugenggaodeyaoqiu。

活动点评

博众投资金融研究所所长 刘刚:

shouxian,kejigudetouziyuchuantongxingyegupiaodetouzishiyouqubiede,jishubiangehegongyinglianbianhuaduigongsigujiayingxiangfeichangda,kejigudetouzixuyaozhangqidechanyejilei,yexuyaojinmideshichanggenzong,zheiyiciwomenduizhichunkejidediaoyan,duiyuzhuanyetouzizhelaishuo,jiushiyicihenhaodehuodong。jijiashenleduichanyehegongsiderenzhi,youyingzhenglewomenqianqideyixieyupan。duibandaotichanyedexianzhuang、gongsidehexinjingzhengli、yuanqiguihuahezhongqidenenglishifangdouyoubijiaoshenrudelejie。

suiranzhichunkejizaishifashebeilingyubujujiaowan,danshizhunquedebawodaoxingyejishuzhuanyizhongdejihui,jijiyuguoneikehugoutong,tongguogongyidejishushengjigaizaohenhaodepipeixiayouxuqiu,suoyidingdanyuanyuanbuduan,gongsiyefeisuchengzhang。zheirangwomengengqingxideconghaosaidaodangzhongzhaodaoyixiehaogongsi,rangwomengengfangxindetouzi。

博众投资首席投资顾问 吴志辉:

jintianshizhishiyigekaishi,weilaiwomenbozhongjianghuibazoujinshangshigongsijixudezuoxialaiqu。yinwei,womenbozhongyaozuoyigezhuanye,youtaidu,youzerendetouzizixungongsi。qushangshigongsidiaoyan,keyirangwomengenghaodelejiexiangguangongsi,yekeyirangwomendetouzijuecegengjiadekeguanhekexue,rangtouzijuecezuodaoyoudefangshi。

博众投资副总经理 邓刚:

bozhongkaizhanzoujinshangshigongsidehuodongdaomuqianlaishuoyinggaisuanshichengxiaobucuo。womenzaihuodekeguan,youjiazhidediaoyanneironghou,zaijiehezishenzhuanyedeyanjiutuandui,jiangnenggoujiyuyonghuyejiushiwomendetouzizhegengduozhuanyedetouzicelvehetouziyijian,wojuedezheishifeichangyouyiyide。

weilai,womenyejianghuijixukaizhanxiaqu,bingqiezhuanzhuyutouyan,shenwashichangxuqiu,jiyuwomentouzizhegengzhuanye、gengkexuedetouzipeiban。

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【走进上市公司】第一期——至纯科技 | 解码2022年半导体行业走势

《guowuyuanguanyujinyibutigaoshangshigongsizhiliangdeyijian》zhongmingquezhichu,zibenshichangzaijinrongyunxingzhongjuyouqianyifaerdongquanshendezhongyaozuoyong。zuoweizibenshichangdejishi,shangshigongsiyizhishoudaoshehuigejiehetouzizhedegaoduguanzhu。shanghaibaoyejituan | jiemianxinwenxiangyingguowuyuanhaozhao,fahuimeitigongxinli,yaoqingzhuanjiaxuezhe、xingyefenxishi、qiyegaoguandeng,xieshoubozhongtouzikaizhan【zoujinshangshigongsi】zhuantihuodong,congxinshidaizibenshichangdezhengcebianhuazhonggongtanfazhanxinjiyu,jijizhanxianshangshigongsifengcai,yicituidongqiyushichanggefangjiaoliuhezuo,tigaogongsizhilishuiping。

2021年11月,【走进上市公司】专题活动第一期正式启动。界面新闻携手博众投资高管及首席投资顾问,共同走进了——上海至纯洁净系统科技股份有限公司(以下简称“至纯科技“)。tongguoyuzhichunkejiduoweigaoguandeshenduduitan、duojiaodutantaoxingyedongtaijizuixinqushi,yifangmianhongguanerjutidizhanshileqiyechengshudeyewujishunengli、qiyezhanlvefangxiangjizaibandaotichanyedezhuoyueyingxiangli,lingyifangmianyizhuanyetougujiaoduduishangshigongsijinxingdiaoyan,jiema2022nianbandaotixingyezoushi,jiashenzhuanyetouzizheduikejigunaizhizhenggebandaotixingyederenzhi,zuochugengjiakexue、yuanlvxingdetouzijuece。

主持嘉宾:

jiemianxinwenzhengquanyanjiubuzongjian geyunfei

对谈嘉宾:

zhichunkejidongshihuimishu chaixinming

zhichunkejijituanfuzongcai yeying

bozhongtouzifuzongjingli denggang

bozhongtouzijinrongyanjiusuosuozhang liugang

bozhongtouzishouxitouziguwen wuzhihui

以下为文字实录:

葛韵飞 (主持人):

huanyinggeweizoujinshangshigongsi,zheicizhuyaoshiyoushanghaibaoyejituanjiemianxinwenyijibozhongtouzigongtongjubandezheicihuodong。shouxian,tebieganxiehehuanyinggeweilingdao,keyiyouzheicijihuizoujinshangshigongsi。womenxianqinggeweilingdaozuoxiajiandandeziwojieshao。

柴心明:dajiahao,woshizhichunkejidedongmichaixinming。

叶颖:dajiahao,wolaizizhichunkeji,woshijituanfuzongyeying。

邓刚:dajiahao,woshibozhongtouzidefuzongjinglidenggang。

吴志辉:dajiahao,woshilaizibozhongtouzideshouxitouziguwenwuzhihui。

刘刚:dajiahao,woshibozhongtouzidedayangjinrongyanjiusuodefuzerenliugang。

葛韵飞(主持人):

zheicihuiyizhiqian,chaizongyijingjiandanjieshaoleyixiazhichunkejideyewugaikuang,xianzainengbunengxiangxijieshaoyixiajingyingxianzhuanghemuqiandefazhanqingkuang。

柴心明:

zhichunkejishi2000nianchenglide,chuangshirenshiwomendedongshizhangjiangyuannvshi,tachuangyezhichuconggaochungongyilingyuqierudaoyiyaoheshipinjiagonglingyu,weixiangyingdeyaochangyijikekoukele、guangmingruyejianligaochungongyidepeisongxitong。

zhihoucong2001nianqieruguangfubankuai,2004-2005nianjinrupingbanxianshi,2015nianjinrubandaoti。muqianlaishuo,zhuyaofuwuduixiangxiangtaijidian,sanxing,yingteerzaiguoneidedachang,yijiguoneidelongtouzhongxinguoji、huahongjituan、zhangjiangcunchu、hefeizhangxin,zheikuaishijin20niandezhuying,gaochungongyizheikuai。

dierdazhuyingshimuqianerjishichangbijiaoguanzhudeshifashebei。zheigeshiyebushi2017nianshangshizhihoubuju,2018nianyoule1yidedingdan,2019nianjiejin2yidedingdan,2020niandingdanshi5.3yi。muqianlaishuojiezhi3jibao,muqiandingdanyijing8yi,yibanyishangshidanpianleideshifashebei,suoyizheikuaichengzhangxingtebieqiang。

disankuaizhuyingshiguangdianzizheikuai,yejiushiwomenbinggoudebiaode,bohuikeji。qiyejiyoujijiexingdebodongdetedian,yinweiqixiayoukehushiguojiadianwang,baokuozhongshiyouzheiyangdaxingdeyangqi。muqianlaishuogenjuyangqiquerenhuikuandejiezoudoushi4jidu,shenzhijiduanzai12nianfenyuedaguimodehuikuan,xiangyingdejijiexingdebodongyehuiduigongsiqiansangejidudeyingshouhelirungongxianshaoweiyouyixietuolei。danshimuqianzhanbizaizhunianxiajiang,mingnianyinggaisuizhexitongbaokuoshebeidedafuduzengzhang,huizhubujianqingjijiexingbodongdeyingxiang,muqianzhei3kuaizhuyinggouchengwomenzhichunkejide3jiduyingshoujiejin13yi,koufeizhihoudelirunzai8qianwan。

葛韵飞(主持人):

chaizongjieshaodehenxiangxi,zhichunchenglizhijinchaoguo20niandeshijian,qishiyekeyisuanshijianzhenglezhenggezhongguobandaoticonglingdaoyidefazhanqingkuang。juwolejie,bozhongtouziyeshiyijiachenglishijianxiangdangjiudetouziqiye,nengbunengqingdengzongjieshaoyixiabozhongxianzaidejingyingqingkuang。

邓刚:

womenbozhongyeshichengliyu2000nian,jinnianyezhenghao7yue12riduguole21zhouniandeqingdian,bozhongzuoweilaopaidezhengquantouzijigou,yeshizhiliyuweizhongguodezhengquanshichangdegerentouzizhetigonggengzhuanyedetouzizhejiaoyuyijitougucelvepeiban。suoyishuoxianzaiwomenyeyou90duoweizhengquantouziguwen,weitouzizhetigonggengzhuanyedefuwu,tongshiyezaikaifawomendayangzhitouapp,jiushiliyongxianzaidashuju、aisuanfa,funengwomendetouzizhezuogenghaodetouzijuece。

lingwaijiushimcnjigoudeyewu,xianzaifensijingjiyunyingyeshizaifengkou,womenyezaishengengzheikuai,xianzaiquanwangfensijiaqilaiyou1700duowan,zheikuaiyeshimuqianbozhongzhuyaodeyewu。

chaizong,womenliangjiagongsidouchengliyu2000nian,zuoweixingyelimiandelaopaiqiye,woxianglejieyixiazhichunzaifazhan21nianqijianyoumeiyourangniyinxiangshenkedezhongyaobiangeheshijian?

柴心明:

womenzhichunchenglizhichu,yinweidangshimeiyoubandaoti,yemeiyoupingban,yemeiyouguangfu,danshijiangzongzhiqianyouwaizigongsidebeijing,tadangshifuwuguoguoneijinyoudejigebandaotixiangmu,shangshiji90niandaide908、909,motuoluolazaitianjindechang。zheigeguochengdangzhongtarenshidaogaochunfuwudezuigaojiededuixiangjiushibandaoti,dangshimeiyouxiangyingyingyongchangjingdeqingkuangxia,zhinengcongyiyao、shipinjiagonglingyu。danshihedianzijichundulaishuo,gongyinandulaishuoxiangchabijiaoduo。muqianlaishuoguangfulingyuduojingguichundu6ge9,danjingguishangshengdao9ge9;pingbanlingyushangshengdao11ge9dechengdu;bandaotilingyuzhishao11ge9,shenzhi13ge9,15ge9。suoyizhichunyouyijuhua“chunshiyigedu,zhichunshiyigejingjie”,zheishiqujinyuwuxiandejingjie,yizhikeyiwangzheigemubiaofazhan。danshizheigeguochengzhongxuyaofuchudenulishixiangdangdade。

邓刚:

bozhongzaiqunian20zhouniandeshihoutichu“peibanchuangzaojiazhi”zheimeyigebiaoyu,womenzhichunzuoweiyijiashangshigongsi,zuoweibandaotixingyedeqianyanqiye,jujilezheimeduogaoduanrencai,woxianglejiezhichunshiyongshenmeyangyouxiudeshanghaiyedianwang,badajiajujizaiyiqide?

叶颖:

zheigeshichuangshirenchuangligongsizhichujiufeichangjiandingkaolvkejiyidingyaoherenwenpeihe,kejibenshenshizhonglide,meiyourenwendezhidao,kejishibuhuiduishehuideliangxingfazhanchanshengzuoyongde。zuoweiyigekejigongsi,jiangzongyizhijuedegongsixuyaoyidingderenwenhejiazhiguanlaiyindao,zaiwomenzhichunwomenfeichangjiandan8gezi:zhichun、zhizhen、zhijian、zhishan。womenxiwangtongguochengliyigefeichangjiandan、feichangzhenchengdezuzhi,meigerenmeitianzuohaozijideshi,feichangdidiaodi、bukuazhangdizaiwomendexingyelimianzuohaomeitianyinggaizuodemeijianshi,bangzhumeigeren,bangzhugongsidedaofazhan,yebaokuobangzhuzhenggexingye、zhenggeshehuijinyibufazhan。qishicongzhichunchuangli20zhouniandaoxianzaimeiyoubianguoshanghaiyedianwang,womenyeshiyizhibijiaojianchideren。

葛韵飞(主持人):

其实各位已经对至纯以及博众两家已成立超过20年的公司有了一个简单的了解。那我们现在就对整个半导体产业来聊一聊。因为从2020年开始,整个半导体的行业无论是二级市场还是投资者的关心角度,都是一个非常炙手可热的行业。至纯所属的清洗的业务,可能又是整个半导体行业当中相对来说目前国产替代hualvzhengzaiqianjinguochengzhongdeyigexingye。liuzongyeshiduierjishichangxiangduibijiaoshuxi,ninzenmekanbandaotixingye?

刘刚:

shouxianbandaotixingyeguoneifazhanqilaiqishitingburongyide,qishiwomenshicongsha,tu,linchengzhangqilaide,yikaishishiyiqiongerbai,danshiduiyuguoneidetouzizheheqiyelaishuodoushijudadejiyu。touzihuijiangyaotouyigehenzhangdesaidao,qishitayaoyouzugoudechengzhangkongjian,yueshizaoqideshihou,kenengtadequedingxinghuichayidian,danshidangyouyipigongsichengzhangqilaizhihou,tadequedingxinghaole,tadejingzhengnenglitishengle,neitayouhuizhongxinkuarukuaisudepaodaodangzhong,zheigepaodaoyoushiyigeyoufeichanggaodetianhuabandepaodao,duiyuwomentouzizhelaishuozheijiushifeichanghaodexuanze。zheigedangzhongnideshouyihuisuizhegongsidechengzhangfashengzhibian。dangniyuezaofaxianzheimeyijiayouzhidegongsi,nihuodedeshijianfulijiuhuiyuegao。

我们也是很认同半导体这个行业,尤其是在中国的发展,当中就会涉及到半导体设备,半导体行业本身处在国产替代delangchaokuaisufazhanqi,zengsuheweilaikongjianbijiaokeguan。womenyoushizaishebeiguochanhuadelangchaodangzhong,suoyizhenggechengzhangxingfeichanghao,womenjuedezheiyangdesaidaoduiyutouzizhelaishuoshibijiaozhengquede。danshisaidaodangzhongshenmeyangdeqiyekeyipaochulai,zheishiwomenzuoweiyijiakeyidailingtouzizhezuoyixiezhuanyeyanjiudejigou,xiangwomendayangjinrongyanjiusuo,qishishixiangzhaodaoyigefangfalun,nenggoupingjiayigehaogongsi,

touzifangfalundeguochengdangzhong,womentichuyixiefangfa,dajiajiuhuihenhaodiduibiyixieyouqishigaokejideqiye,daodizenmelaipanduantaweilaishibushiyigehaodetouzifangxiang。womenxiangzaizheiyangyigezhangsaidaodangzhongzenmexuanzezheijiahaogongsi,yibanhuixiangzheijiagongsiyoulianggefangmiandeyoushi,yigeshixingnengfangmiandeyoushi,jiushiwomendechanpin;lingwaiyigeshichengbenfangmiandeyoushi,yibanruguojuyouzheiliangfangmianyoushidegongsihuichengzhangdehenkuai,keyizaizhangsaidaodangzhongxiangshougenggaosudefazhan。

zheiliyeqingjiaoyixiachaizong,zhenduiqitajingzhengduishou,womendexingnengyoushizainali?womendechengbenyoushizainali?dangqianjieduankenengxiayouqiyegengduoguanzhudeshixingneng,suoyixiwangchaizongkeyizhankaijiangyijiang,womenmuqianguoneichengzhangqilaidezheixieyouxiudegongsi,womenzenmetuoyingerchu,womendeyoushizainali?

柴心明:

yiwomendeshifashebeiweili,zheikuaisuiranwomenbujuxiangduilaishuowanleyidian,danshichengzhangxingshitebiekuai,jiushiyinweizheigeguochengdangzhongwomenshizhongyikehudexuqiuweizhiyin,shenduhekehujinxingjishu、shangwushangdegoutongzhihouquedinglezuoshifagaoduandeshebei。guowaiyijingjingliguo3cidejishuzhuanyi,diyicishishangshiji70niandai,meiguowangribenzhuan;diercishishangshiji90niandai,ribenwangtaiwan、hanguozhuan,sanxing、taijidianjiushineigeshihouchenglide;xianzaishidisancidechanyezhuanxing,zheigeguochengzhong,guowaiyijingzaixiangdangzhangdeshijianneibazheigedangaozuozule,womenzaizheigeguochengdangzhongzenmeqiezheigeyifen,queshixuyaodongnaojinde。zheigeguochengdangzhong,hekehugoutongdeguochengdangzhongwomenfaxianyigewenti,yinweiguowaidegongyingshangzuoweijishudelingxianfangheshuchufang,tabuhuigenzongguoneikehudexuqiu。muqiangenzongtaijidian、yingteer、sanxing,zuo7nami、5nami、3namideshendukaifa。14namizaiguoneishizuixianjin,28namiyeshiguoneipianxianjindezhicheng,duiguowaigongyingshangyijingfenbieluohou3-4geshidaile,shishinianzhiqian,shijinianzhiqian,zaiguojigongyingshanglimianshifashebeidouyijingdingxingle。

zheigeguochengdangzhong,guoneikehuyaoqiutagongyishengji,gongyigaizaotashimeiyouzheigejijixing,meiyouzheigedongli,taderencaiwudoushipuzai7、5、3namizhichengshangdeshebei,womenzaizheigeguochengzhongwomenyuanyiqugendong,tebieheguoneidelongtoukehushendudebangding,tayaotichushenmegongyidexuqiu,gongyidegaijin、gongyideshengji,womenbangtagai,lianheyanfa,erqiewomenxianquedingyipijixingshibianyuliangchande,tongshikeyitanbochengbende,yibianyuwomenkuodazaishengchan,xingchengliangxingxunhuan。zheiyangfangbiandakaijumian,2018nianshi1yidedingdan,2019nianshi2yidedingdan,2020nianshi5.3yidedingdan,muqianyijing8yidedingdan,zheigedingdanshimeinianfanbeidejiezou。suoyichengzhangxingyeshixiangdangmingquede。

suoyihekehudeshendugendongshidailaihenhaodedingdanzengzhanghewomenweilaideyewufazhan,tongshiwomenyejubeijishuyanfadenengli,muqian28namiyijingquanxilierenzhengtongguole,yebaokuoshifadekeshi、shifadequjiao、shifadeqingxi、shifadeshuaxi,jidashifalingyudegongyishebeiwomendoujubei28namishengchandenengli,muqianwomenzuixindedongtaishifalekezhuanzhaideyugao,shiwang14namiji14namiyixiadegongyishebeikaifa。tongshihaihuidailaigengduoqiangti,baokuo18qiangdegongyishebeideyanfa。womenyujixiangmujinxingshunlidehua,mingnianjiukeyiyoubufendejixingjiaofukehujinxingrenzheng。zuiwan2023niankendingkeyi14namihe14namiyixiadejixingjiaofurenzheng。zheiyangjibenshangkeyimanzuxiayoukehukuozhangdejiezou。

刘刚:

womendangxiajidaguoneidezhuliudexiangshifashebeidegongyingshang,womendejingzhengyoushi,huozhebicizhijiandeyouquedianyounaxie。

柴心明:

congmuqianlaishuo,guoneishifasuiranbiqitadegongyishebeiqianjindesuduyaokuaiyidian,danshimuqianlaishuozhengtiguochanzhuangbeideshizhanlvbuzu10%,haibijiaodi,kongjianxiangdangda,muqianmeinianguoneideshifashebeidexuqiuliangzai20-25yimeijinzhijian,tidaikongjianhaishixiangdangda。congjishulaijiang,womenshiheguojidezhuliujishuzhijieduibiaode。muqianlaishuoyinweiwomenshiyongzuixianjindesheji、gongyi、cailiao,duibiaotashinianzhiqianyijingdingxingdejixing,suoyizhibiaoshang,shenzhibufenzhibiaoshanghaiyouyuguojitongleixingdeshebei。erqiewomenhaiyoulingxianquanqiudeqiangtineidehuishouxitong,zheishiguojigongyingshangyebujubeide,keyibangzhuxiayoukehujieshengdianzijidehaocai,yejiushishuodengtazhejiuwanchengzhihouhaikeyibangtazhuanqian,yueyongyuesheng,suoyiwomendeshebeixingjiabitebiegao。

刘刚:

gangcaichaizongyeshijiangleyixiawomengongsidehexinjingzhengli,qishiwomentouzizhebijiaoguanxinhexinjingzhengliyijibilei,zheiyangcaikeyiyougengzhangqidechengzhangdongnenghequedingxing,womenkeyizailajinyidiandeweidu,womenkanyixiadagaiminghounian,xiangwomengongsiduisandayewuyouzenyangdechannengbujuhuozheguihua?haiyouwomenhuibuhuichulezheisandazhuyingyewuzhiwai,yijingzaibujugengyouyejidanxingdeyewuhuozhechanpinfangxiang?

柴心明:

congxiayoukehujiaodulaishuo,yinweidajiayezhidaoquexin,quexinduanqineibukenenghuanjie,yinweicongwosidejiaodu,zuoyitiaoxianchabuduoxuyao1nianbandeshijian,gongchengguimohenda,zuowanzhihouxiayibuhaiyaozailianhediaoshi,chabuduo3-6geyuedeshijian。zhihouzaijinxingkehudedaoru,ranhoucongopc、yanmodengxiangyingdejishuhuanjieshanggenjutadegongyishipeixingjinxingkehudedaoru。zaizheigeguochengzhong,zhishaodaomingniannianzhongruguonenggouyoubufendehuanjie,yijingsuanjinduxiangdangkuaile,suoyixiayoudequexin,baokuotaijidianshangzhouyeyouyiweidakajiangle,quexindeqingkuangyijingbukenenghuidaoyiqingzhiqiandegongxuzhuangkuangle,shiyigezhangqideguocheng,zhishichengduhuanjiedewenti,muqianlaishuo,congxiayoukuozhangdejiaodulaishuo,baokuoxitong,baokuoshebei,baokuojingyuanzaisheng,doushixiangdangdejinque。womenmuqianlaishuodoushizhongzichandetouru,congdingzengyehao,congzhuanzhaiyehao,doushiweilemanzurongzi、kuodazaishengchandexuqiu。qianmiantidaosangeyewubankuai,womenzhongdianfazhanhaishizaishifa,yinweicongroedejiaodulaishuo,shifaderoebiaoxianzuihao。yinweixitongzaiguoneishishuyugongchengleidexiangmu,xitongzheigetuanduikeyizuo20yidedingdan,danshiwomenbingbuxiwangtayixiazizuodao20yidedingdan,yinweinikandaowomenyingshouzhangkuan,baokuowomendecunhuo,baokuoxianjinliudetuolei。tajieleyuedadedingdan,wodexianjinliuyuejinzhang,yinweiwodoushixuyaodianzide,gongchengleijiushiyouzheigetedian,kehudeyufubilixiangdangdi,zhiyou20-30%。shangshizhiqianguoyidedingdandoushibujiede,jiupayinxingchoudai,yinweishikuaqidegongcheng,yaozuo1nianbandao2nian,guochengdangzhongyinxingyichoudai,xianjinliujiuduanle,qiyeshengcunyouwentile。shangshizhihoucaibujuguoyidedingdan,manmanzuoda。muqianxitongduan,womenjitadezhibiaobingbutaida,shouxianweihuhaodakehu,xiangtaijidian、sanxing、hailishizaiguoneidechang、ranhouguoneidelongtou,zhihouzhengqumaolilvgaodexiangmuquzuo,tongshixiwangkeyijinzaowanchengneishengdexunhuan,jiushikehuzheibianshoudaoqianzhihouzaipuxindedingdan,erbuxuyaojituanewaideshuxue,zheishiliangxingdeneishengxunhuan。xitongyewuwomenxiwangtameinianshiwendingdezengzhang,womenzaishebeiduanshigaosudezengzhang,yinweitaderoebiaoxianqueshihao,huikuanzhouqimeiyouxitongzheimezhang,erqietadedanjiaqueshiyegao。womenmuqianputongde8qiangdedanpianshebei,guojigongyingshangzaiguoneidebaojiajiuyao350wanmeijin,12qiangdeputonggongyijiejin5baiwanmeijin。ruguoshi12qiangdetesegongyide,genjugongyinandudebutong,6baiwan,7baiwan,8baiwan,ruguoyanjiuchu18qiangdoushiqianwanmeijinji。zheigeliangdailaizhenggegongsideyingshou、lirundoushizhidefeiyue。wogujimingnianzhuangbeizheikuaijiukeyihexitongdetiliangdapingle。

zaibohuizheikuaiyeshiwendingdezengzhang,yinweixiayoukehuhenqueding,meiniandedingdanyezaichixuzengjia,zhishiyouyigejijiexingdetedianzai。2jishichangshiyingzhihoujiumeiyouwenti,yinweicaibingbiao2nianbudao,kenengduijijiexingbodongtuoleiwomen,qian3jidudeyejihuiyouyixiebulijie。qishisuizhewomenqianliangkuaiyewudezengzhang,tadetiliangyetongbilidejiangdi,mingnianyinggaishuotadejijiexingbodongbuhuijiwomenzhengtiyingshou、lirundailaitaidadefudong。

刘刚:

chulesandayewu,womenxianzaiyezaifuhuanaxieqianjingdefangxiang?

柴心明:

suizhegongyiyuelaiyuenan,tadexinghao、baokuoyanshengxinghaoyuelaiyueduo。birushuoyuanlaiqiangtishuliangshao,yigejitaizhinengduiyingyigegongyi;muqiansuizheqiangtishuliangdezengjia,kehutichulainengbunengduiyingduogegongyi,jiushiyitaiqidaoyuanlaijitaidezuoyong,qiangtishuliangduole,dailaiyingjianheruanjianfuzale。womenhaozaishejizhichujiucaiyonglemokuaihuadesheji,jiuxiangdangyuupanyiyang,jichajiyong。dazhikuangjiabubiandeqingkuangxiahuanyigeqiangtijiudailaigongyidegaibian,danshishijishanghaishifuzade,ruanyingjianhaishiyaotongshidiaozhengde,shuoqilaijiandan,gongchenglingyuyingyonghaishiyouyidingdefuzaxingde。lilunshang,womenmokuaihuadeshejiyeshibianyuzhuangpeihejiaofu,lilunshangzhuangpeishijianlianggeyue,danshimuqianshoupicixuyao6geyuedeshijian。yinweizaiwomenzuozhonggaojiedeshifashebeizhiqian,guoneizhiyouyingyongderencai,huiyong、huikanmianban,ruguoyouguzhangzhongqishikeyi;danshicongkuangjiakaishidashe,limiandeguanlu,jixiebeiyehao,guidaoyehao,zenmebuzhi,zheigeshimeiyoujichude,suoyimuqianlaishuo,womenhaishiyinjindaliangdeguojirencai,tongshidapiliangdepeiyangguoneidetidui,caikeyibuduanmanzuxiayoukuozhangdejiezou。muqianwomenyexiwangmingnianzai2picikeyiwang4-5geyueshijianlimianyasuo,zheiyangwojiedanhejiaofujiezouyekeyitongbilidetigao。

葛韵飞(主持人):

qishichaizongzhiqianyetidao,zhenggeerjishichangduiyubandaotidexiangmukuaqixianderongrendushiyuelaiyuegaode,suoyierjishichangduiyuzhenggebandaoti,wulunshicongshangyoudaoxiayoudeguzhiyeshimanmanwangshangzoude。jiuwolejie,wuzongduiyubandaotierjishichangtouziyeyousuoshelie。qingwuzongfenxiangyixiaduiyuzuijinjinianerjishichangbandaotitouzideganxiang。

吴志辉:

duiyubandaotixingye,congwomentouzideweidulaijiang,womenshouxianhuikaolvzishangerxiadefenxifangfalun,(zaizuo)touzixuanzedeshihoukendinghuixiankansaidaohaobuhao,zenmepanduansaidaohaobuhaoni?youyixiajigefangmian:

diyi,shibushifuhewomenguojiaweilaizhanlvedefangxiang,zheishifeichangzhongyaodedian;

dier,jiushishichangrongliangshibushizugouda。yinweizhiyoudadexingyecaikeyicuishengchufeichangdadeqiye,keyiconghenxiaodeqiyebianchengfeichangdadeqiye;

disan,xingyedezengsu,weilaijinianxingyedezengsuhuiyouduoda,yinweizengsuhuizhijieyingxiangdaoerjishichang,jigoujigongsi、huozhezhenggexingyedeguzhidingjia。

bandaotixingyeganggangfuhewomengangcaishuodesuoyoutiaojian,henmingxianshiguojiazhichidesaidao。baokuoxianzaideguojiadajijindechengli,qishijiushiweileguliwomenzhongguoxiangzhichunzheiyangdeqiye,keyirangqizaibandaotixingyefahuigengdadezuoyong。

dangranzheimedadesaidao,woxiangwenyixiachaizong,zaibandaotiweilaidezhanlveguihuahebujuhuiyounaxiedongzuoni?nengbunenghewomenxiangxiliaoyixia。

柴心明:

确实从2014年大基金成立之后,整个产业欣欣向荣的发展。如果从二级市场的角度,我们更注重天时地利人和,天时就是政策性的,国家投入;地利就是国产替代,由国内的供应商替代国外的供应商;人和就是人的能力,包括团队能不能载负历史交付的重任。从至纯角度来说,我们完全具备天时地利人和的。但是投资角度来说,整个半导体领域因为本身就不是一蹴而就的,它是长周期的,它投资的量是几万亿的,这个过程中投资人,我建议投资人更需要长期的耐心也好,并不需要太在意短期的波动。因为整个行业、整个赛道都是长周期的。国产替代shibukedang,zheigeguochengdangzhong1-2geyue,yigejiduyouyixiebodonghenzhengchang,bijingzheigeguochengdangzhongshoudaoyixiedahuanjing、shoudaogezhongqitayinsudeyingxiangyehenzhengchang,dadefangxiangmeiyoufashenggaibiantouzirenjiuyinggaijiandingxinxin,jiubuyinggaiqusuibozhuliu、zhuizhangshadie,chufeiduizijijishutebiezixin。

dajijin2qiduizhuangbeileide,cailiaoleidegongsishitouzidezhongdian。zheigeguochengdangzhongqishiyeshijigeweitouzizhezhimingleyigefangxiang,zaiwomenqianyigeyuegonggaodedajijin2qizhuziwomenquanzizigongsi——zhiwei,tongshijinrudeyoushanghaidezhuangbeicailiao,zhongxinjuyuan、yuanzhixinghuo,haiyouxinxin,zheixiedoushidaibiaoleguojiahedifangdeziben,yijikehuduiwomenderenke。duiwomenshifadeshebeixianzaijishudeqingkuang,baokuojianglaifazhanqianjingderenke,yinweitamenzaitouruzhiqiandouzuoledaliangdejindiao。zheigeguochengdangzhongtamendouyuanyizuoxiangyingdepeiban,qishizibenchanrongjiehezuihaodejiushipeiban,dangranzheigeguochengdangzhongzuizhongkendinghuijiandaoshouhuo。qiyezuixiwangjiushihezhangqidetouzirenzuoxiangyingdebangding,buxuyaojingchangqushichangshangchouqian,jianshaoganrao,jianshaoqiyedejinglixiaohao。

zhanlvetouzirennenggoubangwomenchanyezhongtishengxingyediwei,yuxiangguandekehushendubangding,duiwomendeyewubaokuozhihoudedingdanfazhandoushiyouhaochude。

葛韵飞(主持人):

chaizongqianmiantidaodajijin2qirugulezhiweikeji,erqieninqianmianyetidaolehenduoguojiadajijinduiyuzibencengmiandeyixiexiangfahezhanlvebuju。neininnengbunengjinyibufenxiangyixia,zaiyewucengmian,guojiadajijinruguwomenzigongsi,duiyuwomenyewufazhanyounaxiexietongxiaoying?

柴心明:

qizhuzikendingyouliyuwomenyanfa,duichanyeshangdeyingxiangyeshibijiaoshenyuande,tebieyoudajijinjiwomenbeishuzhihou,womenqishiyehuoduohuoshaochengdanleguojiaderenwu,zhongdianjixingdeyanfa,aiyuyixieminganxingbubianyuduiwai。dajijinduiwomenzhihoudefazhanhaishiyouxiangdangshenyuandeyiyide。shouxianbuhuixiangcaiwutouzirenzuoduanqidedongzuo,zheigeguochengdangzhongdajijinduichanyeziyuandezhenghe,baokuokehuxiangyingdeshenrubeijingdexiangguanhezuo,douhuiqidaojijidezuoyong。

葛韵飞(主持人):

zhichunkejikeyishuoshiguoneiqingxishebeidediyixiandeqiye,nengbunengnengbunengfenxiangyixiamuqianguojiazaibandaotixingyeyounaxiezuixindejucuo?

柴心明:

shilimiandecengmianbijiaoduole,birushuowomennadaoxiangyingdixidedaikuan,youdaikuanbutie,zhiqianyoukouxing、kaixingqiantou,xianzaikuodadaozhongnonggongjianjiao,haiyoushanghaideshijidejijiayinxing,haiyouqitachanyelideyixiezhengce,birushuoshuishoude,birushuoqita,yiqingduiyugaoduanzhizaoyeyeyouxiangyingdeyouhuizhengce,guojiadezhongshichengduqueshishishiwuqianlide。qishicongzuigaocengyizhizaiwangxiaguanche,zaichanyezhongxiangyingdezenmebaituopingjing,zenmejiasutidaiguochan。womennaleguojiaxiangyingdebutieyehao,touruyehao,jinkenengbajianshangdezerenqieshilvxinghao,jianfuqilishijiaojiwomendezhongren,xiwangwomenzheidairennengjinzaoyuanmeng,erbushijixiwangyuxiayidaiyuanmengzhongguoxin,womenzheiyidainengshixianjiuzuihaole。

葛韵飞(主持人):

womenkeyikanchu,chenglichaoguo20niandezhichunkejizhenshijianxinglezhiqiantidaodezhichun、zhizhen、zhijian、zhishandehexinjiazhiguanhelinian,zuoweimuqianbandaotixingyedenongchaoer,zhichunkejiyeyoudajijin2qidejiachi,xiangxinzhichunkejizaiweilaiyehuiyuezouyuehao,jintian《zoujinshangshigongsi》dehuodongdaozheilizangaoyiduanluo,xiexiedajia。

行业点评

博众投资金融研究所所长 刘刚:

shouxianwomenduibandaotixingyeyigejiandandianping:

diyi、shiguanyuxingyezenglianghezengsu。shisanwuqijian,woguobandaotichanyeshixianlekuayueshifazhan,nianfuhezengzhanglvjin20%。jiezhi2020nian,quanxingyexiaoshoueyida8848yiyuan。weilailiangnianguoneijingyuanzhizaochangzhengtidekuochanzengsunengdadao30%zuoyou。congqianshidajingyuanzhizaoqiyedeshujulaikan,neizizhizaoqiyezongliangzaizengzhang,danneiziqiyezengsudiyuwaiziqiyehetaiziqiye。suoyi,suiranwomendebandaotichanyezhengzaipengbofazhan,danshihaishimianlinzhezhongzhongyali,yaopeiyang“xitong-xinpian-gongyi-zhuangbei-cailiao”xietongchuangxinfazhandeliangxingshengtaihaishirenzhongdaoyuan。

dier、guanyujingyuanzhizaojishudetupo。muqian,14nmyijingjinruliangchan,7nmyijingjinrushichan,5nmjishuyezaiyanfazhong。woguodejingyuanzhizaojishujiedianzhengzaiyoutiaobuwendexiangqiantuijin。

disan、guanyubentupeitaoqingkuang。yigeshizhuangbeipeitao,yigeshihaocaipeitao;dangxiawoguodebandaotipeitaochanyezhengchuyuyigecongdiandaomian,kuaisufazhandejieduan。guoneizhizaochanxianjianshejinrukuaisuzengzhangqi,yinglaiduizhuangbeihehaocaidejudaxuqiu。2020nianzhongguobandaotishebeixiaoshoushouruda240yiyuan,qizhongicshebeixiaoshoushourudadaole107yiyuan,tongbizengzhangle48.6%。yuji2021nianquannianicshebeitongbizengzhang50%yishang。suiranzengsuxirendanzhuangbeiyeguimorengranbugou,quanqiuzhanbihendi,muqianwomendehaocaipeitaoyetixianchubaijiaqifangdeyigetaishi。

zhengtilaishuo,zhuangbei、cailiao、ruanjianshibandaotichanyedehexinjichu,yeshiguojiboyidezhangqijiaodian。gongyinglianhexinqiyedezhanlvezhongxinyejiangcongshiyanggongyingxiangguimohuajingyingzhuanxing,duiqiyedepinzhikongzhi、gonghuonenglihefuwubaozhangdengtichulegenggaodeyaoqiu,qiyeyaokaishiweixiaoshouguimokuoda10beishenzhi50beizuohaozhunbei。

zhenggebandaotixingyedefazhanbushiyicuerjiude,xiayouxuqiuhechuangxinzhouqidebodongzhudingletadefazhanshiluoxuanshangshengde,zaizheigeguochengzhong,touzizhegengxuyaoyounaixin,buyaotaizaiyiduanqidebodong,ershiyaolizuzhangyuandefazhankandaiyixieyouxiudegongsi。

博众投资首席投资顾问 吴志辉:

bandaotixingyeshiguojiazhongdianzhichideyigexingye,xingyeguimoyeshiwanyijibiede。yincibandaotixingyecunzaizhejudadetouzijihui。bandaotixingyechanyelianfeichangdezhang,yefeichangdefuza,baohanlesheji,gedaogongxu,shebei,cailiao,fengzhuang,yingyongduandeng。

qizhonglvxianshouyideyidingshi,shebeiduanhecailiaoduan。yinweizheigelianggefangxiangshichanyeliandezuishangyou,shengchanxinpianyidingshixuyaoshebeihecailiaode。zhichunkejijiushuyushebeiduan。

近两年,中国大陆晶圆厂建厂潮为半导体设备行业提供了巨大的市场空间,但国产设备在这些晶圆厂的采购中占比仍较低,替代空间广阔。据芯谋研究数据,2020 年,国内晶圆厂设备采购总金额达到 154 亿美元,其中向美国厂商采购金额达到 82 亿美元,占比达 53%,而向国内供应商采购金额仅为 9.9 亿美元,占比仅为 7%。而在先进制程上,设备国产化率zegengdi,jubandaotixingyexiehuitongji,muqian,28 nm yixiadexianjinzhichengqianduanshebeiyou 70%laizimeiguochangshang。

据半导体行业协会数据,当前湿法清洗设备国产化率约达 20%,并已经攻克 14nm 制程。 前段工序三大件光刻、薄膜、刻蚀中,光刻机尚未实现国产化,涂胶显影设备、离子注 入设备的国产化率亦不足 1%,基本不具备自给能力。而刻蚀机方面率先实现了国产突 破,国产化率近 20%,清洗、CMP 设备亦走在了国产替代的前列,国产化率yida 15- 20%。

guoneibujuleqingxishebeidechangshangzhuyaoyouzhichunkeji、beifanghuachuang、shengmeibandaoti、xinyuanwei,danpianshiqingxijishiguoneichangshangzhongdiantupodefangxiang,gejiajuntuichulezijidedanpianshichanpin。zhichunnengtigongdao 28namijiedianquanbushifagongyi,zhuyaodanpianqingxichanpin s3xx xiliekedazai12geqiangti,channengzuigaokeda590wph,18qiangchanpinyizaiyanfazhong。

博众投资副总经理 邓刚:

bandaotixingyedexingyezenglianghezengsusuiranmianlinjiaodadeyali,danshixingyedongtairengranshizaipengbofazhan。

具体到至纯科技的设备,其实最主要的关注点在于国产替代。目前像光刻、薄膜等工序尚未实现国产化,而清洗设备国产化率shijiejin20%,zheishuomingzhenggexingyezhengchuyuyigeguochanshebeidekuaisutidaishiqi,haiyouxuduoshangxiayougongxutidaikongjianguangkuo。

而至纯作为国内主要的清洗设备供应商,未来均有望受益于国产化率detishengheguojiazhichifazhandexingyehongli。zaizheigeguochengzhong,worenweikenengxuyaoduoyidiandiannaixin。dangran,weilaidefazhan,zheiduiqiyedechengbenkongzhi、shangxiayougonghuonenglidengyejianghuitichugenggaodeyaoqiu。

活动点评

博众投资金融研究所所长 刘刚:

shouxian,kejigudetouziyuchuantongxingyegupiaodetouzishiyouqubiede,jishubiangehegongyinglianbianhuaduigongsigujiayingxiangfeichangda,kejigudetouzixuyaozhangqidechanyejilei,yexuyaojinmideshichanggenzong,zheiyiciwomenduizhichunkejidediaoyan,duiyuzhuanyetouzizhelaishuo,jiushiyicihenhaodehuodong。jijiashenleduichanyehegongsiderenzhi,youyingzhenglewomenqianqideyixieyupan。duibandaotichanyedexianzhuang、gongsidehexinjingzhengli、yuanqiguihuahezhongqidenenglishifangdouyoubijiaoshenrudelejie。

suiranzhichunkejizaishifashebeilingyubujujiaowan,danshizhunquedebawodaoxingyejishuzhuanyizhongdejihui,jijiyuguoneikehugoutong,tongguogongyidejishushengjigaizaohenhaodepipeixiayouxuqiu,suoyidingdanyuanyuanbuduan,gongsiyefeisuchengzhang。zheirangwomengengqingxideconghaosaidaodangzhongzhaodaoyixiehaogongsi,rangwomengengfangxindetouzi。

博众投资首席投资顾问 吴志辉:

jintianshizhishiyigekaishi,weilaiwomenbozhongjianghuibazoujinshangshigongsijixudezuoxialaiqu。yinwei,womenbozhongyaozuoyigezhuanye,youtaidu,youzerendetouzizixungongsi。qushangshigongsidiaoyan,keyirangwomengenghaodelejiexiangguangongsi,yekeyirangwomendetouzijuecegengjiadekeguanhekexue,rangtouzijuecezuodaoyoudefangshi。

博众投资副总经理 邓刚:

bozhongkaizhanzoujinshangshigongsidehuodongdaomuqianlaishuoyinggaisuanshichengxiaobucuo。womenzaihuodekeguan,youjiazhidediaoyanneironghou,zaijiehezishenzhuanyedeyanjiutuandui,jiangnenggoujiyuyonghuyejiushiwomendetouzizhegengduozhuanyedetouzicelvehetouziyijian,wojuedezheishifeichangyouyiyide。

weilai,womenyejianghuijixukaizhanxiaqu,bingqiezhuanzhuyutouyan,shenwashichangxuqiu,jiyuwomentouzizhegengzhuanye、gengkexuedetouzipeiban。

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